Group 1 - Affirm is applying for a bank charter in Nevada to establish Affirm Bank, which will be a Nevada-chartered industrial loan company [9] - The establishment of a banking subsidiary is expected to strengthen and diversify Affirm's platform, allowing the company to introduce new financial products and services over time [4][3] - Affirm currently offers services like a debit card and buy now, pay later (BNPL) financing, and collaborates with banks such as Cross River Bank and Celtic Bank for its lending services [5] Group 2 - The move into banking is part of a broader trend among fintech companies, with competitors like Klarna and PayPal also seeking to enter the banking space [6][7] - Klarna has positioned itself as a "global digital bank" and has introduced deposit accounts and its own debit card [6] - The application for a bank charter by Affirm reflects a growing interest among BNPL firms to expand their service offerings beyond traditional lending [3][9]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. financial technology sector is poised for growth as President Trump's focus shifts to affordability, potentially benefiting fintech companies over traditional lenders [1][2]. Fintech Sector Opportunities - Companies like Affirm Holdings Inc, SoFi Technologies Inc, and Block Inc are well-positioned to capitalize on the affordability trend, according to Citigroup [3]. - Other potential beneficiaries include Toast Inc and Shopify Inc, which are also highlighted for their consumer-friendly services [3]. Traditional Lenders' Response - Traditional lenders initially experienced a rally following Trump's return to the White House, anticipating a more lenient regulatory environment. However, the renewed focus on affordability may shift investor attention towards fintech challengers [4]. Fintech Growth Metrics - Block reported over $200 billion in global lending through its credit products, indicating significant growth in the fintech sector [5]. - SoFi announced a $1.5 billion fundraising plan aimed at enhancing its capital position and supporting future growth [5]. Mixed Outlook on Specific Companies - Kerrisdale has expressed concerns about Affirm, labeling it a "Buy Now, Cry Later" story, suggesting that its rapid growth may reflect underlying risks similar to past subprime lending failures [6]. - Affirm's growth of over 30% in gross merchandise volume since 2022 is noted, but concerns about weakening credit quality due to high-interest rate lending are raised [6]. Reactions to Affordability Initiatives - Trump's affordability initiatives, including blocking institutional investors from acquiring single-family homes, have received mixed reactions, with some praising the efforts while others warn of potential market instability [7]. - The proposed nationwide 10% cap on credit card interest rates could limit access to credit, potentially hindering consumers' ability to build credit and pushing them towards less regulated options [8]. Price Performance - Over the past year, SoFi and Affirm Holdings saw stock price increases of 48.32% and 29.05%, respectively, while Block's stock declined by 25.64% [9].

Core Insights - Affirm has partnered with Esusu to allow renters to pay their rent in two installments, providing a flexible payment option for managing monthly expenses [1][2] - The program will feature 0% interest and no late fees, currently in a pilot phase without a confirmed launch date [2] - Esusu's platform utilizes rental data to build credit and enhance financial stability, covering 5 million units and reaching 12 million people, processing $100 billion in annual gross lease volume [3] Company Developments - Esusu recently raised $50 million in a Series C funding round, which will be used to scale its payment method, Esusu Pay [4] - BLDG Partners, a real estate operator collaborating with Esusu, noted that the offering provides flexibility to residents, reducing financial strain [5] - Esusu has also partnered with Zillow to launch CreditClimb, a tool that allows renters to build credit through rent payments [5] Market Trends - Affirm reported a 30% increase in its merchant count, reaching 419,000, indicating strong demand for 0% installment payment options among various vendors [6]

Affirm Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:AFRM) stock has been ripping higher, returning investors about 30% over the past year. Analysts have price targets suggesting at least 30-40% upside, and retail optimism is building — but Kerrisdale Capital says the entire rally is built on a familiar and dangerous illusion.Track AFRM stock here.In a sharply worded short report, Kerrisdale branded Affirm a "Buy Now, Cry Later" story, arguing the BNPL leader is following the same subprime credit playbook that has burned lenders fo ...

Core Insights - Affirm is piloting a program to help renters split their monthly rent into two equal payments every two weeks at 0% APR, in partnership with Esusu [1][3] - The program aims to provide a flexible option for managing housing expenses, aligning payments with biweekly paychecks [3] - Affirm underwrites each application individually, ensuring that only those who can responsibly afford repayments are approved [5] Group 1: Program Details - The pilot program allows renters to make payments without hidden fees, late fees, or compounding interest [1] - Esusu assists renters in building credit by reporting on-time rent payments to major credit bureaus [2] - The official rollout date of the pilot program has not been confirmed as it is still in early stages [8] Group 2: Industry Perspectives - Analysts suggest that this program could be beneficial for those on tight budgets, but caution that it is too early for a definitive assessment [8] - Concerns have been raised about the potential risks associated with "buy now, pay later" (BNPL) services, particularly if consumers manage multiple loans simultaneously [11] - The payment method is linked to a debit card or checking account, emphasizing the importance of having sufficient funds to cover payments [12]

Core Viewpoint - The shift towards buy-now, pay-later (BNPL) options among younger consumers presents a significant opportunity for companies like Affirm, which is well-positioned to benefit from this trend [1][4]. Industry Overview - BNPL has gained immense popularity, transforming short-term credit into a convenient checkout option on e-commerce platforms and digital wallets [2]. - Approximately 90 million Americans utilized BNPL services last year, with an average monthly spend per user reaching $244 [3]. Company Positioning - Affirm, a leading BNPL operator, allows consumers to spread payments over time through short-term installment loans, primarily earning fees from merchants rather than charging interest [5][6]. - The average order value for Affirm's short-term products is $100, with funding available for purchases ranging from $35 to $1,000 [6]. Financial Performance - Affirm's gross merchandise volume (GMV) surged from $20.2 billion to $36.7 billion, marking a 38% increase last year [10]. - The company has reduced its operating loss from $1.2 billion in 2023 to $87 million last year, achieving its first profitable quarter on a GAAP basis with an operating income of $63.7 million [15]. Strategic Partnerships - Affirm has established partnerships with major e-commerce platforms like Amazon and Shopify, leading to a 70% increase in total partner volume over the last year [11]. Future Projections - The company projects a GMV of $47.5 billion for its 2026 fiscal year, with anticipated operating margins of 7.5% [16].

Core Viewpoint - Affirm Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:AFRM) is positioned to benefit from recent market changes, particularly in the Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) sector, as banks tighten lending criteria and consumers seek alternative financing options [2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Affirm Holdings, Inc. is a financial technology company primarily known for its Buy Now, Pay Later services [2]. - The stock has experienced a decline of 2.9% year-to-date [2]. Group 2: Market Context - Significant volatility in payments and financial technology stocks occurred in January following President Trump's suggestion of a 10% APR cap for credit cards [2]. - Mizuho noted that BNPL companies like Affirm could benefit from the tightening of bank lending criteria [2]. Group 3: Analyst Insights - Wolfe Research initiated coverage of Affirm in December, assigning a Peer Perform rating with a price target range of $72 to $82, emphasizing the company's growth in the 0% APR loan market [2]. - Jim Cramer has frequently discussed Affirm, praising its performance and indicating that it would benefit from the recent market changes, noting a four-point increase in stock price following Trump's remarks [2].

Core Insights - Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) has upgraded its credit risk evaluation by incorporating real-time financial signals into its underwriting process, enhancing the accuracy of credit assessments [1][9] - The new method is currently available for Affirm Card users and will soon be accessible to a broader audience who opt to link their banking data [2] - This approach allows Affirm to assess creditworthiness based on current financial health rather than outdated credit histories, potentially increasing consumer purchasing power [4] Group 1: Affirm's New Underwriting Process - Affirm's upgraded underwriting now includes real-time bank account balances and cash flow trends, moving away from static credit reports [1][9] - The new system aligns credit decisions with real-life financial situations, improving risk assessment and promoting responsible lending [3] - Early results indicate that this richer view of consumer finances can significantly enhance purchasing power [4] Group 2: Market Position and Performance - The upgrade is expected to improve Affirm's credit quality by reducing default risk and expanding its consumer base, leading to increased approvals and revenue growth [5] - Affirm's Gross Merchandise Value rose 42% year over year in Q1 of fiscal 2026, reaching $10.8 billion [5] - Affirm's shares have increased by 25.2% over the past year, outperforming the broader industry and the S&P 500 Index [7] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Competitors like PayPal and Block, Inc. are also expanding their BNPL services, with PayPal's total payment volume increasing by 8% to $458.1 billion and Block's BNPL gross merchandise volume climbing 17% to $9.7 billion [6] - The competition in the digital consumer lending space is intensifying, highlighting the need for innovative approaches like Affirm's [6] Group 4: Valuation and Earnings Estimates - Affirm's forward price-to-earnings ratio stands at 55.42X, significantly higher than the industry average of 31.72X, indicating a premium valuation [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts a 560% surge in Affirm's fiscal 2026 earnings year over year, followed by a 56.8% increase in the subsequent year [11]

Core Viewpoint - Affirm Holdings Inc's stock is experiencing volatility in response to President Trump's proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10%, which has implications for the consumer credit market [2][3]. Group 1: Market Reaction and Implications - The proposed cap on credit card rates could disrupt traditional credit issuers, potentially benefiting Affirm by positioning it as a consumer-friendly alternative to revolving credit [3]. - Following the initial rise in stock price due to the proposal, Affirm's shares have declined as the market assesses the long-term effects of the policy change [2][3]. Group 2: Technical Indicators - Affirm's stock is trading 0.2% above its 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and 0.3% above its 100-day SMA, indicating a stable short-term trend [4]. - Over the past year, shares have increased by 38.89%, reflecting strength in the longer-term trend [4]. Group 3: Analyst Predictions and Valuation - Analysts predict a significant earnings surge, with the next earnings report scheduled for February 5 [6]. - The stock carries a Buy Rating with a consensus price target of $84.56, supported by an expected earnings growth of 165% [7]. - Affirm's valuation shows a P/E ratio of 110.7x, indicating a premium valuation despite strong growth expectations [9]. Group 4: Benzinga Edge Rankings - Affirm is classified as a "High-Flyer" with strong momentum (score: 80) and exceptional growth potential (score: 98), but a low value score (17) suggests it is priced for perfection [8]. Group 5: Key Price Levels and Estimates - Key resistance for the stock is at $79, while key support is at $65.50 [9]. - EPS estimate is 61 cents, up from 23 cents year-over-year, and revenue estimate is $1.06 billion, up from $866.38 million year-over-year [9]. Group 6: ETF Exposure - Affirm has significant weight in various ETFs, meaning substantial inflows or outflows could lead to automatic buying or selling of the stock [11].

Core Insights - Affirm Holdings, Inc. has become a leading name in the Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) sector in the United States, establishing significant credibility despite skepticism surrounding the business model [1] Company Overview - Affirm is recognized for its role in the BNPL market, which allows consumers to make purchases and pay for them over time, a model that has gained traction in recent years [1] Market Sentiment - There remains a level of skepticism regarding the sustainability and viability of BNPL business models, yet Affirm has managed to build a reputation that may mitigate some of these concerns [1]