Core Viewpoint - GE Aerospace reported strong Q2 earnings, significantly exceeding expectations, but the stock price fell despite positive results [3][4][6]. Financial Performance - Adjusted revenue for Q2 reached $10.2 billion, a 23% increase year-over-year, surpassing consensus expectations [3]. - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $1.66, reflecting a growth of over 38% compared to Q2 2024, exceeding the anticipated 19% growth [3]. - The company raised its 2025 revenue growth guidance to the mid-teens, up from low-double digits, and adjusted EPS midpoint to $5.70 from $5.28 [4]. Market Expectations - Analysts had already raised their expectations prior to the earnings report, which diminished the impact of the strong results [6][7]. - The stock had risen 48% since the last earnings report, indicating high market expectations [6]. Valuation and Stock Forecast - As of July 17, GE Aerospace's stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of just under 46x, which is 21% above its average forward P/E of 38x since restructuring [10]. - The 12-month stock price forecast is $229.50, indicating an 11.81% downside from the current price of $260.22 [6]. Business Outlook - GE Aerospace has a strong market position, with 70% of its revenue coming from servicing engines, benefiting from a large installed base [9]. - The company is collaborating with Kratos Defense and Security Solutions to develop propulsion systems for unmanned aerial systems, which could drive future growth [11][12].

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of earnings season for obtaining updates on companies in investment portfolios or watchlists, despite some overhyping of its significance [1] Group 2 - The article does not provide specific company or industry insights, focusing instead on the general context of earnings season and its relevance to investors [2][3]

Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on following a stock's recent price trends, aiming to buy high and sell higher, with the expectation that established trends will continue [1] Company Overview: GE Aerospace - GE Aerospace currently holds a Momentum Style Score of A, indicating strong momentum characteristics [2] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting it is positioned for potential outperformance [3] Performance Metrics - Over the past week, GE shares increased by 3.46%, outperforming the Zacks Aerospace - Defense industry, which rose by 3.17% [5] - In the last month, GE's shares have risen by 12.84%, compared to the industry's 8.32% [5] - Over the past quarter, GE Aerospace shares have surged by 37.43%, and over the last year, they have gained 69.91%, while the S&P 500 only increased by 19.12% and 11.85%, respectively [6] Trading Volume - GE's average 20-day trading volume is 7,255,816 shares, which serves as a bullish indicator when combined with rising stock prices [7] Earnings Outlook - In the last two months, two earnings estimates for GE have been revised upwards, with no downward revisions, raising the consensus estimate from $5.50 to $5.55 [9] - For the next fiscal year, three estimates have also moved higher without any downward revisions [9] Conclusion - Given the strong performance metrics and positive earnings outlook, GE Aerospace is positioned as a solid momentum pick with a Momentum Score of A and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [11]

Core Insights - GE Aerospace reported strong second-quarter 2025 results, with revenues and earnings exceeding expectations, following its spin-off from General Electric in April 2024 [2][3] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings were $1.66 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.43, marking a 38% year-over-year increase [3][8] - Total revenues reached $11 billion, a 21% year-over-year increase, while adjusted revenues were $10.2 billion, up 23% year-over-year, exceeding the consensus estimate of $9.7 billion [3][4] - Total orders grew 27% year-over-year to $14.2 billion [3] Segment Performance - Revenues from the Commercial Engines & Services segment increased 30% year-over-year to $7.99 billion, driven by higher shop visit work, spare parts sales, and pricing [4] - The Defense & Propulsion Technologies segment reported revenues of $2.56 billion, a 7% year-over-year increase, with total orders rising 24% year-over-year to $2.9 billion [5] Cost and Margin Analysis - Cost of sales rose 22.8% year-over-year to $6.85 billion, while selling, general, and administrative expenses increased 10.4% to $1.02 billion [6] - Research and development expenses totaled $359 million, reflecting a 19.7% year-over-year rise [6] - Operating profit (non-GAAP) was $2.3 billion, up 23% year-over-year, with a margin of 23%, down 10 basis points [6] Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - As of the end of Q2 2025, GE Aerospace had cash and cash equivalents of $10.9 billion, down from $13.6 billion at the end of December 2024 [7] - Adjusted free cash flow was $2.1 billion, compared to $1.1 billion in the same quarter last year [7] Future Outlook - For 2025, GE expects adjusted revenues to grow in the mid-teens range, with operating profit estimated between $8.2 billion and $8.5 billion [10] - Adjusted earnings are projected to be in the range of $5.60 to $5.80 per share, with free cash flow anticipated between $6.5 billion and $6.9 billion [10] - The Commercial Engines & Services segment is expected to see revenue growth in the high-teens range, while the Defense & Propulsion Technologies segment is projected to grow in the mid to high-single-digit range [11]

Economic Indicators - Initial Jobless Claims decreased for the fifth consecutive week, reaching 221K, which is the lowest since mid-April and significantly below the 234K estimate and June high of 250K, indicating a strong labor market [2] - Continuing Claims slightly increased to 1.956 million from 1.954 million, remaining just below the psychological 2 million mark, with eight consecutive weeks above 1.9 million [3] - Advanced Retail Sales for June rose by 0.6%, exceeding expectations and reversing the previous month's decline of 0.9%, marking the second-highest Retail Sales figure of 2025 [4][5] Import and Export Prices - Import Prices increased by 0.1%, up from a revised -0.4% in the previous month, with year-over-year Import Prices now at -0.2%, contrary to the anticipated +0.3% [6] - Export Prices rose by 0.5% month-over-month, the highest since February, with year-over-year Export Prices at +2.8%, indicating a positive sign for the domestic economy [7] Manufacturing Sector - The Philly Fed manufacturing survey improved to 15.9 in June, a significant increase from -4 in May, marking the highest level since February and suggesting a positive outlook for regional manufacturing [9] Company Earnings - GE Aerospace reported Q2 earnings of $1.66 per share, surpassing the projected $1.43 and the previous year's $1.20, resulting in a positive surprise of 16%, with revenues of $10.15 billion exceeding estimates by 5.12% [10]

Financial Performance - GE Aerospace beat street estimates by $0.23 per share, earning $1.66 per share [1] - Revenue exceeded expectations, topping $10.1 billion [2] - The company raised its free cash flow guidance for the year to a range of $6.5 billion to $6.9 billion [3] - GE Aerospace is targeting $8.5 billion in free cash flow for 2028 [3][4] - The company is targeting $11.5 billion of operating profit [4] Operational Highlights - Engine deliveries increased by 45% in the second quarter [2] - The company expects to grow at a double-digit rate [4] Market Performance - GE Aerospace has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 over the last three years [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the reliability of brokerage recommendations, particularly focusing on GE Aerospace (GE), and emphasizes the importance of using these recommendations in conjunction with other analytical tools like the Zacks Rank for making informed investment decisions [1][5]. Brokerage Recommendations for GE - GE has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.38, indicating a consensus between Strong Buy and Buy, based on recommendations from 21 brokerage firms [2][14]. - Out of the 21 recommendations, 16 are Strong Buy and 2 are Buy, which account for 76.2% and 9.5% of all recommendations respectively [2]. Limitations of Brokerage Recommendations - Solely relying on brokerage recommendations may not be advisable, as studies indicate they often fail to guide investors effectively towards stocks with high price appreciation potential [5][10]. - Analysts from brokerage firms tend to exhibit a strong positive bias in their ratings, issuing five "Strong Buy" recommendations for every "Strong Sell" [6][10]. Zacks Rank as an Alternative - The Zacks Rank, which classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimate revisions, is presented as a more reliable indicator of near-term price performance compared to ABR [8][11]. - The Zacks Rank is updated more frequently and reflects the latest earnings estimate revisions, making it a timely tool for predicting future price movements [12]. Current Earnings Estimates for GE - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for GE's earnings has increased by 0.8% over the past month to $5.55, indicating growing optimism among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [13]. - This increase in consensus estimates, along with other factors, has resulted in a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) for GE, suggesting a positive outlook for the stock [14].

Group 1 - Proactive provides fast, accessible, informative, and actionable business and finance news content to a global investment audience [2] - The company focuses on medium and small-cap markets while also covering blue-chip companies, commodities, and broader investment stories [3] - Proactive's news team delivers insights across various sectors including biotech, pharma, mining, natural resources, battery metals, oil and gas, crypto, and emerging technologies [3] Group 2 - Proactive is committed to adopting technology to enhance workflows and improve content production [4] - The company utilizes automation and software tools, including generative AI, while ensuring all content is edited and authored by humans [5]

Group 1 - GE Aerospace reported quarterly earnings of $1.66 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.43 per share, and up from $1.20 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +16.08% [1] - The company posted revenues of $10.15 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.12%, and an increase from $8.22 billion year-over-year [2] - GE shares have increased approximately 59.6% since the beginning of the year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 6.5% [3] Group 2 - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.37 on revenues of $10.14 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $5.55 on revenues of $39.37 billion [7] - The Aerospace - Defense industry is currently ranked in the top 36% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook for stocks within this sector [8] Group 3 - GE has surpassed consensus EPS estimates in all four of the last quarters, indicating strong performance consistency [2] - The estimate revisions trend for GE was favorable ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) for the stock, suggesting expected outperformance in the near future [6]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a strong second quarter with revenue exceeding $10 billion, up 23% year-over-year, and profit reaching $2.3 billion, an increase of 23% [44] - Orders were up 27%, with commercial engine services (CES) growing 30% and defense propulsion technologies (DPT) up 7% [44] - Free cash flow nearly doubled to $2.1 billion compared to the previous year [44] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - CES services revenue increased by nearly 30% year-over-year, driven by internal shop visit revenue up more than 20% and spare parts revenue up over 25% [25] - DPT revenue grew 6%, with defense and systems up 6% and propulsion and additive technologies up 9% [48] - CES margins expanded by 50 basis points to 27.9%, while DPT margins declined by 20 basis points to 14.1% [47][48] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects air traffic growth to outpace global GDP, particularly in Asia Pacific and the Middle East [16] - The commercial services backlog has increased to over $140 billion, supporting growth for years to come [16] - The defense sector is seeing solid momentum globally, with increased funding for key defense propulsion initiatives [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to ramp up services and equipment to support customer fleets while fulfilling strong demand for new engines [19] - Investments of over $1 billion are planned for MRO and component repair facilities over the next five years [23] - The company is focused on enhancing engine performance and expanding its supply chain and service networks [20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management raised the 2025 guidance across the board, expecting total revenue growth in the mid-teens, up from low double digits [49] - The outlook for 2028 has also been raised, with expectations for adjusted EPS reaching approximately $8.40 and operating profit around $11.5 billion [42] - Management expressed optimism about the company's trajectory, citing strong fundamentals and a robust order backlog [16][42] Other Important Information - The company is investing approximately $3 billion in R&D in 2025, which is 6-8% of revenue [29] - The company has a life of program win rate of 75% for GE9X engines, indicating strong demand [26] - The company is effectively sold out through the rest of the decade for commercial and defense engines [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you reconcile the second half EBIT decline? - Management explained that while the second half EBIT is expected to be lower, the overall year is projected to see strong profit growth, with a better-than-expected second quarter contributing to raised revenue expectations [80][84] Question: What are the pricing assumptions for 2024-2028? - Management indicated that pricing is expected to offset inflation, with mid-single-digit pricing dynamics anticipated as the company moves beyond product launches [92][93] Question: What is the baseline for retirement rates? - Management acknowledged that retirements have been low but expect an increase as the fleet ages, with assumptions built around new aircraft deliveries and departure growth [95]