Core Viewpoint - UBS maintains a "neutral" rating on Affirm Holdings, citing strong performance in key metrics such as Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) and Revenue as a Percentage of GMV (RLTC), despite potential risks [1][4] Group 1: Financial Performance - Affirm's GMV is expected to grow over 26% in fiscal year 2026, a significant recovery from a decline of 38% in fiscal year 2025 [1] - The company's RLTC and adjusted operating income exceeded market expectations, indicating robust business performance [1] - The quarter saw a 93% year-over-year increase in 0% interest loans, driven by higher conversion rates observed by merchants [1] Group 2: Partnerships and Market Position - The top five merchant/platform partners contributed approximately 46% of GMV, with this segment growing by 41% year-over-year [1] - Affirm maintains strong partnerships with major e-commerce platforms and retailers, enhancing its market position [3] - The company is well-positioned in the Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) sector due to its diversified and flexible business model [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company anticipates a 12% slowdown in GMV growth guidance due to the termination of a partnership with a major client, which contributed about 5% of total GMV in the second half of 2024 [2] - Excluding the impact of this client loss, the slowdown in growth guidance would narrow to approximately 8% [2] - Affirm's RLTC is expected to remain around 4% in fiscal year 2026, supported by favorable credit loss provisions and funding costs [2] Group 4: Risks and Challenges - The company faces concentration risk, with Amazon and Shopify accounting for over 35% of GMV [4] - Competition from larger BNPL service providers poses a threat to Affirm's market share [4] - High consumer credit risk exposure and elevated valuation levels necessitate sustained compound growth to support current valuation [4]

Group 1: Hong Kong Stocks Performance - BYD Electronics (00285) rose over 7%, reporting a nearly 14% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, with positive progress in AI data center business [1] - Beihai Kangcheng-B (01228) surged over 11%, achieving profitability in the first half of the year and recently forming a strategic partnership with Baiyang Pharmaceutical [1] - MicroPort Medical (00853) increased over 11%, with a reported loss of $46.602 million for the first half of 2025, a 51.9% reduction in loss year-on-year [1] - Bank of China Hong Kong (02388) rose over 6%, reporting a net profit of HKD 22.12 billion for the first half of 2025, with an increase in net trading income year-on-year [1] - UBTECH (09880) increased over 4%, announcing a strategic partnership agreement worth $1 billion with international investment firm Infini Capital [1] - Gold stocks performed well, with China Silver Group (00815) up over 8%, Zhaojin Mining (01818) up over 7%, Shandong Gold (01787) up over 6%, Chifeng Jilong Gold (06693) up over 6%, and Zijin Mining (02899) up over 6%, driven by rising gold prices due to increased interest rate cut expectations [1] Group 2: Chinese Companies' Financial Results - China Communications Construction (01800) fell over 5%, reporting a 16.9% year-on-year decrease in net profit for the first half of 2025 and not declaring an interim dividend [2] - Evergrande Property (06666) declined over 3%, with a 5.6% year-on-year drop in net profit for the first half of the year, with management expressing pessimism about economic benefits from Evergrande Group [2] - Zoomlion Heavy Industry (01157) rose over 2%, reporting a more than 20% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, with institutions optimistic about export growth in the second half [2] - Midea Group (00300) increased over 2%, reporting a 25.04% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of 2025 and proposing an interim dividend of HKD 5 per 10 shares [2] Group 3: US Stocks Performance - Autodesk (ADSK.US) rose 9.09%, reporting a 17% year-on-year revenue increase for the second fiscal quarter and raising its full-year revenue and adjusted EPS guidance [3] - Gap (GAP.US) increased 1.52%, with revenue slightly below market expectations for the second fiscal quarter, and management indicated that tariffs may pressure annual gross margins [3] - Marvell Technology (MRVL.US) fell 18.60%, reporting record revenue of $2.01 billion for the second quarter, a 58% year-on-year increase, but provided a Q3 revenue guidance slightly below expectations [3] - Alibaba (BABA.US) surged 12.90%, with a market value increase of $36.7 billion overnight, reporting an 18% year-on-year decline in Non-GAAP net profit, but strong resilience in core business [3] - Ambarella (AMBA.US) rose 16.78%, providing strong guidance for Q3 revenue, expected to be between $100 million and $108 million, reflecting continued growth in edge AI demand [3] - IREN Ltd (IREN.US) increased 14.93%, exceeding expectations in its fourth-quarter earnings report and announcing a priority partnership with NVIDIA [3] Group 4: Other Notable Stocks - Dell Technologies (DELL.US) fell 8.88%, reporting that its infrastructure division's operating profit margin was below expectations [4] - Affirm Holdings (AFRM.US) rose 10.59%, reporting better-than-expected revenue and profit for the fourth fiscal quarter [4] - TryHard Holdings (THH.US) declined 9.80%, issuing 1.5 million shares at $4 each, at the lower end of the pricing range [5] - GrowHub (TGHL.US) increased 1.48%, issuing 3.8 million shares at $4 each, also at the lower end of the pre-set pricing range [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) is positioned well in the rapidly growing Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) market, benefiting from a high coverage rate of US e-commerce sales [1] - The analyst has a background in financial media and aims to identify undervalued companies, leveraging experience in financial markets and institutions for thorough research and analysis [1]

美版"花呗" affirm holdings 公布第四财季财报，营收和利润超出预期，周五股价飙升10.59%。 数据显示，该公司Q4营收同比增长33%至8.76亿美元，好于市场预期的8.37亿美元;净利润为 6920万美元，上年同期则亏损4510万美元;每股收益为20美分，也好于市场预期的11美分。 第四财季商品交易总额(GMV)同比增长43%，达到104亿美元。 该公司在致股东的信中表示： "这种持续的执行使得Affirm在2025财年第四季度实现了营业利润， 完全符合我们一年前所承诺的时间表。" Affirm预计2026财年第一季度营收将在8.55亿美元至8.85亿美元之间，而商品交易总额将在101 亿美元至104亿美元之间。 截至周五美股收盘，Affirm股价年内已上涨超40%，超过了 纳斯达克 指数12%的涨幅。 Affirm于2021年上市，目前在电子商务领域面临着日益激烈的竞争。该公司与 亚马逊 和 shopify 建立了合作关系，但另一个合作伙伴 沃尔玛 最近转向了竞争对手Klarna，后者预计 将很快上市。 去年，Affirm还宣布与 苹果 达成协议。 德意志银行宣布将美国金融科技公司Affi ...

The company delivered a fourth quarter that crushed analyst estimates.Affirm Holdings (AFRM 10.60%), a prominent stock in the buy now, pay later niche of the finance industry, delivered its latest set of quarterly earnings after market close Thursday. The market reacted very positively to them the following day, rewarding the company with a rally that saw the stock rise by almost 11% in value. That provided a night-and-day contrast to the uninspiring S&P 500 (^GSPC -0.64%), which slumped by 0.6% that tradin ...

Core Insights - Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) reported a fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of 20 cents, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 11 cents and improving from a loss of 14 cents per share in the prior-year quarter [1][9] - Total revenues increased by 33% year over year to $876.4 million, surpassing management's expectations of $815-$845 million and beating the consensus mark by 4.4% [1][2] Financial Performance - Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) reached $10.4 billion, a 43% year-over-year increase, exceeding management's expected range of $9.4-$9.7 billion and the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.5 billion [3][9] - Total transactions surged by 51.8% year over year to 37.5 million, driven by repeat customer transactions, surpassing the consensus mark of 30.3 million [4][9] - Interest income rose by 24% year over year to $419.1 million, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $416.1 million [4] - Merchant network revenues improved by 32.3% year over year to $239.5 million, exceeding the consensus mark of $235 million [5] Operating Expenses and Income - Total operating expenses increased by 11.7% year over year to $818.4 million, influenced by higher costs related to loan purchase commitments, funding, processing, and technology [6] - Adjusted operating income totaled $237 million, a 58.2% year-over-year increase, with an adjusted operating margin improving by 430 basis points to 27%, surpassing management's estimated range of 23-25% [7] Financial Position - As of June 30, 2025, Affirm had cash and cash equivalents of $1.4 billion, a 33.7% increase from the fiscal 2024-end figure [8] - Total assets rose by 17.2% to $11.2 billion, while funding debt decreased by 11.7% to $1.6 billion [8] Future Guidance - For the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Affirm forecasts GMV in the range of $10.1-$10.4 billion and revenues between $855-$885 million [11] - For fiscal year 2026, management anticipates GMV to exceed $46 billion, with revenues expected to be 8.4% of GMV and an adjusted operating margin of more than 26.1% [12]

Core Viewpoint - Affirm Holdings Inc. has reported strong financial results, with earnings and revenue exceeding market expectations, indicating a potential shift in the fintech industry's trajectory [1][2]. Financial Performance - Affirm reported fourth-quarter earnings of $0.20 per share, doubling the Street estimate of $0.10, and quarterly revenue reached $876.41 million, surpassing expectations of $837.02 million [3]. - For the first quarter, Affirm projects revenue between $855 million and $885 million, slightly above the estimate of $860.55 million, and forecasts fiscal 2026 revenue at $3.86 billion, significantly higher than the consensus of $3.18 billion [4]. Growth Metrics - The company achieved record GMV growth, with a year-over-year increase of over 40% for the first time since the pandemic, and total notional volume reached its highest level on record [5]. - Affirm expanded its merchant network to 377,000 partners, a 24% increase year-over-year, and boosted transaction frequency by 20% [3]. Guidance and Projections - For fiscal 2026, Affirm guided GMV above $46 billion, slightly ahead of the Street's estimate of $45.8 billion, with a take rate of approximately 8.4% [6]. - Management expects a Revenue Less Transaction Costs (RLTC) margin of 4.0%, an adjusted operating margin above 26.1%, and a GAAP operating margin above 6.0% for fiscal 2026 [7]. Customer Acquisition and Credit Trends - There was a 66% year-over-year increase in 0% APR loans to $3 billion, which are crucial for acquiring new customers, as half of first-time users start with a 0% product [8]. - Credit trends remain solid, with 30+ day delinquencies down 18 basis points year-over-year, indicating a favorable shift towards low-risk, interest-free products [8]. Stock Performance - Affirm Holdings shares rose by 11.41% to $89.12, nearing a new 52-week high [11].

Affirm swung to a quarterly profit with better-than-estimated results, as the buy now, pay later (BNPL) provider posted surging gross merchandise volume. https://t.co/e0Z6rO47Wx ...

Core Insights - Affirm Holdings, Inc. reported a record-breaking fourth quarter for fiscal 2025, with stock surging significantly [1] - The company achieved earnings of 20 cents per share, nearly double analysts' expectations, and quarterly revenue increased by 33% year-over-year to $876 million, exceeding forecasts [2] Company Performance - CEO Max Levchin highlighted the exceptional growth, stating that the company set new records across most metrics, which is atypical for the fourth quarter [3] - A key factor in Affirm's success is the high rate of repeat customers, which constituted 95% of transactions in the fourth quarter [4] - The company maintains a strong focus on credit performance, with regular updates to the executive team regarding credit metrics [5] Market Expansion - Affirm is expanding into new markets using a reusable technology platform and global partnerships, with a pilot program for its Shopify model in the U.K. [6] - The company anticipates further international growth, particularly in Europe [6] - At the time of publication, Affirm's stock price increased by 13.01% to $90.40 [6]

Core Insights - Affirm Holdings (AFRM.US) experienced a significant increase of over 16%, reaching a three-and-a-half-year high of $93.33 following the release of its Q4 earnings report [1] Financial Performance - Q4 revenue grew by 33% year-over-year to $876 million, surpassing market expectations of $837 million [1] - The company reported a net profit of $69.2 million, a turnaround from a loss of $45.1 million in the same quarter last year [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) were 20 cents, exceeding market expectations of 11 cents [1] Transaction Metrics - The total gross merchandise volume (GMV) for Q4 increased by 43% year-over-year, reaching $10.4 billion [1] Strategic Outlook - The company stated in its shareholder letter that its consistent execution has led to achieving operating profit in Q4 of fiscal year 2025, aligning with the timeline promised a year ago [1]