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Alnylam Stock Has Almost Doubled In 2025. But It Took A Hit On Earnings.
Investors· 2025-10-30 20:15
Core Insights - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals reported strong third-quarter results, driven by its leading drug Amvuttra, which significantly exceeded sales expectations and demonstrated robust growth in patient demand [3][10]. Financial Performance - Amvuttra generated $685 million in sales during the third quarter, surpassing the expected $622 million and more than doubling from $259 million in the same period last year [3]. - Total sales across all products reached $851 million, reflecting a 103% increase and beating forecasts of $791 million [10]. - The company anticipates total product sales for the year to be between $2.95 billion and $3.05 billion, marking a 10% increase at the midpoint compared to previous projections [10]. Product and Market Position - Amvuttra is the only approved treatment for transthyretin amyloidosis in patients with both polyneuropathy and cardiomyopathy, with only 20% of patients diagnosed [7]. - The drug competes with offerings from Pfizer, BridgeBio, and Ionis Pharmaceuticals, but Alnylam's targeted approach has positioned it favorably in the market [5][6]. Growth Drivers - The company identified 170 health systems that prescribe approximately 80% of TTR medicines, ensuring that 90% of patients can access Amvuttra treatment within a 10-mile radius [8]. - A significant portion of U.S. patients are receiving insurance coverage for Amvuttra, further supporting its market penetration [8]. Future Outlook - Alnylam is developing a next-generation drug, nucresiran, which aims to further reduce problematic TTR protein levels and could be administered every six months [11]. - The company expects to launch nucresiran for cardiomyopathy patients around 2030, depending on clinical trial outcomes [12].
Ionis Beats Q3 Earnings & Sales Estimates, Raises 2025 Outlook
ZACKS· 2025-10-30 18:16
Core Insights - Ionis Pharmaceuticals reported a narrower adjusted loss per share of 61 cents for Q3 2025, significantly better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $1.15, and improved from a loss of 72 cents in the same period last year [1][7] - Total revenues reached $157 million, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of approximately $130 million, marking a 17% increase year-over-year [2][7] - The company raised its 2025 revenue guidance to between $875 million and $900 million, up from the previous estimate of $825 million to $850 million, reflecting strong drug uptake [14][15] Financial Performance - Adjusted operating costs increased by 14% year-over-year to $286 million, with SG&A costs rising 71% to support commercialization efforts [13] - Commercial revenues surged 53% year-over-year to $116 million, driven by strong sales of Tryngolza and higher royalties from Wainua [9][10] - R&D revenues declined by 29% year-over-year to $41 million, but still surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $25 million [12] Product and Pipeline Updates - Tryngolza, launched in December 2024, contributed $32 million in sales, while Wainua royalties amounted to $13 million, reflecting a strong market presence [10][11] - Positive results from phase III studies for Tryngolza indicate its potential for label expansion, with an FDA filing planned before the end of 2025 [17][18] - Ionis is also advancing other candidates in its pipeline, including zilganersen for Alexander's disease and ION582 for Angelman syndrome, with regulatory filings expected in the near future [19] Stock Performance - Year-to-date, Ionis shares have increased by 106%, significantly outperforming the industry growth of 8% [3]
IONS' Rare Neurological Disease Drug Meets Late-Stage Study Goal
ZACKS· 2025-09-23 19:16
Core Insights - Ionis Pharmaceuticals announced positive topline results from a pivotal phase III study for its investigational RNA-targeted therapy zilganersen, aimed at treating Alexander disease (AxD) [1][4] Group 1: Study Results - The study met its primary endpoint, showing that patients receiving a 50 mg dose of zilganersen achieved a statistically significant 33.3% stabilization in gait speed compared to the control group, measured by the 10-Meter Walk Test (10MWT) [2] - Treatment with zilganersen demonstrated a favorable safety and tolerability profile, with consistent benefits observed across key secondary endpoints, indicating evidence of slowed disease progression [3][9] Group 2: Regulatory and Market Implications - Ionis plans to submit a regulatory filing with the FDA for zilganersen in Q1 2026, marking it as the first investigational medicine to show a positive disease-modifying impact in AxD [6][4] - If approved, zilganersen will join Ionis' portfolio as the third wholly-owned drug, alongside Tryngolza and Dawnzera, which were approved in the last 12 months [7] Group 3: Financial Performance and Strategy - Year-to-date, Ionis shares have increased nearly 76%, significantly outperforming the industry growth of 12% [8] - Ionis has established collaborations with major pharmaceutical companies, providing funds through license fees and milestone payments to support the development of its wholly-owned pipeline [10] - The company earns commercial revenues from royalties on Spinraza and Qalsody, with ongoing partnerships for other drug developments [11][12]
PFE vs. AZN: Which Cancer-Focused Drug Giant Is the Better Pick?
ZACKS· 2025-09-19 13:30
Core Insights - Pfizer (PFE) and AstraZeneca (AZN) are leading players in the oncology sector, with significant revenue contributions from this area [1][2] - Pfizer's oncology sales account for over 25% of total revenues, growing by 9% in H1 2025, while AstraZeneca's oncology sales represent around 43% of total revenues, increasing by 16% in the same period [1][2][11] - Both companies have robust R&D pipelines that are expected to drive future growth [3] Pfizer Overview - Pfizer's acquisition of Seagen in 2023 has bolstered its oncology position [4] - Non-COVID operational revenues are improving, with key products generating $4.7 billion in H1 2025, a 15% operational increase year-over-year [5] - Pfizer anticipates $7.7 billion in cost savings by the end of 2027 and projects a revenue CAGR of approximately 6% from 2025 to 2030 [6] - Challenges include potential declines in COVID-related sales and significant patent expirations expected between 2026 and 2030, impacting key products [7][8] AstraZeneca Overview - AstraZeneca's portfolio includes several blockbuster drugs, with sales exceeding $1 billion, contributing to strong revenue growth [9] - The company plans to launch 20 new medicines by 2030, targeting $80 billion in total revenues [12] - AstraZeneca's newer drugs are contributing positively to top-line growth in 2025 [10] - Challenges include the impact of Medicare Part D redesign on key drug sales and competition from generics and biosimilars [13][14] Financial Estimates and Performance - Pfizer's 2025 sales and EPS estimates indicate modest growth of 0.3% and 1.0%, respectively, with EPS estimates rising from $3.05 to $3.14 [15] - AstraZeneca's 2025 sales and EPS estimates suggest stronger growth of 8.4% and 11.4%, with EPS estimates increasing from $4.50 to $4.58 [16] - Year-to-date stock performance shows Pfizer declining by 9.0%, while AstraZeneca has increased by 17.6% [18] Valuation and Dividend Yield - AstraZeneca's shares trade at a forward P/E ratio of 15.44, while Pfizer's are at 7.79, indicating a more attractive valuation for Pfizer [19] - Pfizer offers a higher dividend yield of 7.1% compared to AstraZeneca's 2.4% [22] - AstraZeneca has a higher return on equity at 32.8% versus Pfizer's 21.4% [22] Investment Outlook - Both companies are rated with a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), making it challenging to determine a clear investment preference [23] - AstraZeneca is viewed as a safer investment due to its efficient profitability and clearer growth targets, despite Pfizer's attractive valuation and dividend yield [25]
IONS Hits 52-Week High on Tryngolza's Success in Lowering Triglyceride
ZACKS· 2025-09-03 15:51
Core Insights - Ionis Pharmaceuticals' shares surged 35% following positive results from late-stage studies CORE and CORE2 for its drug Tryngolza (olezarsen) targeting severe hypertriglyceridemia (sHTG) [1][12] - Both studies achieved their primary endpoint, demonstrating significant placebo-adjusted reductions in triglyceride (TG) levels [2][3] Study Results - At the 80 mg dose, Tryngolza resulted in TG reductions of 72% in CORE and 55% in CORE2 after six months; at the 50 mg dose, reductions were 63% in CORE and 49% in CORE2 [3] - The treatment also significantly reduced acute pancreatitis (AP) events by 85% compared to placebo over 12 months [5][12] Regulatory and Market Potential - Tryngolza was previously approved by the FDA for familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS), marking it as the first approved treatment for this condition [6] - Ionis plans to seek FDA label expansion for Tryngolza to include sHTG, targeting a much larger market of approximately 3 million affected individuals compared to 3,000 with FCS [10][8] Collaborations and Revenue Streams - Ionis has partnerships with major pharmaceutical companies like AstraZeneca, Biogen, GSK, and Novartis, providing funds through license fees and milestone payments [14] - The company earns commercial revenues from royalties on Spinraza, which treats spinal muscular atrophy, and is also involved in marketing Qalsody for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis [15] Future Developments - Ionis is expanding its portfolio with several wholly-owned candidates in late-stage studies, including drugs for Alexander's disease, ALS, and Angelman syndrome, with expected commercial launches in the next three years [19]
RNA疗法先锋Ionis Pharmaceuticals(IONS.US)亮眼财报引爆机构唱多 大摩上调至“买入”看涨45%
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 07:32
Core Viewpoint - Ionis Pharmaceuticals has gained market attention due to its strong Q2 performance, leading to an upgrade in stock rating by Morgan Stanley to "Buy" with a target price of $62, indicating a potential upside of approximately 45% [1][3]. Financial Performance - In Q2, Ionis reported total revenue of $452 million, a significant year-over-year increase of 100.8%, and earnings per share of $0.70, reversing from a loss of $0.45 per share in the same period last year [1][5]. - The company expects full-year revenue growth of 17%-20%, reaching between $825 million and $850 million, while analysts predict revenue of $869.6 million for the year [5][7]. Product Highlights - The successful launch of Tryngolza, a treatment for a rare genetic disorder, was a key highlight in the Q2 report, achieving net product sales of $19 million in its second full quarter [3][4]. - Approximately 60% of patients using Tryngolza have commercial insurance, and over 90% of patients do not incur out-of-pocket costs, contributing to its commercial success [3][4]. Pipeline and Future Catalysts - Ionis has a robust late-stage pipeline with several drugs in clinical phases 2-3, including Donidalorsen, which is expected to be approved for hereditary angioedema treatment [4][5]. - Upcoming catalysts include the anticipated results from the Phase 3 trial for severe hypertriglyceridemia (SHTG) expected in 2026, and the release of top-line data for the SHTG trial in September [3][4]. Analyst Sentiment - Other analysts, including those from Oppenheimer and Wells Fargo, maintain "Buy" ratings on Ionis stock, with target prices ranging from $65 to $77, reflecting confidence in the company's growth trajectory and strategic execution [7][8]. - Among 23 analysts covering the stock, 15 have a "Strong Buy" rating, indicating strong market confidence in Ionis's future performance [7][8].
Ionis Beats on Q2 Earnings & Sales, Stock Up 5% on Raised '25 Outlook
ZACKS· 2025-07-31 14:11
Core Insights - Ionis Pharmaceuticals reported second-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of 86 cents, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 27 cents, compared to an adjusted loss of 24 cents in the same period last year [1] - Total revenues reached $452 million, doubling year-over-year and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $271 million [2] Revenue Streams - Ionis has licensed Spinraza to Biogen, which is responsible for its commercialization, and receives royalties from its sales. Spinraza is approved for treating spinal muscular atrophy globally [3] - Ionis also earns royalties from Biogen's Qalsody, approved for treating amyotrophic lateral sclerosis with SOD1 mutations, launched in the U.S. in 2023 and in the EU in May 2024 [3] - The FDA approved Wainua (eplontersen) for treating hereditary transthyretin-mediated amyloid polyneuropathy in December 2023, co-marketed with AstraZeneca in the U.S. [4] - Following Wainua's U.S. launch, Ionis began receiving royalties from AstraZeneca, which are included in commercial revenues [5] Commercial Revenue Performance - Commercial revenues rose 43% year-over-year to $103 million, driven by Tryngolza product sales and Wainua royalties, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $88 million [7] - Tryngolza contributed $19 million in sales, up from $6 million in the previous quarter, indicating strong launch momentum [8] - Spinraza royalties totaled $54 million, down 5% year-over-year, with sales of $393 million, reflecting an 8% decline compared to the previous year [8] - Wainua royalty revenues amounted to $10 million, with sales of $44 million recorded by AstraZeneca [9] R&D Revenue Growth - R&D revenues surged 128% year-over-year to $349 million, driven by a $280 million upfront payment for out-licensing rights for a rare blood cancer drug to Ono Pharmaceutical [12] - Collaborative agreement revenues totaled $337 million, compared to $141 million in the year-ago quarter [13] Cost and Guidance Updates - Adjusted operating costs rose 8% year-over-year to $282 million, with SG&A costs increasing 42% to support commercialization efforts [14] - Ionis raised its 2025 revenue outlook to $825-$850 million, up from the previous guidance of $725-$750 million, reflecting strong uptake for Tryngolza [15] - The adjusted operating loss is now expected to be between $300-$325 million, down from previous guidance of less than $375 million [18] Updates on Wholly-Owned Candidates - Tryngolza is being evaluated in three late-stage studies for severe hypertriglyceridemia, with positive data from the ESSENCE study [20] - Donidalorsen is under FDA review for hereditary angioedema, with a decision expected next month [21] - Zilganersen is in a late-stage study for Alexander disease, with data expected in 2025 [22] Partnered Candidates Developments - AstraZeneca and Ionis are developing Wainua for ATTR-CM, with data from the phase III CARDIO-TTRANSform study expected in the second half of 2026 [23] - Novartis is developing pelacarsen for elevated Lp(a)-driven cardiovascular disease, with data expected this year [24] - AstraZeneca initiated a phase IIb study on opemalirsen for APOL1-mediated kidney disease, triggering a $30 million milestone payment to Ionis [25]
Ionis' Tryngolza Cuts Triglyceride Levels in Late-Stage Study
ZACKS· 2025-05-20 14:01
Core Insights - Ionis Pharmaceuticals announced positive top-line results from the phase III ESSENCE study for its drug Tryngolza, targeting moderate hypertriglyceridemia in patients at risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) [1][2] - The study achieved its primary endpoint, showing a statistically significant reduction in triglyceride (TG) levels, with reductions of 61% and 58% for 80 mg and 50 mg monthly doses, respectively [2] - A majority of participants in the study had their TG levels fall within the normal range (<150 mg/dL) post-treatment, and the drug met all key secondary endpoints [3] Recent Developments - Tryngolza received FDA approval for treating familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS), marking it as the first approved treatment for this rare genetic condition in the U.S. and Ionis' first independent commercial launch [4] - Ionis out-licensed ex-U.S. rights for Tryngolza to Sweden-based Sobi, which will handle future regulatory filings and commercialization outside the U.S. [5] - The drug is also being evaluated for severe hypertriglyceridemia (sHTG) in two late-stage studies, with data expected in Q3 2025 [6][7] Financial and Revenue Streams - Ionis has a diverse revenue stream through collaborations with major pharmaceutical companies like AstraZeneca, Biogen, GSK, and Novartis, providing funds for its development pipeline [10] - The company earns commercial revenues from royalties on Spinraza, which treats spinal muscular atrophy, and is also involved in marketing Qalsody for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis [11] - Recent approvals for drugs like Wainua and ongoing studies for other candidates could further enhance Ionis' revenue and reduce reliance on collaboration partners [12][14]