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The Pitfalls of Selling Stocks (and How to Avoid Them)
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-02 04:00
Core Insights - The podcast discusses the emotional pitfalls of selling stocks too soon, emphasizing that selling good companies prematurely can lead to significant missed opportunities for gains [2][4][12] - Historical examples, such as Netflix and Sea Limited, illustrate how selling decisions based on short-term performance can result in substantial long-term losses [3][5][10] - A framework for evaluating when to sell stocks is proposed, focusing on business fundamentals rather than emotional reactions to market fluctuations [12][14] Emotional Temptations of Selling - Investors often succumb to emotional impulses driven by fear and greed, leading to premature selling of stocks that may recover or grow significantly [2][3] - The pain of perceived losses is more intense than the pleasure of gains, influencing investors to sell stocks that are declining or have appreciated significantly [2][3] Historical Examples of Selling Mistakes - David Gardner's sale of Netflix in 2003 for valuation reasons resulted in a missed opportunity for 26,000% gains had he held onto the stock [3] - Sea Limited was sold in November 2023, missing out on 223% gains, despite logical reasons for selling at the time [5][10] Framework for Selling Decisions - A structured approach to selling stocks is recommended, including evaluating whether the decision is based on business fundamentals, macroeconomic factors, or valuation concerns [12][13] - Key questions to consider include whether the stock has reached a financial milestone or if the business is still aligned with the investor's thesis [12][13][14] Importance of Patience and Long-Term Perspective - Holding onto stocks that have the potential for significant growth can outweigh the risks of short-term volatility [10][11] - The concept of asymmetric returns highlights that the potential upside of successful investments can far exceed the downside risk [9][10] Lessons from Past Sales - The podcast emphasizes the importance of reflecting on past selling decisions to avoid repeating mistakes and to recognize the potential for recovery in previously sold stocks [6][16] - Building a habit of reviewing earnings reports and company fundamentals can help investors resist the urge to sell based on market noise [15][16]
美股市场速览:格快速修复,业绩预期平稳
Guoxin Securities· 2025-11-30 11:34
Market Performance - The S&P 500 index closed at 6,849, reflecting a weekly increase of 3.7% and a year-to-date increase of 16.4%[6] - The Nasdaq 100 index reached 25,435, with a weekly rise of 4.9% and a year-to-date increase of 21.0%[6] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 3.2% this week, with a year-to-date growth of 12.2%[6] Sector Analysis - The automotive and auto parts sector saw a significant weekly increase of 9.3% and a year-to-date increase of 9.9%[9] - The information technology sector reported a weekly rise of 4.6% and a year-to-date increase of 32.8%[9] - The healthcare sector experienced a weekly increase of 1.9% and a year-to-date increase of 21.0%[9] Fund Flows - The energy sector recorded a net inflow of $48 million this week, with a total of $572 million over the past 52 weeks[11] - The materials sector faced a net outflow of $290 million this week, totaling a negative $3.344 billion over the past 52 weeks[11] - The financial sector had a net inflow of $2.106 billion this week, with a total outflow of $6.723 billion over the past 52 weeks[11] Earnings Forecast - The overall EPS adjustment for the energy sector was 0.3% this week, with a year-to-date adjustment of -7.4%[14] - The materials sector saw an EPS adjustment of 0.6% this week, with a year-to-date adjustment of 4.9%[14] - The information technology sector's EPS adjustment was 0.6% this week, with a year-to-date adjustment of 28.0%[14]
Is Intuitive Surgical's Dominance Safe? 10 Years of Healthcare Upside
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-29 10:17
Core Insights - Intuitive Surgical has been a leader in robotic-assisted surgery (RAS) for 25 years but faces increasing competition that may disrupt its market position [2][3] - The company has advantages such as a first-mover position and a large installed base of da Vinci systems, which may help it maintain its leadership [7][9] Competitive Landscape - Medtronic is developing the Hugo system, which has completed clinical trials for urologic procedures and is awaiting regulatory clearance, posing a direct challenge to the da Vinci system [5] - Johnson & Johnson is also working on the Ottava system, currently in clinical trials for gastric bypass, which will add competitive pressure to Intuitive Surgical [6] Company Advantages - Intuitive Surgical's da Vinci system has a long history of use and has received approvals across many indications, providing a first-mover advantage [7] - The company has a significant installed base of 10,763 da Vinci systems, representing a 13% year-over-year increase, which creates high switching costs for healthcare facilities [9] - The recurring revenue from instruments and accessories, which need regular replacement, contributes to the company's financial stability [10] Market Potential - The market for robot-assisted procedures is underpenetrated, suggesting that increased competition could lead to greater awareness and demand for these minimally invasive procedures [11] - An aging population is projected to increase healthcare spending, particularly for the types of procedures offered by Intuitive Surgical, which may boost procedure volume [12] Financial Outlook - Intuitive Surgical has consistently generated steady revenue and earnings growth, and it is expected to continue delivering superior returns to patient investors over the next decade [13]
Is Intuitive Surgical Stock Underperforming the Nasdaq?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-27 14:13
Core Insights - Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG) is a leading company in the medical instruments & supplies industry, specializing in products that enhance minimally invasive care, with a market cap of $205.8 billion [1][2] - The company is recognized for its robotic-assisted surgery systems, particularly the da Vinci system, which is supported by strong brand reputation and continuous investment in R&D [2] Financial Performance - ISRG reported Q3 revenue of $2.51 billion, exceeding analyst expectations by 3.9%, and an adjusted EPS of $2.40, surpassing estimates of $1.99 [5] - The stock experienced a 13.9% surge following the Q3 results announcement [5] - Year-to-date, ISRG shares have risen 10%, while over the past 52 weeks, they have climbed 5.9%, underperforming the Nasdaq Composite's YTD gains of 20.2% [4] Stock Performance - Despite a recent slip of 6.8% from its 52-week high of $616, ISRG stock gained 21.1% over the past three months, outperforming the Nasdaq Composite's 7.8% gains [3][4] - The stock has been trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages since late October, indicating a bullish trend [4] Analyst Sentiment - Wall Street analysts maintain a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating for ISRG, with a mean price target of $610.28, suggesting a potential upside of 6.3% from current levels [6]
Can Intuitive Surgical Still Be A Good Buy?
Forbes· 2025-11-26 13:40
Core Insights - Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) stock is considered a solid investment due to high margins and cash generation capabilities at a discounted price [2] - The stock has increased by 11% this year, while its Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio is 11% lower compared to the previous year [3] Company Performance - In Q3 2025, global procedure volume rose by 20%, driven by strong adoption of da Vinci and Ion platforms, with 240 new placements of the da Vinci 5 system [4] - The installed base of da Vinci systems is nearing 10,800, leading to steady demand for high-margin instruments and accessories, which also grew by 20% [4] - Despite tariff pressures on gross margins, management's focus on operational optimization and cash generation has provided resilience, raising full-year procedure growth guidance to 17-17.5% [4] Financial Metrics - ISRG maintains a high Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio as investors anticipate long-term growth, operating under a razor–razorblade model that ensures recurring revenue from instrument sales [5] - Recent profitability metrics include an operating cash flow margin of 30.8% and an operating margin of 29.3% over the last twelve months [9] - Revenue growth for ISRG was 22.2% over the last twelve months and 16.3% on average over the last three years [9] Valuation - ISRG stock is currently available at a P/S multiple of 21.5, representing an 11% discount compared to one year ago [9] - The company is characterized by a market capitalization greater than $10 billion and high cash flow margins [10]
From Hospitals to ASCs: Will Refurbished Xi Systems Broaden ISRG's Reach?
ZACKS· 2025-11-26 13:36
Core Insights - Intuitive Surgical's third-quarter 2025 results indicate a shift in market-access strategy, focusing on refurbished da Vinci Xi systems to penetrate cost-sensitive markets and ambulatory surgery centers (ASCs) [1][7] - The trade-in of older da Vinci Xi systems for upgrades to da Vinci 5 is creating a reliable inventory stream for refurbished units, making them viable for budget-constrained environments [2][11] - The company is positioning refurbished Xi systems as a key growth driver in response to affordability challenges in robotic-assisted surgery [4][7] Market Strategy - Refurbished da Vinci Xi systems are being introduced as a solution for cost-sensitive buyers, both domestically and internationally, enhancing pricing and capability segmentation [3][4] - The affordability of robotic-assisted surgery is a significant barrier, particularly in the U.S. where ASCs face lower reimbursement rates [4][5] - Refurbished Xi systems allow for seamless integration into existing workflows, facilitating the transfer of procedures between hospitals and outpatient settings [5][11] International Expansion - Refurbished units serve as a strategic tool in international markets with tight government budgets and competitive pricing pressures, such as China, Japan, and parts of Europe [6][11] - The introduction of da Vinci 5 in these regions will be supported by refurbished Xi systems, fostering procedural adoption before hospitals invest in higher-end platforms [6][11] Financial Performance - Intuitive Surgical's shares have increased by 10.9% year-to-date, outperforming the industry average of 4.5% [13] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 61.19, which is above the industry average but below its five-year median of 71.53 [14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Intuitive Surgical's 2025 earnings suggests a 17.3% increase compared to the previous year [15]
ISRG vs. MDT: A High-Tech Robotics Faceoff in the Race for Leadership
ZACKS· 2025-11-24 14:26
Core Insights - The next era of medical technology leadership will be defined by financial performance and significant investments in robotics, intelligent systems, and digital ecosystems [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) remains the leader in soft-tissue robotic surgery, driven by the adoption of the da Vinci 5 platform and growth from the Ion robotic-assisted bronchoscopy system [2][9] - Medtronic (MDT) is experiencing a resurgence through innovation and scale, with a strong pipeline including the PFA ablation franchise and the Hugo soft-tissue robotics system [2][9] - Year-to-date stock performance shows ISRG shares up 7.6% and MDT shares up 26.7% [4] Group 2: Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Highlights - ISRG reported a 23% revenue growth, 20% total procedure growth, and 30% EPS expansion in Q3 2025, supported by the da Vinci 5 system [5] - The installed base of da Vinci systems reached nearly 10,800, with significant growth in system utilization across various platforms [6] - International placements of da Vinci 5 in Japan and Europe indicate strong global demand, with enhanced software capabilities improving clinical value [7][11] Group 3: Medtronic (MDT) Highlights - MDT's Q2 fiscal 2026 sales showed 6.6% reported growth and 5.5% organic revenue growth, with a balanced performance across regions [13] - The PFA franchise grew 71%, significantly outpacing the market, and the installed base of Affera mapping systems doubled [14][15] - New product launches, including Symplicity for renal denervation and Altaviva for urinary incontinence, are gaining traction [16][17] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - ISRG focuses on deepening its robotics ecosystem and enhancing surgical precision, while MDT links robotics with various clinical domains, creating multiple growth catalysts [24][27] - Both companies are positioned in a competitive landscape, with ISRG leading in surgical robotics scale and MDT expanding its pipeline [27] - Valuation comparison shows ISRG trading at a forward P/E of 59.4 and MDT at 17.08, indicating ISRG's higher valuation despite strong growth prospects [23][28]
What Are the Best Healthcare Stocks to Buy Now? I Think It's Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) -- or, to Play It Safer, Medtronic (MDT)
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-23 21:18
Core Insights - Intuitive Surgical is a leader in robotic surgery equipment with over 9,900 da Vinci systems installed globally, used in more than 16 million procedures [1] - Approximately 25% of Intuitive Surgical's revenue comes from system sales, while the remaining 75% is generated from servicing and supplies, providing a stable revenue stream [2] - The company's stock is highly valued, with a forward P/E ratio of 59, slightly above its five-year average of 56, reflecting its status as a strong growth stock [3] Company Comparisons - Medtronic is making strides in robotic surgery and offers a more attractive valuation with a forward P/E of 18, just above its five-year average of 17 [4] - Medtronic has focused on higher-margin operations and divested its less profitable diabetes division, maintaining a solid dividend yield of 2.8% [5] - Medtronic's recent earnings report indicated robust procedure volumes and market performance, with revenue and EPS exceeding expectations [5]
2 Healthcare Stocks for Beginner Investors With a 10-Year Time Horizon
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-23 09:10
Core Insights - The article highlights two healthcare stocks, Intuitive Surgical and GE HealthCare Technologies, as potential long-term investment opportunities for investors looking to enrich their portfolios over the coming decades [1][2]. Intuitive Surgical - Intuitive Surgical is the leader in robotic-assisted surgery, primarily due to its da Vinci surgical system, which has a dominant global market position and significant switching costs for hospitals [4][5]. - The company generates substantial recurring revenue from instruments, accessories, and service contracts, which are more significant than initial system sales [5]. - In Q3 2025, Intuitive Surgical reported revenue of $2.5 billion, a 23% increase year-over-year, with $1.5 billion from instruments and accessories, $590 million from systems, and $396 million from services [6]. - The company has a robust balance sheet with approximately $8.4 billion in cash and investments, allowing for future growth investments [10]. - The robotic-assisted surgery market remains underpenetrated, with an aging population and increasing demand for minimally invasive procedures providing a growing opportunity for Intuitive Surgical [8][9]. GE HealthCare Technologies - GE HealthCare Technologies, spun off from General Electric in 2023, offers a wide range of medical products, including imaging equipment and patient monitoring systems, aimed at creating a more focused and agile healthcare technology company [11]. - The company is actively integrating AI into its products, enhancing medical imaging quality and diagnostic capabilities [12][15]. - In Q3 2025, GE HealthCare reported revenue of $5.1 billion, a 6% increase year-over-year, with its pharmaceutical diagnostics segment growing by 20% [16][18]. - Despite facing margin pressures from tariffs, GE HealthCare reported a net income of $446 million and generated free cash flow of approximately $483 million in the same quarter [18].
Why Is Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Up 7.1% Since Last Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-11-20 17:36
Core Viewpoint - Intuitive Surgical, Inc. has shown strong performance in its recent earnings report, with significant year-over-year growth in earnings and revenue, leading to a positive outlook despite a slight decline in gross margin [3][4][8]. Financial Performance - The company reported Q3 2025 adjusted earnings per share of $2.40, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.99 by 20.6%, and reflecting a 30.4% year-over-year improvement [3]. - Revenues reached $2.51 billion, marking a 23% increase year-over-year, and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.9% [4]. - Adjusted gross profit was $1.70 billion, up 21% year-over-year, with a gross margin of 68%, down approximately 110 basis points from the previous year [8]. Segment Performance - Instruments & Accessories segment revenues totaled $1.52 billion, a 20.1% year-over-year increase, driven by a 19% growth in da Vinci procedure volume [5]. - Systems segment revenues reached $590.4 million, up 32.7% year-over-year, attributed to higher system placements and an increase in average selling price [6]. - Services segment revenues amounted to $395.9 million, reflecting a 20.4% increase from the prior year [7]. Cost and Margin Analysis - Selling, general and administrative expenses rose to $573.3 million, a 12.3% increase year-over-year, while research and development expenses increased by 15.2% to $329.4 million [8]. - Adjusted operating income was $975.9 million, up 29.2% year-over-year, with an operating margin of 38.9%, an increase of approximately 190 basis points from the previous year [9]. Financial Position - At the end of Q3, the company had cash, cash equivalents, and investments totaling $8.43 billion, down from $9.53 billion in the previous quarter [11]. Market Sentiment and Outlook - There has been an upward trend in earnings estimates, with a consensus estimate shift of 5.03% in the past month [12]. - Intuitive Surgical holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating expectations for an in-line return in the coming months [14].