Group 1 - FTAI Aviation faced significant stock volatility earlier in the year, with a 24% drop in January following a report from short-seller Muddy Waters, just after reaching an all-time high of 181.64 [2] - Despite a first-quarter earnings miss by 8%, FTAI Aviation reported a 54% year-over-year revenue growth, indicating strong underlying business performance [2] - FTAI Aviation has recently shown rising price performance, earning an upgrade to its IBD Relative Strength Rating, reflecting improved investor sentiment [3] Group 2 - The stock market has seen fluctuations, with notable performances from companies like Google and FTAI Aviation, as well as Nvidia, which are currently in focus for potential investment opportunities [5] - Aerospace and defense stocks are gaining attention, with several newcomers being added to the best stock lists, indicating a positive trend in this sector [5] - The S&P 500's Walmart is in the buy zone, leading other stocks that are near buy points, suggesting a favorable market environment for select investments [5]

Earnings Reports - Steel Dynamics, Inc. reported third-quarter revenue of $4.83 billion, exceeding analyst estimates of $4.80 billion [1] - Steel Dynamics' third-quarter earnings were $2.74 per share, surpassing estimates of $2.64 per share [1] - NextEra Energy, Inc. posted quarterly earnings of $1.13 per share, beating the analyst consensus estimate of $1.04 per share [3] Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - RBC Capital analyst Ken Herbert maintained an Outperform rating for FTAI Aviation Ltd. and raised the price target from $185 to $200 [2] Stock Performance - FTAI Aviation shares fell 3% to close at $174.00 [5] - NextEra Energy shares declined 2.2% to close at $81.76 [5] - Steel Dynamics shares gained 1.5% to close at $163.47 [5] - iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF fell 1.3% during the session [5]

Financial Performance - For the three months ended September 30, 2025, total revenues increased by 43.1% to $667.1 million compared to $465.8 million in the same period of 2024[159]. - Net income attributable to shareholders for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $365.6 million, compared to a loss of $118.8 million in 2024[159]. - Total revenues increased by $201.3 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, and by $609.3 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, primarily driven by aerospace products revenue, which increased by $406.6 million[161]. - Net income attributable to shareholders increased by $31.2 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, and by $479.3 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025[167]. - Adjusted EBITDA increased by $65.4 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, and by $303.7 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025[168]. - Net income attributable to shareholders increased by $54.8 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, totaling $148.6 million compared to $93.8 million in 2024, a growth of 58.5%[187]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the three months ended September 30, 2025, increased by $78.6 million, reaching $180.4 million compared to $101.8 million in 2024, a rise of 77.1%[188]. Revenue Breakdown - Aerospace products revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $1.1 billion, up 55.9% from $737.7 million in 2024[159]. - Aerospace products revenue for the three months ended September 30, 2025, increased by $155.7 million, mainly due to a $145.7 million increase in CFM56-5B, CFM56-7B, and V2500 engine and module sales[162]. - MRE Contract revenue increased by $58.7 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, primarily due to increased engine and module sales[185]. Expenses and Costs - The company incurred total expenses of $1.3 billion for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, an increase of 11% from $1.2 billion in 2024[159]. - Total expenses increased by $149.7 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, primarily due to a $143.4 million increase in cost of sales[163]. - Total expenses for the three months ended September 30, 2025, increased by $138.4 million, totaling $343.2 million compared to $204.8 million in 2024, a growth of 67.6%[186]. - Interest expense increased by $25.9 million, reflecting higher expenses from various senior notes, partially offset by decreases in other notes[202]. Asset Management - As of September 30, 2025, total consolidated assets were $4.2 billion and total equity was $252.5 million[147]. - As of September 30, 2025, the Aviation Leasing segment owned and managed 323 aviation assets, including 48 commercial aircraft and 275 engines[170]. - The company has eight aircraft and seventeen engines still located in Russia, with an insured value of $210.7 million[151]. - The company acquired Lockheed Martin Commercial Engine Solutions to enhance its aerospace products segment and establish permanent engine and module manufacturing capabilities[181]. - The company acquired a 50% equity interest in QuickTurn Europe, enhancing its engine services capabilities[183]. Taxation - The provision for income taxes increased by $19.0 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, and by $87.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, primarily due to higher income generated in the Aerospace Products segment[164]. - The provision for income taxes increased by $5.6 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, primarily due to changes in income from leasing activities[176]. - The provision for income taxes increased by $22.4 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, totaling $26.8 million compared to $4.4 million in 2024[186]. Strategic Initiatives - The Strategic Capital Initiative launched on December 30, 2024, aims to acquire 737NG and A320ceo aircraft, allowing the company to maintain an asset-light business model[153]. - The company expects to manage aircraft for and make minority investments in future partnerships under the Strategic Capital Initiative[199]. Cash Flow and Investments - Cash used for investments was $757.4 million during the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $1.0 billion in the same period of 2024[203]. - Proceeds from the sale of assets were $1.375 billion during the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $542.9 million in 2024[203]. - Cash flows used in operating activities were $89.8 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $108.7 million in 2024[203]. Impairments and Losses - The company recognized an impairment charge of $120.0 million for leasing equipment assets due to the impact of sanctions related to Russia's invasion of Ukraine[150]. - Net loss attributable to shareholders was $72.3 million for the three months and $232.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, showing a decrease of $286.4 million compared to the prior period[191]. Interest Rate Sensitivity - The company’s borrowing agreements are tied to variable interest rate indices like SOFR, which may lead to increased debt costs without a corresponding rise in rents or cash flow[216]. - A sensitivity analysis indicates that changes in interest rates could impact the company's financial condition, but it is limited by various factors and should not be viewed as a forecast[217]. - As of September 30, 2025, a hypothetical 100-basis point increase or decrease in the variable interest rate on borrowings would not affect interest expense over the next 12 months[218].

Group 1 - The market is currently experiencing a dislocation, presenting potential buying opportunities for certain assets [1] - A company has reported a strong quarterly performance and is now positioned as a data center play, indicating a shift in its business focus [1] - There is an expectation that software stocks will see increased interest as the year-end approaches, suggesting a bullish sentiment in the tech sector [2] Group 2 - The upcoming Federal Reserve decision is a significant event that is influencing market sentiment and trading strategies [2]

Group 1 - The article discusses the coverage of FTAI Aviation Ltd. initiated in January, highlighting supply chain issues in the commercial aircraft sector [1] - The author emphasizes extensive experience in analyzing various industries, including airlines, oil, retail, mining, fintech, and ecommerce, along with macroeconomic and political factors [1] - The narrative includes a reflection on past crises, such as the dot-com bubble, 9/11, the great recession, and the COVID-19 pandemic, showcasing a broad base of experience applicable across multiple disciplines [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported adjusted EBITDA of $297.4 million for Q3 2025, up 28% from $232 million in Q3 2024, and in line with Q2 2025 results [18][19] - Adjusted free cash flow for Q3 was $268 million, contributing to a year-to-date total of $638 million, on track to meet the revised goal of $750 million for 2025 [14][16] - The aerospace products segment generated $180.4 million in EBITDA with a margin of 35%, reflecting a 77% increase year-over-year [9][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Aerospace products segment saw a significant increase in EBITDA, reaching $180 million, up from $101.8 million in Q3 2024 [9][19] - The leasing segment posted approximately $134 million in adjusted EBITDA, with pure leasing component at $122 million for Q3 [20][21] - The company refurbished 207 CFM56 modules in Q3, a 13% increase from the previous quarter, and is on track to produce 750 modules in 2025 [10][13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is targeting a total portfolio size of approximately 375 aircraft, with full capital deployment anticipated by mid-2026 [7] - The market for aircraft engine assets is characterized by a significant number of older aircraft being sold by lessors, creating opportunities for the company to acquire assets [35][36] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to pivot to an asset-light model focused on aerospace products and strategic capital, expecting substantial growth in free cash flow [15][16] - The successful launch of the Strategic Capital Initiative (SCI) is expected to create significant value and position the company for long-term earnings growth [5][7] - The company plans to continue launching additional SCI partnerships each year, enhancing returns for equity partners [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving a market share of 25% in the engine aftermarket maintenance sector in the coming years [10] - The company anticipates total business segment EBITDA of $1.525 billion in 2026, up from the original estimate of $1.4 billion [17] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining strong relationships with airline customers and the benefits of their Maintenance Repair Exchange (MRE) model [39][40] Other Important Information - The company announced an increase in the quarterly dividend from $0.30 to $0.35 per share, marking its 42nd dividend as a public company [15] - The acquisition of ATOPS for approximately $15 million is expected to enhance production capacity and operational efficiency [12][30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Financial implications of the upsizing of SCI - Management indicated that the upsizing will accelerate growth under SCI, potentially increasing its contribution to aerospace products volume from 20% to 25% [25][26] Question: Details on the ATOPS acquisition - The ATOPS acquisition is aimed at increasing production capacity ahead of needs, with a focus on synergy with existing facilities [28][30] Question: Availability of aircraft engine assets - Management noted that there is a significant supply of older aircraft being sold by lessors, providing opportunities for acquisition [35][36] Question: Treatment of SCI in financials - The 19% equity portion of SCI will be reflected in the equity income line and will also generate servicing revenue [40][41] Question: Guidance for 2026 - Management expects growth in both volume and margin, driven by new and existing customer orders [68][70] Question: Management and performance fees for SCI - The asset management fee is market-based, typically around 1% of total assets, with incentive compensation tied to performance [76][77] Question: Long-term partnerships and margin impact - Future deals are expected to be similar to existing large programs, with margins improving as customer orders increase [84][86]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported adjusted EBITDA of $297.4 million for Q3 2025, up 28% from $232 million in Q3 2024, and in line with Q2 2025 results [18][19] - Adjusted free cash flow for Q3 was $268 million, contributing to a year-to-date total of $638 million, with a target of $750 million for the full year [14][16] - The aerospace products segment generated $180.4 million in EBITDA, with a margin of 35%, reflecting a 77% year-over-year increase [9][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Aerospace products segment saw a significant increase in EBITDA, up 77% year-over-year, driven by strong global demand for pre-built engines [9][19] - The leasing segment posted approximately $134 million in adjusted EBITDA, with a pure leasing component of $122 million for Q3 [20][21] - The company refurbished 207 CFM56 modules in Q3, a 13% increase from the previous quarter, and is on track to produce 750 modules in 2025 [10][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is targeting a total portfolio size of approximately 375 aircraft, with full capital deployment anticipated by mid-2026 [6][7] - The company aims to achieve a 25% market share in the engine aftermarket maintenance sector in the coming years [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is pivoting to an asset-light model focused on aerospace products and strategic capital, with plans to launch additional SCI partnerships annually [15][16] - The acquisition of ATOPS for approximately $15 million is expected to enhance production capacity and operational efficiency [12][30] - The company is targeting growth in production to 1,000 CFM56 modules next year, a 33% increase compared to this year's production [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving full-year 2025 estimates of $1.25 to $1.3 billion in business segment EBITDA, with significant growth expected in 2026 [16][17] - The company anticipates generating $1 billion in adjusted free cash flow in 2026, representing a 33% increase over the $750 million targeted for 2025 [17] Other Important Information - The company announced an increase in the quarterly dividend from $0.30 to $0.35 per share, marking its 42nd dividend as a public company [15] - The company is focused on enhancing margins and production capabilities through strategic acquisitions and partnerships [12][30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Financial implications of the upsizing of SCI - Management indicated that the upsizing will accelerate growth under SCI, potentially increasing its contribution to aerospace products volume from 20% to 25% [25][26] Question: Details on the ATOPS acquisition - The ATOPS acquisition is aimed at increasing production capacity ahead of needs, with a focus on synergy with existing facilities [28][30] Question: Availability of aircraft engine assets - Management noted that there is a significant supply of older aircraft being sold by lessors, which presents opportunities for acquisition [35][36] Question: Treatment of SCI in financials - The 19% equity portion of SCI will be reflected in the equity income line and will also generate servicing revenue [40][41] Question: Guidance for 2026 - Management expects growth in both volume and margins, driven by new and existing customer orders [68][70] Question: Management and performance fees for SCI - The asset management fee is market-based, typically around 1% or higher, with incentive compensation tied to performance [76][77] Question: Long-term partnerships and margin impact - Management anticipates continued growth in partnerships, with margins expected to improve to 40% next year [84][86]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported adjusted EBITDA of $297.4 million for Q3 2025, a 28% increase from $232 million in Q3 2024, and consistent with Q2 2025 results after excluding one-time benefits [17][18] - Adjusted EBITDA from the aerospace product segment was $180.4 million, with a margin of 35%, up 77% year-over-year [17][18] - Year-to-date, the company generated $638 million in positive free cash flow, on track to meet the revised goal of $750 million for 2025 [12][15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Aerospace products segment delivered $180 million in adjusted EBITDA, reflecting strong global demand for pre-built engines and modules [7][18] - The leasing segment posted approximately $134 million in adjusted EBITDA, with pure leasing component at $122 million for Q3 [19] - The company refurbished 207 CFM56 modules in Q3, a 13% increase from the previous quarter, and is on track to produce 750 modules in 2025 [8][11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates a total business segment EBITDA of $1.525 billion in 2026, up from the original estimate of $1.4 billion [16] - The aerospace products segment is expected to achieve EBITDA of $1 billion in 2026, significantly higher than the $650 to $700 million projected for 2025 [15][16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company successfully closed on the final round of equity commitments for its Strategic Capital Initiative (SCI), increasing total equity capital to $2 billion, with a target to deploy over $6 billion in capital through the partnership [4][5] - The company aims to achieve a 25% market share in the engine aftermarket maintenance sector in the coming years [8] - The acquisition of ATOPS for approximately $15 million is expected to enhance production capacity and operational efficiency [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth trajectory, emphasizing the strong demand for engine exchanges and the benefits of the Maintenance Repair Exchange (MRE) model [6][34] - The company expects to see margins grow to over 40% in the aerospace products segment next year, driven by optimized parts procurement and repair strategies [12][15] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a disciplined approach to capital allocation, focusing on high-impact growth initiatives [14][15] Other Important Information - The company announced an increase in the quarterly dividend from $0.30 to $0.35 per share, marking the 42nd dividend as a public company [14] - The company is actively pursuing investments in high-impact growth initiatives, with a focus on expanding margins and differentiating product offerings [13][14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Financial implications of the upsizing of SCI - Management indicated that the upsizing will accelerate growth under SCI, potentially increasing its contribution to aerospace products volume from 20% to 25% [24][25] Question: Details on the ATOPS acquisition - The ATOPS acquisition is aimed at increasing production capacity ahead of needs, with the main facility in Florida expected to process 150 modules [26][27] Question: Availability of aircraft engine assets - Management noted that there is a significant supply of older aircraft being sold by lessors, which presents opportunities for acquisition [31][32] Question: Treatment of SCI in financials - The 19% equity portion of SCI will be reflected in the equity income line and will contribute to adjusted EBITDA in the leasing segment [35][36] Question: Insights on the V2500 program - The company is halfway through its commitment to the V2500 program, with strong demand expected to continue [80]

FTAI AVIATION Q3 2025 Earnings Supplement OCTOBER 2025 Disclaimers IN GENERAL. This disclaimer applies to this document and the verbal or written comments of any person presenting it. This document, taken together with any such verbal or written comments, is referred to herein as the "Presentation." The information contained on, or accessible through, any websites included in this Presentation is not incorporated by reference into, and should not be considered a part of, this Presentation. FORWARD-LOOKING S ...

Core Insights - FTAI Aviation reported quarterly earnings of $1.1 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.19 per share, but showing an increase from $0.76 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of -7.56% [1] - The company posted revenues of $667.06 million for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.69% and increasing from $465.79 million year-over-year [2] - FTAI Aviation shares have increased approximately 26.3% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 15.5% [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.30 on revenues of $705.33 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $4.93 on revenues of $2.55 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for FTAI Aviation was mixed ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] Industry Context - The Aerospace - Defense Equipment industry, to which FTAI Aviation belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 43% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges for stock performance [8] - Another company in the same industry, Woodward, is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.83 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 29.8% [9]