Industry Overview - The first-quarter earnings season for the drug and biotech sector is underway, with major companies like Pfizer, Eli Lilly, Amgen, Biogen, and Regeneron set to announce results [1] - Johnson & Johnson and Merck have reported results, both exceeding first-quarter estimates for earnings and sales, while Sanofi had mixed results, beating earnings estimates but missing sales [1] Earnings Trends - As of April 23, 15% of companies in the Medical sector, representing 33.8% of the sector's market capitalization, reported quarterly earnings, with 77.8% surpassing estimates for both earnings and revenues [3] - Year-over-year earnings increased by 4.7%, and revenues rose by 9.4% [3] - Overall, first-quarter earnings for the Medical sector are expected to increase by 35%, while sales are projected to rise by 7.8% compared to the previous year [3] Company Performance Pfizer (PFE) - Pfizer has consistently exceeded earnings expectations in the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 44.16% [5] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter sales and earnings is $13.88 billion and 64 cents per share, respectively [6] - Non-COVID operational revenues are driving growth, supported by products like Vyndaqel, Padcev, and Eliquis, despite a decline in sales of COVID products [7] Eli Lilly (LLY) - Eli Lilly has had mixed performance, exceeding earnings expectations in three of the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 8.47% [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for sales and earnings is $12.62 billion and $3.52 per share, respectively [8] - Growth is expected to be driven by demand for FDA-approved tirzepatide medicines, although sales of Mounjaro and Zepbound were below expectations [9][10] Amgen (AMGN) - Amgen has shown strong performance, beating earnings estimates in each of the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 5.23% [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter sales and earnings is $7.96 billion and $4.15 per share, respectively [11] - Product sales are expected to be driven by strong volume growth, although prices may decline due to higher rebates [12] Biogen (BIIB) - Biogen has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 11.80% [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for sales and earnings is $2.23 billion and $3.52 per share, respectively [13] - Lower sales of multiple sclerosis drugs are likely to be offset by revenues from new drugs [14] Regeneron (REGN) - Regeneron has had mixed results, surpassing earnings expectations in three of the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 3.23% [16] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter sales and earnings is $3.28 billion and $8.43 per share, respectively [17] - Sales of Eylea are expected to have declined due to competition, but sales of Eylea HD and Dupixent are likely to have surged [18][19]

Company Overview - Biogen Inc. (BIIB) is a profit-generating company that has experienced significant declines in earnings and share price over recent years, primarily due to decreasing revenue from its legacy Multiple Sclerosis treatments [1]. Investment Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of patient investing through both good and bad times, highlighting that wealth is created through the slow accumulation of high-quality assets [1]. - It suggests that mixing a steady investment approach with high-risk/high-reward opportunities and transformative technologies can enhance the investment experience [1].

The market expects Biogen Inc. (BIIB) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended March 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The earnings report, which is expected to be released on May 1, 2025, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better ...

Core Viewpoint - Biogen is expected to report first-quarter 2025 results on May 1, with sales and earnings estimates at $2.24 billion and $3.34 per share, respectively. The company faces challenges from declining sales of multiple sclerosis (MS) drugs, which may be offset by revenues from new drugs [1][2][5]. Sales Performance of MS Drugs - Sales of Biogen's MS drugs, including Tecfidera and Tysabri, are anticipated to decline due to increased competition and the introduction of generic versions in various markets [2][5]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Tecfidera sales is $199.0 million, while the internal estimate is $185.7 million. For Tysabri, the estimates are $363.0 million and $348.6 million, respectively [3][4]. - Vumerity's sales rose in the fourth quarter due to higher demand, with estimates for the first quarter at $141.0 million (Zacks) and $139.8 million (internal) [4]. Impact of Biosimilars and Generics - The decline in MS revenues is expected to be more pronounced in 2025 due to the anticipated entry of biosimilars for Tysabri and generics for Tecfidera in certain European markets [5]. Other Drug Sales - Spinraza's sales improved in the fourth quarter, but demand may have decreased in the first quarter, with estimates at $364.0 million (Zacks) and $338.1 million (internal) [6]. - Sales of Skyclarys for Friedreich's ataxia are expected to rise year-over-year, with estimates at $110.0 million (Zacks) and $111.4 million (internal) [7]. - Zurzuvae's launch has exceeded expectations, with strong patient demand likely contributing to improved sales in the first quarter [8][9]. Alzheimer's Collaboration and Revenues - Revenues from contract manufacturing, royalties, and Alzheimer's collaboration are expected to rise, particularly from the drug Leqembi, which has shown strong sales growth in recent quarters [10][11]. - Leqembi's sales have improved sequentially, with strong growth noted in China and Japan, and it was recently approved in the European Union [11][12]. Overall Revenue Expectations - Overall revenues for the first quarter of 2025 are expected to be negatively impacted by seasonality, higher discounts, and channel dynamics in the U.S., along with foreign exchange headwinds [13]. Key Events - Biogen announced a collaboration with Stoke Therapeutics to develop zorevunersen for Dravet syndrome, with a pivotal study expected to begin in the first quarter of 2025 [14]. Earnings Surprise History - Biogen has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the past four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 11.8%. However, the current model does not predict a beat for the upcoming quarter, with an Earnings ESP of -15.8% [15][16][17].

Core Viewpoint - The European Commission has granted marketing authorization for Leqembi (lecanemab) to treat early Alzheimer's disease, marking a significant regulatory milestone for Biogen and Eisai [1][4][7]. Company Developments - Biogen's partner, Eisai, is responsible for the clinical development and regulatory submissions for Leqembi, although both companies co-commercialize the drug [2]. - Biogen's stock has decreased by 23.5% year-to-date, contrasting with a 6.5% decline in the industry [3]. Regulatory Approval Process - The approval for Leqembi followed a series of delays, including a negative opinion from the European Medicines Agency's Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) in July 2024 [4][5]. - The CHMP initially raised concerns about the drug's safety, particularly regarding amyloid-related imaging abnormalities (ARIA) [6]. - After reassessing new safety data, the CHMP reaffirmed its positive opinion for Leqembi in February 2025 [9]. Market Performance - Leqembi has been approved in multiple countries, including the United States, China, Japan, and Great Britain [10]. - Sales of Leqembi showed a sequential improvement, with Eisai reporting nearly $87 million in global revenues in Q4 2024, reflecting a 30% increase [11]. Future Prospects - A less frequent maintenance intravenous dosing version of Leqembi was approved by the FDA in January 2025, with a subcutaneous autoinjector under review [12]. - Both companies believe Leqembi has the potential to achieve blockbuster sales due to the significant unmet medical need for Alzheimer's treatments [12]. Competitive Landscape - Leqembi and Eli Lilly's Kisunla are currently the only two FDA-approved drugs for early symptomatic Alzheimer's disease [13]. - Both drugs target the reduction of amyloid beta (Aβ) plaque in the brain, which is associated with cognitive decline in Alzheimer's patients [14].

Core Insights - Lecanemab has received Marketing Authorization in the EU, marking it as the first therapy targeting the underlying cause of Alzheimer's disease to be approved in this region [1][2] - The treatment is specifically indicated for adult patients with mild cognitive impairment and mild dementia due to Alzheimer's disease who are ApoE ε4 non-carriers or heterozygotes with confirmed amyloid pathology [1][2] - The approval applies to all 27 EU Member States, as well as Iceland, Liechtenstein, and Norway [1][3] Company Overview - Eisai Co., Ltd. and Biogen Inc. are collaborating on the development and commercialization of lecanemab, with Eisai leading the global development and regulatory submissions [2][8] - The approval of lecanemab in the EU is the thirteenth approval globally, following its benefits to thousands of patients in the U.S., Japan, and other regions [2][6] - Eisai aims to work with national reimbursement authorities and healthcare providers to ensure access to lecanemab for eligible patients as soon as possible [2] Clinical Data - The authorization was based on Phase 3 data from the Clarity AD clinical trial, which involved 1,795 patients with early Alzheimer's disease [4][6] - In the trial, lecanemab reduced clinical decline on the CDR-SB scale by 31% at 18 months compared to placebo [4][6] - The secondary endpoint showed a 33% less decline in daily living activities for patients treated with lecanemab compared to placebo [4][6] Market Context - Alzheimer's disease currently affects an estimated 15.2 million people with mild cognitive impairment and 6.9 million with mild dementia in Europe, indicating a significant unmet need for effective treatments [1][6] - Lecanemab is the only approved Aβ monoclonal antibody that preferentially binds and clears toxic protofibrils, which are key contributors to neuronal injury in Alzheimer's disease [1][4] - The approval of lecanemab represents a landmark advancement in a field that has seen little innovation over the past two decades [2][6]

Core Insights - Lecanemab has received Marketing Authorization in the EU, marking it as the first therapy targeting the underlying cause of Alzheimer's disease to be approved in this region [1][2][6] - The treatment is specifically indicated for adult patients with mild cognitive impairment and mild dementia due to Alzheimer's disease who are non-carriers or heterozygotes of the ApoE ε4 gene [1][2][6] - The approval applies to all 27 EU Member States, as well as Iceland, Liechtenstein, and Norway [1][2] Company Overview - Eisai and Biogen are collaborating on the development and commercialization of lecanemab, with Eisai leading global regulatory submissions and having final decision-making authority [2][10] - The approval of lecanemab in the EU is the thirteenth approval globally, following its success in the U.S., Japan, and other regions [2][6] - Eisai aims to work with national reimbursement authorities to ensure access to lecanemab for eligible patients as soon as possible [2] Clinical Data - The authorization was based on Phase 3 data from the Clarity AD clinical trial, which involved 1,795 patients and demonstrated a 31% reduction in clinical decline on the CDR-SB scale at 18 months compared to placebo [6][7] - The trial showed that lecanemab reduced the mean change from baseline on the CDR-SB score by 0.535 points compared to placebo [6][7] - Secondary endpoints indicated a 33% less decline in the ADCS MCI-ADL score for lecanemab compared to placebo at 18 months [7] Market Context - Alzheimer's disease currently affects an estimated 15.2 million people with mild cognitive impairment and 6.9 million with mild dementia in Europe, highlighting a significant unmet need for effective treatments [1][2][6] - Lecanemab is positioned as a groundbreaking treatment in a field that has seen little innovation over the past two decades [2][6] Safety Profile - Common adverse reactions reported in the clinical trial included infusion-related reactions (26%), ARIA-H (13%), headache (11%), and ARIA-E (9%) [7] - The treatment is subject to additional monitoring to quickly identify new safety information [4]

Company Overview - Biogen Inc. (BIIB) shares increased by 5.7% to close at $120.49, following a broader market rally after President Trump's announcement of a 90-day pause on tariffs against non-retaliating countries [1] - The stock had previously experienced a 20.6% loss over the past four weeks [1] Earnings Expectations - Biogen is expected to report quarterly earnings of $3.59 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 2.2% [2] - Revenue projections stand at $2.24 billion, also down 2.2% from the same quarter last year [2] Stock Performance Insights - The consensus EPS estimate for Biogen has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating a lack of upward momentum in earnings estimate revisions [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), suggesting a neutral outlook [3] Industry Comparison - Biogen operates within the Zacks Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry, where another company, Qiagen (QGEN), saw a 6.8% increase in its stock price, closing at $41.43 [3] - Qiagen's consensus EPS estimate is $0.49, representing a year-over-year increase of 4.3%, with its Zacks Rank also at 3 (Hold) [4]

Core Viewpoint - Biogen's investigational Alzheimer's disease drug, BIIB080, has received fast track designation from the FDA, which may expedite its development and review process [1][2]. Group 1: Fast Track Designation Benefits - Fast track designation aims to facilitate the development and expedite the review of drugs addressing serious conditions and unmet medical needs [2]. - The designation allows for rolling review, enabling Biogen to submit completed sections of its regulatory filing for BIIB080 as they become available, potentially speeding up the review process [2]. Group 2: BIIB080 Overview - BIIB080 is an investigational antisense oligonucleotide therapy targeting tau protein, which is linked to neurodegeneration and cognitive decline in Alzheimer's disease [5][6]. - The drug is currently being evaluated in the phase II CELIA study for early-stage Alzheimer's, with patient enrollment recently completed and data expected next year [5][6]. - Previous phase Ib study data indicated that BIIB080 treatment resulted in dose-dependent reductions in tau protein levels in cerebrospinal fluid and decreased tau buildup in the brain, along with positive trends in cognitive and functional measures [6]. Group 3: Partnership and Market Context - BIIB080 is developed in partnership with Ionis Pharmaceuticals, from which Biogen licensed exclusive global rights in December 2019, with Ionis eligible for royalties on potential sales [7]. - In the Alzheimer's drug market, two FDA-approved drugs, Leqembi and Kisunla, are currently available, both targeting amyloid beta plaque accumulation, a primary cause of cognitive decline [8][9].

Core Viewpoint - The FDA has granted Fast Track designation to Biogen's investigational therapy BIIB080 for Alzheimer's disease, highlighting the urgent need for innovative treatments targeting tau pathology [1][2]. Company Overview - Biogen is a leading biotechnology company founded in 1978, focused on pioneering innovative science to deliver new medicines and create value for shareholders and communities [5]. Product Development - BIIB080 is the first tau-targeting antisense oligonucleotide (ASO) therapy in clinical development for Alzheimer's disease, currently evaluated in the global Phase 2 CELIA study for individuals with early-stage disease [2][3]. - Previous Phase 1b study results indicated dose-dependent reductions in soluble tau protein in cerebrospinal fluid and decreases in aggregated tau pathology in the brain, with favorable trends in exploratory clinical outcomes [2][3]. - The Phase 2 CELIA study is fully enrolled, with data readout expected in 2026 [2]. Licensing and Collaboration - In December 2019, Biogen exercised a license option with Ionis Pharmaceuticals to obtain a worldwide, exclusive, royalty-bearing license for the development and commercialization of BIIB080 [4].