Summary of GE Aerospace FY Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: GE Aerospace (NYSE: GE) - **Industry**: Aerospace and Defense - **Key Segments**: Commercial engines and services, Defense propulsion technologies Core Points and Arguments 1. **Market Leadership**: GE Aerospace has the largest engine install base in the industry with 78,000 engines, powering three out of every four commercial aircraft and two out of three U.S. combat aircraft [4][5] 2. **Revenue Composition**: In 2025, approximately 70% of revenue is expected to come from services, supported by a $175 billion backlog, primarily driven by the install base [5][6] 3. **Growth Projections**: - Services orders growth has increased by over 30% year-to-date, leading to a 25% growth in commercial services revenue [5][6] - Full-year outlook for commercial services has been raised to low to mid-20s growth, translating to an additional $1 billion in services revenue [6] - Defense propulsion technologies (DPT) revenue expectations have been increased to high single digits from mid-single digits [6][12] 4. **Operational Improvements**: The implementation of the FlightDeck operating model has improved material flow by over 30% year-over-year, enhancing operational efficiency and supplier performance [6][7][29] 5. **Future Outlook for 2026**: - Anticipated growth in air traffic and engine shop visits, with a projected double-digit increase in shop visits over 2025 [10][11] - LEAP engine deliveries expected to grow by 15%-20%, reaching around 2,000 engines [12][13] - Services growth is expected to normalize to a double-digit growth rate between 2024 and 2028 [12][16] 6. **LEAP Engine Performance**: - LEAP engines are achieving performance levels comparable to CFM56 engines, with expectations for improved durability and profitability in the coming years [18][20] - External shop visits for LEAP engines are projected to increase significantly, unlocking spare parts revenue [20][39] Additional Important Insights 1. **Supply Chain Management**: GE Aerospace has focused on improving transparency and communication with suppliers, which has been crucial for meeting demand and resolving issues [36][38] 2. **Defense Propulsion Technologies Growth**: - DPT has seen an 80% increase in defense engine shipments year-over-year, with a $19 billion backlog driving future growth [42][43] - Growth opportunities are identified in international markets and classified projects, with expectations for mid-single digit growth in DPT [47][48] 3. **Cultural Shift**: The FlightDeck initiative has transformed the company culture towards greater transparency and accountability, enhancing overall operational performance [29][34] Conclusion - GE Aerospace is positioned for strong performance in 2025 and optimistic growth in 2026, with a solid backlog and operational improvements driving future revenue [48][49]

Group 1 - GE Aerospace has disclosed a 9.2% stake in BETA Technologies, a US eVTOL aircraft manufacturer, through a purchase of approximately $50 million for 1,470,589 Class A shares during BETA's IPO [1] - BETA Technologies successfully went public on November 4, with an IPO price of $34 per share, exceeding the expected range of $27 to $33 [1] - BETA Technologies designs and manufactures high-performance electric aircraft, advanced electric propulsion systems, components, and charging systems, selling to top global operators [1] Group 2 - GE Aerospace has invested $300 million in BETA Technologies earlier this year, indicating a growing interest in advanced aviation and electric transportation [2] - Following the announcement of the investment, BETA Technologies' stock rose by 1.12% in pre-market trading [2]

Core Insights - The U.S. is facing a significant electricity shortage, exacerbated by aging infrastructure and increasing demand from data centers and AI technologies [7][9][31] - Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella highlighted that GPU purchases are being wasted due to insufficient power supply for data centers [3][5] - The combination of solar power and energy storage is emerging as the most viable solution to address the electricity crisis in the U.S. [6][27] Group 1: Current Electricity Shortage - The U.S. is confirmed to be experiencing a real electricity shortage, which is not merely a supply-demand imbalance but a competition for electricity between AI and human needs [7][8] - Electricity costs in North Virginia have risen by 13% over the past year, putting pressure on consumers [8] - The aging U.S. power grid, with 70% of transmission lines over 25 years old, is a critical issue contributing to the shortage [8][9] Group 2: Infrastructure and Supply Challenges - The average outage duration for U.S. electricity users reached 662.6 minutes last year, nearly doubling over the past decade [9] - Electricity prices have increased by 25% over the last three years, while the power generation side is not solely to blame; the grid's inefficiencies play a significant role [11] - The integration of new power sources into the grid is a lengthy process, with projects waiting for three years or more to connect [11][14] Group 3: Demand from Data Centers - The demand for electricity from data centers is expected to require an additional 50-80 GW over the next five years, equivalent to the capacity of four Three Gorges Dams [14] - The current electricity supply strategies are inadequate, with traditional energy sources either too slow or politically constrained [27][31] Group 4: Renewable Energy Solutions - Solar power combined with energy storage systems is identified as a cost-effective and rapidly deployable solution, with production costs around $0.30 per watt [27][31] - The market demand for energy storage driven by AI data centers and grid improvements could exceed 200 GWh [28] - However, tariffs and policies like the Inflation Reduction Act are creating barriers for Chinese solar and storage equipment entering the U.S. market, complicating the situation for domestic companies [29][30]

Group 1: Samsung - Samsung showcased its AI Home solutions at the Expo, integrating Bespoke AI, Vision AI, and Galaxy AI to create a comprehensive smart ecosystem covering daily living, entertainment, mobile office, health management, and home security [3][5] - The company plans to apply Galaxy AI to 400 million devices by 2025, emphasizing its commitment to sustainable development through the use of recycled materials and energy optimization [5] Group 2: Dell Technologies - Dell Technologies presented a full-stack IT solution at the Expo, featuring new PowerEdge servers and PowerStore all-flash storage, aimed at enhancing data value for enterprises [8] - The company promotes sustainable practices by implementing innovative cooling solutions and using recyclable materials in its products [8] Group 3: GE Vernova - GE Vernova highlighted its low-carbon energy solutions at the Expo, showcasing products like the LM6000 VELOX gas turbine capable of 100% hydrogen power generation [11] - The company has a gas-fired power generation capacity of approximately 55 million kilowatts in China and aims to support the country's dual carbon goals [11] Group 4: ASICS - ASICS presented its product matrix and cutting-edge technology at the Expo, focusing on integrating sports into daily life with innovative footwear and apparel [14] - The company aims to promote national fitness and health through its products and initiatives [14] Group 5: Olympus - Olympus showcased its medical technology solutions at the Expo, including advanced endoscopic equipment designed to enhance early cancer detection [17] - The company emphasizes patient-centric solutions and aims to drive innovation in the healthcare sector in China [17] Group 6: IKEA - IKEA focused on sustainable practices at the Expo, highlighting its green operations and circular economy initiatives, including a digital service for furniture recycling [20] - The company has engaged in local collaborations to promote environmental protection and sustainable consumption [20] Group 7: GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) - GSK presented its health management approach at the Expo, emphasizing a lifecycle health management model that combines prevention and treatment [22][23] - The company plans to introduce approximately 18 new products and indications in China over the next three years [23] Group 8: Amgen - Amgen showcased innovative therapies for cardiovascular health, bone health, and rare diseases at the Expo, addressing the needs of China's aging population [25] - The company collaborates with local partners to enhance healthcare delivery and innovation in China [25] Group 9: a2 Milk - a2 Milk Company highlighted its strategic partnership with a Chinese company to expand its premium dairy product offerings in China [27] - The company focuses on providing nutritional solutions for families, emphasizing the benefits of A2 protein in its products [27] Group 10: Pigeon - Pigeon presented a range of new products aimed at enhancing parenting experiences at the Expo, showcasing innovations in baby care [30] - The company has established a strong presence in China, focusing on high-quality development in the maternal and infant care sector [30]

Group 1 - The company has entered into an agreement with General Electric Company, USA, for the supply of 113 F404-GE-IN20 engines and a support package for the execution of the 97 LCA Mk1A programme [2][5] - Deliveries of the engines are scheduled over five years from 2027 to 2032, marking a significant milestone in the LCA Mk1A programme [1][5] - The main contract for the 97 LCA Mk1A aircraft was finalized in September 2025 [1][2] Group 2 - Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) shares are expected to be in focus following the agreement with General Electric [5] - Over the last year, HAL's stock has gained 4.35%, with a year-to-date increase of 10.96% [4][5] - The stock has shown mixed performance, with a decline of 4.39% in the past month, but a rise of 3.51% over the past six months [4][5]

Core Insights - The gas turbine sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by substantial orders and a favorable market environment, with companies like Triangular Defense and Weichai Power seeing stock surges [1][3] - The global energy crisis is propelling gas turbines into a central role in the energy landscape due to their quick startup, high efficiency, and low carbon emissions [2][3] Market Dynamics - Demand for gas turbines is surging, particularly in North America, where new orders increased by 187% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with major manufacturers like GE and Siemens facing order backlogs extending to 2028 [3][6] - The price of heavy-duty gas turbines has risen by 15%-20% compared to 2023, with lead times extending from 18 months to as long as 5-7 years for some components [3][6] Domestic Industry Advancements - Chinese manufacturers are rapidly catching up in gas turbine technology, with significant advancements in the domestic production of high-temperature components and the successful ignition of hydrogen turbines [4][5] - Companies like Aero Engine Corporation of China and others are securing substantial contracts with international giants, marking a shift from reliance on imports to actively competing in the global market [6] Future Trends - The push for carbon neutrality is making hydrogen gas turbines a focal point of competition, with projections indicating a market size exceeding 50 billion yuan by 2030 [7] - The average thermal efficiency of gas turbines is currently over 45%, with goals to reach 50% in the future, which will further drive demand [7] Investment Opportunities - Key investment areas include core components, complete turbine manufacturers, and services related to low-carbon technologies, with companies like Yingliu and Dongfang Electric positioned favorably [8] - The gas turbine market is expected to exceed 300 billion yuan by 2030, with companies holding core technologies and strong international ties likely to see significant performance growth [9]

Core Viewpoint - The gas turbine sector is experiencing a significant surge in demand driven by real orders and technological advancements, with companies like Triangular Defense and Weichai Power seeing substantial stock price increases due to new contracts and strategic partnerships [2][3][10]. Market Dynamics - The global energy crisis has positioned gas turbines as essential, with a 36% year-on-year increase in new orders in Q1 2025, and a staggering 187% growth in North America [5][6]. - Major manufacturers like GE and Siemens are facing order backlogs extending to 2028, indicating a supply-demand imbalance [5][6]. Technological Advancements - Gas turbines are favored for their quick startup time (10 minutes), high efficiency (over 45% thermal efficiency, up to 64% for combined cycle units), and low carbon emissions, aligning with global carbon reduction goals [5][6]. - Domestic manufacturers in China are catching up technologically, with significant advancements in high-temperature components and a high localization rate for small gas turbines [9]. Domestic Market Opportunities - Chinese companies are seizing the opportunity to enter the global supply chain, with firms like Aerospace Technology and Weichai Power securing long-term contracts with international giants [10]. - The export value of China's gas turbines is projected to grow from 8 billion yuan in 2023 to 12 billion yuan by 2030, driven by demand in North America and the Middle East [13]. Investment Focus - Key investment areas include core components, complete machine manufacturers, and after-sales services, with companies like Yingliu Co. and Dongfang Electric positioned favorably due to their technological capabilities and order backlogs [15][16]. - The market is expected to continue growing, with the global gas turbine market projected to exceed 300 billion yuan by 2030, benefiting companies with strong technological foundations and international partnerships [17].

Core Insights - The 8th China International Import Expo (CIIE) took place from November 5 to 10 in Shanghai, showcasing GE Healthcare's commitment to innovation in the medical field with nearly 40 new products and solutions, including 18 product launches and 9 global debuts, with 60% developed by Chinese teams [1][3] Group 1: Innovation and Product Launches - GE Healthcare's participation at CIIE highlighted a record number of new products, with a significant focus on precision diagnosis, interventional and surgical treatment, and the integration of digital and physical solutions [1][3] - The company has introduced over 50 new products into clinical application over the past eight years, emphasizing its deepening local presence in China [3] Group 2: Collaborations and Ecosystem Development - GE Healthcare has established multiple collaborations with industry associations, partners across the supply chain, and research institutions to promote the clinical application of medical innovations [3] - The company is working with Beijing Children's Hospital on a low-dose CT scanning protocol, which aims to benefit 20 hospitals in Yunnan, demonstrating a commitment to enhancing specialized diagnostic capabilities [3] Group 3: Strategic Vision and Future Plans - GE Healthcare aims to integrate its corporate strategy with China's development framework during the upcoming 14th Five-Year Plan, focusing on building a precision medical ecosystem [4] - The company has initiated a five-year investment plan of 500 million yuan to enhance its MRI research and development capabilities at its Tianjin base, which will handle over half of GE Healthcare's global MRI product development tasks [3]

Core Insights - The civil aviation industry is experiencing a strong recovery driven by local market growth and globalization, despite challenges from the pandemic, de-globalization trends, and geopolitical conflicts [2] - The China International Import Expo (CIIE) serves as a platform for Chinese aviation companies to establish partnerships and sign procurement agreements with global partners, enhancing cooperation within the industry [2] Cooperation and Agreements - During the 8th CIIE, the aviation sector emerged as a major player, with Shanghai P&W signing a procurement order exceeding $100 million for V2500 engine parts with IAE, marking the first deal of the expo [3] - China Eastern Airlines (CEA) signed 19 procurement agreements with suppliers from 9 countries, totaling $1.211 billion, focusing on high-tech products essential for aviation operations [4] - Honeywell announced a partnership with CEA for material procurement and maintenance, emphasizing the importance of timely material reserves for fleet operations [4][5] - Airbus secured a deal with China Southern Airlines to install the HBCplus in-flight connectivity system on 30 A350 aircraft, marking a significant step in enhancing service offerings in the Chinese market [5][6] Market Trends and Projections - The global aviation service market in China is projected to surpass North America and Europe, growing from $23 billion in 2024 to $61 billion by 2043 [6] - GE Aviation signed multiple agreements during the expo, with total orders nearing $2.1 billion, reflecting strong demand for aviation services and components [6] Industry Challenges - The aviation industry faces ongoing supply chain crises, which are expected to impact operations for several years, leading to increased costs and extended use of older aircraft [8][9] - The International Air Transport Association (IATA) highlighted that supply chain bottlenecks are delaying the production of new aircraft and parts, necessitating a reevaluation of fleet plans by airlines [8] - The rising costs and supply chain challenges are limiting airlines' ability to meet growing passenger demand, with a projected 10.4% increase in demand for 2024 [8][9] Strategic Responses - Companies are focusing on enhancing operational efficiency and reducing costs to improve performance amidst ongoing challenges [9] - Airbus's support services are crucial for operators, providing comprehensive material support and logistics services to enhance operational efficiency [9] - GE Aviation is increasing investment in its Suzhou facility to boost production capabilities, with an investment of $8.5 million planned for 2024-2025 [10]

Core Insights - The 8th China International Import Expo (CIIE) emphasizes China's commitment to high-level opening-up and serves as a platform for global enterprises to collaborate on high-quality development, focusing on "digital intelligence" and "green low-carbon" as dual driving forces for future economic growth [1][20]. Green Development - Green development has become an inherent behavior for companies, evident in their exhibition designs and operational details at the CIIE [2]. - DHL showcases its "GoGreen Plus" service, which utilizes sustainable aviation fuel to significantly reduce Scope 3 emissions, with over half of its Chinese customers opting for this service by September 2023 [2][5]. - Procter & Gamble (P&G) reports a 60% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions (Scope 1 and 2) compared to 2010 levels, with a goal of 65% by 2030, and over 99% of its global operations powered by renewable electricity [5][6]. - Michelin introduces a tire made from 71% sustainable materials, including organic materials like rice husks and orange peels, marking a nearly 50% increase in sustainable material usage since 2021 [8][10]. Digital Empowerment - Digital technology is positioned as a key driver for industrial upgrades, with companies like Zeiss and Ericsson showcasing innovations in AI and connectivity to enhance manufacturing and logistics efficiency [15][17]. - DHL demonstrates automation in logistics, including the use of robotic arms and autonomous guided vehicles (AGVs) to improve operational efficiency and safety in package handling [19]. Industry Trends - The integration of digital and green initiatives is reshaping global supply chains, with companies leveraging technology to enhance resource efficiency and accelerate green transitions [20]. - The CIIE serves as a testing ground for global enterprises to share opportunities and co-create future rules, highlighting the importance of collaboration in achieving sustainable development goals [20].