Core Insights - Autodesk (ADSK) experienced an 8% surge in after-hours trading following the release of its FQ3 earnings but ended the trading day with only a 2% increase, indicating volatility in investor sentiment [1]. Financial Performance - The earnings report for FQ3 showed significant fluctuations in stock price, highlighting the market's reaction to the company's financial results [1].

Core Insights - Autodesk Inc. reported stronger-than-expected third-quarter fiscal 2026 results, with earnings and revenue exceeding analyst forecasts, leading to a full-year guidance raise [1][2] - Shares of Autodesk advanced more than 3% following the announcement [1] Financial Performance - The company posted adjusted earnings of $2.67 per share, surpassing the consensus estimate of $2.50 [2] - Revenue increased by 18% year over year to $1.85 billion, exceeding expectations of $1.81 billion, indicating broad strength across business lines [2] Future Outlook - Autodesk raised its fiscal 2026 outlook, now anticipating adjusted EPS of $10.18 to $10.25, significantly above the $9.95 analyst consensus [2] - Full-year revenue is projected to be between $7.15 billion and $7.17 billion [2] - For the fiscal fourth quarter, the company expects revenue of $1.90 billion to $1.92 billion, with adjusted EPS estimated at $2.59 to $2.67 [3]

Core Viewpoint - Autodesk (ADSK) reported strong Q3 financials, exceeding market expectations, and raised its full-year revenue guidance to at least $7.15 billion from a previous estimate of $7.075 billion, indicating confidence in operational execution and demand driven by digital transformation and AI [1][3][4]. Financial Performance - Autodesk's stock closed positively on November 26, showing upward momentum as it traded above its 50-day and 100-day moving averages [1]. - Despite a post-earnings rally, Autodesk's stock is only up 2% year-to-date [2]. - The company achieved a 100 basis points year-over-year increase in margin, reflecting operational efficiency [5]. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Baird analysts reiterated an "Outperform" rating for Autodesk, raising the price target to $377, suggesting a potential upside of 25% from current levels [4]. - The investment firm noted that Autodesk shares are relatively inexpensive at a sales multiple of about 10x, especially with anticipated benefits from AI [6]. Future Outlook - Wall Street analysts expect a strong year ahead for Autodesk, contrasting with a muted performance in 2025 [7][8]. - Barchart's options data indicates potential upside for ADSK to $337 by the end of Q1 next year [6].

Revenue Performance - Total net revenue for the three months ended October 31, 2025, was $1.853 billion, a 18% increase from $1.570 billion in the same period of 2024[25]. - For the nine months ended October 31, 2025, total net revenue reached $5.249 billion, up 17% from $4.492 billion in the prior year[25]. - Revenue recognized during the three months ended October 31, 2025, from deferred revenue was $843 million, compared to $790 million in the same period of 2024[29]. - The Americas contributed $2.331 billion to total net revenue for the nine months ended October 31, 2025, representing a 17% increase from $1.986 billion in 2024[25]. - Consolidated net income for the nine months ended October 31, 2025, was $808 million, slightly down from $809 million in the same period of 2024[114]. Performance Obligations - Remaining performance obligations as of October 31, 2025, amounted to $7.36 billion, with an expected revenue recognition of $4.83 billion (66%) in the next 12 months[26]. - The company expects to recognize the remaining $2.53 billion (34%) of performance obligations as revenue after the next 12 months[26]. - Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) represent the sum of total short-term, long-term, and unbilled deferred revenue, indicating expected revenue recognition in the next twelve months[235]. Cash and Investments - Cash and cash equivalents, including marketable securities, totaled $1.966 billion as of October 31, 2025[32]. - As of January 31, 2025, Autodesk reported total cash equivalents and marketable securities of $1,436 million, with cash equivalents at $1,424 million and marketable securities at $13 million[35]. - The fair value of Autodesk's marketable debt securities as of October 31, 2025, was $602 million, with $267 million due within one year and $314 million due after one year through five years[37]. - Autodesk had no material unrealized losses for marketable debt securities as of both October 31, 2025, and January 31, 2025, and total unrealized gains were not material for the nine months ended October 31, 2025[37]. - The company had $156 million in direct investments in privately held companies as of October 31, 2025, down from $168 million as of January 31, 2025[41]. Stock-Based Compensation - Autodesk's stock-based compensation expense related to restricted stock units was $449 million for the nine months ended October 31, 2025, compared to $432 million for the same period in 2024[53]. - The fair value of shares vested during the nine months ended October 31, 2025, was $730 million, an increase from $634 million in the same period of 2024[52]. - Stock-based compensation expense related to performance stock units was $19 million for the three months ended October 31, 2025, compared to $22 million for the same period in 2024, and $58 million for the nine months ended October 31, 2025, compared to $36 million in 2024[58]. - Autodesk's stock-based compensation expense for the nine months ended October 31, 2025, totaled $607 million, compared to $500 million in 2024[61]. Debt and Financing - Autodesk entered into a new unsecured revolving loan facility under the 2025 Credit Agreement, providing for an aggregate principal amount of $1.5 billion, with an option to increase to $2 billion[78]. - The total principal outstanding for Autodesk's borrowings as of October 31, 2025, was $2.5 billion, with a fair value of $2.482 billion after accounting for unamortized debt discount and issuance costs[80]. - The expected future principal payments for all borrowings include $500 million due in 2028, $500 million in 2030, and $1.5 billion thereafter[83]. Tax and Income - Autodesk recorded an income tax expense of $125 million on pre-tax income of $468 million for the three months ended October 31, 2025, resulting in an effective tax rate differing from the U.S. federal statutory rate of 21%[67]. - Basic net income per share for the three months ended October 31, 2025, was $1.61, compared to $1.28 for the same period in 2024, reflecting a 25.8% increase[20]. - Autodesk's net income for the nine months ended October 31, 2025, was $152 million for the first quarter, $313 million for the second quarter, and $343 million for the third quarter[106]. Share Repurchase and Equity - During the three and nine months ended October 31, 2025, Autodesk repurchased 1 million and 3 million shares at average prices of $306.35 and $290.04 per share, respectively[106]. - As of October 31, 2024, Autodesk had $4.3 billion remaining for repurchase under the November 2022 repurchase program[108]. - The company has $2.81 billion and $5 billion remaining available for repurchase under its November 2022 and November 2024 stock repurchase programs, respectively[220]. Operational Changes and Investigations - Autodesk's restructuring plan initiated in fiscal 2026 aims to optimize its go-to-market organization and reallocate resources towards investments in cloud, platform, and artificial intelligence[95]. - The company faced a federal securities class action complaint filed in April 2024, alleging false and misleading statements, with the court granting a motion to dismiss in July 2025[104][105]. - Autodesk's internal investigation regarding free cash flow and non-GAAP operating margin practices was initiated in March 2024, with the SEC closing its matter in August 2025[103]. Other Financial Metrics - The company recorded total operating lease right-of-use assets impairment charges of $1 million and $12 million for the three and nine months ended October 31, 2025, respectively[85]. - Autodesk's total intangible assets amounted to $493 million as of October 31, 2025, down from $574 million as of January 31, 2025[70]. - Long-lived assets totaled $270 million as of October 31, 2025, down from $286 million as of January 31, 2025[117]. - The balance of assets recognized from costs to obtain a contract with a customer was $755 million as of October 31, 2025, up from $467 million as of January 31, 2025[76].

Market Overview - U.S. equities continued to rise, with major indexes extending a multi-day winning streak, driven by optimism for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December and dovish economic data releases [1][8] - The Nasdaq Composite led the gains, climbing 1%, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.9% each, marking their fourth consecutive day of gains [2][3] Economic Indicators - Expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December are high, with probabilities around 80-85%, supported by weaker-than-expected economic data [3][6] - Recent economic data included a decline in September retail sales, a softer Producer Price Index (PPI), decreased consumer confidence, and a drop in private payrolls [3] Sector Performance - Technology stocks were the primary drivers of the market rally, with the "Magnificent Seven" technology stocks significantly contributing to the overall market performance [4] - The Health Care Select Sector SPDR and Consumer Discretionary Select SPDR also performed well, gaining 2.3% and 2.1% respectively, while the housing sector benefited from a decline in Treasury yields [4] Corporate News and Stock Highlights - Apple shares rose about 1% as it is expected to surpass Samsung in global smartphone shipments for the first time in 14 years [7] - Dell Technologies surged 6-6.4% after announcing record orders for its AI servers, indicating strong demand in the AI infrastructure space [11] - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) rose approximately 3.5%, while Broadcom gained about 3% [11] - Nvidia experienced a significant drop of 2.6-3.9% on Tuesday but rebounded slightly on Wednesday, facing increased competition in the AI chip market [11] - Urban Outfitters soared between 10% and 12.1% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly results, while Workday sank 9% despite positive earnings [11] - Petco surged 19.8% after raising its fiscal year earnings outlook, and Robinhood Markets jumped 10.7% following plans to launch a futures and derivatives exchange [11]

Core Insights - Autodesk, Inc. reported strong third-quarter results for fiscal 2026, with revenue increasing 18% year-over-year to $1.85 billion, exceeding estimates of $1.81 billion [1] - The company achieved adjusted earnings of $2.67 per share, surpassing expectations of $2.50 [2] - Autodesk raised its full-year guidance, forecasting revenue between $7.15 billion and $7.17 billion, and adjusted earnings per share between $10.18 and $10.25, above prior estimates [3] Financial Performance - Total billings grew 21%, slightly ahead of consensus, indicating strong demand in the Architecture, Engineering, and Construction (AEC) sector [4] - Operating margin improved to 38%, driven by cost discipline and higher revenue, while adjusted EPS of $2.67 beat both analyst and market expectations [5] - Free cash flow reached $430 million, with the company repurchasing 1.2 million shares, indicating strong cash generation [7] Business Segments - AEC revenue exceeded analyst forecasts, with solid growth in AutoCAD/LT and Manufacturing segments, while the Media & Entertainment segment remained soft [6] - The Fusion 360 platform is gaining traction with strong adoption of new AI features [6] Geographic Performance - The U.S. and Europe experienced double-digit growth in constant currency, while Asia showed mid-teens growth [8] - Direct sales now account for 66% of total revenue as the new transaction model is implemented globally [8] Analyst Perspectives - Analysts from Rosenblatt and RBC Capital Markets maintained positive ratings on Autodesk, with price targets raised to $375 and $380, respectively [9] - Analysts noted broad-based momentum across the business and highlighted the effectiveness of the transaction model in enhancing customer relationships and operational efficiency [10][12] Future Outlook - For the fourth quarter, Autodesk expects revenue between $1.90 billion and $1.92 billion, with adjusted EPS between $2.59 and $2.67 [3] - Analysts project fiscal 2027 revenue growth of 9%, below consensus expectations of 11%, but see potential upside in early guidance [14]

Group 1: Company Overview - Autodesk Inc. (NASDAQ: ADSK) is a leading software company known for its design and engineering software, widely used in architecture, engineering, and construction industries [1] - Autodesk's stock price increased by 1.58%, or $4.58, trading between $287.11 and $297.67 in premarket trading [4] - The company has a market capitalization of approximately $62.99 billion, with a high of $329.09 and a low of $232.67 over the past year [4] Group 2: Market Context - The broader market context is favorable for Autodesk, with U.S. stock futures on an upward trend during a holiday-shortened week [2] - There is an 84.9% probability of a rate reduction in December, which could benefit companies like Autodesk by reducing borrowing costs and encouraging investment [3] - Major indices showed gains, indicating strong investor interest, with Autodesk's trading volume on the NASDAQ reaching 2,327,384 shares [5] Group 3: Analyst Outlook - UBS set a price target of $400 for Autodesk, suggesting a potential upside of 35.86% from its current trading price of $294.43 [1][6] - The positive momentum in the broader market and anticipation of a December interest rate cut could benefit Autodesk [6]

Market Overview - U.S. markets opened with modest gains, with Nasdaq Futures leading at +0.52%, followed by S&P 500 Futures at +0.33% and Dow at +0.22% [5][6] Economic Indicators - Chicago PMI for November reported at 36.3, significantly below the consensus of 44.3, marking the second lowest reading since the pandemic and the 24th consecutive month of decline [2] - U.S. jobless claims decreased to 216,000 for the week of Nov. 22, down from 222,000 the previous week and below expectations of 225,000, indicating potential stabilization in the job market [3] - Durable goods orders for September increased by 0.5%, surpassing the expected 0.3%, driven by a 30.9% rise in defense aircraft/parts, although this growth rate was slower than the 3% gain in August [4] Company Performance Winners - Petco Health saw a significant increase of 21.9% following strong earnings reported after the previous market close [5] - Other notable gainers included Autodesk (+7.7%), Bentley Systems (+6.7%), and Oracle (+6%) [5] Losers - Nutanix experienced a sharp decline of 11.3% after disappointing earnings results [7] - Zscaler fell by 7% due to conservative guidance, while Reynolds and Workday dropped by 6.3% and 6.2% respectively, with Workday providing a weak boost to its full-year guidance [7]

Core Insights - Autodesk Inc's stock increased by 4.7% to $308.35 following better-than-expected Q3 results, reporting earnings of $2.67 per share on revenue of $1.85 billion, driven by demand for cloud subscriptions and AI design tools [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock reached a high of $320, the highest level since early October, and remains in positive territory for the year despite paring some gains [2] - Options trading activity surged, with 6,350 calls and 3,673 puts exchanged, indicating seven times the average daily options volume [2] Group 2: Market Sentiment - Autodesk's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 1.44 is in the 95th percentile of its annual range, indicating unusually high bearish sentiment in the options market [3] - A premium-selling strategy may be advisable, as Autodesk's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is at 10 out of 100, suggesting the stock has experienced lower volatility than what options pricing indicates [3]

Group 1 - Top Wall Street analysts have revised their outlook on several prominent companies, indicating a shift in market sentiment [1] - The article suggests that investors should consider buying ADSK stock based on analysts' recommendations [1]