Core Insights - Autodesk (ADSK) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.49 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 14.8% [1] - Projected revenues for Autodesk are anticipated to be $1.8 billion, which represents a 15% increase from the same quarter last year [1] - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the past 30 days, indicating analysts' reassessment of their projections [1] Revenue Estimates - Analysts project 'Net Revenue- Maintenance' to be $8.95 million, indicating a decrease of 0.6% year-over-year [4] - 'Net Revenue- Other' is expected to reach $103.57 million, reflecting a decline of 0.4% from the prior year [4] - 'Net Revenue- Subscription' is forecasted at $1.69 billion, showing an increase of 16.2% year-over-year [4] - Total subscription and maintenance revenue is estimated to be $1.70 billion, marking a 16.1% increase from the previous year [5] Product Family Revenue Projections - 'Net Revenue by Product Family- M&E (Media and Entertainment)' is expected to be $102.45 million, indicating a year-over-year increase of 23.4% [5] - 'Net Revenue by Product Family- Other' is projected at $40.60 million, reflecting a significant increase of 31% year-over-year [6] - 'Net Revenue by Product Family- AECO (Architecture, Engineering, Construction and Operations)' is anticipated to reach $877.99 million, showing a 16.9% increase [6] - 'Net Revenue by Product Family- MFG (Manufacturing)' is estimated at $348.82 million, indicating a 13.6% increase from the prior year [7] - 'Net Revenue by Product Family- AutoCAD and AutoCAD LT' is expected to be $425.22 million, reflecting a 6.8% increase year-over-year [7] Billings and Market Performance - Analysts estimate that 'Billings' will reach $1.84 billion, compared to $1.54 billion reported in the same quarter last year [8] - Autodesk shares have decreased by 5.5% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's decline of 0.3% [8] - Autodesk holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it is expected to closely follow overall market performance in the near term [8]

Company Overview - Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) has a market cap of $63.8 billion and specializes in design, engineering, and digital content creation tools, serving various industries including architecture, construction, manufacturing, product design, and media/entertainment [1] Stock Performance - Over the past 52 weeks, ADSK stock has increased by 2.4%, underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which rose by 13.2% [2] - Year-to-date, ADSK shares are up 1.3%, lagging behind the S&P 500's 14.5% gain [2] - The stock has also underperformed compared to the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK), which returned 22.9% over the same period [3] Investor Sentiment and Challenges - Concerns around profitability, capital efficiency, and strategic uncertainty have contributed to Autodesk's stock lagging behind the market [4] - The company has faced margin pressure, slower-than-expected Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth, and high customer acquisition costs, raising questions about its operating efficiency [4] - Activist pressure from Starboard Value has also impacted investor sentiment, challenging Autodesk's spending discipline and governance [4] Earnings Expectations - For the fiscal year ending in January 2026, analysts expect Autodesk's EPS to grow by 17.8% year-over-year to $6.90 [5] - The company's earnings surprise history is mixed, with three beats and one miss in the last four quarters [5] Analyst Ratings - Among 26 analysts covering Autodesk, the consensus rating is a "Strong Buy," with 18 "Strong Buy" ratings, one "Moderate Buy," and seven "Holds" [5] - The current configuration shows a decrease in "Strong Buy" ratings from 19 two months ago [6] - RBC Capital analyst Matthew Hedberg reaffirmed a "Buy" rating on Autodesk, with a mean price target of $365.36, indicating a 17.7% premium to current price levels, and a Street-high price target of $393 suggesting a 30.3% potential upside [6]

Group 1 - Autodesk's stock has underperformed in recent years primarily due to multiple expansion from 2016 to 2021, although current growth is supported by a shift to direct billings [1] - Narweena, an asset management firm, focuses on identifying market dislocations caused by misunderstandings of long-term business prospects, aiming for excess risk-adjusted returns through secular growth opportunities in markets with entry barriers [1] - The research process at Narweena emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a high risk appetite and long-term investment horizon targeting deeply undervalued stocks [1] Group 2 - The aging population, low population growth, and stagnating productivity growth are expected to create new investment opportunities distinct from past trends, with some industries facing stagnation or secular decline potentially improving business performance due to reduced competition [1] - Conversely, other businesses may encounter rising costs and diseconomies of scale, while economies increasingly favor asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments over time [1] - A significant amount of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premia over time [1]

Group 1 - Autodesk's stock has underperformed in recent years primarily due to multiple expansion from 2016 to 2021, although current growth is supported by a shift to direct billings [1] - Narweena, an asset management firm, focuses on identifying market dislocations caused by misunderstandings of long-term business prospects, aiming for excess risk-adjusted returns through secular growth opportunities in markets with entry barriers [1] - The research process at Narweena emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a high risk appetite and long-term investment horizon targeting deeply undervalued stocks [1] Group 2 - The aging population, low population growth, and stagnating productivity growth are expected to create new investment opportunities distinct from past trends, with some industries facing stagnation or secular decline potentially improving business performance due to reduced competition [1] - Conversely, other businesses may encounter rising costs and diseconomies of scale, while economies increasingly favor asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments over time [1] - A significant amount of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premia over time [1]

Market Overview - The PCB Design Software Market was valued at USD 4.32 Billion in 2025E and is projected to reach USD 12.11 Billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 13.77% from 2026 to 2033 [1][13]. U.S. Market Insights - The U.S. PCB Design Software Market size was USD 1.19 Billion in 2025E and is expected to grow to USD 3.26 Billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 13.47% during 2026-2033 [3]. - Key drivers include strong R&D capabilities, rapid integration of cloud-based tools and AI, and the demand for fast, small electronics [3]. Segmentation Analysis By Component - In 2025, the Software segment led the market with a share of 72.80%, while the Service segment is the fastest-growing with a CAGR of 13.60% [4]. By Technology - High-end Software dominated the market in 2025 with a share of 46.50%, and the Mainstream Software segment is the fastest-growing with a CAGR of 14.1% [5]. By Deployment - On-premises solutions led the market in 2025 with a share of 58.70%, while the Cloud segment is expected to grow the fastest with a CAGR of 15.4% [6][7]. By Application - Computer & Consumer Electronics held the largest share of 34.60% in 2025, and Automotive Components is the fastest-growing segment with a CAGR of 15.80% [8]. Regional Insights - North America dominated the PCB Design Software Market in 2025E with over 38.20% revenue share, driven by advanced electronic design automation tools and investments in multilayer PCB technologies [9]. - The Asia Pacific region is expected to have the fastest-growing CAGR of 14.92%, attributed to rapid growth in electronics manufacturing and automation in PCB design processes [10]. Key Companies - Major players in the PCB Design Software market include Cadence Design Systems, Siemens EDA (Mentor Graphics), Altium Limited, Autodesk, Inc., and others [14]. Recent Developments - In May 2025, Cadence launched the Millennium M2000 Nvidia-GPU supercomputer, enhancing GPU-accelerated simulation performance for PCB and chip-level verification workflows [18]. - Siemens introduced Xpedition Standard, emphasizing AI features and cloud connectivity for faster design cycles [18].

Group 1 - Autodesk (ADSK) is nearing a key technical support level, attracting investor interest for potential buying opportunities, supported by strong fundamentals and steady demand for its design and engineering software [2][3] - The stock is currently trading within a support zone of $282.32 to $312.04, where it has historically rebounded, with an average peak return of 15.1% observed over the last 10 years [3] - Autodesk has shown consistent revenue growth of 13.8% over the last twelve months (LTM) and an average of 11.7% over the past three years, with a free cash flow margin of nearly 28.0% and an operating margin of 22.9% LTM [6] Group 2 - Autodesk's stock has experienced significant declines during major market downturns, including a 64% drop during the Dot-Com bubble and a nearly 77% decline during the Global Financial Crisis, as well as a 52% decline due to the inflation shock of 2022 [7] - The stock is currently trading at a price-to-earnings (PE) multiple of 60.7, indicating a high valuation relative to earnings [6] - Despite robust fundamentals, Autodesk remains vulnerable to sell-offs during periods of market turmoil, as well as declines triggered by earnings releases or business updates [8]

Core Insights - Bumble Inc. (BMBL) is currently viewed as a more attractive investment compared to Autodesk (ADSK) for those seeking undervalued stocks [1][3] Valuation Metrics - BMBL has a forward P/E ratio of 3.36, significantly lower than ADSK's forward P/E of 29.72 [5] - The PEG ratio for BMBL is 0.10, indicating strong expected earnings growth, while ADSK's PEG ratio is 1.82 [5] - BMBL's P/B ratio stands at 0.44, contrasting sharply with ADSK's P/B ratio of 23.13 [6] Investment Ratings - BMBL holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a stronger earnings outlook compared to ADSK, which has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3][6] - Based on valuation figures and earnings outlook, BMBL is rated with a Value grade of A, while ADSK has a Value grade of D [6]

Core Insights - The comparison between Intuit (INTU) and Autodesk (ADSK) indicates that INTU stock may present a more favorable investment opportunity due to its valuation relative to ADSK stock [3][7] - Both companies operate in the software sector, focusing on different markets, with INTU specializing in financial software and Autodesk in design and engineering tools [3][4] - Both companies share similarities such as strong subscription-based business models and a focus on AI-driven automation and cloud services, which are crucial for navigating current market challenges [4] Financial Metrics Comparison - INTU exhibits a more favorable Price to Operating Income (P/OpInc) ratio compared to Autodesk, suggesting better valuation [7] - Despite the favorable valuation, Autodesk shows greater revenue and operating income growth, which may indicate underlying strengths in its business model [7] - A year-over-year analysis of key metrics is essential to determine if Autodesk's stock is overpriced, with ongoing underperformance in revenue and operating income growth supporting the notion of overvaluation [9][10] Investment Strategy Insights - The Trefis High Quality Portfolio employs a multi-factor approach to assess investments, aiming to mitigate stock-specific risks while providing potential upside [8][10] - The performance of the Trefis HQ Portfolio has outperformed the S&P, achieving returns exceeding 105% since its inception, highlighting the effectiveness of diversified investment strategies [10]

Core Insights - Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) is a leading provider of 3D design, engineering, and entertainment technology solutions, with a market cap of $66.8 billion [1] - The company is expected to announce its fiscal third-quarter earnings for 2026 soon, with analysts predicting a profit of $1.78 per share, reflecting a 17.9% increase from the previous year [2] - For the full fiscal year, analysts anticipate an EPS of $6.90, which is a 17.8% increase from $5.86 in fiscal 2025, and an expected rise to $8.14 in fiscal 2027 [3] Performance Metrics - ADSK stock has underperformed compared to the S&P 500 Index, which gained 18.4% over the past 52 weeks, while ADSK shares increased by 9.6% [4] - The stock also lagged behind the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund, which saw a 29.8% gain during the same period [4] Recent Financial Results - On August 28, ADSK reported Q2 results, with shares closing up more than 9% in the following trading session; adjusted EPS was $2.62, exceeding Wall Street's expectation of $2.44 [5] - The company's revenue for Q2 was $1.8 billion, surpassing forecasts of $1.7 billion, and it expects full-year adjusted EPS between $9.80 and $9.98, with revenue projected between $7 billion and $7.1 billion [5] Analyst Ratings - The consensus opinion on ADSK stock is bullish, with a "Strong Buy" rating from 19 out of 27 analysts; one analyst suggests a "Moderate Buy," and seven recommend a "Hold" [6] - The average analyst price target for ADSK is $364.96, indicating a potential upside of 16.4% from current levels [6]

Group 1: Company Comparison - Intuit has a lower Price to Operating Income (P/OpInc) valuation compared to Autodesk, yet it outperforms Autodesk in revenue and operating income growth [1][3] - The disparity between Intuit's valuation and performance suggests that investing in Intuit (INTU) may be more advantageous than Autodesk (ADSK) [3] - Autodesk operates in a more volatile design and engineering software sector, while Intuit benefits from a stable demand in the financial software market, which is less affected by economic cycles [3] Group 2: Investment Strategy - A diversified investment strategy, such as the Trefis High Quality Portfolio, is recommended to mitigate risks associated with investing in single stocks [4][6] - The Trefis High Quality Portfolio includes a mix of asset classes, aiming for better returns and protection against market downturns [4] - The portfolio has outperformed the S&P and achieved returns exceeding 105% since its launch, indicating its effectiveness [9] Group 3: Market Trends and Analysis - Evaluating Autodesk's stock price in relation to its performance metrics over the past year can provide insights into whether its current valuation is justified [8] - A significant reversal in Autodesk's revenue and operating income growth trends could indicate that the current stock price discrepancy may soon be resolved [8] - Ongoing underperformance in Autodesk's financial metrics would support the conclusion that its stock is overpriced relative to competitors [8]