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Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Biopharma in North America - **Market Analysis**: The latest weekly Total Prescription (TRx) year-over-year (YoY) growth for the week ending December 19, 2025, was +1.1%, compared to +1.0% the previous week and +0.8% over the past 12 weeks [1][2] Prescription Trends - **Weekly TRx Change**: For the week ended December 19, the US total market weekly TRx YoY change was +1.1%, up from +0.9% a year ago. The rolling 4-week TRx YoY was +1.2%, and the rolling 12-week TRx YoY was +0.8% [2] - **Extended Unit (EUTRx) Growth**: EUTRx weekly YoY growth was +1.4%, which is above the TRx YoY growth [2] - **Sequential Growth**: Sequential weekly TRx growth was +2.3%, a significant increase compared to -1.4% the week before [2] Company-Specific Insights Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) - **Cobenfy Launch**: Cobenfy was approved for schizophrenia on September 26, 2024. The number of prescriptions (scripts) for the week was approximately 2,800, up from 2,710 the previous week. To meet 2025 consensus expectations, Cobenfy TRx needs to track at approximately 2-3 times the volumes from recent schizophrenia launches [3] - **Sales Estimates**: The consensus estimate for Cobenfy has decreased from $196 million to $161 million, implying that around 104,000 TRx are required to meet these estimates [3] Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) - **Journavx Launch**: Journavx was approved for acute pain on January 30, 2025. The number of scripts for the week was approximately 13,060, up from 12,570 the previous week. Hospital scripts accounted for about 39% of total scripts in Q3 [4] - **Sales Projections**: To achieve 2025 sales of $68 million, approximately 303,000 total scripts are needed, assuming a net price of $225 per script [4] Gilead Sciences (GILD) - **Yeztugo Launch**: Yeztugo was approved on June 18, 2025. The latest week total TRx was approximately 780, down from 800 the previous week. The analysis suggests that achieving FY25 sales of $150 million requires incremental weekly script growth from current levels [5][9] - **Market Coverage**: Yeztugo has secured 75% commercial coverage, including major payers, and most do not require copays, indicating alignment with USPSTF guidelines [9] Additional Insights - **Market Focus**: Investors are increasingly focused on 2026, with strong PrEP market growth of +14% YoY and sustained Descovy share of over 45% [9] - **Pricing Analysis**: The pricing analysis for immunology drugs such as Stelara and Tremfya has been updated, showing how additional indications impact price per script [10] - **Biosimilar Adoption**: Comprehensive analysis of biosimilar adoption across various branded drugs has been included, indicating trends in market share and sales [12] Conclusion - The biopharma industry in North America is showing positive growth trends in total prescriptions, with specific companies like BMY, VRTX, and GILD launching new products and adjusting sales expectations. The focus on 2026 and the strong market coverage for new drugs indicate potential investment opportunities in this sector.

Core Insights - The pharmaceutical industry is experiencing significant performance divergence among major multinational companies in 2025, with some companies thriving while others face substantial challenges [1][2][3][4]. Financial Performance - Novo Nordisk reported Q3 2025 revenues of 74.976 billion Danish Krone (approximately $11.276 billion), a year-on-year increase of 11%, with total revenues for the first three quarters reaching 229.92 billion Danish Krone (approximately $34.58 billion), up 15% [1]. - Key products such as Ozempic, Rybelsus, and Wegovy contributed significantly to Novo Nordisk's revenue, with Wegovy showing a remarkable growth of 54% [1]. - Merck's pharmaceutical revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was $43.299 billion, with a 68% decline in revenue from China, dropping to $1.452 billion [2]. - Eli Lilly achieved a remarkable turnaround with Q3 revenues of $17.6 billion, a 54% increase year-on-year, driven by the success of its GLP-1 drug [3]. - Pfizer was the only company in the top 10 to experience a decline in both revenue and profit, with Q3 revenues of $16.654 billion, down 6% year-on-year [4]. Strategic Adjustments - Major pharmaceutical companies are actively seeking solutions to address strategic challenges, including layoffs and business divestitures, with 190 layoffs reported in the first three quarters of 2025 [2][9]. - Companies like Merck and Novo Nordisk are implementing significant cost-cutting measures, with Merck aiming to save $3 billion by 2027 and Novo Nordisk planning to cut approximately 9,000 jobs [2][9]. - The trend of divesting mature assets is becoming common, with companies opting to sell off non-core or underperforming business units to focus on innovation [7][9]. Market Dynamics - The Chinese market is no longer a guaranteed success for multinational pharmaceutical companies, with significant performance disparities emerging [5][12]. - The ongoing "patent cliff" is a critical concern, with many companies facing over 20% of their revenue at risk due to expiring patents [5]. - The competitive landscape is shifting, with local investment firms increasingly acquiring mature products from multinational companies, allowing for more localized management and decision-making [8][9]. Future Outlook - The future of multinational pharmaceutical companies will depend on their ability to innovate rapidly, adapt to local market policies, and manage patent expirations effectively [12][14]. - Companies that can successfully transition to innovation-driven models and integrate into China's biopharmaceutical ecosystem are likely to thrive [12][14]. - The restructuring of global pharmaceutical companies is creating both challenges and opportunities for local firms, as they may benefit from the divestiture of mature products and increased collaboration on early-stage innovations [14].

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Core Viewpoint - AbbVie has shown strong financial performance and growth potential, making it an attractive investment option heading into 2026 [2][3][11] Financial Performance - AbbVie's revenue increased by 8% year over year to $44.5 billion in the first nine months of the year [3] - Adjusted earnings per share declined to $7.29 from $7.96, primarily due to acquisition-related charges, but this is not a major concern [3] - The company projects high single-digit revenue growth through 2029, indicating sustained financial momentum [3] Growth Drivers - AbbVie has revised its 2027 sales projections for Skyrizi and Rinvoq, increasing it by $4 billion, which are key growth drivers [5] - Other contributors to growth include Vraylar for schizophrenia and Qulipta for migraines [6] - Humira, despite losing patent exclusivity, generated $3.3 billion in sales in the first nine months of 2025, although its revenue declined by 55% year over year [6] Challenges - The U.S. government has targeted Vraylar for drug price negotiations, effective in 2027, but management does not expect significant long-term impacts [7] - AbbVie anticipates no loss of patent exclusivity for major growth drivers through the end of the decade [7] Valuation and Dividend - AbbVie is trading at 16.1 times forward earnings, below the healthcare sector average of 18.2, suggesting reasonable valuation [9] - The company's PEG ratio is currently 0.4, indicating that shares are undervalued [10] - AbbVie has a strong dividend program, with a forward yield of 3% and a cash payout ratio of 61.8%, making it a Dividend King with 54 consecutive annual dividend increases [10][11]

Core Insights - The Zacks Equity Research team has highlighted several stocks, including AbbVie Inc., The Coca-Cola Co., Chevron Corp., ImmuCell Corp., and Precipio, Inc., in their Analyst Blog [1][2]. AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) - AbbVie has outperformed the Zacks Large Cap Pharmaceuticals industry over the past year, with a share price increase of +31.6% compared to the industry’s +19.5% [4]. - The company has successfully managed the loss of exclusivity for Humira by launching new immunology drugs, Skyrizi and Rinvoq, which are performing well and expected to support revenue growth [4][5]. - AbbVie is returning to robust revenue growth in 2025, following the U.S. Humira loss of exclusivity, and has been actively acquiring companies to enhance its early-stage pipeline [5]. The Coca-Cola Co. (KO) - Coca-Cola's shares have outperformed the Zacks Beverages - Soft Drinks industry over the past year, with a gain of +14.5% compared to +10.5% for the industry [6]. - The company's performance is attributed to solid organic revenue growth, effective pricing strategies, and gains in global market share within the non-alcoholic ready-to-drink category [6][7]. - Ongoing innovation and digital transformation efforts are enhancing Coca-Cola's competitive edge, although the company faces challenges such as soft volumes in key regions and currency headwinds [7][8]. Chevron Corp. (CVX) - Chevron's shares have increased by +9.5% over the past year, while the Zacks Oil and Gas - Integrated - International industry has gained +16% [9]. - The acquisition of Hess has significantly improved Chevron's growth outlook by adding high-quality assets in regions like Guyana and the Gulf of Mexico [9]. - The Permian Basin remains a key asset for Chevron, driving consistent growth, although challenges such as lower crude realizations and regulatory issues in California temper optimism [10]. ImmuCell Corp. (ICCC) - ImmuCell has outperformed the Zacks Medical - Products industry with a share price increase of +26.3% compared to +1% for the industry [11]. - The company’s First Defense franchise leads the market in calf scours prevention, with Tri-Shield accounting for 70% of volume and a 48% market share [11][12]. - ImmuCell has resolved operational bottlenecks, restoring capacity to $30 million in annual sales, with TTM revenues of $27.8 million, reflecting a 16% year-over-year increase [12][13]. Precipio, Inc. (PRPO) - Precipio's shares have surged by +361.2% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Zacks Medical Info Systems industry, which saw a decline of -1.3% [14]. - The company is moving towards self-funded growth, driven by its Pathology Services division, which is experiencing steady organic growth and rising margins [14][15]. - Precipio has improved profitability and cash flow, although it faces risks related to liquidity and regulatory uncertainties [15][16].

Financial Performance - AbbVie reported adjusted diluted profits per share of $1.86 for the quarter and increased its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS outlook to a range of $10.61 to $10.65 [1] - The company achieved net revenues of $15.7 billion, representing a 9.1% year-over-year increase, driven by its immunology and neuroscience portfolios [3] - Adjusted diluted EPS of $2.80 grew 15.7% year-over-year, with management raising full-year 2025 guidance to approximately $10.85 at the midpoint [13] Dividend Policy - AbbVie has paid and increased dividends for the past 54 years, earning the title of a Dividend King, and announced a 5.5% dividend increase starting February 2026, raising the quarterly payout to $1.73 per share [1] - Since its inception in 2013, AbbVie has increased its dividend by more than 330%, showcasing its commitment to income-focused investors [1] - The company currently pays an attractive yield of 3.04%, significantly higher than the healthcare average of 1.6% [1] Revenue Growth by Segment - Neuroscience revenues increased by more than 20% to $2.841 billion, with key drugs like Vraylar, Botox Therapeutic, Ubrelvy, and Qulipta showing strong growth [2] - The immunology portfolio generated $7.8 billion in quarterly revenue, a roughly 12% increase, with Skyrizi and Rinvoq leading the growth [3] - Skyrizi alone generated $4.7 billion in revenue, up over 47%, while Rinvoq grew by more than 35% to $2.18 billion [3] Market Performance - AbbVie stock has soared 29% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500 Index gain of 17.4% [4] - Wall Street analysts have assigned a "Moderate Buy" rating to AbbVie, with a mean target price of $245.84, indicating a potential upside of 7.8% from current levels [6]

Core Insights - AbbVie (ABBV) and AstraZeneca (AZN) are both leading global healthcare companies with diverse drug portfolios, excelling in immunology and oncology, with AbbVie also focusing on neuroscience and aesthetics, while AstraZeneca emphasizes rare diseases and vaccines [1][2] AbbVie Overview - AbbVie has achieved significant success in immunology with three blockbuster drugs: Skyrizi, Rinvoq, and Humira, which together contribute nearly 50% of its revenue [3] - Despite losing U.S. exclusivity for Humira in 2023, AbbVie has returned to strong growth, with Skyrizi and Rinvoq sales increasing by 53% year-over-year to $18.5 billion, and projected to exceed $25 billion by 2025 [4] - The oncology segment generated approximately $5 billion in revenue in the first nine months of 2025, up nearly 3% year-over-year, while neuroscience drug sales rose over 20% to nearly $7.8 billion [5] - AbbVie has pursued an aggressive acquisition strategy, completing over 30 M&A transactions since early 2024, including acquiring Gilgamesh Pharmaceuticals for a drug in mid-stage development for major depressive disorder [6] - AbbVie faces near-term challenges, including biosimilar competition for Humira, pressure on Imbruvica sales, and a decline in its aesthetics franchise, which saw a 7% drop in sales in the first nine months of 2025 [7] AstraZeneca Overview - AstraZeneca has a diversified geographical presence and a portfolio of blockbuster drugs, including Imfinzi, Lynparza, Farxiga, Ultomiris, and Tagrisso, which are driving revenue growth [8][9] - The company aims for $80 billion in total revenues by 2030, supported by the launch of 20 new medicines, with nine already launched or approved [10] - AstraZeneca has also expanded its pipeline through acquisitions, including EsoBiotec, a biotech specializing in cell therapies [11] - Challenges for AstraZeneca include the impact of U.S. policy changes on oncology sales, ongoing investigations in China, and competition from generics and biosimilars affecting key drugs [12][13] Financial Estimates and Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AbbVie indicates an 8.2% increase in 2025 sales and a 5.1% increase in EPS, with recent EPS estimates declining from $11.04 to $10.64 [14] - For AstraZeneca, the 2025 sales and EPS estimates suggest a 9% and 11.9% increase, respectively, with EPS estimates rising from $4.56 to $4.60 [16] - Year-to-date, AbbVie shares have increased by 28%, while AstraZeneca shares have risen by 40%, outperforming the industry average of 17% [17] - AbbVie has a lower P/E ratio of 15.90 compared to AstraZeneca's 17.81, making AbbVie appear more attractive from a valuation perspective [18] - AbbVie offers a higher dividend yield of 2.88% compared to AstraZeneca's 1.10% [22] Comparative Analysis - Both companies hold a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating a challenging decision for investors [24] - AbbVie's recovery post-Humira is notable, driven by Skyrizi and Rinvoq, but its reliance on acquisitions may weigh on near-term earnings [25] - AstraZeneca's growth profile is more balanced, with a diverse range of blockbuster products reducing reliance on any single drug [27]

Industry Overview - The drug and biotech sector has shown recovery after a weak first half, with large drugmakers signing pricing agreements with the Trump administration [1] - Dealmaking activity surged in the second half, boosting investor confidence, with the Large Cap Pharmaceuticals industry outperforming the S&P 500 in the past three months [1][4] - Innovation is at its peak, particularly in areas like obesity, cell and gene therapy, and next-gen oncology treatments, attracting investor attention [2] - Despite headwinds such as pipeline setbacks and regulatory risks, the outlook for growth in 2026 remains favorable due to rapid innovation and increased use of AI in drug development [2] Eli Lilly - Eli Lilly has achieved significant success with its tirzepatide medicines, including diabetes drug Mounjaro and weight loss medicine Zepbound, which are key revenue drivers [6][7] - Strong sales growth in 2025 is attributed to international market launches and improved production, with continued demand expected in 2026 [7] - Lilly is investing in obesity treatments with new molecules in clinical development, including orforglipron and retatrutide, with regulatory applications filed for orforglipron [8][9] - Despite challenges like declining product prices and competition in the GLP-1 market, Lilly's stock has risen 39.3% year to date, with 2026 earnings estimates improving from $30.78 to $33.61 per share [10] Johnson & Johnson - J&J has shown strong operational performance in 2025, with double-digit revenue growth from key brands despite the loss of exclusivity for Stelara [11] - The Innovative Medicine segment is expected to accelerate growth in 2026, driven by key products and new launches [12] - J&J's MedTech business has improved, with growth driven by acquired cardiovascular businesses and new product launches expected to contribute to 2026 growth [13][14] - The company has advanced its pipeline significantly and is on an acquisition spree, with a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) and a stock rise of 43.3% year to date [17] AbbVie - AbbVie faces declining sales from Humira due to loss of exclusivity but has successfully launched new immunology medicines Skyrizi and Rinvoq, generating combined sales of $18.5 billion in the first nine months of 2025 [18][19] - Strong market growth and new indications for these drugs are expected to drive future growth, alongside contributions from newer drugs [20] - AbbVie anticipates a high single-digit CAGR through 2029, supported by robust performance from Skyrizi and Rinvoq, with a Zacks Rank of 3 and a stock rise of 28.2% year to date [21][22] Amgen - Amgen's revenue growth is driven by key medicines like Repatha and new biosimilars, compensating for declines from mature drugs [23][24] - The company is focusing on obesity treatments with its candidate MariTide, which differentiates itself with a convenient dosing method [24] - Amgen's stock has risen 27.3% year to date, with 2026 earnings estimates increasing from $21.43 to $21.62 per share [25] AstraZeneca - AstraZeneca has several blockbuster drugs exceeding $1 billion in sales, with newer products contributing to growth despite losses from mature brands [26][27] - The company expects to achieve industry-leading top-line growth through 2030, with plans to launch 20 new medicines and generate $80 billion in total revenues [28] - AstraZeneca faces challenges such as competition and regulatory impacts but maintains a stable earnings estimate of $5.15 per share for 2026, with a stock rise of 10.7% year to date [29][30]