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Market Overview - Global stock markets experienced a "collective retreat" with the S&P 500 futures indicating a fourth consecutive day of decline for U.S. stocks [2][27] - As of the latest update, Dow futures fell by 0.09%, S&P 500 futures dropped by 0.38%, and Nasdaq futures decreased by 0.66% [3][28] - Asian markets faced heavier declines, with the South Korean Kospi index plummeting by 5.3%, triggering a temporary trading halt [3][28] Commodity Market Volatility - Extreme volatility in the commodity market remains a focal point, with gold prices initially dropping by 10% before narrowing losses, and silver prices falling by 16% before recovering most of the decline [5][30] - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange raised margin requirements for precious metals futures, increasing holding costs for traders, which typically pressures prices and trading activity [5][30][31][32] Federal Reserve Leadership Impact - The nomination of Kevin Walsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair is shifting market expectations towards "less/fewer rate cuts," impacting precious metals prices [12][37] - Analysts suggest that Walsh's past criticisms of the Fed and focus on price stability may lead to a reassessment of the dollar's depreciation narrative, contributing to the recent drop in gold, silver, and copper prices [12][37] Upcoming Economic Data and Earnings Reports - Investors are focusing on the upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll report, expected to show an increase of 68,000 jobs, the largest gain in four months, scheduled for release on Friday [12][41] - A busy earnings week is anticipated, with major companies like Google and Amazon set to report their quarterly results [41][42] Individual Stock Movements - Energy stocks are experiencing pre-market declines, with Occidental Petroleum down 3.1% and ConocoPhillips down 2.6% [43] - Rare earth stocks surged in pre-market trading following President Trump's announcement of a $12 billion mineral reserve initiative [43] - Disney shares rose by 4% in pre-market trading after reporting quarterly revenue that exceeded expectations [44]

Core Viewpoint - U.S. oil prices have retreated from multi-month highs due to ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations that may prevent potential oil supply disruptions [1] Group 1: Oil Prices - West Texas Intermediate oil futures fell more than 5% to below $62 per barrel [1] - The decline in oil prices is attributed to the potential easing of tensions between the U.S. and Iran [1] Group 2: Company Analysis - Analysts downgraded Chevron (CVX) prior to the stock market opening following its fourth-quarter earnings report [1] - Chevron and Exxon Mobil reported fourth-quarter earnings, but only one supermajor saw profit growth [1]

Core Viewpoint - U.S. energy company stocks experienced a decline in pre-market trading on February 2, with notable drops across major companies in the sector [2] Group 1: Company Performance - Occidental Petroleum saw a decrease of 3.1% [2] - ConocoPhillips dropped by 2.6% [2] - Halliburton's stock fell by 4.1% [2] - Schlumberger experienced a decline of 2.9% [2] - ExxonMobil's shares decreased by 1.5% [2] - Chevron's stock was down by 1.7% [2]

Core Viewpoint - Oil prices have dropped by 5%, leading to significant pre-market declines in the stock prices of major U.S. energy companies [1] Group 1: Company Stock Performance - Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US) shares fell by 3.1% [1] - ConocoPhillips (COP.US) shares decreased by 2.6% [1] - Halliburton (HAL.US) stock dropped by 4.1% [1] - Schlumberger (SLB.US) shares declined by 2.9% [1] - ExxonMobil (XOM.US) saw a decrease of 1.5% in its stock price [1] - Chevron (CVX.US) shares fell by 1.7% [1]

Core Insights - Chevron reported a net income of $2.84 billion in Q4 2025, a decrease of approximately 12.5% from $3.25 billion in Q4 2024 [1] - The company's total revenue for Q4 2025 was $46.87 billion, down 10.2% from $52.2 billion in the same period of the previous year [2] Financial Performance - Diluted earnings per share were $1.39 in Q4 2025, a fall of around 24.5% from $1.84 in Q4 2024 [1] - Adjusted earnings were $3.02 billion for Q4 2025, down by approximately 16.8% from $3.63 billion in the same quarter last year [1] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share stood at $1.52 in Q4 2025, compared to $2.06 in Q4 2024, a decrease of around 26.2% [2] Operational Highlights - Cash flow from operations rose to $10.8 billion in Q4 2025, an increase of roughly 24.1% from $8.7 billion in the same quarter of the previous year [2] - Excluding working capital adjustments, cash flow from operations increased to $9.1 billion in Q4 2025 from $5.3 billion in Q4 2024, an increase of approximately 71.7% [4] Segment Performance - Chevron earned $3.03 billion in Q4 2025 through its upstream segment, which is around 29.5% lower than the $4.3 billion achieved in Q4 2024 [3] - The downstream segment reported earnings of $823 million in Q4 2025, compared to a loss of $248 million in Q4 2024 [3] - The 'All Other' category reported a loss of $1.08 billion in Q4 2025, compared to a loss of $817 million in Q4 2024 [3] Annual Overview - The company's net income for the full year 2025 was $12.48 billion, down by approximately 29.7% from $17.75 billion in 2024 [5] - Total revenue for the full year 2025 was $189.03 billion, a decrease of around 6.8% from $202.79 billion in 2024 [5] - Chevron achieved record oil-equivalent production levels globally and in the US, aided by the Hess acquisition, which added 261,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day [5] Reserves and Investments - Year-end proved reserves stood at around 10.6 billion barrels of net oil equivalent, with significant additions from Hess and new projects in the Permian Basin, Australia, and Guyana, resulting in a reserve replacement ratio of 158% [6] - Capital expenditure rose due to investments in legacy Hess assets and US data center power solutions, despite reduced downstream spending [6] Strategic Moves - Through the completion of the Hess acquisition, Chevron achieved a $1 billion synergy target [7] - The company commenced production at key projects in Kazakhstan and the Gulf of Mexico during Q4 [7]

Group 1: U.S.-China-Venezuela Oil Dynamics - President Trump indicated that China may negotiate a deal to purchase Venezuelan oil, highlighting the potential for significant transactions in this sector [1] - China currently imports approximately 2 million barrels per day of asphalt-rich oil, with around 500,000 barrels per day sourced from Venezuela, which is essential for meeting over half of its daily asphalt requirements [3] - The U.S. has strategic leverage over China by controlling access to Venezuelan heavy crude, which is vital for maintaining asphalt quality [4] Group 2: India's Oil Strategy - India is expected to pivot towards Venezuelan oil, replacing its previous Iranian imports, which were halted due to U.S. sanctions in 2019 [5] - Following the sanctions on Iran, Indian refiners shifted to U.S. oil and later became the largest buyer of discounted Russian oil after the sanctions on Russia in 2022 [5] - The U.S. Treasury Secretary mentioned the possibility of lifting the 25% tariff on Indian goods, which may influence India's oil purchasing decisions [6] Group 3: Sanctions and Market Adjustments - The U.S. has eased some sanctions on Venezuela's oil sector, facilitating U.S. companies' ability to sell Venezuelan crude [7]

The bullish case for oil stocks received a significant boost earlier this month when U.S. forces captured the now former Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, sparking hope that the petroleum-rich country will eventually be open to Western oil majors. Count ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) among the domestic oil equities in rally mode to start 2026. January isn't over yet, but this stock is higher by more than 8%. How much, if any, of that move is attributable to Venezuela is up for debate. Where to invest $1,000 ...

Core Viewpoint - Chevron Corporation reported mixed fourth-quarter earnings, with a slight revenue miss but earnings exceeding expectations, reflecting lower year-over-year metrics due to declining oil prices in 2025 [1] Group 1: Earnings Report - The company achieved record production in 2025, with a 12% increase, driven by significant contributions from newly acquired Hess assets, particularly in Guyana and the Bakken formation [3] - Despite lower oil prices, Chevron's earnings highlighted strong cash flow and operational momentum, supported by a 39-year dividend growth streak [5] Group 2: Future Outlook - Chevron is optimistic about 2026, anticipating a full year of production from Hess assets and plans to increase production in Venezuela by 50% within the next 18 to 24 months [2] - The company completed its Tamar optimization project and reached a final investment decision on the Leviathan expansion, with additional capacity expected in the first quarter of 2026 [4]

Chevron Corp (CVX) announced a 4.0% dividend per share (DPS) hike to $7.12 annually on Jan. 30, slightly lower than my expectation of a 5% hike to $7.18. CVX stock has risen 20% since mid-December. It could be fully valued as it has reached my price target. This article will discuss how shareholders can play CVX. CVX closed at $176.90 on Friday, Jan. 30, up $5.71 (+3.34%), and up $24.39 or+16.1% year-to-date from $152.41 on Dec. 31, 2025. More News from Barchart CVX stock - last 3 months - Barchart Mor ...