Core Viewpoint - Abercrombie & Fitch Co. is expected to report first-quarter fiscal 2025 results on May 28, with projected revenues of $1.06 billion, indicating a 3.7% growth year-over-year, but earnings per share are anticipated to decline by 36.5% to $1.36 compared to the previous year [1][2]. Financial Performance - The consensus estimate for Abercrombie's first-quarter earnings is $1.36 per share, down from $2.14 in the same quarter last year, reflecting a 36.5% decline [2]. - The company has seen a 4.2% decrease in earnings estimates over the past week, and it has historically delivered an earnings surprise of 14% on average over the last four quarters [2][3]. - The operating margin for the first quarter is expected to be between 8-9%, a significant drop from 12.7% a year ago, with EPS guidance of $1.25-$1.45 [6]. Sales Trends - Abercrombie is experiencing a slowdown in sales growth, projecting a 4-6% increase for the first quarter of fiscal 2025, a stark contrast to the 22% growth in the same period last year [4]. - The company anticipates a 9% increase in adjusted operating expenses and a 26.4% decline in adjusted operating income for the fiscal first quarter [7]. Cost Pressures - Elevated operating and freight costs are expected to pressure margins, with the company forecasting continued margin pressure in the first half of fiscal 2025 [5][19]. - The impact of U.S. tariffs on imports from China, Canada, and Mexico is projected to cost the company $5 million in fiscal 2025 [8]. Brand Performance - Despite slowing sales growth, Abercrombie benefits from strong brand performance, with projected sales growth of 9.9% for the Hollister brand and 1.7% for Abercrombie [9]. - The company has improved store traffic through fashion trends and store optimization, enhancing the shopping experience and supporting e-commerce growth [10]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Abercrombie's shares have declined 51.3% over the past year, underperforming its industry peers, while trading at a forward P/E multiple of 6.79X, below the industry average of 17.68X [11][16]. - The stock is currently priced at $73.17, which is 62.9% below its 52-week high of $196.99 [15]. Strategic Outlook - The company has focused on rebranding and premium casual wear, which has improved brand perception and sales growth [18]. - However, the near-term outlook is challenged by cost pressures and a deceleration in sales momentum, indicating a transition out of a high-growth phase [20][21].

Group 1 - Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) is expected to report fiscal Q1 earnings on May 28, 2025, with projected earnings of $1.34 per share and revenue of $1.06 billion, indicating a 37% decrease in earnings year-over-year but a 4% increase in sales compared to the previous year [1] - The company recorded full-year 2024 net sales of $4.95 billion, a 16% year-over-year increase, and achieved its highest operating margin in over a decade at 15% [2] - For 2025, net sales growth is projected to slow to 3%-5%, with operating margins expected to decrease slightly to 14%-15% due to trade tariff uncertainties [2] Group 2 - Historically, ANF stock has dropped 60% of the time after earnings announcements, with a median one-day decrease of 1.9% and a maximum decline of 10% [1] - Over the last five years, there have been 20 earnings data points for ANF, with positive one-day returns observed approximately 40% of the time, increasing to 50% in the last three years [6] - The median of positive one-day returns was 2.4%, while the median of negative returns was -1.9% [6]

Group 1 - Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) is perceived as a "deep value" investment opportunity, trading at just under 7 times forward earnings [1] - The company has experienced a significant decline in its stock price, indicating potential undervaluation [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of listening to market signals to identify investment opportunities [1]

Core Insights - Analysts project Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) will report quarterly earnings of $1.36 per share, a decline of 36.5% year over year, with revenues expected to reach $1.06 billion, an increase of 3.7% from the same quarter last year [1] Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 3.2% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a collective reevaluation by analysts [2] - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3] Key Metrics Projections - Analysts estimate 'Net sales - Hollister' at $498.67 million, reflecting an 11% increase from the previous year [5] - 'Net sales - Abercrombie' is projected at $575.23 million, indicating a year-over-year change of 0.7% [5] - The total number of stores is expected to reach 797, up from 750 a year ago [5] Comparable Store Sales - 'Comparable store sales - Hollister' are forecasted to reach a year-over-year change of 8.8%, down from 13% in the same quarter last year [6] - 'Comparable store sales - Abercrombie' are expected to decline by 6.4%, compared to a 29% increase in the previous year [6] - The total 'Comparable store sales - YoY change' is projected at 1.3%, significantly lower than the 21% reported in the same quarter last year [7] Stock Performance - Abercrombie shares have returned +5.1% over the past month, underperforming compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +10.7% change [7] - With a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), ANF is anticipated to lag behind overall market performance in the near future [7]

今年，这份全球商界女性领袖的权威榜单迈入第28个年头。这份榜单既揭晓了当下最具有影响力的领导 者，也展示了未来有望攀登更高峰的潜力者。 "全球最具影响力的商界女性榜单"历来以数据为导向，依据高管所在企业规模、运营状况或损益表进行 评选，而今年的评选更是强化了数据维度。《财富》杂志首次采用更复杂的评分系统，除了基于业务指 标（涵盖12个月和三年周期数据），还结合高管的影响力、创新能力、职业轨迹以及为改善业务所做的 努力等维度为候选人赋值。该系统更倾向于首席执行官群体，因此，部分担任其他高管职位的上榜者在 榜单上的排名较往年有所下滑。 随着更多女性执掌举足轻重的企业，这份榜单的竞争变得更加激烈。今年排名前三位的分别是：蝉联榜 首的通用汽车公司首席执行官玛丽·巴拉（Mary Barra）、埃森哲首席执行官朱莉·斯威特（Julie Sweet） 和花旗集团首席执行官简·弗雷泽（Jane Fraser）。此外，还有来自沃尔玛、Netflix等全球顶尖企业的资 深领导者。 略超半数的上榜女性在美国工作，美国在推动女性登上企业最高层方面仍然大幅领先其他国家；其余48 位上榜者来自其他国家，覆盖19个国家和地区。紧随美国之后 ...

Core Viewpoint - Abercrombie & Fitch is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues, which could significantly influence its stock price in the near term [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on May 28, 2025, with a consensus estimate of $1.40 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 34.6% [3]. - Revenues are projected to reach $1.07 billion, indicating a 5.3% increase compared to the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.22% over the last 30 days, suggesting a collective reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings outlook [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, leading to an Earnings ESP of -4.22%, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the likelihood of actual earnings deviating from consensus estimates, with a strong predictive power for positive readings [7][8]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 have historically shown a nearly 70% chance of delivering a positive surprise [8]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Abercrombie exceeded the expected earnings of $3.48 per share by posting $3.57, resulting in a surprise of +2.59% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [13]. Conclusion - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, various factors can influence stock movement, and the current indicators suggest that Abercrombie may not be a strong candidate for an earnings surprise [14][16].

Group 1 - Abercrombie & Fitch Co. will host its quarterly earnings conference call on May 28, 2025, at 8:30 a.m. ET, with a press release on first quarter results expected at 7:30 a.m. ET [1] - Participants must register to obtain a dial-in phone number and access code for the conference call [2] - A live webcast of the call will be available on the company's investor relations website, with a replay accessible shortly after the call ends [7] Group 2 - Abercrombie & Fitch Co. is a global, digitally led omnichannel specialty retailer of apparel and accessories, targeting kids through millennials [4] - The company operates approximately 790 stores across North America, Europe, Asia, and the Middle East, along with several e-commerce sites [5] - The family of brands includes Abercrombie and Hollister, focusing on quality and comfort for their customers [5]

Group 1 - Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) closed at $73.07, reflecting a -0.95% change from the previous day, underperforming compared to the S&P 500's 2.03% gain [1] - Over the past month, Abercrombie & Fitch shares have decreased by 2.58%, which is a smaller decline than the Retail-Wholesale sector's loss of 2.36% and the S&P 500's loss of 5.07% [1] Group 2 - Abercrombie & Fitch is projected to report earnings of $1.48 per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 30.84%, with anticipated revenue of $1.07 billion, representing a 5.28% increase from the same quarter last year [2] - For the full year, analysts expect earnings of $11.01 per share and revenue of $5.17 billion, reflecting changes of +2.99% and +4.4% respectively from the previous year [3] Group 3 - Recent shifts in analyst projections for Abercrombie & Fitch should be monitored, as upward revisions indicate positive sentiment regarding the company's business operations and profit generation capabilities [4] - Estimate revisions are correlated with near-term share price momentum, and the Zacks Rank system, which evaluates these changes, provides an operational rating system [5] Group 4 - The Zacks Rank system ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), with 1 stocks historically delivering an average annual return of +25% since 1988; Abercrombie & Fitch currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [6] - The Forward P/E ratio for Abercrombie & Fitch is 6.7, indicating a discount compared to its industry's Forward P/E of 12.91 [7] Group 5 - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 139, placing it in the bottom 44% of over 250 industries [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the strength of industry groups by calculating the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks, with top-rated industries outperforming the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]

Is ANF's Stock Performance Impressive? In the year-to-date period, Abercrombie's shares have lost 51.3% compared with the broader industry's decline of 29.4%. The company has also underperformed the Zacks Retail-Wholesale sector's decline of 8.1% and the S&P 500's fall of 10.5%. ANF's performance is notably weaker than its competitors, American Eagle, Gap and Urban Outfitters, which have declined 35.6%, 19.2% and 12.7%, respectively, in the year-to-date period. Abercrombie & Fitch Company (ANF) has been wit ...

Market Sentiment - Fund managers are currently exhibiting the most negative sentiment regarding economic prospects in three decades, with a significant shift from being 17% overweight in U.S. stocks in February to a net 36% underweight in April, representing a 50% change [3][7]. - The current cash allocation among fund managers stands at about 5% of assets, which is not viewed as a sign of fear but rather a typical position for many investors [5][6]. Retail Sector Insights - The State Street S&P retail ETF has declined approximately 16% since January, which is double the decline of the total S&P 500, indicating heightened pessimism in the retail sector [9]. - Retailers are encouraged to proactively address tariff-related issues and supply chain challenges, particularly as many products are sourced from China, which is currently facing tariff disputes [10][11]. Abercrombie & Fitch Analysis - Abercrombie & Fitch has shown growth in earnings and sales, with a 14% year-on-year increase in comparable sales, yet its stock trades at about seven times earnings and cash flow, suggesting it may be undervalued [14][15]. - The company has a significant share repurchase authorization of $1.3 billion against a market cap of $3.5 billion, indicating management's confidence in the stock's value [15][16]. - Concerns exist regarding the company's ability to maintain relevance in fashion trends and whether it can sustain its buyback strategy amid potential economic downturns [16][18]. Economic Outlook - Historical trends suggest that deploying capital during periods of pessimism can yield positive long-term results, as markets tend to recover over time [9][10]. - The current economic climate, characterized by tariff disputes and supply chain issues, may present both challenges and opportunities for long-term investors [10][11].