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冠通期货早盘速递-20260331
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2026-03-31 01:29
Group 1: Hot News - Trump said Iran has agreed to "most of the content" in the "15-point ceasefire plan", and the US is in serious consultations with Iran to end military operations. Trump threatened to destroy Iran's power plants, oil wells, etc. if no agreement is reached soon. The White House press secretary said Trump hopes to reach an agreement with Iran by April 6 and calls on Arab countries to bear the cost of US military operations against Iran [2] - Iran stated that if its power facilities are attacked, it will cause a power outage in the entire region. Iran's president said ending the war should be based on safeguarding national dignity, interests, and security. The Iranian foreign ministry spokesman said Iran has not had direct negotiations with the US, and the so - called "15 - point ceasefire plan" is "excessive and unreasonable" [2] - China is accelerating the promotion of a new tax - local surtax. The Ministry of Finance first proposed to formulate and revise relevant laws such as the Local Surtax Law in its 2026 work plan [2] - Indonesia's president said during a visit to Japan that Indonesia will officially promote the B50 biodiesel blending policy plan this year [3] - Silicon - manganese plants are reducing production as planned, with most starting to cut production by about 30% on April 1. The total monthly spontaneous emission reduction of national manganese - alloy enterprises is expected to be 221,000 tons. The operating rate of 187 independent silicon - manganese enterprises is 32.01%, a decrease of 4.08% from last week, and the daily output is 27,380 tons, a decrease of 650 tons [3] Group 2: Key Focus and Night - Market Performance - Key focus: Urea, coking coal, polysilicon, PVC, plastic [4] - Night - market performance of commodity sectors: Non - metallic building materials rose 2.58%, precious metals rose 25.19%, oilseeds and oils rose 8.82%, soft commodities rose 2.54%, coal - coking - steel - minerals rose 9.90%, energy rose 7.95%, chemicals rose 15.88%, grains rose 1.04%, and agricultural and sideline products rose 2.90% [4] - Color metals rose 23.20% [5] Group 3: Commodity Futures Plate Positions - The document shows the changes in the positions of commodity futures plates in the past five days, including Wind agricultural and sideline products, Wind grains, Wind chemicals, Wind energy, Wind coal - coking - steel - minerals, Wind color metals, Wind commodity composites, Wind soft commodities, Wind oilseeds and oils, Wind precious metals, and Wind non - metallic building materials [6] Group 4: Performance of Major Asset Classes | Category | Name | Daily Change (%) | Monthly Change (%) | Year - to - date Change (%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Equity | Shanghai Composite Index | 0.24 | - 5.76 | - 1.15 | | | SSE 50 | - 0.14 | - 6.79 | - 6.53 | | | CSI 300 | - 0.24 | - 4.64 | - 2.98 | | | CSI 500 | 0.21 | - 10.45 | 3.86 | | | S&P 500 | - 0.39 | - 7.78 | - 7.33 | | | Hang Seng Index | - 0.81 | - 7.06 | - 3.43 | | | German DAX | 1.18 | - 10.76 | - 7.87 | | | Nikkei 225 | - 2.79 | - 11.83 | 3.07 | | | UK FTSE 100 | 1.61 | - 7.17 | 1.98 | | Fixed - income | 10 - year Treasury bond futures | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.49 | | | 5 - year Treasury bond futures | 0.10 | 0.08 | 0.31 | | | 2 - year Treasury bond futures | 0.04 | 0.09 | 0.09 | | Commodity | CRB Commodity Index | 0.65 | 18.75 | 24.27 | | | WTI Crude Oil | 5.56 | 56.45 | 82.92 | | | London Spot Gold | 0.45 | - 14.49 | 4.52 | | | LME Copper | 0.00 | - 8.28 | - 2.41 | | | Wind Commodity Index | 1.87 | - 18.62 | - 1.17 | | Other | US Dollar Index | 0.33 | 2.93 | 2.28 | | | CBOE Volatility Index | - 1.42 | 54.13 | 104.75 | [7] Group 5: Main Commodity Trends - The document shows the trends of various commodities, including the Baltic Dry Index (BDI), CRB Spot Index, WTI crude oil, London spot gold, London spot silver, LME 3 - month copper, gold - oil ratio, copper - gold ratio, risk premium of stocks, and futures prices of CBOT soybeans and CBOT corn [8]
冠通期货早盘速递-20260312
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2026-03-12 05:33
1. Hot News - Trump said that there are "almost no targets left to strike" in Iran and the US military action against Iran is "coming to an end", but US and Israeli officials said they haven't received any internal instructions to stop the military action. The US Central Command warned of possible attacks on Iranian civilian ports, and an Iranian military spokesman said they would strike all ports and terminals in the region if their ports are threatened [2] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) agreed to release 400 million barrels of strategic oil reserves. The G7 energy ministers supported using strategic reserves to stabilize the energy market if necessary. Trump said the US will "slightly" cut its strategic oil reserves, Japan will release about 80 million barrels starting March 16, and Germany will release 2.4 million tons [2] - In February, China's auto sales were 1.805 million, a 15.2% year - on - year decrease. New energy vehicle sales were 765,000, a 14.2% year - on - year decrease, while auto exports were 672,000, a 52.4% year - on - year increase [2] - Iranian President Pezeshkian reiterated Iran's commitment to regional peace in calls with Russian and Pakistani leaders, stating that the "only way" to end the war is to recognize Iran's legitimate rights, pay war reparations, and have international guarantees against future aggression [3] - Starting from the settlement on March 16, 2026, the trading margin for apple futures contracts 2604 and 2605 will be adjusted to 15%, and the daily limit will be adjusted to 13% [3] 2. Sector Performance Key Focus - Urea, Shanghai copper, p - xylene, crude oil, PP [4] Night - session Performance - Non - metallic building materials rose 2.25%, precious metals rose 30.75%, energy rose 6.91%, chemicals rose 12.92%, grains rose 1.02%, agricultural and sideline products rose 2.64%, oilseeds and fats rose 8.32%, non - ferrous metals rose 23.99%, soft commodities rose 2.53%, and coal, coking, steel and minerals rose 8.68% [4][5] 3. Sector Positions - The document shows the changes in commodity futures sector positions in the past five days, including Wind agricultural and sideline products, Wind grains, Wind chemicals, Wind energy, Wind coal, coking, steel and minerals, Wind non - ferrous metals, Wind comprehensive commodities, Wind soft commodities, Wind oilseeds and fats, Wind precious metals, and Wind non - metallic building materials [6] 4. Performance of Major Asset Classes Equity - The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.25% daily, - 0.71% monthly, and 4.15% annually; the Shanghai 50 rose 0.12% daily, - 1.78% monthly, and - 1.51% annually; the CSI 300 rose 0.64% daily, - 0.13% monthly, and 1.61% annually; the CSI 500 fell 0.08% daily, - 2.95% monthly, and rose 12.56% annually; the S&P 500 fell 0.08% daily, - 1.50% monthly, and - 1.02% annually; the Hang Seng Index fell 0.24% daily, - 2.75% monthly, and rose 1.05% annually; the German DAX fell 1.37% daily, - 6.50% monthly, and - 3.47% annually; the Nikkei 225 rose 1.43% daily, - 6.50% monthly, and 9.31% annually; the UK FTSE 100 fell 0.56% daily, - 5.10% monthly, and rose 4.25% annually [7] Fixed - income - The 10 - year Treasury bond futures fell 0.04% daily, - 0.12% monthly, and rose 0.37% annually; the 5 - year Treasury bond futures fell 0.03% daily, - 0.06% monthly, and rose 0.17% annually; the 2 - year Treasury bond futures fell 0.01% daily, - 0.01% monthly, and 0% annually [7] Commodities - The CRB commodity index rose 1.99% daily, 13.53% monthly, and 18.81% annually; WTI crude oil rose 6.52% daily, 32.22% monthly, and 54.59% annually; London spot gold fell 0.14% daily, - 1.81% monthly, and rose 20.02% annually; LME copper fell 0.69% daily, - 1.86% monthly, and rose 4.42% annually; the Wind commodity index fell 1.38% daily, - 4.64% monthly, and rose 15.81% annually [7] Others - The US dollar index rose 0.32% daily, 1.66% monthly, and 1.01% annually; the CBOE volatility index fell 2.81% daily, rose 22.00% monthly, and 62.07% annually [7] 5. Stock Market Risk Preference and Major Commodity Trends - The document shows the trends of the Baltic Dry Index (BDI), CRB spot index, WTI crude oil, London spot gold, London spot silver, LME 3 - month copper, gold - oil ratio, copper - gold ratio, risk premium, CBOT soybeans, CBOT corn, and Wind All - A (ex - financials and oil & petrochemicals) [8]
热点资讯:早盘速递-20260309
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2026-03-09 02:37
Group 1: Policy Information - The central bank will implement a moderately loose monetary policy this year, using various tools such as reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts, and gradually淡化 the quantitative intermediate targets [2] - The Ministry of Finance will continue to implement a more proactive fiscal policy this year, with a 100 - billion - yuan fiscal - financial policy to boost domestic demand and a 250 - billion - yuan consumer goods trade - in policy [2] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange has officially included recycled lead in the futures delivery system, with the PB2703 contract being the first for recycled lead to participate in futures delivery [3] Group 2: Market Data Foreign Exchange and Gold Reserves - As of the end of February 2026, China's foreign exchange reserves were $3.4278 trillion, up $28.7 billion or 0.85% from the end of January, and gold reserves were 74.22 million ounces, up 30,000 ounces month - on - month [3] Commodity Market - Key commodities to focus on are urea, Shanghai copper, fuel oil, crude oil, and plastic [4] - Night - session performance: Non - metallic building materials rose 2.09%, precious metals 30.92%, oilseeds 8.10%, non - ferrous metals 25.64%, soft commodities 2.74%, coal - coking and steel ore 9.48%, energy 5.60%, chemicals 11.50%, grains 1.16%, and agricultural products 2.77% [4] Asset Performance - Equity: Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.38% daily, - 0.93% monthly, and 3.91% yearly; S&P 500 fell 1.33% daily, - 2.02% monthly, and - 1.54% yearly; etc. [6] - Fixed - income: 10 - year Treasury bond futures had 0.00% daily, 0.13% monthly, and 0.63% yearly changes; etc. [6] - Commodity: WTI crude oil rose 13.31% daily, 36.53% monthly, and 59.63% yearly; LME copper fell 0.26% daily, - 3.21% monthly, and rose 2.98% yearly; etc. [6] - Other: US dollar index fell 0.09% daily, rose 1.34% monthly, and 0.70% yearly; CBOE volatility index rose 24.17% daily, 48.49% monthly, and 97.26% yearly [6]
冠通期货早盘速递-20260306
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2026-03-06 03:33
1. Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Views - The "Government Work Report" presented at the Fourth Session of the 14th National People's Congress sets this year's main development targets, including an economic growth rate of 4.5%-5%, a target for new urban employment of over 12 million, and a CPI increase of around 2%. The "15th Five-Year Plan" draft outlines 20 key indicators in areas such as economic development, innovation, people's livelihood, and green - low - carbon development [2] - Reuters forecasts the end - of - season inventories of US crops in the 2025/26 season, with an average expected soybean end - of - season inventory of 344 million bushels and a corn end - of - season inventory of 2.136 billion bushels [3] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange adjusts the price limit and margin ratios for fuel oil futures contracts [3] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Hot News - The Fourth Session of the 14th National People's Congress opens in Beijing, and the "Government Work Report" sets this year's development targets [2] - The "15th Five - Year Plan" draft proposes 20 main indicators, covering economic development, innovation, people's livelihood, and green - low - carbon aspects [2] - Iran's military official states that Iran has not blocked the Strait of Hormuz and is handling ships passing through the strait according to international rules [2] - Reuters releases forecasts for the end - of - season inventories of US crops in the 2025/26 season [3] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange adjusts the price limit and margin ratios for fuel oil futures contracts [3] Plate Performance - Key focus: urea, coking coal, Shanghai aluminum, asphalt, PP [4] - Night - session performance of commodity sectors: non - metallic building materials rose 2.00%, precious metals rose 31.85%, oilseeds rose 7.75%, non - ferrous metals rose 26.19%, soft commodities rose 2.73%, coal - coking - steel - ore rose 9.51%, energy rose 5.08%, chemicals rose 10.99%, grains rose 1.13%, and agricultural and sideline products rose 2.77% [4] Plate Position - The chart shows the changes in the positions of commodity futures sectors in the past five days [5] Performance of Major Asset Classes - Equity: The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.64% daily, - 1.30% monthly, and 3.52% year - to - date; the S&P 500 fell - 0.56% daily, - 0.70% monthly, and - 0.22% year - to - date, etc. [6] - Fixed - income: The 10 - year Treasury bond futures fell - 0.03% daily, rose 0.14% monthly, and rose 0.64% year - to - date [6] - Commodities: WTI crude oil rose 5.65% daily, 17.33% monthly, and 37.18% year - to - date; London spot gold fell - 0.70% daily, - 3.67% monthly, and rose 17.75% year - to - date [6] - Others: The US dollar index rose 0.25% daily, 1.43% monthly, and 0.79% year - to - date; the CBOE volatility index rose 12.29% daily, 19.59% monthly, and 58.86% year - to - date [6] Stock Market Risk Appetite and Major Commodity Trends - The report presents charts of various major commodity trends, including the Baltic Dry Index (BDI), CRB spot index, WTI crude oil, London spot gold, London spot silver, LME copper, etc., as well as the risk premium of the stock market [7]
早盘速递-20260203
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2026-02-03 03:24
Group 1: Hot News - China Electricity Council predicts that solar power installed capacity will exceed coal power for the first time in 2026, and the combined installed capacity of wind and solar power will reach half of the total installed capacity by the end of the year. The newly added power generation installed capacity is expected to exceed 400 million kilowatts, with new new - energy power generation installed capacity exceeding 300 million kilowatts [2] - Iranian President Pezeshkiyan orders to start nuclear negotiations with the US, and high - level talks may be held in the coming days. US envoy Witkov and Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi are expected to meet in Istanbul on February 6 to discuss a "possible nuclear agreement" [2] - US President Trump says he will reduce the tariff rate on Indian goods from 25% to 18%. Indian Prime Minister Modi agrees to stop buying Russian oil, reduce tariffs and non - tariff barriers to the US to zero, and promises to purchase over $500 billion of US products [2] - The US January ISM manufacturing PMI index rises to 52.6, far higher than the expected 48.5, reaching a new high since August 2022, boosted by robust growth in new orders and output [2] - The EU is considering banning imports of some Russian platinum - group metals and copper in the new round of sanctions [2] Group 2: Key Focus and Night - Market Performance - Key commodities to focus on are urea, lithium carbonate, silver, crude oil, and plastic [3] - Night - market performance of commodity sectors: Non - metallic building materials rose 1.96%, precious metals 35.99%, oilseeds and oils 8.14%, soft commodities 2.30%, non - ferrous metals 26.37%, coal, coke, steel and minerals 9.64%, energy 2.44%, chemicals 9.48%, grains 1.01%, and agricultural and sideline products 2.67% [3] Group 3: Commodity Futures Plate Holding - The chart shows the changes in the holdings of commodity futures plates in the past five days from January 27, 2026, to February 2, 2026 [4] Group 4: Performance of Major Asset Classes - Equity: Shanghai Composite Index dropped 2.48%, SSE 50 dropped 2.07%, CSI 300 dropped 2.13%, CSI 500 dropped 3.98%, S&P 500 rose 0.54%, Hang Seng Index dropped 2.23%, German DAX rose 1.09%, Nikkei 225 dropped 1.25%, and UK FTSE 100 rose 1.15% [5] - Fixed - income: 10 - year Treasury bond futures dropped 0.03%, 5 - year Treasury bond futures dropped 0.02%, and 2 - year Treasury bond futures remained unchanged [5] - Commodities: CRB commodity index dropped 4.67%, WTI crude oil dropped 5.09%, London spot gold dropped 4.52%, LME copper dropped 1.96%, and Wind commodity index dropped 11.59% [5] - Others: US dollar index rose 0.51%, and CBOE volatility remained unchanged [5] Group 5: Main Commodity Trends - The report presents the trends of various commodities such as the Baltic Dry Index, CRB spot index, WTI crude oil, London spot gold and silver, LME copper, CBOT soybeans and corn, as well as stock market risk preferences [6]
早盘速递-20260202
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2026-02-02 01:54
Report Summary 1. Hot News - Trump nominates Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair, but some senators oppose the nomination unless the investigation against Powell is dropped. Warsh's policy stance may combine rate cuts and balance - sheet reduction [2] - In 2025, China's national fiscal revenue was 21.6 trillion yuan, down 1.7% year - on - year, with securities transaction stamp duty revenue up 57.8% to 203.5 billion yuan. Fiscal expenditure was 28.74 trillion yuan, up 1% year - on - year, and about 10 billion yuan in child - rearing subsidies were issued [2] - China's official manufacturing PMI in January was 49.3%, down 0.8 percentage points month - on - month; non - manufacturing PMI was 49.4%, down 0.8 percentage points; and the composite PMI output index was 49.8%, down 0.9 percentage points [3] - Trump declares a national emergency, threatening to impose ad - valorem tariffs on countries supplying oil to Cuba, and warns of potential 50% tariffs on Canadian planes [3] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange will adjust the daily price limit of silver futures contracts from 2605 to 2701 to 17% and the margin ratios for hedging and general positions to 18% and 19% respectively from the close of February 3 [3] 2. Sector Performance - Key sectors to watch: urea, lithium carbonate, coking coal, silver, PVC [4] - Night session performance: Non - metallic building materials rose 1.85%, precious metals rose 38.07%, oilseeds rose 7.90%, soft commodities rose 2.17%, non - ferrous metals rose 26.49%, coal - coking - steel - ore rose 8.22%, energy rose 2.59%, chemicals rose 9.23%, grains rose 1.00%, and agricultural and sideline products rose 2.48% [4] 3. Sector Positions - The chart shows the changes in commodity futures sector positions in the past five days from January 26 to January 30, 2026 [5] 4. Performance of Major Asset Classes - Equity: Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.96% daily, 0% monthly, and rose 3.76% year - to - date; S&P 500 fell 0.43% daily, 0% monthly, and rose 1.37% year - to - date; Hang Seng Index fell 2.08% daily, 0% monthly, and rose 6.85% year - to - date, etc. [6] - Fixed - income: 10 - year Treasury bond futures rose 0.06%, 5 - year Treasury bond futures rose 0.01%, and 2 - year Treasury bond futures were flat [6] - Commodities: CRB commodity index fell 1.12% daily, 0% monthly, and rose 7.13% year - to - date; WTI crude oil rose 0.37% daily, 0% monthly, and rose 14.19% year - to - date; London spot gold fell 9.25% daily, 0% monthly, and rose 13.01% year - to - date [6] - Others: US dollar index rose 0.99% daily, 0% monthly, and fell 1.17% year - to - date; CBOE volatility index rose 3.32% daily, 0% monthly, and rose 16.66% year - to - date [6] 5. Stock Market Risk Appetite and Commodity Trends - The report presents the trends of major commodities such as the Baltic Dry Index, CRB spot index, WTI crude oil, London spot gold and silver, LME copper, etc., as well as the risk premium of the stock market [7]
黄金白银涨到癫狂!现在下手来得及吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-27 12:58
Group 1 - Gold prices have surged dramatically, with London spot gold first breaking $5000/oz and then $5100/oz before a quick pullback, while silver prices also reached a historic high of $117/oz before significant corrections [1] - As of January 2026, London spot gold has increased by 17.46% and silver by 52.68% [2] - The market is experiencing a structural shortage of silver, with deficits of approximately 300 million ounces in both 2025 and 2026, leading to high leverage in the silver market [6][11] Group 2 - The demand for physical silver is rising, particularly in China, which is the largest consumer of silver, with total consumption expected to reach 9428 tons in 2024 [7][8] - Shanghai is facing a critical shortage of free silver, with inventories dropping significantly from nearly 5000 tons in 2021 to just 544 tons by January 27, 2026 [7][11] - The ongoing structural shortage of silver is driving prices higher, with Shanghai silver premiums increasing as the market competes for limited free silver supplies [11][14] Group 3 - The recent turmoil in the U.S. and Japanese bond markets has led to increased safe-haven investments in gold, with U.S. Treasury yields rising due to a linkage with Japanese bonds [3][4] - The market dynamics for gold and silver are shifting, with speculation and traditional trading strategies becoming less effective in influencing prices [14][16] - Companies are advised to secure silver supplies through direct negotiations with mines, similar to strategies employed by firms like Samsung, to mitigate the impact of the ongoing structural shortages [16]
早盘速递-20260123
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2026-01-23 01:20
Report Summary 1. Hot News - In 2026, the People's Bank of China will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy and has room for reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts [2]. - On January 23, 2026, the People's Bank of China will conduct 900 billion yuan of MLF operations with a 1 - year term [2]. - US President Trump said he would take "major retaliatory measures" if European countries sold US assets due to his tariff threats [2]. - In mid - January, the social inventory of 5 major steel products in 21 cities was 7.09 million tons, a decrease of 20,000 tons or 0.3% from the previous period [2]. - The estimated retail volume of narrow - sense passenger cars in January is about 1.8 million, a 20.4% decrease from the previous month and a 0.3% increase year - on - year, with new energy retail reaching about 800,000 and a penetration rate of about 44.4% [2]. 2. Sector Performance - Key sectors to focus on include crude oil, coking coal, coke, silver, and styrene [3]. - Night - session performance of commodity futures: Non - metallic building materials rose 1.98%, precious metals rose 38.08%, oilseeds and fats rose 7.87%, soft commodities rose 2.69%, non - ferrous metals rose 24.46%, coal, coke, steel and minerals rose 9.34%, energy rose 2.13%, chemicals rose 9.52%, grains rose 1.11%, and agricultural and sideline products rose 2.81% [3]. 3. Sector Positions - The document shows the changes in positions of commodity futures sectors in the past five days [4]. 4. Performance of Major Asset Classes | Category | Name | Daily % Change | Monthly % Change | Year - to - Date % Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Equity | Shanghai Composite Index, SSE 50, CSI 300 | 0.08, - 0.11, 0.09 | 3.73, 1.19, 2.01 | 3.73, 1.19, 2.01 | | | CSI 500 | 1.12 | 11.71 | 11.71 | | | S&P 500 | 1.16 | 0.44 | 0.44 | | | Hang Seng Index | 0.37 | 3.72 | 3.72 | | | German DAX | - 0.51 | 0.36 | 0.36 | | | Nikkei 225 | - 0.41 | 4.84 | 4.84 | | | FTSE 100 | 0.11 | 2.08 | 2.08 | | Fixed - income | 10 - year Treasury bond futures | 0.03 | 0.32 | 0.32 | | | 5 - year Treasury bond futures | 0.01 | 0.11 | 0.11 | | | 2 - year Treasury bond futures | - 0.01 | - 0.02 | - 0.02 | | Commodity | CRB Commodity Index | 0.00 | 2.53 | 2.53 | | | WTI Crude Oil | 0.43 | 5.43 | 5.43 | | | London Spot Gold | 1.47 | 11.92 | 11.92 | | | LME Copper | 0.06 | 2.12 | 2.12 | | | Wind Commodity Index | 1.90 | 24.26 | 24.26 | | Other | US Dollar Index | 0.23 | 0.51 | 0.51 | | | CBOE Volatility Index | 0.00 | 34.38 | 34.38 | [5] 5. Stock Market Risk Preference and Major Commodity Trends - The document presents the trends of the Baltic Dry Index, CRB Spot Index, WTI crude oil, London spot gold, London spot silver, LME 3 - month copper, and other commodities, as well as the risk premium of the stock market [6].
冠通期货早盘速递-20260121
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2026-01-21 02:33
Group 1: Hot News - The People's Bank of China kept the one-year and five-year loan prime rates (LPR) unchanged at 3% and 3.5% respectively, remaining unchanged for eight consecutive months [3] - Wang Changlin, Deputy Director of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that this year, the NDRC will study and formulate an implementation plan for the strategy of expanding domestic demand from 2026 to 2030, creating new demand with new supply and providing strong innovation measures and factor guarantees [3] - On January 20, Liao Min, Deputy Minister of Finance, stated at a press conference that in 2026, the fiscal department will continue to implement a more proactive fiscal policy, summarized as "increasing in total, better in structure, more effective, and stronger in momentum." The fiscal deficit, total debt, and total expenditure in 2026 will be maintained at necessary levels to ensure that the overall expenditure intensity "only increases" and the protection of key areas "only strengthens"[3] - US Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo said that the interest rates are too high. If the interest rates are lowered by 100 basis points, the US economic growth rate will reach 6% or higher [3] Group 2: Key Concerns - Key commodities to focus on include silver, coking coal, coke, glass, and soda ash [4] Group 3: Night Session Performance - Non-metallic building materials had a night session increase of 2.00%, precious metals 37.37%, oilseeds and oils 7.92%, soft commodities 2.70%, non-ferrous metals 24.49%, coal, coking, and steel minerals 9.70%, energy 2.17%, chemicals 9.61%, grains 1.13%, and agricultural and sideline products 2.91% [4] Group 4: Category Asset Performance - In equities, the Shanghai Composite Index had a daily decline of -0.01%, a monthly increase of 3.65%, and a year-to-date increase of 3.65; the S&P 500 had a daily decline of -2.06%, a monthly decline of -0.71%, and a year-to-date decline of -0.71 [6] - In fixed income, the 10-year Treasury bond futures had a daily increase of 0.13%, a monthly increase of 0.30%, and a year-to-date increase of 0.30; the 5-year Treasury bond futures had a daily increase of 0.09%, a monthly increase of 0.11%, and a year-to-date increase of 0.11 [6] - In commodities, the CRB Commodity Index had a daily increase of 1.42%, a monthly increase of 2.53%, and a year-to-date increase of 2.53; WTI crude oil had a daily increase of 0.67%, a monthly increase of 3.76%, and a year-to-date increase of 3.76 [6] - In other assets, the US Dollar Index had a daily decline of -0.51%, a monthly increase of 0.28%, and a year-to-date increase of 0.28; the CBOE Volatility Index had a daily increase of 0.00%, a monthly increase of 26.02%, and a year-to-date increase of 26.02 [6]
早盘速递-20260119
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2026-01-19 01:21
Group 1: Hot News - Trump will impose a 10% tariff on all goods exported to the US by Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the UK, the Netherlands, and Finland starting from February 1st, 2026, and the tariff will increase to 25% by June 1st, 2026, until an agreement on "fully and completely purchasing Greenland" is reached [3] - White House economic advisor Hasset downplayed the federal criminal investigation into Fed Chair Powell, saying he expects "no problem" [3] - Li Qiang chaired a State Council executive meeting to listen to the progress of the special action to boost consumption and study measures to promote consumption [3] - US envoy Witkoff revealed that the US has sent a direct message to Iran, stating that Iran's economic situation is severe and suggesting diplomatic solutions to relevant issues [3] Group 2: Key Focus - Key commodities to focus on are crude oil, tin, nickel, styrene, and rapeseed oil [4] Group 3: Night Session Performance - Night session performance of commodity futures: Non-metallic building materials rose 1.98%, precious metals 35.75%, oilseeds and fats 7.51%, soft commodities 2.88%, non-ferrous metals 26.49%, coal, coke, and steel ore 9.47%, energy 2.23%, chemicals 9.61%, grains 1.09%, and agricultural and sideline products 2.98% [4] Group 4: Plate Position - Changes in commodity futures plate positions in the past five days are presented in the data [5] Group 5: Performance of Major Asset Classes - Performance of major asset classes: Shanghai Composite Index had a daily decline of 0.33%, a monthly increase of 3.35%, and a year-to-date increase of 3.35%; other indices and assets also had corresponding changes [6] Group 6: Trends of Major Commodities - Trends of major commodities such as the Baltic Dry Index, CRB Spot Index, WTI crude oil, London spot gold, LME copper, etc. are shown in the data [7]