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Chipotle Gears Up to Post Q1 Earnings: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-04-21 13:35
Core Viewpoint - Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is set to report its first-quarter 2025 results, with expectations of earnings and revenue growth despite potential headwinds from rising costs and weather disruptions [1][16]. Earnings Performance - In the last reported quarter, Chipotle's earnings exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.2%, maintaining a strong record of surpassing earnings expectations with an average surprise of 9.2% over the last four quarters [1][2]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter earnings is 28 cents per share, reflecting a 3.7% increase from the previous year's 27 cents [6]. Revenue Expectations - The consensus estimate for quarterly revenues is $2.93 billion, indicating an 8.5% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Factors Influencing Performance - Chipotle's performance is expected to benefit from strong digitalization, expansion efforts, and the introduction of new menu items like Chipotle Honey Chicken [6]. - Digital orders account for over a third of sales, with enhancements in mobile app functionality and drive-thru services contributing to increased average check sizes and operational efficiency [7][8]. Cost and Margin Analysis - Food, beverage, and packaging costs are projected to rise by 11.5% to $869 million, while labor costs are expected to increase by 9.7% to $723.5 million [10]. - The predicted restaurant-level margin for the first quarter is 26.3%, down from 27.5% in the previous year [10]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Chipotle's shares have declined by 16.5% over the past year, underperforming the Zacks Retail – Restaurants industry, which grew by 0.8% [11]. - The company's stock is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 5.02X, which is above the industry average [15]. Conclusion - The upcoming earnings report is expected to present both opportunities and challenges for investors, with growth initiatives being countered by rising costs and weather-related issues [16][17].
Chipotle to expand to Mexico amid Trump trade war with U.S. neighbor
CNBC· 2025-04-21 13:15
Core Insights - Chipotle Mexican Grill is set to open its first location in Mexico in early 2026 as part of its international expansion strategy [1][2] - The company has signed a development agreement with Alsea, which operates various restaurant chains in Latin America and Europe [1] - Chipotle aims to explore additional expansion opportunities in the broader Latin American region following the initial opening [2] Market Context - The expansion into Mexico occurs amid a trade war between the U.S. and Mexico, which has affected trade relations [3] - Despite diversifying its avocado sourcing, Chipotle still imports approximately 50% of its avocados from Mexico [3] - The company has previously focused primarily on the U.S. market, with international operations including 58 locations in Canada, 20 in the UK, six in France, and two in Germany [4] Consumer Insights - Chipotle believes that Mexico's familiarity with its ingredients and a preference for fresh food will attract consumers [5] - However, there are challenges, as U.S. interpretations of Mexican cuisine may not resonate with the local market, as evidenced by Taco Bell's failed attempts to expand in Mexico [5]
反向输出!奇波雷墨西哥烧烤(CMG.US)带着“美式墨西哥菜”杀回老家墨西哥
智通财经网· 2025-04-21 13:14
智通财经APP获悉,以墨西哥卷饼闻名的奇波雷墨西哥烧烤(CMG.US)即将在其菜品灵感来源地——墨 西哥开启全新征程。这家连锁餐饮巨头宣布与拉丁美洲知名餐饮运营商Alsea SAB达成合作,计划于 2025年正式进军墨西哥市场。Alsea公司目前负责运营达美乐比萨(DPZ.US)、星巴克(SBUX.US)等多个 国际品牌在该地区的业务。 奇波雷墨西哥烧烤周一表示,首家墨西哥门店预计将于2026年初开业,双方还将共同探索拓展拉丁美洲 其他市场的可能性。 目前,奇波雷墨西哥烧烤全球门店数已突破3700家,业务版图覆盖加拿大、英国、法国和德国等市场。 此前通过与Alshaya集团合作,该品牌已在科威特、阿联酋等中东国家成功布局。 首席业务发展官Nate Lawton表示,基于墨西哥消费者对其食材的熟悉度,这家总部位于加利福尼亚州 的公司将墨西哥视为极具潜力的增长市场。 不过,分析人士表示,尽管奇波雷墨西哥烧烤的墨西哥炖猪肉、鳄梨酱等菜品汲取了墨西哥饮食文化的 灵感,这并不意味着当地消费者会选择这家美式连锁而非地道本土美食。 竞争对手塔可钟(Taco Bell)就曾在此遭遇滑铁卢——其母公司百胜餐饮(YUM.US)的 ...
CHIPOTLE SIGNS DEVELOPMENT AGREEMENT WITH ALSEA TO OPEN RESTAURANTS IN MEXICO FOR THE FIRST TIME
Prnewswire· 2025-04-21 12:05
Core Insights - Chipotle Mexican Grill has signed a development agreement with Alsea to open its first restaurant in Mexico by early 2026, marking its entry into the Mexican market [1][2] - The partnership aims to leverage Alsea's expertise in the Mexican restaurant industry to enhance Chipotle's international growth [2][6] - Chipotle's international expansion strategy includes previous agreements with Alshaya Group for openings in the Middle East, with a current portfolio of over 3,700 restaurants across various countries [3][5] Company Overview - Chipotle operates over 3,700 restaurants as of December 31, 2024, in the U.S., Canada, the U.K., France, Germany, Kuwait, and the UAE, and is committed to serving responsibly sourced, real food [5] - The company plans to open between 315 and 345 new restaurants in 2025, with a long-term goal of operating 7,000 locations in the U.S. and Canada [3][7] - Chipotle's business development group is actively exploring additional growth opportunities through partnerships [4] Alsea Group Overview - Alsea is a leading restaurant operator in Latin America and Europe, managing over 4,700 units across multiple countries [6] - The company supports its brands through a Shared Services Center that handles administrative and development processes, as well as supply chain management [6]
Chipotle stock price double-top points to a crash ahead of earnings
Invezz· 2025-04-21 09:16
Chipotle Mexican Grill stock price has crashed in the past few months, moving from a high of $66.6 in December to the current $48. It is hovering near its lowest level since January 29 last year. This article explains why the CMG share price is on the cusp of a bearish breakdown after forming a double-top pattern. Copy link to section The stock has formed a bearish pennant pattern, a popular continuation sign. Additionally, it has fallen below the 50-week and 200-week Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), ind ...
Countdown to Chipotle (CMG) Q1 Earnings: Wall Street Forecasts for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-04-17 14:21
The upcoming report from Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) is expected to reveal quarterly earnings of $0.28 per share, indicating an increase of 3.7% compared to the year-ago period. Analysts forecast revenues of $2.94 billion, representing an increase of 8.7% year over year.Over the last 30 days, there has been a downward revision of 2.5% in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter, leading to its current level. This signifies the covering analysts' collective reconsideration of their initial forecasts over ...
CHIPOTLE'S HOCKEY JERSEY BOGO OFFER RETURNS IN THE U.S. AND CANADA FOR THE 2025 STANLEY CUP® PLAYOFFS
Prnewswire· 2025-04-16 12:01
Core Points - Chipotle Mexican Grill announced a "Wear Your Hockey Jersey" program offering a BUY-ONE-GET-ONE (BOGO) deal on entrees for diners wearing hockey jerseys on April 21, 2025, after 3:00pm local time [1][2] - The promotion is part of Chipotle's ongoing partnership with the NHL, which has been extended, maintaining its title as the official Mexican-themed quick service and fast-casual restaurant of the NHL [4][8] - Chipotle will also become an official partner of the National Hockey League Players' Association (NHLPA) for the first time, allowing collaboration with NHL players on future marketing campaigns [5][6] Company Initiatives - The BOGO promotion is limited to five free menu items per check, requiring the purchase of an entrée of equal or greater value, and is valid only in participating U.S. and Canada Chipotle locations [6][8] - Chipotle's Chief Brand Officer emphasized the tradition of the BOGO offer as a way to celebrate hockey fans in North America [3][6] - The partnership extension with the NHL aims to enhance fan engagement through unique promotions and collaborations [6][8] Industry Context - The NHL, founded in 1917, consists of 32 Member Clubs and engages over 670 million fans annually through various media channels [10] - The NHLPA, established in 1967, represents NHL players and promotes the game of hockey while supporting grassroots initiatives [11]
3 Pricey Stocks Billionaire Money Managers Sold Ahead of Wall Street's Historic Volatility
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-16 07:06
Every so often, Wall Street reminds investors that stocks don't move higher in a straight line. Sometimes, these reminders are anything but subtle. Over the last two weeks, investors have witnessed volatility akin to the COVID-19 crash of February-March 2020, as well as during the height of the financial crisis in 2008. On one end of the spectrum, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite all logged their largest individual point gains on April 9 since their respective inceptions. Conv ...
Drive-Thru Addition Approved For Future Restaurant On Butterfield
Wheaton, IL Patch· 2025-04-11 16:02
WHEATON, IL — On Monday, the Wheaton City Council gave its unanimous approval for a drive-thru to be added to the restaurant space at 811 E. Butterfield Rd. that was once home to a Chipotle. The special use permit was unanimously approved by the Planning & Zoning Board at its March 11 meeting.The 4.1-acre property comprises a 9,920 square foot commercial building and a 13,438 square foot commercial building, according to city documents. Both buildings are part of a planned unit development and house multipl ...
Restaurant stocks fall as investors fear recession, sales slowdown
CNBC· 2025-04-07 16:14
Following announcements of layoffs, a Starbucks store is shown in Encinitas, California, U.S., February 24, 2025. REUTERS/Mike BlakeRestaurant stocks fell in morning trading Monday, fueled by investors' fears that a recession is coming.U.S. stocks have tumbled for three consecutive days after President Donald Trump shocked the markets with high tariffs on goods imported from key trading partners. While analysts do not expect the tariffs to hit most restaurant companies directly, the inflation that is expect ...