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Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) Special Call (Transcript)
2024-09-30 18:33
Summary of Affirm Holdings, Inc. Special Call on September 30, 2024 Company Overview - **Company**: Affirm Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: AFRM) - **Participants**: Michael Linford (COO & CFO) Key Points Industry Context - Affirm operates in the Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) sector, which has seen significant growth and adoption among consumers, particularly younger demographics like Gen Z [2][21]. Financial Performance - Affirm reported a **48% year-over-year revenue growth** in Q4, indicating strong business performance [2][12]. - The company is on track to achieve **GAAP profitability by the end of the fiscal year**, driven by strong top-line growth and improved operating margins [8][10]. Operational Insights - Affirm's unit economics are strong, with revenue less transaction costs exceeding the long-term target range of **3% to 4%** [7]. - The company plans to control operating expenses while continuing to grow revenue, with a significant reduction in amortization costs expected from a major enterprise partner [10]. Strategic Partnerships - Affirm has established partnerships with major enterprises like **Amazon, Shopify, and Apple**, which are crucial for expanding consumer reach and enhancing the checkout experience [11][36]. - The partnership with Apple is live, allowing iPhone users to utilize Affirm's services through Apple Pay, which is expected to significantly increase consumer engagement [36]. Market Positioning - Affirm differentiates itself from competitors like Klarna and Afterpay by offering a broader range of payment terms and a transparent fee structure, which appeals to both consumers and merchants [25][27]. - The company emphasizes its commitment to responsible credit practices, which is vital for maintaining consumer trust and managing credit risk [19][22]. Future Outlook - Affirm is preparing for international expansion, with plans to launch in the **U.K.** later this year, aiming to replicate its U.S. success in new markets [39]. - The company is focused on building a payments network that adds value to both consumers and merchants, with a long-term vision of becoming a ubiquitous payment option alongside traditional credit networks [46][47]. Technological Integration - Affirm is leveraging **AI and machine learning** to enhance its predictive capabilities and improve decision-making processes, although it maintains a cautious approach to ensure compliance and transparency [30][32]. Consumer Trends - The shift in consumer preferences towards transparent financial products is driving Affirm's growth, particularly among younger consumers who are seeking alternatives to traditional credit cards [22][23]. Regulatory Considerations - Entering new markets involves navigating complex regulatory frameworks, which Affirm is prepared to address as it expands internationally [42][43]. Additional Insights - The company acknowledges the competitive landscape in the BNPL space, which is expected to drive innovation and improve service offerings [28][29]. - Affirm's focus on maintaining high credit discipline is crucial for managing costs and ensuring sustainable growth [19]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and strategic directions discussed during the call, highlighting Affirm's robust growth trajectory and its commitment to innovation and consumer-centric financial solutions.
Watch These 3 Former Short-Squeeze Stocks for a Big Rally
MarketBeat· 2024-09-30 11:00
In recent years, high short-interest stocks have become the playground for retail traders and investors, leading to massive rallies and squeezes. These speculative names, driven by a combination of social media buzz and perceived market inefficiencies, showcase extreme volatility, providing traders with an opportunity to profit from short squeezes. As the market hovers around all-time highs following the Federal Reserve's 50bps rate cut, capital inflows, and bullish sentiment might encourage investors to ta ...
Best Momentum Stocks to Buy for September 25th
ZACKS· 2024-09-25 15:02
Here are three stocks with buy rank and strong momentum characteristics for investors to consider today, September 25th:Orange County Bancorp, Inc. (OBT) : This commercial and consumer banking company has a Zacks Rank #1 and witnessed the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings increasing 9.9% over the last 60 days.Orange County’s shares gained 21.6% over the last three months compared with the S&P 500’s advance of 5%. The company possesses a Momentum Score of A.Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) ...
New Strong Buy Stocks for September 25th
ZACKS· 2024-09-25 11:36
Core Insights - Five stocks have been added to the Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) List, indicating strong potential for investment [1] Company Summaries - **SK Telecom Co., Ltd (SKM)**: The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has increased by 7.5% over the last 60 days [1] - **Orange County Bancorp, Inc. (OBT)**: The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has increased by 9.9% over the last 60 days [1] - **Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM)**: The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has increased significantly by 43.1% over the last 60 days [1] - **Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK)**: The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has increased by 22% over the last 60 days [1] - **AngloGold Ashanti Limited (AU)**: The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has increased by 12.7% over the last 60 days [1]
Should You Buy Affirm Stock While It's Below $49?
The Motley Fool· 2024-09-21 09:45
Core Viewpoint - Affirm is considered an undervalued growth opportunity despite facing macroeconomic and competitive challenges, with its stock currently trading below its IPO price [1] Group 1: Company Growth Metrics - Affirm's BNPL platform has seen significant growth in active merchants, active consumers, transactions per active consumer, GMV, and revenue from FY 2021 to FY 2022, driven by pandemic-related online shopping and stimulus checks [2][4] - In FY 2023, growth slowed significantly across all metrics due to inflation impacting consumer spending, with active merchants growing only 8% and revenue growth dropping to 18% [4][5] - However, in FY 2024, Affirm's growth metrics began to recover, with GMV and revenue growth accelerating again, driven by new merchant deals and the adoption of the Affirm Card [5] Group 2: Financial Performance - Affirm's operating margin improved significantly in FY 2024, narrowing losses to $518 million compared to $985 million in FY 2023, with expectations of turning positive by Q4 FY 2025 [7] - The company has maintained low delinquency rates on its loans, with only 2.4% of monthly installment loans delinquent by over 30 days at the end of FY 2024, indicating a healthy loan portfolio [8] Group 3: Market Position and Future Outlook - Analysts project Affirm's revenue to grow by 29% in FY 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24% expected from FY 2024 to FY 2027, suggesting a strong future outlook [5] - Affirm's enterprise value is currently $18.6 billion, which is considered reasonable relative to its growth prospects, especially compared to its previous high valuation of 37 times forward sales [5]
Affirm Holdings (AFRM) is a Great Momentum Stock: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2024-09-20 17:06
Momentum investing is all about the idea of following a stock's recent trend, which can be in either direction. In the 'long' context, investors will essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." And for investors following this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving in that direction. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades.Whil ...
Affirm Holdings (AFRM) Upgraded to Strong Buy: Here's Why
ZACKS· 2024-09-20 17:00
Affirm Holdings (AFRM) could be a solid choice for investors given its recent upgrade to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). This upgrade is essentially a reflection of an upward trend in earnings estimates -- one of the most powerful forces impacting stock prices.The sole determinant of the Zacks rating is a company's changing earnings picture. The Zacks Consensus Estimate -- the consensus of EPS estimates from the sell-side analysts covering the stock -- for the current and following years is tracked by the sys ...
Affirm Holdings (AFRM) Increases Yet Falls Behind Market: What Investors Need to Know
ZACKS· 2024-09-19 22:56
In the latest trading session, Affirm Holdings (AFRM) closed at $44.98, marking a +1.58% move from the previous day. The stock lagged the S&P 500's daily gain of 1.7%. Elsewhere, the Dow gained 1.26%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq added 2.51%.Heading into today, shares of the operator of digital commerce platform had gained 48.84% over the past month, outpacing the Business Services sector's gain of 6.45% and the S&P 500's gain of 1.27% in that time.The investment community will be closely monitoring the perf ...
Affirm Unlocks BNPL Services for Apple Pay Users, Investors Rejoice
ZACKS· 2024-09-17 15:55
Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) recently announced that its payment services are now available to Apple Pay users in the United States on the iPhone and iPad. Investors have been eagerly waiting for this news since June. This integration will allow eligible U.S. users to split their purchases into biweekly or monthly payments, leveraging Affirm's buy now, pay later (BNPL) services.This move provides Apple Pay users the ability to check out online or in-app with flexible payment plans, including 0% APR options ...
Affirm Holdings Is A Buy (Technical Analysis)
Seeking Alpha· 2024-09-17 03:24
blackred Affirm Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:AFRM) is a company in the financial sector of the economy operating in the transaction and payment processing services industry. It is in the same industry as PayPal Holdings (PYPL) which I wrote about last week. Like the PYPL article, AFRM looks bullish to me. In this article, I will outline my investment thesis using the technical analysis elements of price action, momentum, volume, and relative strength. I also offer a price target and two stop losses in case my ...