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Where Will Intuitive Surgical Stock Be in 10 Years?
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-20 08:57
Core Insights - Intuitive Surgical's business model is primarily based on the sale of da Vinci surgical robots, but the real growth driver lies in its parts and services revenue stream [1][2][8] - The company has seen a significant increase in the number of da Vinci systems in use, with a 13% year-over-year growth in Q3 2025, leading to a nearly 33% increase in revenue from the "systems" segment [5][9] - The revenue breakdown shows that while "systems" sales account for about 25% of total revenue, the majority comes from instruments and accessories, which make up around 60% of overall sales [6][7] Revenue Breakdown - The income statement of Intuitive Surgical is divided into three main segments: systems (da Vinci robots), services, and instruments and accessories [4][7] - Services contribute approximately 15% to the top line, primarily from servicing da Vinci robots, while instruments and accessories are the largest revenue source [7] - The growth in surgeries performed using da Vinci systems (20% increase) outpaces the growth in the number of new systems sold, indicating a strong potential for parts and services revenue [8][12] Market Position - Intuitive Surgical is considered a growth stock, with a current market capitalization of $200 billion and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 72x, significantly higher than the S&P 500 average [9][11] - The company’s P/E ratio aligns with its five-year average, suggesting that while it is expensive relative to the market, it is consistent with its historical valuation [11] - Over the next decade, the revenue from parts and services is expected to increase, potentially making up as much as 80% of total revenue, indicating a shift towards more stable, annuity-like income [9][12]
Will Ion Platform's 52% Growth Make It ISRG's Next Growth Engine?
ZACKS· 2025-11-19 14:06
Core Insights - Intuitive Surgical's (ISRG) third-quarter results indicate a significant shift in its platform mix, with robotic bronchoscopy emerging as a key growth driver, particularly the Ion platform, which saw a 52% year-over-year increase in procedures [1][10] - The Ion platform's adoption is accelerating, supported by new AI-enabled software and promising clinical trial data, which could reshape ISRG's revenue structure in the long term [2][5] Platform Performance - The Ion platform recorded nearly 38,000 procedures, significantly outpacing the 19% growth of da Vinci procedures, which remain the financial backbone of the company [1] - The Ion platform's utilization grew by 14%, indicating increasing throughput and economic viability for pulmonary programs [4] Clinical Advancements - New data from the Zurich randomized controlled trial showed an 84.6% diagnostic yield for Ion combined with mobile cone-beam CT, compared to 23.1% for conventional bronchoscopy, highlighting Ion's potential in early lung cancer detection [3][10] - The study also indicated a nearly 30-percentage-point increase in Stage 1A lung cancer detection following Ion adoption, suggesting a significant clinical impact that could drive procedure volume growth [3] Competitive Landscape - Johnson & Johnson's MONARCH Platform is advancing with a reported 98.7% success rate in reaching small lung nodules and an 83.2% diagnostic yield, positioning it as a strong competitor in the robotic bronchoscopy market [6] - Medtronic's ILLUMISITE Platform shows promising diagnostic accuracy and lower complication rates, although it is not yet a full robotic system [8][11] Financial Performance - ISRG's shares have increased by 4.8% year-to-date, outperforming the industry average of 0.2% [12] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 57.91, which is above the industry average but lower than its five-year median of 71.53 [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ISRG's 2025 earnings suggests a 17.3% increase compared to the previous year [14]
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Fell Despite Reporting Strong Results
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-19 11:18
Core Insights - RiverPark Advisors reported strong performance in U.S. equity markets during Q3 2025, with the S&P 500 Total Return Index increasing by 8.12% and the Russell 1000 Growth Index rising by 10.51% [1] - The RiverPark Large Growth Fund achieved a return of 4.73% in the same quarter, with market leadership concentrated among a few mega-cap tech and consumer companies driven by AI innovation [1] - Sector performance was led by Information Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Communication Services, while Energy and Utilities sectors underperformed [1] Company-Specific Insights - Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (NASDAQ:ISRG) reported a one-month return of 3.75% and a 52-week gain of 0.91%, with its stock closing at $546.77 and a market capitalization of $196.004 billion on November 17, 2025 [2] - Despite reporting double-digit revenue and earnings growth, Intuitive Surgical's shares lagged due to uneven hospital capital-equipment spending, leading to tempered near-term guidance from management [3] - The company's revenue grew by 23% to $2.5 billion in Q3 2025, but it is noted that certain AI stocks may offer greater upside potential with less downside risk compared to Intuitive Surgical [4]
Intuitive Surgical Stock: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-18 12:13
Core Insights - Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG) is valued at a market cap of $196 billion and is a leader in robotic-assisted surgery, known for the da Vinci Surgical System [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Intuitive Surgical reported revenue of $2.51 billion, a 23% year-over-year increase, driven by growth in global procedure volumes and adoption of robotic platforms [4] - Revenue from instruments and accessories rose by 20% annually to $1.52 billion [4] - Adjusted operating income increased to $976 million from $755 million a year earlier, with adjusted EPS at $2.40, surpassing analyst expectations of approximately $1.99 [4] - For the current fiscal year, analysts project ISRG's EPS to rise 6.9% year-over-year to $6.93 [5] Market Performance - Over the past 52 weeks, ISRG shares have increased by 3.6%, while the S&P 500 Index has gained 13.7% [2] - Year-to-date, ISRG is up 4.7%, compared to the S&P 500's 13.4% return [2] - ISRG has outperformed the SPDR S&P Health Care Equipment ETF (XHE), which declined by 8.5% over the past 52 weeks [3] Analyst Ratings - Among 29 analysts covering ISRG, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," with 19 "Strong Buy," 2 "Moderate Buy," 7 "Hold," and 1 "Strong Sell" [5] - The analyst sentiment has improved, with 18 analysts now suggesting a "Strong Buy" rating [6]
Robotic Surgery Will Explode: Buy This Healthcare Stock Before Its 50% Run.
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-16 09:50
Core Insights - Intuitive Surgical has recently experienced a significant drawdown, but historical trends suggest this may lead to a subsequent bull run for the stock [1][5] - The company is categorized as a growth stock, with a history of substantial sell-offs followed by price rallies [3][5] - Intuitive Surgical is included in the First Trust Nasdaq Artificial Intelligence and Robotics ETF, which could potentially drive its shares up by 50% or more [2] Company Performance - In Q3 2025, Intuitive Surgical installed 427 da Vinci surgical robots, an increase from 329 in Q3 2024, bringing the total to 10,763 robots globally [6] - The company’s revenue from robot sales constitutes approximately 25% of its total income, with the primary revenue driver being the sale of instruments, accessories, and services related to surgical procedures [7] - Surgical procedures utilizing the da Vinci robot increased by 20% year over year in Q3 2025, despite only a 13% increase in the number of systems [8] Technological Integration - The da Vinci surgical robot enhances patient outcomes through less invasive and more precise procedures [10] - Future advancements may allow for remote operation of the robots, enabling high-quality care from distant locations [11] - There is potential for AI to autonomously operate the da Vinci robots, which could significantly increase the number of surgeries performed and the demand for related parts and services [12][13] - While fully autonomous AI surgery is still a long-term prospect, Intuitive Surgical is already integrating AI into its products, indicating its importance for future growth [14]
Intuitive Surgical Stock Is Up 31% Since October Lows After Powerful Earnings Turnaround
Investors· 2025-11-14 15:29
Group 1 - The overall market trend is weakening, but medical stocks, particularly Intuitive Surgical, are performing well [1] - Intuitive Surgical's stock rose nearly 14% in October following a strong earnings report that beat both top-line and bottom-line expectations [1] - Goldman Sachs, along with Intuitive Surgical, is identified as being in or near buy zones, indicating potential investment opportunities [2] Group 2 - Intuitive Surgical's composite rating has increased to 96, reflecting its strong market performance [4] - The company has seen significant stock movement, attributed to the success of its Da Vinci surgical system, which exceeded forecasts [4] - Despite a general market decline, Intuitive Surgical continues to show resilience and growth potential [4]
Baron Fifth Avenue Growth Fund Q3 2025 Performance Update
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-14 15:00
Core Insights - Baron Fifth Avenue Growth Fund gained 5.7% in Q3 2025, underperforming the Russell 1000 Growth Index (10.5%) and the S&P 500 Index (8.1%) [2] - Year-to-date, the Fund is up 14.4%, compared to 17.2% and 14.8% for its benchmarks [2] Top Contributors to Performance - NVIDIA Corporation's shares rose 18.1% due to its strong position in AI infrastructure, with a long-term total addressable market (TAM) expansion from $1 trillion to between $3 and $4 trillion [3] - Shopify Inc. saw a 28.6% increase in shares, driven by a 30% year-over-year revenue growth and a 29% increase in gross merchandise volume (GMV) [4][5] - Tesla, Inc. shares increased by 40.0%, supported by record delivery volumes, renewed investor confidence in leadership, and advancements in AI initiatives [6] Top Detractors from Performance - The Trade Desk's shares declined 31.9% due to in-line earnings and competitive pressures, particularly from Amazon's entry into the market [7] - Intuitive Surgical, Inc. shares fell 17.7% as system placements in the U.S. did not meet expectations, compounded by financial pressures on hospital customers [8] - MercadoLibre, Inc. shares decreased by 10.6% due to macroeconomic pressures in Argentina and increased competition from Amazon, despite strong quarterly results [9] Recent Activity - The Fund initiated a small investment in Figma and added to existing holdings in KKR, Alphabet, Taiwan Semiconductor, and CrowdStrike, funded by reducing positions in seven other holdings [10]
Is Force Feedback the Next Big Catalyst for ISRG's da Vinci Sales?
ZACKS· 2025-11-13 14:56
Core Insights - Intuitive Surgical's latest FDA-cleared software upgrades for da Vinci 5, namely Force Gauge and Focus Mode, represent a significant advancement towards real-time, data-rich surgery, potentially driving the next wave of system adoption [1][10] - The Force Gauge provides visual force representation, while Focus Mode enhances surgical awareness through video replay and 3D model manipulation, with emerging clinical evidence suggesting that force feedback could lead to improved surgical outcomes [2][4] Company Developments - A one-year analysis of over 400 thoracic procedures indicated that da Vinci 5's Force Feedback technology reduced median instrument tip forces and peak force application by approximately 20% when using medium or high sensitivity settings, suggesting a trend towards gentler surgical techniques [2][10] - Intuitive Surgical's next focus is on assessing patient outcomes to determine if reduced intraoperative force correlates with lower pain, fewer complications, or quicker recovery, with ongoing studies that could validate force feedback as a key differentiator for hospitals [3][4] Market Position and Future Outlook - The clinical validation of force feedback could accelerate adoption in underpenetrated areas such as thoracic and colorectal procedures, with Intuitive Surgical positioning force sensing as a critical advancement in evidence-based robotic surgery [4][5] - If upcoming studies confirm the positive impact of Force Feedback on surgical outcomes, it may become Intuitive Surgical's most significant innovation catalyst since the introduction of the multiport platform [5] Peer Updates - Stryker reported strong momentum in robotic surgery, achieving its best quarter for Mako installations, with ongoing software enhancements aimed at improving precision and digital integration [6][7] - Globus Medical continues to expand its robotics and navigation ecosystem, launching the ExcelsiusXR navigation headset and securing FDA clearance for expanded instrumentation, enhancing its single-vendor spine ecosystem [8][9]
2 Healthcare Stocks for Beginner Investors With a 40-Year Time Horizon
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-13 10:04
Core Insights - The healthcare sector offers diverse investment opportunities for new investors, including pharmaceutical, biotech, and medical device companies [1][2] Company Analysis: Intuitive Surgical - Intuitive Surgical's flagship product, the da Vinci surgical system, facilitates complex, minimally invasive surgeries, driving profitability [3] - The company generates significant recurring revenue from instruments and accessories, which delivered over $1.5 billion in Q3 2025 due to rising procedure volumes [4] - Service contracts for the installed base of systems contributed approximately $396 million in revenue in Q3, while system sales accounted for $590 million, leading to total revenue of $2.5 billion, a 23% increase year-over-year [5] - The installed base of da Vinci systems grew to 10,763, a 13% increase year-over-year, with worldwide procedures increasing by about 20% [7] - Intuitive Surgical maintains a competitive advantage through high switching costs, extensive surgeon training, and a strong patent portfolio [8] - There is significant potential for growth in robotic surgery adoption as many eligible procedures still use traditional methods [9] Company Analysis: Johnson & Johnson - Johnson & Johnson is recognized as a Dividend King, having increased its dividend for 63 consecutive years, with a recent quarterly dividend of $1.30 per share, reflecting a 4.8% increase [11][12] - The "innovative medicine" segment generated $15.56 billion in net sales in Q3, a 6.8% year-over-year increase, driven by strong demand for oncology and immunology drugs [13] - Notable drug sales included Darzalex, which rose over 20%, and Tremfya, which jumped over 40% [14] - The medtech segment also performed well, with $8.43 billion in sales in Q3, a 6.8% increase year-over-year, primarily due to electrophysiology cardiovascular products [16] - Overall Q3 sales reached $24 billion, a 6.8% increase year-over-year, with net earnings of $5.2 billion, representing a 91% increase from the previous year [16] - Johnson & Johnson holds a AAA credit rating from S&P Global, indicating high creditworthiness and low risk of default [17]
PODD Vs. Intuitive Surgical: This Underdog Might Just Win
Forbes· 2025-11-12 19:15
Core Insights - Intuitive Surgical (NASDAQ: ISRG) is a leader in surgical innovation, but Insulet Corporation (NASDAQ: PODD) is emerging as a strong alternative in the healthcare equipment sector, particularly with its Omnipod insulin delivery system [2] - The market appears to be undervaluing PODD's accelerating fundamentals and relative value compared to ISRG, suggesting a potential investment opportunity [2][3] Valuation and Performance Comparison - Insulet Corporation offers a lower valuation (P/OpInc) compared to Intuitive Surgical, while demonstrating a higher growth rate in revenue and operating income [3] - The discrepancy between valuation and performance indicates that purchasing PODD stock may be more advantageous than acquiring ISRG stock [3] Market Dynamics - Intuitive Surgical's stock is characterized by volatility, while a balanced asset allocation strategy can help mitigate market fluctuations [4] - A thorough assessment of Intuitive Surgical's competitive advantage is necessary to determine if it can withstand scrutiny in the current market environment [5] Historical Context - Analyzing key metrics from one year ago can provide insights into whether Intuitive Surgical's stock is currently overpriced compared to its competitors [7] - A significant change in revenue and operating income growth trends for Intuitive Surgical over the past 12 months could indicate that the current stock price discrepancy may not be temporary [7] Investment Strategy - A multi-faceted analysis is essential for assessing investments, and Trefis portfolio strategies aim to minimize stock-specific risk while providing growth potential [6][8] - For investors seeking growth with more stability than individual stocks, the High Quality portfolio has outperformed its benchmark, which includes a mix of the S&P 500, Russell, and S&P midcap indices [8]