Q1 2025 Financial Performance - Housing revenues totaled $1.39 billion, a decrease of 5% compared to Q1 2024's $1.46 billion[21] - Deliveries decreased by 9% to 2,770 homes, compared to 3,037 homes in Q1 2024[21] - The average selling price increased by 4% to $500,700, compared to $480,100 in Q1 2024[21] - Net orders decreased by 17% to 2,772, compared to 3,323 in Q1 2024[21] - Net order value decreased by 15% to $1.35 billion, compared to $1.58 billion in Q1 2024[21] - Backlog value decreased by 21% to $2.20 billion, compared to $2.79 billion in Q1 2024[21] - Homebuilding operating income margin was 9.2%, compared to 10.8%[22] - Housing gross profit margin was 20.2%, compared to 21.5%[22] Strategic Positioning - Approximately 60% to 70% of the company's business is Built to Order (BTO)[4] - The company's ENERGY STAR homes are up to 20% more efficient than standard new homes built to code[85]

Market Overview - President Trump's indication that the upcoming tariff policy may be less severe than previously expected has positively influenced market sentiment, leading to significant gains in major indexes [1] - The Dow increased by 597 points (+1.42%), the S&P 500 rose by 100 points (+1.76%), the Nasdaq surged by 404 points (+2.27%), and the Russell 2000 gained 52 points (+2.57%) [2] Bond Market - Bond yields have increased, with the 10-year yield rising to 4.338% (up 4 basis points) and the 2-year yield reaching 4.041% [3] Economic Indicators - The S&P flash U.S. Services PMI for March improved to 54.3, marking a three-month high, while the Manufacturing PMI fell to 49.8, the lowest since December [4][5] - The decline in Manufacturing PMI may indicate businesses are pulling forward activity ahead of the anticipated tariffs, as exports showed the slowest decline in nine months [5] Company Performance - KB Home reported fiscal Q1 earnings of $1.49 per share, missing the consensus estimate of $1.56 and down from $1.76 in the same quarter last year, with revenues of $1.39 billion falling short of the expected $1.50 billion [6] - The company cited affordability concerns due to high mortgage rates and potential tariff impacts on construction costs, leading to a reduction in revenue guidance [7] Upcoming Economic Data - Upcoming releases include Case-Shiller Home Prices for January and New Home Sales for February, both expected to show month-over-month improvements [8]

Shares of KB Home (NYSE: KBH ) have been a disappointing performer over the past year, losing about 10% of their value and steadily falling in recent months, amid increased concerns about the housing market in a period of still-elevatedOver fifteen years of experience making contrarian bets based on my macro view and stock-specific turnaround stories to garner outsized returns with a favorable risk/reward profile. If you want me to cover a specific stock or have a question for an article, just let me know!A ...

KB Home (KBH) Q1 2025 Earnings Call March 24, 2025 05:00 PM ET Company Participants Jill Peters - SVP - IRJeffrey Mezger - Chairman, President & CEORobert McGibney - President & COOWilliam Hollinger - SVP & CAOMatthew Bouley - Managing DirectorMatthew Johnson - Associate Director - Equity ResearchStephen Kim - Senior Managing DirectorMichael Dahl - Managing DirectorMichael Rehaut - Executive DirectorAlan Ratner - Managing DirectorJay McCanless - SVP - Equity ResearchTrevor Allinson - Director - Equity Resea ...

Financial Performance - Revenues for Q1 2025 were $1.39 billion, down 5% from $1.47 billion in Q1 2024[4] - Total revenues for the three months ended February 28, 2025, were $1,391,777, a decrease of 5.2% compared to $1,467,766 for the same period in 2024[15] - Homebuilding revenues decreased to $1,387,041 from $1,461,698, reflecting a decline of 5.1% year-over-year[20] - Net income for the period was $109,557, down 21.0% from $138,665 in the prior year[15] - The company reported a total pretax income of $139,357, down 20.2% from $174,665 in the same quarter last year[15] Home Delivery and Orders - Homes delivered decreased by 9% to 2,770 units compared to the previous year[4] - Homes delivered decreased to 2,770 from 3,037, representing a decline of 8.8% year-over-year[22] - Net orders fell by 17% to 2,772, contributing to a backlog of 4,436 homes, which is a 21% decrease in value to $2.20 billion[7] - Total net orders fell to 2,772, down 16.5% from 3,323 in the same quarter last year[22] Pricing and Margins - Average selling price increased by 4% to $500,700[4] - The average selling price of homes increased to $500,700, up 4.3% from $480,100 in the previous year[20] - Homebuilding operating income was $127.3 million, with a margin of 9.2%, down from 10.8%[4] - Adjusted housing gross profit margin was 20.3%, slightly down from 21.6% in the prior year[24] Assets and Equity - Total assets increased to $6,979,260 from $6,936,169, reflecting a growth of 0.6%[18] - Stockholders' equity rose to $4,092,678, compared to $4,060,616, indicating an increase of 0.8%[18] Liquidity and Investments - Total liquidity stood at $1.25 billion, including $267.8 million in cash and cash equivalents[7] - Inventory increased by 7% to $5.94 billion, with land investments rising by 57% to $920.3 million[7] - The company repurchased $50 million worth of common stock, totaling 753,939 shares at an average price of $66.32 per share[7] Guidance and Tax - Guidance for full-year 2025 includes housing revenues between $6.60 billion and $7.00 billion[7] - The effective tax rate for the quarter was 21.4%, compared to 20.6% in the previous year[7]

A new week of trading begins with pre-market futures well into the green this morning. We had already bounced off last week’s year-to-date lows with a decent, if bumpy, week of trading overall, but we haven’t seen early-morning gains like this in quite some time. The Dow is +400 points at this hour, the S&P 500 is +70 and the Nasdaq +300 points.What has been looming large over this difficult period in the markets is the ominous shadow of April 2nd tariffs, which we had been led to think would be comprehensi ...

KB Home KBH will release its first-quarter financial results after the closing bell on Monday, March 24.Analysts expect the company to report quarterly earnings at $1.58 per share, down from $1.76 per share in the year-ago period. KB Home projects quarterly revenue of $1.50 billion, compared to $1.47 billion a year earlier, according to data from Benzinga Pro.On March 10, Wells Fargo analyst Sam Reid maintained KB Home with an Underweight rating and lowered the price target from $65 to $63.With the recent b ...

Core Viewpoint - President Trump's tariffs could significantly increase material costs for new homes, potentially by up to $10,000, impacting housing affordability [1][2][3] Group 1: Tariff Impact on Home Construction - The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) reported that Trump's tariffs could raise material prices for the average new single-family home by between $7,500 and $10,000 [2] - The NAHB has been advocating against tariffs due to their negative effects on housing affordability, describing them as a tax on builders, home buyers, and consumers [3] - The implementation of a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican imports could increase total costs for imported construction materials by over $3 billion [4] Group 2: Sources of Construction Materials - Softwood lumber is primarily sourced from Canada, while gypsum, a key component of drywall, comes mainly from Mexico [4] - Other materials such as steel, aluminum, and completed home appliances are imported from China, which are also subject to increased tariffs [4]

Group 1 - The stock of KB Home (KBH) is experiencing significant attention due to high implied volatility in the options market, particularly the Dec 19, 2025 $25.00 Call option [1] - Implied volatility indicates the market's expectation of future price movement, suggesting that investors anticipate a significant change in KB Home's stock price, potentially due to an upcoming event [2] - KB Home currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) in the Building Products - Home Builders industry, which is in the bottom 8% of the Zacks Industry Rank, with recent analyst estimates showing a decrease from $1.70 to $1.58 per share for the current quarter [3] Group 2 - The high implied volatility surrounding KB Home may indicate a developing trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on such options to capture decay, hoping the stock does not move as much as expected by expiration [4]

Company Performance - KB Home's stock closed at $60.74, reflecting a +1.49% change, outperforming the S&P 500's loss of 1.22% on the same day [1] - Over the last month, KB Home's shares decreased by 8.51%, underperforming the Construction sector's loss of 6.27% and the S&P 500's loss of 2.31% [1] Earnings Projections - The upcoming earnings report for KB Home is projected to show earnings per share (EPS) of $1.58, which is a 10.23% decrease from the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is estimated to be $1.5 billion, indicating a 2.37% increase compared to the same quarter of the previous year [2] Annual Estimates - For the annual period, earnings are anticipated to be $8.42 per share, reflecting a -0.36% change from last year, while revenue is expected to be $7.21 billion, signifying a +3.98% increase [3] - Changes in analyst estimates for KB Home are crucial as they indicate the evolving nature of near-term business trends [3] Valuation Metrics - KB Home is currently trading with a Forward P/E ratio of 7.11, which is lower than the industry average of 7.84, suggesting it is trading at a discount [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.86, compared to the industry average PEG ratio of 0.89 [6] Industry Context - The Building Products - Home Builders industry ranks in the bottom 10% of all industries, with a current Zacks Industry Rank of 227 [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank measures the strength of individual industry groups, indicating that top-rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]