INVESTOR PRESENTATION: FIRST QUARTER 2025 TABLE OF CONTENTS Safe Harbor and Other Information 3 Company Overview 5 Q1 2025 Results 15 Appendix 21 2 SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT UNDER THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 This presentation contains forward-looking statements (as such term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995). These statements, including, without limitation, statements regarding our second quarter and annual fiscal 2025 results, relate to our current ass ...

Record first quarter net sales of $1.1 billion, up 8% from last year, exceeding outlookNet sales growth across regions, with Americas up 7%, EMEA up 12% and APAC up 5%Brand performance led by Hollister brands’ growth of 22% with Abercrombie brands down 4% compared to last yearProfitability exceeds company outlook with operating margin of 9.3%, earnings per share of $1.59Repurchased 2.6 million shares for $200 million, representing 5% of shares outstanding at February 1, 2025 NEW ALBANY, Ohio, May 28, 2025 ( ...

Group 1 - Abercrombie & Fitch Co. is set to release its first-quarter earnings results on May 28, with expected earnings of $1.33 per share, a decrease from $2.14 per share in the same period last year [1] - The company anticipates quarterly revenue of $1.06 billion, an increase from $1.02 billion a year earlier [1] - In the fourth quarter, Abercrombie & Fitch reported adjusted earnings per share of $3.57, surpassing the analyst consensus of $3.52, with quarterly sales of $1.585 billion exceeding estimates of $1.563 billion [2] Group 2 - Analyst ratings for Abercrombie & Fitch show varied opinions, with Raymond James maintaining an Outperform rating and lowering the price target from $110 to $90 [7] - JP Morgan also maintained an Overweight rating but cut the price target from $155 to $142 [7] - UBS increased its price target from $115 to $130 while maintaining a Buy rating [7] - Barclays initiated coverage with an Equal-Weight rating and a price target of $71 [7] - Citigroup maintained a Buy rating but lowered the price target from $135 to $98 [7]

Core Viewpoint - Abercrombie & Fitch Co. is expected to report first-quarter fiscal 2025 results on May 28, with projected revenues of $1.06 billion, indicating a 3.7% growth year-over-year, but earnings per share are anticipated to decline by 36.5% to $1.36 compared to the previous year [1][2]. Financial Performance - The consensus estimate for Abercrombie's first-quarter earnings is $1.36 per share, down from $2.14 in the same quarter last year, reflecting a 36.5% decline [2]. - The company has seen a 4.2% decrease in earnings estimates over the past week, and it has historically delivered an earnings surprise of 14% on average over the last four quarters [2][3]. - The operating margin for the first quarter is expected to be between 8-9%, a significant drop from 12.7% a year ago, with EPS guidance of $1.25-$1.45 [6]. Sales Trends - Abercrombie is experiencing a slowdown in sales growth, projecting a 4-6% increase for the first quarter of fiscal 2025, a stark contrast to the 22% growth in the same period last year [4]. - The company anticipates a 9% increase in adjusted operating expenses and a 26.4% decline in adjusted operating income for the fiscal first quarter [7]. Cost Pressures - Elevated operating and freight costs are expected to pressure margins, with the company forecasting continued margin pressure in the first half of fiscal 2025 [5][19]. - The impact of U.S. tariffs on imports from China, Canada, and Mexico is projected to cost the company $5 million in fiscal 2025 [8]. Brand Performance - Despite slowing sales growth, Abercrombie benefits from strong brand performance, with projected sales growth of 9.9% for the Hollister brand and 1.7% for Abercrombie [9]. - The company has improved store traffic through fashion trends and store optimization, enhancing the shopping experience and supporting e-commerce growth [10]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Abercrombie's shares have declined 51.3% over the past year, underperforming its industry peers, while trading at a forward P/E multiple of 6.79X, below the industry average of 17.68X [11][16]. - The stock is currently priced at $73.17, which is 62.9% below its 52-week high of $196.99 [15]. Strategic Outlook - The company has focused on rebranding and premium casual wear, which has improved brand perception and sales growth [18]. - However, the near-term outlook is challenged by cost pressures and a deceleration in sales momentum, indicating a transition out of a high-growth phase [20][21].

Group 1 - Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) is expected to report fiscal Q1 earnings on May 28, 2025, with projected earnings of $1.34 per share and revenue of $1.06 billion, indicating a 37% decrease in earnings year-over-year but a 4% increase in sales compared to the previous year [1] - The company recorded full-year 2024 net sales of $4.95 billion, a 16% year-over-year increase, and achieved its highest operating margin in over a decade at 15% [2] - For 2025, net sales growth is projected to slow to 3%-5%, with operating margins expected to decrease slightly to 14%-15% due to trade tariff uncertainties [2] Group 2 - Historically, ANF stock has dropped 60% of the time after earnings announcements, with a median one-day decrease of 1.9% and a maximum decline of 10% [1] - Over the last five years, there have been 20 earnings data points for ANF, with positive one-day returns observed approximately 40% of the time, increasing to 50% in the last three years [6] - The median of positive one-day returns was 2.4%, while the median of negative returns was -1.9% [6]

Group 1 - Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) is perceived as a "deep value" investment opportunity, trading at just under 7 times forward earnings [1] - The company has experienced a significant decline in its stock price, indicating potential undervaluation [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of listening to market signals to identify investment opportunities [1]

Core Insights - Analysts project Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) will report quarterly earnings of $1.36 per share, a decline of 36.5% year over year, with revenues expected to reach $1.06 billion, an increase of 3.7% from the same quarter last year [1] Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 3.2% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a collective reevaluation by analysts [2] - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3] Key Metrics Projections - Analysts estimate 'Net sales - Hollister' at $498.67 million, reflecting an 11% increase from the previous year [5] - 'Net sales - Abercrombie' is projected at $575.23 million, indicating a year-over-year change of 0.7% [5] - The total number of stores is expected to reach 797, up from 750 a year ago [5] Comparable Store Sales - 'Comparable store sales - Hollister' are forecasted to reach a year-over-year change of 8.8%, down from 13% in the same quarter last year [6] - 'Comparable store sales - Abercrombie' are expected to decline by 6.4%, compared to a 29% increase in the previous year [6] - The total 'Comparable store sales - YoY change' is projected at 1.3%, significantly lower than the 21% reported in the same quarter last year [7] Stock Performance - Abercrombie shares have returned +5.1% over the past month, underperforming compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +10.7% change [7] - With a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), ANF is anticipated to lag behind overall market performance in the near future [7]

Core Viewpoint - Abercrombie & Fitch is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues, which could significantly influence its stock price in the near term [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on May 28, 2025, with a consensus estimate of $1.40 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 34.6% [3]. - Revenues are projected to reach $1.07 billion, indicating a 5.3% increase compared to the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.22% over the last 30 days, suggesting a collective reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings outlook [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, leading to an Earnings ESP of -4.22%, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the likelihood of actual earnings deviating from consensus estimates, with a strong predictive power for positive readings [7][8]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 have historically shown a nearly 70% chance of delivering a positive surprise [8]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Abercrombie exceeded the expected earnings of $3.48 per share by posting $3.57, resulting in a surprise of +2.59% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [13]. Conclusion - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, various factors can influence stock movement, and the current indicators suggest that Abercrombie may not be a strong candidate for an earnings surprise [14][16].

Group 1 - Abercrombie & Fitch Co. will host its quarterly earnings conference call on May 28, 2025, at 8:30 a.m. ET, with a press release on first quarter results expected at 7:30 a.m. ET [1] - Participants must register to obtain a dial-in phone number and access code for the conference call [2] - A live webcast of the call will be available on the company's investor relations website, with a replay accessible shortly after the call ends [7] Group 2 - Abercrombie & Fitch Co. is a global, digitally led omnichannel specialty retailer of apparel and accessories, targeting kids through millennials [4] - The company operates approximately 790 stores across North America, Europe, Asia, and the Middle East, along with several e-commerce sites [5] - The family of brands includes Abercrombie and Hollister, focusing on quality and comfort for their customers [5]

Group 1 - Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) closed at $73.07, reflecting a -0.95% change from the previous day, underperforming compared to the S&P 500's 2.03% gain [1] - Over the past month, Abercrombie & Fitch shares have decreased by 2.58%, which is a smaller decline than the Retail-Wholesale sector's loss of 2.36% and the S&P 500's loss of 5.07% [1] Group 2 - Abercrombie & Fitch is projected to report earnings of $1.48 per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 30.84%, with anticipated revenue of $1.07 billion, representing a 5.28% increase from the same quarter last year [2] - For the full year, analysts expect earnings of $11.01 per share and revenue of $5.17 billion, reflecting changes of +2.99% and +4.4% respectively from the previous year [3] Group 3 - Recent shifts in analyst projections for Abercrombie & Fitch should be monitored, as upward revisions indicate positive sentiment regarding the company's business operations and profit generation capabilities [4] - Estimate revisions are correlated with near-term share price momentum, and the Zacks Rank system, which evaluates these changes, provides an operational rating system [5] Group 4 - The Zacks Rank system ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), with 1 stocks historically delivering an average annual return of +25% since 1988; Abercrombie & Fitch currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [6] - The Forward P/E ratio for Abercrombie & Fitch is 6.7, indicating a discount compared to its industry's Forward P/E of 12.91 [7] Group 5 - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 139, placing it in the bottom 44% of over 250 industries [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the strength of industry groups by calculating the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks, with top-rated industries outperforming the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]