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ABBV or BMY: Which Biopharma Giant Has Better Prospects for Now?
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 15:00
Core Insights - AbbVie, Inc. (ABBV) and Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) are prominent players in the biopharmaceutical industry, each with diverse portfolios and global reach [1][2] - Both companies have established strong positions in their respective therapeutic areas, making it challenging to choose between them based on fundamentals, growth prospects, and valuations [3] AbbVie Overview - AbbVie's flagship drug, Humira, has lost patent protection, leading to significant sales erosion due to biosimilar competition, particularly in 2024 and expected to worsen in 2025 [4] - The acquisition of Allergan for $63 billion has diversified AbbVie's product offerings and reduced reliance on Humira [4] - AbbVie's immunology drugs, Skyrizi and Rinvoq, are performing well, particularly in treating inflammatory bowel diseases, helping to offset Humira's declining sales [5] - AbbVie has a robust oncology portfolio with drugs like Imbruvica and Venclexta, with recent label expansions increasing the patient population for Venclexta [6] - The approval of Vyalev for advanced Parkinson's disease in October 2024 further enhances AbbVie's portfolio [6] - AbbVie is pursuing promising R&D initiatives, including next-generation immunology approaches and innovative therapies for neuropsychiatric disorders, alongside active M&A strategies [7] - As of March 31, 2025, AbbVie reported $64.5 billion in long-term debt and $5.4 billion in short-term obligations, with cash and equivalents around $5.2 billion [8] Bristol Myers Squibb Overview - BMY's Growth Portfolio, including drugs like Reblozyl and Opdualag, has stabilized revenue amid generic competition for legacy drugs [9][10] - Reblozyl has shown strong performance since its approval, contributing significantly to revenue growth [10] - Opdivo continues to gain momentum with consistent label expansions, and recent FDA approvals for new drugs like Cobenfy broaden BMY's portfolio [11][12] - Despite new drug launches, BMY faces revenue pressure from legacy drugs, which saw a 20% decline in the first quarter due to generic competition [13] - BMY's long-term debt stood at $46.1 billion as of March 31, 2025, with cash and equivalents of $12.1 billion [14] Financial Estimates and Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AbbVie's 2025 sales indicates a 6.6% year-over-year increase, with EPS expected to improve by 20.65, although recent estimates have declined [15] - For BMY, the 2025 sales estimate suggests a 4.13% decrease, while EPS is projected to increase by 487.83%, influenced by low EPS figures in 2024 [17] - Year-to-date, ABBV shares have gained 11.8%, while BMY shares have decreased by 11.2%, compared to a 1.6% gain in the large-cap pharma industry [18] - In terms of valuation, ABBV trades at 14.76X forward earnings, slightly higher than BMY's 7.60X, while the industry average is 15.16X [19] - BMY offers a higher dividend yield of 5.20% compared to ABBV's 3.4%, which is attractive for investors [22] Investment Outlook - Both companies are considered safe investments in the biopharma sector, but selecting one over the other is complex due to their current Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [23] - AbbVie's diverse portfolio and strong performance from its immunology drugs position it favorably despite challenges from declining Humira sales [24] - BMY's efforts to counteract revenue declines from legacy drugs through new approvals and acquisitions are commendable, but challenges remain for 2025 [25]
2 Top Stocks Down 16% and 17% This Year to Buy and Hold
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-11 09:36
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the potential investment opportunities in healthcare companies Merck and Bristol Myers Squibb, which are currently undervalued due to company-specific challenges but have strong long-term prospects. Group 1: Merck - Merck is nearing the loss of patent exclusivity for its key drug Keytruda, which is expected to face biosimilars by the end of the decade [4] - Despite the challenges, Merck's subcutaneous version of Keytruda has shown positive phase 3 results, potentially extending its patent exclusivity into the next decade [5] - The subcutaneous formulation is easier and faster to administer, reducing patient and physician time in the administration process by 49.7% and 45.7% respectively [6] - Merck has a strong pipeline with new approvals, including Winrevair and Enflonsia, and offers a reliable dividend program [7][8] - The stock's forward price-to-earnings ratio is 9.1, significantly lower than the healthcare industry average of 16.3, indicating potential upside for long-term investors [8] Group 2: Bristol Myers Squibb - Bristol Myers Squibb is facing patent expiration for its cancer drug Opdivo and has already lost exclusivity for Revlimid and Sprycel [9] - The company reported a 6% year-over-year revenue decline to $11.2 billion in the first quarter, but its growth portfolio saw a 16% increase in sales to $5.6 billion [11] - BMS has received recent approvals, including a subcutaneous version of Opdivo, which will help mitigate losses from biosimilar competition [10] - The company has a robust pipeline and is expected to secure additional approvals, positioning it to navigate current challenges [12] - Bristol Myers Squibb's stock is undervalued with a forward P/E ratio of 7, suggesting strong long-term return potential despite a 17% decline this year [13]
BMY Loses 16.3% YTD: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-06-30 14:50
Core Viewpoint - Bristol Myers (BMY) has faced a challenging first half of 2025, with shares down 16.3% year to date, underperforming both the industry and the S&P 500, primarily due to pipeline setbacks and generic competition despite some positive regulatory updates [1][3]. Financial Performance - The first-quarter performance exceeded expectations, leading to an increase in annual revenue guidance; however, the stock has declined since then, reflecting broader market concerns and skepticism about growth prospects [4]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 EPS has decreased from $6.87 to $6.76 over the past 60 days, while the estimate for 2026 has also dipped from $6.07 to $6.04 [18]. Generic Competition - BMY's legacy portfolio is negatively impacted by generic competition affecting key drugs such as Revlimid, Pomalyst, Sprycel, and Abraxane, along with the redesign of U.S. Medicare Part D [5]. - Sales of Eliquis, a major revenue contributor, fell by 4% in the first quarter due to the Medicare Part D redesign, although sales are expected to rise in the second half of 2025 as the coverage gap is eliminated [6]. New Drug Developments - BMY is focusing on newer drugs like Opdualag, Reblozyl, and Breyanzi to stabilize revenue as legacy drugs face competition; Reblozyl has shown strong growth since its approval [7]. - The immuno-oncology drug Opdivo has also seen solid revenue growth driven by volume increases, and recent approvals for new formulations and treatment regimens are expected to enhance its market position [9][10]. Pipeline Setbacks - Recent pipeline setbacks have negatively impacted BMY's stock, including disappointing results from the late-stage ODYSSEY-HCM study for Camzyos and the ARISE study for Cobenfy, which did not meet primary endpoints [13][14]. Debt and Valuation - BMY's strategy of acquiring companies has led to a high debt ratio, with long-term debt at $46.1 billion against cash and equivalents of $12.1 billion as of March 31, 2025 [15]. - The company's shares currently trade at a price/earnings ratio of 7.24x forward earnings, below its historical mean and the large-cap pharma industry's average [16]. Investment Outlook - Despite challenges, BMY's newer drugs and collaborations are expected to stabilize revenue and diversify its portfolio; however, the impact of generic competition remains a significant concern [20]. - The attractive dividend yield of 5.35% is a compelling reason for existing investors to maintain their positions in the stock [20].
Will New Drugs Enable BMY to Offset the Impact of Generic Competition?
ZACKS· 2025-06-25 15:05
Core Insights - Bristol Myers (BMY) is focusing on newer drugs like Opdualag, Reblozyl, and Breyanzi to stabilize its revenue as legacy drugs face generic competition [1][9] - The performance of new drugs is crucial for BMY's growth, with Reblozyl showing strong growth in treating myelodysplastic syndromes-associated anemia [2] - BMY's shares have declined 15% year to date, underperforming the industry, which has seen a decline of 3.4% [8] Revenue and Drug Performance - Legacy drugs such as Revlimid, Pomalyst, Sprycel, and Abraxane are negatively impacted by generic competition and changes in U.S. Medicare Part D [1][9] - Sales of Eliquis, a blood thinner, decreased by 4% in the first quarter due to the Medicare Part D redesign [1] - Opdivo, a leading immuno-oncology drug, has experienced revenue growth primarily driven by volume [3] New Drug Approvals and Market Expansion - BMY has received FDA approval for xanomeline and trospium chloride (Cobenfy), a new treatment for schizophrenia, which is expected to contribute significantly to revenue [3][4] - Reblozyl is anticipated to have a substantial impact on BMY's revenue in the coming decade due to its strong performance [2] Competitive Landscape - The immuno-oncology market is competitive, with Merck's Keytruda dominating and accounting for around 50% of Merck's pharmaceutical sales [5] - Pfizer is also a significant player in oncology, with a diverse product portfolio and recent licensing agreements to enhance its offerings [6][7] Valuation and Earnings Estimates - BMY is trading at a forward earnings multiple of 7.34x, below its historical average of 8.54x and the large-cap pharma industry's average of 14.79x [9][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BMY's earnings per share has decreased over the past 60 days, indicating a downward trend in earnings expectations [11]
Can Casgevy Deliver a Turnaround for CRISPR Therapeutics?
ZACKS· 2025-06-19 12:26
Core Insights - CRISPR Therapeutics' first marketed product, Casgevy, is a one-shot gene therapy approved for sickle cell disease (SCD) and transfusion-dependent beta-thalassemia (TDT) in late 2023 and early 2024 [1] - Initial commercial uptake of Casgevy has been modest, with Vertex Pharmaceuticals reporting only $10 million in product revenues for full-year 2024 [2] - The eligible patient population for Casgevy is estimated to be around 60,000, and Vertex is increasing its commercial efforts to support broader access [3] Product Overview - Casgevy is the first approved CRISPR/Cas9 gene-edited therapy, developed in partnership with Vertex Pharmaceuticals, which leads its global development and commercialization [1] - The therapy involves a complex, multi-step process including stem cell collection, ex vivo gene editing, and reinfusion, contributing to its slow adoption [2][7] Competitive Landscape - Casgevy currently faces competition from other gene-editing treatments, such as Beam Therapeutics' BEAM-101 for SCD, which has shown promising results in clinical trials [4] - Additionally, Casgevy competes with established therapies like Bristol Myers' Reblozyl and Novartis' Adakveo, which are available at significantly lower prices compared to Casgevy's $2.2 million [5] Financial Performance - CRISPR Therapeutics' shares have outperformed the industry year to date, indicating positive market sentiment [6] - The company's shares are trading at a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 2.10, below the industry average of 3.04 and its five-year mean of 2.39, suggesting a valuation discount [8] Earnings Estimates - Estimates for CRISPR's loss per share for 2025 have widened from $5.06 to $5.54, and for 2026, from $3.76 to $4.30 over the past 60 days [10]
Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) FY Conference Transcript
2025-06-11 15:00
Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) FY Conference June 11, 2025 10:00 AM ET Speaker0 All right. We're just right about at time. So let's get started. Welcome to day three of our Healthcare Conference. My name is Assad Haidar. I'm The U. S. Pharmaceutical Analyst here at Goldman Sachs. I'm very, very pleased and privileged to have the Bristol Myers team over here, Chris Boerner, Chairman and CEO and Adam Wenkowski, Chief Commercial Officer. Chris and Adam, welcome, and thank you for being with us. It's great ...
Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) is a Top-Ranked Momentum Stock: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-06-09 14:56
Company Overview - Bristol-Myers Squibb is a leading global specialty biopharmaceutical company focused on developing treatments for severe diseases [12] - The company has a diverse portfolio that includes blockbuster immuno-oncology drug Opdivo and essential immunology and cardiovascular drugs like Orencia and Eliquis [12] Financial Performance - For fiscal 2025, 11 analysts have revised their earnings estimate upwards in the last 60 days, increasing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by $0.10 to $6.85 per share [13] - Bristol-Myers Squibb boasts an average earnings surprise of 20.2% [13] Investment Ratings - The company currently holds a 3 (Hold) rating on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of A [13] - Bristol-Myers Squibb has a Momentum Style Score of B, and its shares have increased by 4.2% over the past four weeks [13] - With a solid Zacks Rank and top-tier Momentum and VGM Style Scores, Bristol-Myers Squibb is recommended for investors' short list [14]
Amgen vs Bristol Myers: Which Biotech Giant Has Better Prospects?
ZACKS· 2025-05-19 18:31
Core Viewpoint - Amgen and Bristol Myers Squibb are leading biotechnology companies with diverse portfolios, making it challenging to choose between them based on their fundamentals, growth prospects, challenges, and valuations [1][2]. Amgen (AMGN) - Amgen has a vast global footprint and a diverse portfolio, with growth products like Prolia, Xgeva, Evenity, Vectibix, Nplate, Kyprolis, and Blincyto stabilizing revenue despite declining sales from legacy drugs [3][4]. - Increased pricing pressures and competition from biosimilars are expected to negatively impact sales of Prolia and Xgeva starting in 2025 [4]. - Key drug Repatha is driving growth, and the approval of Tezspire for severe asthma has strengthened Amgen's portfolio [4][5]. - Amgen has promising candidates in its pipeline, including a broad phase III program on MariTide targeting obesity and type-II diabetes, with data readouts expected in the second half of 2025 [5]. - The acquisition of Horizon Therapeutics has expanded Amgen's rare disease business significantly [6]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Amgen's 2025 sales indicates a year-over-year increase of 5.31%, with EPS expected to improve by 4.79% [13]. - Amgen's shares have gained 6.2% this year, trading at 13X forward earnings, indicating a higher valuation compared to BMY [16][17]. Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) - BMY's growth portfolio, including drugs like Reblozyl, Breyanzi, Camzyos, and Opdualag, has stabilized revenue amid generic competition for legacy drugs [7][8]. - Reblozyl has shown strong performance in the U.S. and international markets, expected to contribute significantly in the coming decade [7]. - Opdivo maintains momentum with consistent label expansions, and the recent FDA approval of Cobenfy for schizophrenia broadens BMY's portfolio [9][10]. - Despite newer drugs boosting sales, generic competition for legacy drugs has led to a 20% decline in legacy portfolio revenues in Q1 due to impacts from Revlimid and others [11]. - BMY's strategy of acquiring promising companies has resulted in substantial debt, with long-term debt at $46.1 billion as of March 31, 2025 [12]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BMY's 2025 sales implies a year-over-year decrease of 4.10%, while EPS suggests a significant increase of 499.13% [14]. - BMY's shares have lost 15.5% this year, trading at a lower valuation of 7.10 for forward earnings [16][17]. Comparison and Conclusion - Both companies offer attractive dividend yields, with BMY at 5.30% and AMGN at 3.49% [20]. - AMGN is viewed as a better pick currently due to solid fundamentals and recent positive estimate revisions, despite its higher valuation [23].
4 Surefire Dividend Stocks to Buy in the Stock Market Sell-Off
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-26 22:05
Core Viewpoint - The current economic environment presents a favorable opportunity for investors to consider solid dividend stocks, which tend to be more resilient than non-dividend-paying companies amid market volatility and potential recession [1]. Group 1: Dividend Stocks Overview - Four recommended dividend-paying stocks during the current market sell-off are AbbVie, Amgen, Bristol Myers Squibb, and Zoetis [2]. Group 2: AbbVie - AbbVie is recognized for its strong position in immunology, despite facing challenges such as a patent cliff and clinical setbacks [3]. - The company has increased its 2027 revenue guidance for key products Skyrizi and Rinvoq by $4 billion to over $31 billion, indicating strong growth potential [4]. - AbbVie has a robust pipeline and a history of increasing dividends for 53 consecutive years, with a forward yield of 3.9%, significantly above the S&P 500 average of 1.3% [5]. Group 3: Amgen - Amgen's shares faced a decline due to underperformance of its weight loss candidate, MariTide, but the company has a strong portfolio with over 10 blockbuster drugs [6]. - Key growth drivers include asthma medicine Tezspire and FDA-approved Tepezza for thyroid eye disease, supporting a strong revenue outlook [7]. - Since initiating dividends in 2011, Amgen has increased payouts by 750%, with a forward yield exceeding 3.5% [8]. Group 4: Bristol Myers Squibb - Bristol Myers is facing significant patent cliffs, particularly for its best-sellers Opdivo and Eliquis, but has managed to secure new approvals to mitigate revenue loss [9]. - Newer medicines like Reblozyl and Opdualag are expected to drive future sales growth [10]. - The company has increased its dividend by nearly 68% over the past decade, offering a yield of 5.1% [11]. Group 5: Zoetis - Zoetis, a leader in animal health, started the year with disappointing guidance but has a strong portfolio with 15 products generating over $100 million in annual sales [12]. - The company is expected to overcome current challenges with its key product Apoquel and has new approvals in the pipeline to drive growth [13]. - Zoetis has increased its dividends by about 500% over the past decade, although its yield is 1.4% [14].