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These Overlooked AI Stocks Could Deliver Market-Beating Returns
The Motley Fool· 2025-09-06 15:25
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights underappreciated small-cap stocks with AI connections that have the potential to outperform the market, specifically focusing on Sweetgreen and Amplitude as promising investment opportunities. Group 1: Sweetgreen - Sweetgreen is a fast-casual salad chain that is investing in a robotic assistant called the Infinite Kitchen to enhance service efficiency and reduce labor costs [4][6] - The company plans to retrofit existing restaurants with Infinite Kitchens and aims to open at least 40 new locations this year, with 20 of them utilizing this technology [5] - Despite recent underwhelming financial results and a significant stock decline, Sweetgreen's market cap has fallen to approximately $1 billion, indicating potential for recovery [7] - The company aims to expand its store count to at least 1,000 locations in the coming years, although it is currently experiencing losses and declining comparable-store sales [8] - Sweetgreen's recovery is contingent on improved macroeconomic conditions and consumer demand, but the stock holds significant upside potential if the Infinite Kitchens perform well [9] Group 2: Amplitude - Amplitude is a small-cap software company specializing in product analytics, helping businesses understand customer interactions with their digital products [10] - The company has enhanced its analytics platform with new AI agents that analyze data and provide insights, positioning itself as a leader in product analytics [11][12] - With a market cap of around $1.5 billion, Amplitude has substantial growth potential as it capitalizes on AI-related demand [12] - The company is experiencing accelerated growth after overcoming post-pandemic challenges, making it an attractive under-the-radar AI stock [13]
Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL) Presents At Citi's 2025 Global Technology, Media And Telecommunications Conference Transcript
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-04 22:48
Company Overview - Amplitude aims to enhance digital engagement for customers through mobile applications, websites, and desktop applications by providing detailed insights into user interactions [2] Product Offering - The company offers a product that tracks user interactions at a granular level, referred to as "events," which include actions like scrolling and time spent on content [2] - This feedback mechanism is designed to assist developers and product creators in continuously improving their products [2] Market Position - Amplitude addresses a common challenge faced by businesses in understanding user engagement, moving beyond traditional methods like screen captures to a more sophisticated analytical approach [2]
Amplitude (AMPL) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-09-04 21:10
Summary of Amplitude Conference Call Company Overview - Amplitude focuses on enhancing digital engagement for clients through detailed analytics of user interactions with applications, including mobile, web, and desktop platforms [3][4] - The company has evolved from core analytics to a broader platform approach, integrating capabilities like Experimentation, Session Replay, Guides, and Surveys [5] Core Business Insights - Amplitude's customer base is diverse, with over 30% being digital native companies, while also expanding into traditional enterprises like First American Title and retail giants like Walmart [8][9] - The company is increasingly appealing to various roles within organizations, including Chief Product Officers, Chief Digital Officers, and Chief Marketing Officers, indicating a broadening of its market reach [32] AI Integration - AI is viewed as a significant opportunity for Amplitude, with the potential to enhance developer productivity and increase the need for instrumentation [11][12] - The company is implementing agenda capabilities to optimize the use of its platform, allowing for increased productivity in experimentation and analysis [12][13] Customer Composition and ARR - 67% of Amplitude's Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) comes from multi-product customers, indicating a strong opportunity for cross-selling within the existing customer base [19][21] - The company has reduced the percentage of its install base that needs to be renewed from 89% to 72%, with a target of closer to 60% in the near future, which should improve sales productivity [27][28] Sales Strategy and Go-to-Market Improvements - Amplitude has shifted its sales strategy to focus on value-based selling and multi-year contracts, which has led to improved customer engagement and reduced churn [24][26] - The sales team is being trained to sell the entire platform rather than just individual products, enhancing the overall value proposition to customers [25] Financial Performance and Growth Strategy - The company aims to grow revenues faster than expenses, targeting operational leverage and positive operating income in the coming years [38][40] - Recent improvements in the sales pipeline and customer conversations indicate a positive outlook heading into year-end [52] M&A Strategy - Amplitude is focused on acquiring technology and teams that can quickly fill gaps in its capabilities, rather than pursuing large transformative acquisitions [41][42] - Recent acquisitions have been aimed at enhancing product offerings, such as Guides and Surveys, and improving the overall technology stack [43] Talent Acquisition - The company is actively working to attract top talent, particularly in AI, leveraging strong relationships within the startup community [45] - There is a growing pool of talent from universities that are well-versed in AI tools, which Amplitude is tapping into [46] Conclusion - Amplitude is positioned to leverage its diverse customer base, AI integration, and improved sales strategies to drive future growth and enhance its market presence [55]
Amplitude: A Value Stock With Recovering Metrics
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-03 22:52
To me, the stock market’s recent snapback from all-time highs is a clear signal that investors are tiring of high valuations amid an uncertain macroeconomic outlook. But while the majority of the market has been dominated by expensive large-cap tech, there are stillWith combined experience of covering technology companies on Wall Street and working in Silicon Valley, and serving as an outside adviser to several seed-round startups, Gary Alexander has exposure to many of the themes shaping the industry today ...
COHR vs. AMPL: Which Stock Should Value Investors Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2025-08-26 16:41
Investors looking for stocks in the Technology Services sector might want to consider either Coherent (COHR) or Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL) . But which of these two companies is the best option for those looking for undervalued stocks? Let's take a closer look.Everyone has their own methods for finding great value opportunities, but our model includes pairing an impressive grade in the Value category of our Style Scores system with a strong Zacks Rank. The proven Zacks Rank puts an emphasis on earnings estimates ...
Amplitude: The Case For Growth Acceleration Got Better
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-21 13:04
Analyst's Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or a ...
Amplitude (AMPL) Conference Transcript
2025-08-12 20:30
Amplitude (AMPL) Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Amplitude - **Industry**: Digital Analytics - **CFO**: Andrew Casey - **IPO**: 2021 Key Points and Arguments Company Evolution and Product Development - Amplitude started by providing digital analytics for startups and SMBs, focusing on B2C engagements like DoorDash and PayPal [3][4] - The company has expanded its product offerings beyond product analytics to include experimentation, session replay, web analytics, and marketing analytics [4][5] - Recent acquisitions include Command AI for guides and surveys, and Craftful for voice of the customer, enhancing the platform's capabilities [5] Growth Strategy - Amplitude is shifting its focus towards enterprise clients, moving from a transactional sales model to a value-oriented approach [6][7] - The company has seen acceleration in top-line growth due to improved execution and a focus on cross-selling its platform [8][9][55] - The integration of AI into its offerings is expected to further enhance customer engagement and operational efficiency [31][32] Market Position and Competition - Amplitude is increasingly competing with Adobe and Google Analytics, with improving win rates against these competitors [27][28] - The company is positioning itself as a comprehensive solution for marketing and product analytics, appealing to CMOs and Chief Data Analysts [24][25] AI Integration and Future Outlook - The introduction of agents to assist with digital engagement is expected to lower barriers for enterprises lacking resources for data science [31][36] - The agents will facilitate real-time experimentation and personalization, enhancing customer experiences [35][36] Financial Performance and Margins - Amplitude's pricing model is based on the number of events ingested into the platform, which is expected to increase as more channels are utilized [45][46] - The company aims to improve gross and operating margins by optimizing cloud hosting costs and increasing the adoption of multiple products by customers [60][62] - Sales and marketing expenses are targeted to decrease from 43% to the low 30s, while G&A is aimed to drop below 10% [64][65] Additional Important Insights - The company is building a services business to create a partner ecosystem, which may initially act as a headwind but is expected to generate billable utilization over time [63] - Amplitude's focus on a growth with leverage framework aims to grow revenues while controlling expense growth [64] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the Amplitude conference, highlighting the company's strategic direction, market positioning, and financial outlook.
This Software-as-a-Service Stock Is Getting Into Agentic AI, and It Could Be a Game-Changer
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-10 09:35
Core Insights - Amplitude is experiencing accelerating revenue growth, reporting its third consecutive quarter of growth driven by its platform strategy and new product features [2][3] - The company achieved a 16% increase in annual recurring revenue (ARR) to $335 million and a net-new ARR of $15 million, indicating strong business momentum [3][5] - Amplitude's dollar-based net retention rate reached 104%, the highest in six quarters, suggesting recovery from previous churn issues [3] Financial Performance - Revenue for the quarter rose 14% year over year to $83.3 million, exceeding the consensus estimate of $81.3 million [5] - The number of customers with an ARR of $100,000 or more increased by 16% to 634 [5] - Adjusted profit was reported at $0.01 per share, up from breakeven a year ago, and free cash flow nearly tripled from $6.8 million to $18.2 million [5] AI Strategy - Amplitude has made several acquisitions to enhance its platform and launch a suite of AI agents, including Command AI, June, Kraftful, and Inari [6][7] - The AI agents, currently in beta testing, are expected to be commercially available later this year, with promising features like Experiment and Insight Generation [8][9] - Customer feedback on the AI agents has been positive, indicating potential for significant value addition [9] Market Position - Amplitude received validation from Forester, being rated highest in the strength of offering in its first digital analytics solutions report [10] - The company’s third-quarter guidance projects revenue of $85 million to $87 million, reflecting a 17.3% increase [11] - With a market cap of $1.6 billion, Amplitude is positioned to compete against legacy providers like Google Analytics and Adobe Analytics, with its growth trajectory potentially enhanced by the new AI agents [12]
Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Amplitude (AMPL) Q2 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-08-07 18:30
Core Insights - Amplitude, Inc. reported revenue of $83.27 million for the quarter ended June 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 13.6% and a surprise of +2.58% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $81.17 million [1] - The company's EPS was $0.01, compared to $0 in the same quarter last year, indicating no EPS surprise against the consensus estimate of $0 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Dollar-based Net Retention Rate was 104%, exceeding the average estimate of 100.4% from three analysts [4] - The number of Paying Customers stood at 4,300, slightly below the average estimate of 4,379 from three analysts [4] - Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) reached $335 million, surpassing the two-analyst average estimate of $326.08 million [4] - Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) for less than or equal to 12 months were reported at $248,520, exceeding the two-analyst average estimate of $239,427.50 [4] Stock Performance - Over the past month, Amplitude's shares have returned -8.1%, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.2% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
Amplitude(AMPL) - 2025 Q2 - Quarterly Report
2025-08-06 22:52
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION [Item 1. Financial Statements (Unaudited)](index=7&type=section&id=Item%201.%20Financial%20Statements%20(Unaudited)) Amplitude, Inc.'s unaudited financial statements detail asset and liability changes, revenue growth, and net loss for the period ended June 30, 2025 [Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets](index=7&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Balance%20Sheets) The balance sheets show total assets and liabilities increased by June 30, 2025, while total stockholders' equity decreased, reflecting the period's net loss Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet Highlights (in thousands) | Account | June 30, 2025 | December 31, 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Total Assets** | **$456,610** | **$445,911** | | Cash and cash equivalents | $119,656 | $171,678 | | Total current assets | $286,792 | $303,631 | | **Total Liabilities** | **$177,106** | **$149,355** | | Deferred revenue | $136,659 | $109,671 | | Total current liabilities | $171,476 | $144,513 | | **Total Stockholders' Equity** | **$279,504** | **$296,556** | [Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations and Comprehensive Loss](index=8&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Operations%20and%20Comprehensive%20Loss) For the three and six months ended June 30, 2025, revenue increased, but net loss widened for both periods Statement of Operations Summary (in thousands, except per share data) | Metric | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | Six Months 2025 | Six Months 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Revenue | $83,270 | $73,300 | $163,223 | $145,924 | | Gross Profit | $60,458 | $53,815 | $120,207 | $107,550 | | Total Operating Expenses | $87,552 | $80,975 | $171,499 | $159,415 | | Net Loss | $(24,668) | $(23,415) | $(46,899) | $(44,875) | | Net Loss Per Share | $(0.19) | $(0.19) | $(0.36) | $(0.37) | [Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows](index=11&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Cash%20Flows) Net cash provided by operating activities increased for the six months ended June 30, 2025, while investing and financing activities used more cash Cash Flow Summary (in thousands) | Activity | Six Months Ended June 30, 2025 | Six Months Ended June 30, 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net cash provided by operating activities | $12,032 | $9,180 | | Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities | $(44,995) | $35,671 | | Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities | $(19,052) | $(10,997) | | **Net decrease in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash** | **$(52,015)** | **$33,854** | [Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements](index=12&type=section&id=Notes%20to%20Condensed%20Consolidated%20Financial%20Statements) These notes detail accounting policies, a significant increase in remaining performance obligations, a share repurchase program, and a subsequent acquisition - The company's business model is providing a Digital Analytics Platform as a subscription service (SaaS)[33](index=33&type=chunk) Remaining Performance Obligations (in thousands) | Period | June 30, 2025 | December 31, 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Less than or equal to 12 months | $248,520 | $223,320 | | Greater than 12 months | $109,574 | $85,315 | | **Total** | **$358,094** | **$308,635** | - On May 6, 2025, the Board approved a share repurchase program authorizing up to **$50.0 million** of the company's Class A common stock[83](index=83&type=chunk) - Subsequent to the quarter end, on July 3, 2025, the company acquired Kraftful, Inc. for an aggregate purchase price of **$3.7 million**[101](index=101&type=chunk) [Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations](index=30&type=section&id=Item%202.%20Management's%20Discussion%20and%20Analysis%20of%20Financial%20Condition%20and%20Results%20of%20Operations) Management discusses Q2 2025 revenue increase, ARR growth, stable gross margin, increased operating expenses, and the company's solid liquidity position Key Business Metrics as of June 30, | Metric | 2025 | 2024 | YoY Growth | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) | $335 million | $290 million | 16% | | Dollar-Based Net Retention Rate (TTM) | 99% | 98% | 1 ppt | | Paying Customers with ARR > $100k | 634 | 547 | 16% | - The company focuses on customer acquisition, AI-led platform investments, and international growth, with recent innovations including Amplitude AI Agents and new marketing capabilities[110](index=110&type=chunk)[112](index=112&type=chunk)[114](index=114&type=chunk) Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024 Results (in thousands) | Metric | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | $ Change | % Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Revenue | $83,270 | $73,300 | $9,970 | 14% | | Cost of Revenue | $22,812 | $19,485 | $3,327 | 17% | | Total Operating Expenses | $87,552 | $80,975 | $6,577 | 8% | - As of June 30, 2025, principal liquidity sources were **$119.7 million** in cash and equivalents and **$167.9 million** in marketable securities, deemed sufficient for the next 12 months[171](index=171&type=chunk)[172](index=172&type=chunk) [Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk](index=49&type=section&id=Item%203.%20Quantitative%20and%20Qualitative%20Disclosures%20About%20Market%20Risk) The company assesses market risks from interest rates and foreign currency, concluding that a hypothetical **10%** change would not materially affect financial results - The company's investments are exposed to interest rate fluctuations, but an immediate **10%** change in rates is not expected to have a material effect on portfolio fair value[188](index=188&type=chunk) - Operating expenses include foreign currency denominations, but exchange rate fluctuations have not been material, with a hypothetical **10%** change in the U.S. dollar not expected to have a material effect[189](index=189&type=chunk) - Management believes inflation has not had a material effect on the business, financial condition, or results of operations[190](index=190&type=chunk) [Item 4. Controls and Procedures](index=49&type=section&id=Item%204.%20Controls%20and%20Procedures) Management concluded the company's disclosure controls and procedures were effective as of June 30, 2025, with no material changes in internal control - The Principal Executive Officer and Principal Financial Officer concluded that disclosure controls and procedures were effective as of the period end[191](index=191&type=chunk) - No material changes in internal control over financial reporting occurred during the most recent fiscal quarter[192](index=192&type=chunk) PART II. OTHER INFORMATION [Item 1. Legal Proceedings](index=51&type=section&id=Item%201.%20Legal%20Proceedings) This section refers to Note 9 for details on legal proceedings, including dismissed securities class actions and ongoing privacy-related class actions - For details on legal proceedings, the report directs readers to Note 9 of the financial statements[195](index=195&type=chunk) [Item 1A. Risk Factors](index=51&type=section&id=Item%201A.%20Risk%20Factors) The company faces risks including a history of net losses, intense competition, reliance on third-party infrastructure, evolving privacy regulations, and concentrated voting power - The company has a history of net losses, reporting **$46.9 million** for the six months ended June 30, 2025, and an accumulated deficit of **$504.7 million**, with profitability not guaranteed[201](index=201&type=chunk) - The digital analytics market is highly competitive, posing risks of reduced sales, lower margins, or financial losses from large companies, in-house systems, and new entrants[216](index=216&type=chunk)[217](index=217&type=chunk) - A dual-class stock structure concentrates voting control with existing stockholders, executive officers, and directors, limiting Class A stockholders' influence on corporate matters[326](index=326&type=chunk) - The business is subject to evolving privacy laws like GDPR and CCPA, with non-compliance potentially leading to significant fines, reputational damage, and other liabilities[297](index=297&type=chunk)[298](index=298&type=chunk)[301](index=301&type=chunk) [Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds](index=104&type=section&id=Item%202.%20Unregistered%20Sales%20of%20Equity%20Securities%20and%20Use%20of%20Proceeds) In May 2025, the company repurchased Class A common shares and authorized a new share repurchase program Company Purchases of Equity Securities (Q2 2025) | Period | Total Shares Purchased | Average Price Paid per Share | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | April 2025 | — | $— | | May 2025 | 203,921 | $12.44 | | June 2025 | — | $— | | **Total** | **203,921** | **$12.44** | - A new repurchase program for up to **$50 million** was authorized on May 7, 2025, with no shares repurchased under it as of June 30, 2025[363](index=363&type=chunk) [Item 3. Defaults Upon Senior Securities](index=104&type=section&id=Item%203.%20Defaults%20Upon%20Senior%20Securities) None [Item 4. Mine Safety Disclosures](index=104&type=section&id=Item%204.%20Mine%20Safety%20Disclosures) Not Applicable [Item 5. Other Information](index=104&type=section&id=Item%205.%20Other%20Information) On May 15, 2025, President Thomas Hansen adopted a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan for the potential sale of Class A common shares - Thomas Hansen, President of the Company, adopted a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan on May 15, 2025, for the sale of up to **210,000** shares of Class A common stock[366](index=366&type=chunk) [Item 6. Exhibits](index=105&type=section&id=Item%206.%20Exhibits) This section lists exhibits filed with the Form 10-Q, including corporate governance documents and officer certifications