Core Viewpoint - HubSpot Inc. (HUBS) shares have dropped over 20% in the last six months due to Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) abandoning its acquisition plans, which would have strengthened HubSpot's position in the CRM software market and cloud computing sector [1][2] Group 1: Growth Drivers - HubSpot is focusing on collecting and enriching customer data from various sources, with the acquisition of Clearbit enhancing its data capabilities and AI integration [3] - The company's inbound marketing and sales applications facilitate customer acquisition and retention through traditional marketing methods, with a strategic priority on delivering a world-class front-office platform [4] - HubSpot has significant potential for cross-selling products to its existing customer base, supported by the One HubSpot initiative and a customer-centric App Marketplace [5] Group 2: Market Opportunities - HubSpot targets mid-market businesses, which are largely underpenetrated, presenting substantial growth opportunities [7] - The company is rapidly expanding its geographic presence, currently operating in 12 international locations and serving customers in over 120 countries, indicating strong long-term growth prospects [7] Group 3: Financial Performance - HubSpot has a long-term earnings growth expectation of 18.4% and has delivered an average earnings surprise of 10.7% over the past four quarters [8]

Market Overview - The AI-driven bull run of 2023 and 2024 has faced significant challenges in 2025 due to the Fed's uncertainty regarding rate cuts, recession fears, and competition from low-cost Chinese AI platforms [1] - Concerns over the Trump administration's tariff and trade policies have negatively impacted investor confidence in risky assets, particularly in the technology sector [2] Company Analysis: Arista Networks Inc. (ANET) - Arista Networks is positioned well with a robust network architecture for cloud and AI networking, focusing on proactive products, zero-touch automation, and predictive operations [6] - The company's EOS Smart AI Suite and Arista AVA enhance AI job monitoring and network security, catering to the growing demand for high-performance switching products [7][8] - ANET has an expected revenue growth rate of 18.7% and earnings growth rate of 12.8% for the current year, with a 4% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 30 days [9] - The average price target for ANET indicates a potential increase of 19.3% from the last closing price of $92.79, with a maximum upside of 40.1% [10] Company Analysis: Five9 Inc. (FIVN) - Five9 offers intelligent cloud software for contact centers, providing a comprehensive platform for customer service and sales functions [11] - The company has seen growth from the adoption of AI tools in call center services, with the introduction of its Intelligent CX Platform powered by Five9 Genius AI [13] - FIVN has an expected revenue growth rate of 9.6% and earnings growth rate of 11.7% for the current year, with a 6.6% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 30 days [14] - The average price target for FIVN suggests a potential increase of 35% from the last closing price of $27.11, indicating a maximum upside of 139.8% [15] Company Analysis: HubSpot Inc. (HUBS) - HubSpot provides a cloud-based CRM platform, experiencing steady adoption from enterprise customers and benefiting from pricing optimization [16] - The integration of HubSpot AI features is enhancing customer value, with a focus on lowering barriers for new customers [17] - HUBS has an expected revenue growth rate of 15.4% and earnings growth rate of 14.9% for the current year, with a 2.1% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 30 days [18] - The average price target for HUBS indicates a potential increase of 23.9% from the last closing price of $616.92, with a maximum upside of 50.7% [19]

Market Overview - The AI-driven bull run of 2023 and 2024 faced significant challenges in 2025 due to overstretched valuations, stock inflation, weak economic data, geopolitical conflicts, and concerns over the Trump administration's trade policies, impacting confidence in equities [1] - The technology sector, particularly AI-focused stocks, has been the most affected, but current low valuations present investment opportunities [2] Recommended AI Stocks - Five Internet-based AI stocks with favorable Zacks Rank recommended for purchase on the dip include Arista Networks Inc. (ANET), Fastly Inc. (FSLY), Five9 Inc. (FIVN), HubSpot Inc. (HUBS), and Twilio Inc. (TWLO), all carrying a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [3] Arista Networks Inc. (ANET) - Arista Networks is positioned well with a robust network architecture for cloud and AI networking, focusing on proactive products, zero-touch automation, and predictive operations [6] - The company’s AI suite enhances job monitoring and performance issue resolution, with expected revenue and earnings growth rates of 18.7% and 12.8% for the current year, respectively [8] - ANET is currently trading at a 31.6% discount from its 52-week high price [8] Fastly Inc. (FSLY) - Fastly provides cloud computing infrastructure and recently launched Fastly AI Accelerator, optimizing generative AI applications [10][11] - The company has expected revenue and earnings growth rates of 8.7% and 16.7% for 2025, respectively, and is trading at a 40.5% discount from its 52-week high price [12] Five9 Inc. (FIVN) - Five9 offers intelligent cloud software for contact centers, benefiting from the growing adoption of AI tools [13][15] - The expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 9.6% and 11.7%, respectively, with a 47.6% discount from its 52-week high price [16] HubSpot Inc. (HUBS) - HubSpot provides a cloud-based CRM platform and is experiencing steady adoption from enterprise customers, driven by its AI features [17][18] - The expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 15.4% and 14.9%, respectively, with a 30.2% discount from its 52-week high price [19] Twilio Inc. (TWLO) - Twilio focuses on generative AI offerings and has launched Customer AI technology to enhance customer engagement [20][21] - The expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 7.8% and 22.6%, respectively, with a 25.3% discount from its 52-week high price [24]

Core Insights - The article highlights the significance of Big Data in enhancing business decision-making, risk management, and operational efficiency through advanced analytics and AI technologies [3][4]. Company Summaries Confluent Inc. (CFLT) - Confluent operates a data streaming platform, providing managed cloud-native SaaS and self-managed software solutions [7]. - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates are 19% and 32.4%, respectively, for the current year, with a 20.5% improvement in earnings estimates over the past 30 days [8]. - The short-term average price target indicates a potential increase of 28.9% from the last closing price of $21.05, with a maximum upside of 71% [9]. Blackbaud Inc. (BLKB) - Blackbaud offers cloud software and services, achieving solid execution of strategic goals with organic revenue growth and stock buybacks [10][11]. - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates are -3.1% and 17.9%, respectively, with an 8.4% improvement in earnings estimates over the past 30 days [12]. - The short-term average price target suggests a 10.7% increase from the last closing price of $62.12, indicating a maximum upside of 36.8% [12]. Sprout Social Inc. (SPT) - Sprout Social provides a web-based social media management platform, offering AI-powered solutions for various social media functions [13][14]. - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates are 11.3% and 20.6%, respectively, with a 10.3% improvement in earnings estimates over the past 30 days [14]. - The short-term average price target indicates a potential increase of 30.7% from the last closing price of $21.55, with a maximum upside of 94.9% [15]. HubSpot Inc. (HUBS) - HubSpot delivers a cloud-based customer relationship management platform, experiencing steady adoption and integration of AI features [16][17]. - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates are 15.4% and over 100%, respectively, with a 49% improvement in earnings estimates over the past 30 days [18]. - The short-term average price target suggests a 19% increase from the last closing price of $621.25, indicating a maximum upside of 49.7% [18]. Teradata Corp. (TDC) - Teradata provides a hybrid cloud analytics platform, benefiting from strong cloud ARR growth and strategic partnerships with major tech companies [19][20]. - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates are -6.5% and -2.1%, respectively, with unchanged earnings estimates over the past 30 days [20]. - The short-term average price target indicates an 18.7% increase from the last closing price of $21.82, with a maximum upside of 60.4% [21].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry or specific companies covered. Core Insights - The report highlights the global distribution of enterprise software spending, indicating that the US accounts for approximately 56% of sales, with Western Europe at 23% in CY24, showing minimal change from CY20 [15] - The exposure of software and cloud companies to China is relatively low, with the report suggesting that tariffs or actions on software will not have a significant impact [14][12] - The report expresses concerns about deglobalization, noting that regions like the EU may attempt to promote local software industries through regulations and tariffs [14][12] Summary by Sections Global Exposure of Enterprise Software - Enterprise software spending has remained stable globally from CY20 to CY24, with most companies generating more revenue outside North America [2] - The US market is the largest revenue driver for most companies, except for SAP, which has similar revenue exposure in Western Europe and North America [14][12] Microsoft and Oracle Exposure - Microsoft has a 22% exposure to Western Europe and 11% to Asia/Pacific, with China accounting for only 1.8% of Azure revenue [22][28] - Oracle's global exposure mirrors that of enterprise software, with 21% in Western Europe and 10% in Asia/Pacific [33][35] SAP and Adobe Global Presence - SAP has equal revenue exposure to the US and Western Europe, with 37% in North America and 37% in Western Europe [40][41] - Adobe has become more global over the past four years, with a revenue mix of 56% in North America and 23% in Western Europe by CY24 [42][45] Salesforce and Workday International Growth - Salesforce has increased its international revenue percentage from CY20 to CY24, now at 64% in North America and 20% in Western Europe [46][48] - Workday remains predominantly North American, generating 77% of its revenue in North America in CY24, although it is working to expand its international presence [51][54]

Core Viewpoint - HubSpot, Inc. reported strong first-quarter 2025 results, with adjusted earnings and revenues exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimates [1] Financial Performance - The company recorded a GAAP net loss of $21.8 million or a loss of $0.42 per share, compared to a net income of $5.9 million or $0.12 per share in the same quarter last year [3] - Non-GAAP net income was $95.9 million or $1.78 per share, an increase from $89.1 million or $1.68 per share year over year, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate by $0.04 [3] - Quarterly revenues rose to $714.1 million from $617.4 million year over year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $699 million [3] Customer Growth - HubSpot added over 10,000 net new customers during the quarter, bringing the total customer count to 258,258, a 19% increase year over year [4] - Subscription revenues increased to $698.7 million from $603.8 million, up 16% year over year, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $659.33 million [4] Profitability Metrics - Gross profit for the quarter was $599 million, up from $522.3 million in the prior year [6] - Non-GAAP operating income improved to $100.3 million from $92.6 million, with respective margins of 14% and 15% [6] Cash Flow and Liquidity - The company generated $161.6 million in cash from operating activities, compared to $127.1 million in the same quarter last year [7] - As of March 31, 2025, HubSpot had $625 million in cash and cash equivalents, along with $368.9 million in convertible senior notes [7] Future Outlook - For Q2 2025, HubSpot forecasts revenues between $738 million and $740 million, representing a 16% increase [8] - The company expects non-GAAP net income per share in the range of $2.10 to $2.12, with anticipated non-GAAP operating income of $124 million to $125 million, indicating a 17% operating profit margin [8] - For the full year 2025, management estimates revenues between $3.036 billion and $3.044 billion, also a 16% year-over-year increase [8][9]

HubSpot (HUBS) reported $714.14 million in revenue for the quarter ended March 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 15.7%. EPS of $1.78 for the same period compares to $1.68 a year ago.The reported revenue represents a surprise of +2.14% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $699.18 million. With the consensus EPS estimate being $1.74, the EPS surprise was +2.30%.While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to determine t ...

HubSpot (HUBS) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.78 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.74 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.68 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 2.30%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this cloud-based marketing and sales software platform would post earnings of $2.19 per share when it actually produced earnings of $2.32, delivering a surprise of 5.94%.Over the ...

Core Insights - HubSpot reported first-quarter revenue of $714.1 million, a 16% increase year-over-year, surpassing the consensus estimate of $700.4 million [1] - The company achieved earnings per share of $1.78, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.76, and grew its customer base to 258,258, a 19% increase year-over-year [2] - HubSpot announced a new $500 million share repurchase program and ended the quarter with $2.2 billion in cash and cash equivalents [3] Financial Performance - First-quarter subscription revenue was $698.7 million, up 16% year-over-year, while professional services and other revenue reached $15.4 million, up 13% year-over-year [1] - Calculated billings for the first quarter were $766.8 million, reflecting a 20% year-over-year increase [2] - The average subscription revenue per customer decreased by 4% year-over-year to $11,038 [2] Future Guidance - For the second quarter, HubSpot projects revenue between $738.0 million and $740.0 million, representing a 16% year-over-year increase, with earnings per share expected to be between $2.10 and $2.12 [4] - The full-year revenue guidance was raised to a range of $3.036 billion to $3.044 billion, up from the previous range of $2.9 billion to $3.0 billion [4] - Full-year earnings per share guidance was also increased to a range of $9.29 to $9.37, up from the previous range of $9.11 to $9.19 [5] Market Reaction - Following the earnings report, HubSpot's stock declined by 7.63% to $610 in after-hours trading, with a 52-week trading range of $434.84 to $881.13 [6]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q1 revenue grew 18% year over year in constant currency and 16% on an as-reported basis [7][26] - Subscription revenue increased by 16% year over year, while services and other revenue rose by 13% on an as-reported basis [26] - Domestic revenue grew 16% year over year, and international revenue growth was 19% in constant currency and 15% as reported, representing 47% of total revenue [26] - Average subscription revenue per customer was $11,000 in Q1, down 2% year over year in constant currency and 4% on an as-reported basis [27] - Net revenue retention was 102% in Q1, down two points sequentially as expected [28] - Q1 operating margin was 14%, down one point compared to the year-ago period [28] - Net income was $96 million in Q1 or $1.78 per fully diluted share [29] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total customers grew by 19% to over 258,000 globally, with over 10,000 net customer additions in the quarter [8][27] - Large deal growth was strong, up 23% year over year, with significant momentum among the installed base [9] - Free to start conversion improved year over year, driven by better onboarding and product improvements [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The macro environment remains uncertain, with a heightened focus on value from customers [12][30] - The company is seeing strong demand across all segments, with no significant changes in demand patterns by industry or geography [51] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on AI adoption and has embedded AI across all hubs, aiming to create a unified customer platform [7][14] - The board has authorized a share repurchase program of up to $500 million, signaling confidence in the business and growth opportunities [8][29] - The strategy includes expanding customer agent capabilities and enhancing multi-agent orchestration [22][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty but emphasizes the company's resilience and ability to deliver value [12][30] - The company expects net additions to moderate to roughly 9,000 and average subscription revenue per customer growth to be approximately flat in the coming quarters [27] - For the full year of 2025, total as-reported revenue is expected to be in the range of $3.036 billion to $3.044 billion, up 16% year over year [32] Other Important Information - The company has launched over 200 new features at its Spring Spotlight event, focusing on AI integration and customer journey enhancements [21][22] - The company is expanding its customer agent capabilities beyond the Service Hub to all Pro and Enterprise customers [20][81] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on Agent.ai and multi-agent orchestration - Management discussed the progress of Agent.ai and the use of model context protocol for agent communication across hubs [38][40] Question: Contextualizing revised guidance and margin impact from M&A - Management explained the guidance reflects macro uncertainty and highlighted that the impact of M&A on operating profit is minimal [44][48] Question: Customer segments and hesitance in spending - Management noted that there have been no significant changes in demand patterns across segments, emphasizing the platform's essential role for customers [51][52] Question: Pricing for AI solutions and customer adoption - Management detailed the credit-based pricing model for customer agents, aiming to provide predictability and control over spending for customers [70][72] Question: Stability of gross retention and net revenue retention trends - Management confirmed strong momentum from the seat-based pricing model change, with consistent seat upgrade trends [76][78] Question: Expansion of Customer Agent beyond Service Hub - Management expressed confidence in the success of Customer Agent, noting its use across various customer interactions beyond post-sales support [81][84]