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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals: Q3 Earnings Review - A Sensational Year Reaches Its Peak
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-31 19:58
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of staying updated on stocks within the biotech, pharma, and healthcare sectors, highlighting key trends and catalysts that influence market valuations [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - The biotech, pharma, and healthcare industries are experiencing significant movements, necessitating investors to track developments closely [1] - The Haggerston BioHealth investing group provides insights and forecasts related to product sales and financial performance for major pharmaceutical companies [1] Group 2: Analyst Background - Edmund Ingham, a biotech consultant with over five years of experience, has compiled detailed reports on more than 1,000 companies in the biotech and healthcare sectors [1] - The investing group led by Ingham caters to both novice and experienced investors, offering buy and sell ratings along with market analysis [1]
ALNY Q3 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates on Higher Amvuttra Sales
ZACKS· 2025-10-31 16:20
Core Insights - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals reported Q3 2025 earnings of $2.90 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.67, primarily due to increased revenues from Amvuttra sales [1][11] - Total revenues reached $1.25 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.02 billion, marking a 149% year-over-year increase [2][11] - Despite strong earnings and revenue growth, ALNY shares fell by 6.7% due to investor concerns over an external inquiry into commercial practices [3] Revenue Breakdown - Net product revenues were $851.1 million, a 103% increase year over year, driven by demand for Amvuttra, Givlaari, and Oxlumo [3][9] - Collaboration revenues totaled $351.7 million, boosted by a $300 million milestone payment from Roche related to the ZENITH phase III clinical study [4][11] - Royalty revenues increased by 98% year over year to $46.2 million [5] Product Performance - Amvuttra sales reached $685.3 million, a 165% increase, driven by demand from patients with ATTR amyloidosis and cardiomyopathy [8][11] - Onpattro sales were $39.1 million, down 22% year over year, missing estimates [6] - Givlaari recorded sales of $73.9 million, a 4% increase, but also missed estimates [9] Financial Guidance - Alnylam raised its 2025 net product revenue guidance to $2.95-$3.05 billion from $2.65-$2.80 billion [16] - Collaboration and royalty revenue guidance remains at $650-$750 million, while adjusted R&D and SG&A expenses are now expected to be $2.15-$2.20 billion [17] Research and Development - Adjusted R&D expenses rose 23% year over year to $310.1 million, driven by costs associated with the ZENITH study and other clinical trials [13] - Adjusted SG&A expenses increased 35% year over year to $262.6 million, primarily due to higher employee compensation and marketing investments for Amvuttra [14]
Alnylam Stock Has Almost Doubled In 2025. But It Took A Hit On Earnings.
Investors· 2025-10-30 20:15
Core Insights - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals reported strong third-quarter results, driven by its leading drug Amvuttra, which significantly exceeded sales expectations and demonstrated robust growth in patient demand [3][10]. Financial Performance - Amvuttra generated $685 million in sales during the third quarter, surpassing the expected $622 million and more than doubling from $259 million in the same period last year [3]. - Total sales across all products reached $851 million, reflecting a 103% increase and beating forecasts of $791 million [10]. - The company anticipates total product sales for the year to be between $2.95 billion and $3.05 billion, marking a 10% increase at the midpoint compared to previous projections [10]. Product and Market Position - Amvuttra is the only approved treatment for transthyretin amyloidosis in patients with both polyneuropathy and cardiomyopathy, with only 20% of patients diagnosed [7]. - The drug competes with offerings from Pfizer, BridgeBio, and Ionis Pharmaceuticals, but Alnylam's targeted approach has positioned it favorably in the market [5][6]. Growth Drivers - The company identified 170 health systems that prescribe approximately 80% of TTR medicines, ensuring that 90% of patients can access Amvuttra treatment within a 10-mile radius [8]. - A significant portion of U.S. patients are receiving insurance coverage for Amvuttra, further supporting its market penetration [8]. Future Outlook - Alnylam is developing a next-generation drug, nucresiran, which aims to further reduce problematic TTR protein levels and could be administered every six months [11]. - The company expects to launch nucresiran for cardiomyopathy patients around 2030, depending on clinical trial outcomes [12].
Why Is Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Stock Trading Lower Thursday?
Benzinga· 2025-10-30 18:39
Core Viewpoint - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals reported strong third-quarter earnings, but the stock is trading lower due to unmet investor expectations regarding Amvuttra sales, despite significant year-over-year growth in revenue and earnings [1][2][7]. Financial Performance - The company reported adjusted earnings of $2.90 for Q3 2025, a significant improvement from a loss of $0.50 in the same quarter last year, surpassing analyst estimates of $0.75 [2]. - Quarterly sales reached $1.25 billion, representing a 149% increase year-over-year, exceeding the consensus estimate of $977.79 million [2]. Revenue Breakdown - Total net product revenues increased by 103% (99% at constant currency), primarily driven by Amvuttra's growth due to increased patient demand, particularly among patients with ATTR amyloidosis with cardiomyopathy in the U.S. [3]. - Amvuttra sales surged by 165% to $685.30 million, while Onpattro revenue decreased by 22% to $39.07 million. Oxlumo sales increased by 31% to $52.83 million, and Givlaari sales reached $73.87 million, up 4% year-over-year [4]. Guidance and Future Outlook - Alnylam raised its fiscal 2025 sales guidance from $3.3 billion-$3.55 billion to $3.6 billion-$3.8 billion, compared to the consensus of $3.53 billion [6]. - Total TTR net product revenues (Amvuttra and Onpattro) are now expected to be $2.48 billion-$2.53 billion, an increase from the previous guidance of $2.175 billion-$2.275 billion [6]. Market Reaction - The stock experienced an 8.05% decline, trading at $442.81, attributed to high investor expectations for Amvuttra sales, which fell short of the anticipated range of $695 million to $700 million [7].
Earnings roundup: Alnylam’s down day, Neurocrine’s head scratch and Biogen’s ‘low quality’ win
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-30 17:13
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals - Alnylam's market worth exceeded many large-cap drugmakers, indicating a challenging position due to high expectations from investors [1] - The company reported quarterly revenues of approximately $1.25 billion, surpassing analyst estimates by nearly $300 million, and boosted its financial forecasts [4] - Amvuttra generated $685 million in sales, exceeding the expected $622 million, indicating growing demand among patients with transthyretin amyloidosis [4] - Despite strong earnings, Alnylam shares fell nearly 7%, attributed to high share prices and elevated investor expectations [3] Biogen - Biogen's latest earnings report showed revenues just above $2.5 billion, narrowly exceeding Wall Street expectations [7] - The company’s aging multiple sclerosis drugs accounted for about 40% of total revenue, while new product launches showed muted performance [8] - Biogen revised its revenue forecast for the year to flat to up 1%, but lowered annual earnings per share estimates to $14.50 to $15 [9] Neurocrine Biosciences - Neurocrine reported a 28% year-over-year increase in net sales, totaling $785 million, but shares fell by 9% following the announcement [11] - The company plans to invest an additional $150 million in expanding sales teams, raising concerns about future margins [12] - Neurocrine received a civil investigative demand from the DOJ regarding Ingrezza, which may have unsettled investors despite a solid quarterly performance [13][14] Bristol Myers Squibb - Bristol Myers' earnings report was positive overall, but the performance of its schizophrenia drug Cobenfy was seen as underwhelming compared to other products [15][16] - Cobenfy sales reached $43 million in the third quarter, with ongoing trials testing its efficacy in treating Alzheimer's-related psychosis [18] - Despite uncertainties surrounding Cobenfy, Bristol Myers' shares rose 7% due to improved financial guidance and quarterly revenue performance [20]
Compared to Estimates, Alnylam (ALNY) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-10-30 15:30
Core Insights - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals reported $1.25 billion in revenue for Q3 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 149.4% and a surprise of +22.25% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.02 billion [1] - The company achieved an EPS of $2.90, a significant improvement from -$0.50 a year ago, resulting in an EPS surprise of +73.65% compared to the consensus estimate of $1.67 [1] Revenue Breakdown - Product revenues netted $851.08 million, exceeding the nine-analyst average estimate of $803.35 million, reflecting a year-over-year change of +102.6% [4] - Royalty revenue was reported at $46.2 million, slightly below the estimated $46.52 million, but still showing a +97.6% change year-over-year [4] - Net Product Revenue for Oxlumo was $52.83 million, surpassing the average estimate of $50.45 million, with a year-over-year increase of +31.4% [4] - Givlaari's Net Product Revenue was $73.87 million, compared to the average estimate of $79.51 million, indicating a +4% year-over-year change [4] - Onpattro's Net Product Revenue was $39.08 million, below the average estimate of $47.48 million, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of -22.3% [4] - Amvuttra's Net Product Revenue reached $685.3 million, exceeding the estimated $637.51 million, with a remarkable year-over-year increase of +165% [4] Stock Performance - Alnylam's shares have returned +4.6% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.6% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-10-30 14:18
Core Insights - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals reported quarterly earnings of $2.9 per share, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.67 per share, and compared to a loss of $0.5 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +73.65% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $1.25 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 22.25%, and showing a substantial increase from year-ago revenues of $500.92 million [2] - Alnylam shares have increased approximately 104.7% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 17.2% [3] Earnings Outlook - The company's earnings outlook is crucial for investors, including current consensus earnings expectations for upcoming quarters and any recent changes in these expectations [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $1.86 on revenues of $1.18 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $4.44 on revenues of $3.56 billion [7] Industry Context - The Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry, to which Alnylam belongs, is currently ranked in the top 38% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors or through tools like the Zacks Rank [5][6]
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals(ALNY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-30 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals reported total net product revenues of $851 million for Q3 2025, representing a 103% year-over-year growth [8][26] - The TTR franchise revenues reached $724 million, reflecting a 135% increase year-over-year, driven primarily by the AMVUTTRA® ATTR-CM launch in the U.S. [7][10] - The company increased its total net product revenue guidance for 2025 from a range of $2.65 billion-$2.8 billion to $2.95 billion-$3.05 billion, marking a 10% increase at the midpoint [8][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The rare disease portfolio achieved $127 million in sales, up 14% compared to Q3 2024, indicating steady performance despite a focus on TTR growth [9][10] - U.S. net sales for the TTR franchise grew 42% quarter-over-quarter and 194% year-over-year, reflecting strong adoption following the AMVUTTRA® ATTR-CM label expansion [10][11] - International revenues grew 13% quarter-over-quarter and 46% year-over-year, highlighting continued global momentum [11][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. TTR franchise generated $543 million in net product revenues, with patient demand roughly doubling compared to Q2 [14][15] - The company anticipates further international AMVUTTRA® ATTR-CM launches in 2026, following local pricing and reimbursement reviews [11][16] - The hereditary ATTR polyneuropathy legacy business remains robust despite new competition, with a 46% year-over-year growth in ex-U.S. TTR markets [12][58] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Alnylam focuses on three core pillars: TTR leadership, growth through innovation, and strong financial performance [5][6] - The company is advancing its pipeline of RNAi therapeutics, with two new phase III trials underway and additional programs in development for various conditions [8][20] - The company aims to establish long-term leadership in TTR and expand its global reach through upcoming product launches [16][58] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the AMVUTTRA® ATTR-CM launch, highlighting strong execution and a solid foundation for future growth [9][10] - The management team noted that the majority of ex-U.S. launches are expected to begin in 2026, which will extend global reach and contribute to launch momentum [16][58] - The company remains optimistic about the potential of RNAi therapeutics to become the standard of care in TTR amyloidosis [18][19] Other Important Information - The gross margin on product sales was 77% for Q3 2025, down from 80% in Q3 2024, primarily due to increased royalties on AMVUTTRA® [27] - The company ended the quarter with cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities of $2.7 billion, reflecting a stable financial position [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: AMVUTTRA® momentum in first line vs switch population - Management noted strong momentum in TTR business with patient demand doubling for AMVUTTRA® and broad adoption across various settings [35][36] Question: Confidence in continued patient additions for AMVUTTRA® - Management indicated that the guidance has been raised twice, reflecting confidence in the depth and durability of the product's momentum [39][41] Question: Payer dynamics and feedback - Management reported no payer headwinds and positive feedback from payers regarding the value of AMVUTTRA® [46][48] Question: Inventory demand and expectations for Europe - Management explained that inventory dynamics were stable, with modest contributions expected from ex-U.S. markets in Q4 [53][56] Question: Price changes for AMVUTTRA® in the U.S. and Europe - Management anticipates a gradual decline in net price over time, with ongoing negotiations for European pricing [72][73]
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals(ALNY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-30 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals reported total net product revenues of $851 million for Q3 2025, reflecting a 103% year-over-year growth [8][27] - The TTR franchise revenues reached $724 million, representing a 135% increase year-over-year and a 33% increase compared to the previous quarter [7][10] - The company increased its total net product revenue guidance for 2025 from a range of $2.65 billion to $2.8 billion to a revised range of $2.95 billion to $3.05 billion, indicating a 10% increase at the midpoint [8][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The rare disease portfolio achieved $127 million in sales, up 14% year-over-year, driven by ongoing patient demand [9][10] - U.S. net sales for the TTR franchise grew 42% quarter-over-quarter and 194% year-over-year, primarily due to the AMVUTTRA ATTR CM label expansion [11][14] - International revenues grew 13% quarter-over-quarter and 46% year-over-year, with strong performance in Japan and Germany [11][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. TTR franchise generated $543 million in net product revenues, reflecting a significant increase in patient demand [14][16] - The company noted that the international performance is benefiting from increased awareness and diagnosis in the hereditary ATTR polyneuropathy market [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Alnylam focuses on three core pillars: TTR leadership, growth through innovation, and strong financial performance [5][6] - The company is advancing its pipeline with new Phase 3 trials for zilebesiran and ALN-APP, targeting significant market opportunities [8][20] - The strategy includes expanding the AMVUTTRA ATTR CM launch globally, with expectations for further launches in 2026 [16][30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term opportunity for AMVUTTRA, highlighting substantial growth potential in the TTR category [16][17] - The company is optimistic about the ongoing demand and adoption of its therapies, particularly in the U.S. market [10][14] - Management acknowledged the competitive landscape but emphasized their strong positioning and execution capabilities [11][13] Other Important Information - The gross margin on product sales was reported at 77%, down from 80% in the same quarter last year, primarily due to increased royalties on AMVUTTRA [27] - The company ended the quarter with cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities of $2.7 billion [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Momentum of AMVUTTRA in first line versus switch population - Management noted that patient demand for AMVUTTRA has doubled, with broad adoption across various settings, indicating strong momentum [34][35] Question: Confidence in continued patient additions - Management highlighted the strong launch and raised guidance twice, indicating confidence in sustained momentum despite a decline in ONPATTRO [38][40] Question: Payer dynamics and feedback - Management reported no significant payer headwinds and positive feedback regarding the value of AMVUTTRA, with ongoing negotiations for 2026 [45][48] Question: Inventory demand and expectations for Europe - Management explained that inventory growth was offset by increased gross to net deductions, with modest contributions expected from the ex-U.S. market in Q4 [52][56] Question: TTR franchise guidance update - Management indicated that the updated guidance reflects expectations for Q4 revenues, estimating total TTR global revenue of $850 million to $900 million [60][61] Question: Impact of reimbursement cuts on diagnostics and therapeutics - Management acknowledged the importance of reimbursement for growth and expressed confidence in managing potential changes as policies become clearer [66][68]
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals(ALNY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-30 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total net product revenues for Q3 2025 were $851 million, representing a 103% increase year-over-year [7][28] - TTR franchise revenues reached $724 million, showing a 135% year-over-year growth, primarily driven by the AMVUTTRA ATTR CM launch in the U.S. [6][11] - The company increased its total net product revenue guidance for 2025 from a range of $2.65 billion to $2.8 billion to a revised range of $2.95 billion to $3.05 billion, reflecting a 10% increase at the midpoint [8][33] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The rare disease portfolio achieved $127 million in sales, up 14% compared to Q3 2024, driven by ongoing patient demand [10] - U.S. net sales for the TTR franchise grew 42% quarter-over-quarter and 194% year-over-year, reflecting strong adoption following the AMVUTTRA ATTR CM label expansion [12][14] - Outside the U.S., revenues grew 13% quarter-over-quarter and 46% year-over-year, indicating continued global momentum [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. TTR franchise delivered $543 million in net product revenues, representing an increase of approximately $160 million versus the prior quarter [14] - In Japan, the AMVUTTRA ATTR CM launch is progressing well, tracking in line with leading launch analogs [12] - The international performance reflects the strength of the hereditary ATTR polyneuropathy legacy business, which remains robust despite new competition [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on three core pillars: TTR leadership, growth through innovation, and strong financial performance [5] - The company is committed to establishing long-term leadership in TTR and advancing its pipeline of RNAi therapeutics [5][6] - The company plans to expand its global reach with anticipated international AMVUTTRA ATTR CM launches in 2026 [17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the AMVUTTRA ATTR CM launch and the overall growth trajectory of the TTR franchise [8][11] - The management highlighted the importance of early treatment in ATTR cardiomyopathy and the positive reception from payers and physicians [62] - The company is optimistic about the potential of RNAi therapeutics to become the standard of care in TTR amyloidosis [19] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities of $2.7 billion [32] - Non-GAAP R&D expenses increased by 23% to $310 million, driven by costs associated with multiple Phase 3 clinical studies [31] - The company announced the initiation of a Phase 1 trial of ALN-5288 targeting Alzheimer's disease [26] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the momentum of AMVUTTRA in first line versus switch population? - Management noted that patient demand for AMVUTTRA has doubled, with broad adoption across various settings, indicating healthy uptake [36][38] Question: What gives you confidence in continued patient additions next year? - Management highlighted the strong launch momentum and the raised guidance as indicators of confidence in sustained growth [53] Question: Can you provide insights on payer dynamics as you approach 2026? - Management reported no significant payer headwinds and positive feedback from payers regarding the value of AMVUTTRA [60][62] Question: How should we model inventory demand for AMVUTTRA? - Management explained that inventory growth was driven by increased demand, with expectations for continued growth in the fourth quarter [66][68] Question: What is the expected pricing strategy for AMVUTTRA in Europe? - Management indicated ongoing negotiations for pricing in Europe, with expectations for a gradual decline in net price over time [90][93]