家得宝(HD.US)与劳氏(LOW.US)本周公布季度财报时，其销售额预计将呈现小幅增长。这将为投资者提供一个 观察窗口：市场前景是否正在改善，抑或消费者的谨慎态度仍在抑制房屋装修和DIY的消费支出。 由于美国总统特朗普实施的关税政策，这两家美国家装零售巨头在地板、五金和照明等品类上面临着更高的原 材料成本，并将部分成本上涨转嫁给了消费者。不过，分析师预计，对中国商品关税的暂时暂停将带来短期的 缓解。 据耶鲁大学预算实验室的数据，美国消费者承担的实际关税率今年已飙升至17.9%，为1934年以来的最高水平， 这给家庭预算带来了更大压力，而此前美国联邦政府遭遇历史上最长时间的停摆更是加剧了这一状况。 然而，美联储在九月和十月各降息25个基点，这让华尔街分析师对消费者重新增加支出持乐观态度。 家装零售商也期待需求在数月的高利率之后能够回升，因为高利率曾促使房主推迟那些通常需要融资的项目， 如厨房改造、浴室升级和游泳池安装。 Gabelli Funds的投资组合经理约瑟夫.加贝利表示："成屋销售的加速可能会刺激家装活动的改善，但这需要负担 能力提高、利率下降和消费者信心增强共同作用。"该公司持有家得宝和劳氏不到1% ...

Stubborn inflation and skyrocketing home prices are causing uncertainty in the residential property market. These factors also make it challenging for consumers to sustain their discretionary spending. With that, household durable and home improvement products and servicesI have been working in the logistics sector for almost two decades. I have been into stock investing and macroeconomic analysis for almost a decade. Currently, I focus on ASEAN and NYSE/NASDAQ Stocks, particularly in banks, telco, logistic ...

Stubborn inflation and skyrocketing home prices are causing uncertainty in the residential property market. These factors also make it challenging for consumers to sustain their discretionary spending. With that, household durable and home improvement products and servicesI have been working in the logistics sector for almost two decades. I have been into stock investing and macroeconomic analysis for almost a decade. Currently, I focus on ASEAN and NYSE/NASDAQ Stocks, particularly in banks, telco, logistic ...

It’s a big week for earnings this week with Nvidia and some key retail names taking center stage. This week we have Nvidia (NVDA), Home Depot (HD), Walmart (WMT), Target (TGT), Lowes (LOW), Palo Alto Networks (PANW), Medtronic (MDT) and Pdd Holdings (PDD) all reporting. Before a company reports earnings, implied volatility is usually high because the market is unsure about the outcome of the report. Speculators and hedgers create huge demand for the company’s options which increases the implied volatility ...

Stifel将劳氏的目标价从275美元下调至230美元，维持"持有"评级。(格隆汇) ...

Core Insights - Analysts forecast Lowe's (LOW) will report quarterly earnings of $2.98 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 3.1% [1] - Expected revenues are projected to be $20.86 billion, indicating a 3.4% increase compared to the same quarter last year [1] Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 0.1% over the past 30 days, showing analysts have reappraised their initial projections [2] - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, with empirical research indicating a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3] Key Metrics - Analysts estimate the total number of stores will reach 1,755, up from 1,747 in the same quarter last year [5] - The estimated total sales floor square footage is projected at 195.65 million, compared to 195.00 million in the same quarter last year [5] - Sales per store are expected to be $11.97 million, an increase from $11.55 million year-over-year [6] - The average store size selling square feet is estimated to be 111.72 thousand, slightly down from 112.00 thousand in the previous year [6] Stock Performance - Lowe's shares have decreased by 4.8% in the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's increase of 1.4% [6] - With a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), Lowe's is expected to closely follow overall market performance in the near term [6]

Core Insights - Lowe's Companies, Inc. is set to announce its third-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings on November 19, with revenue expectations at $20.9 billion, reflecting a 3.4% year-over-year growth, and earnings per share (EPS) estimated at $2.98, indicating a 3.1% increase from the previous year [1][9] Group 1: Earnings Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Lowe's revenues stands at $20.9 billion, implying a 3.4% growth from the prior year [1][9] - The consensus mark for earnings has decreased slightly to $2.98 per share, still suggesting a 3.1% increase from the year-ago period [1][9] - Lowe's has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 2.9%, with the last reported quarter outperforming the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.4% [2] Group 2: Key Growth Drivers - Lowe's third-quarter performance is expected to benefit from its Pro-focused initiatives and the execution of its "Total Home" strategy, with strategic investments in expanding its Pro customer base yielding positive results [3] - Enhanced product assortments, improved in-stock positions, and better service capabilities through loyalty programs and job-site delivery enhancements are likely to support higher transaction volumes [3] - Digital execution remains a significant driver, with investments in technology improving customer experience and operational efficiency, particularly among Pro customers [4] Group 3: Financial Health and Challenges - Lowe's ongoing Perpetual Productivity Improvement initiatives may have contributed to margin enhancement, alongside robust cash generation and prudent capital allocation [5] - However, the company may face challenges from macroeconomic pressures, including higher interest rates and subdued housing turnover, which could temper discretionary spending in the home improvement market [6] - The company's Zacks Rank is 4 (Sell) with an Earnings ESP of -2.23%, indicating uncertainty regarding an earnings beat this quarter [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Lowe's (LOW) to report a year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended October 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Lowe's is expected to post quarterly earnings of $2.98 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +3.1% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $20.9 billion, which is a 3.6% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.29% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Lowe's is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -2.23% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with significant predictive power for positive readings only [9][10]. - Lowe's current Zacks Rank is 3 (Hold), making it challenging to predict an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Lowe's exceeded the expected earnings of $4.23 per share by delivering $4.33, resulting in a surprise of +2.36% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Lowe's has beaten consensus EPS estimates four times [14]. Industry Comparison - Home Depot (HD), a competitor in the retail home furnishings industry, is expected to report earnings of $3.82 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of +1.1% [18]. - Home Depot's revenue is anticipated to be $41.08 billion, up 2.2% from the previous year [18].

Core Viewpoint - Lowe's Companies, Inc. will hold its Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call on November 19, 2025, at 9 a.m. Eastern time, with a webcast available for investors [1][2]. Company Overview - Lowe's is a FORTUNE® 100 home improvement company, serving approximately 16 million customer transactions weekly, with total fiscal year 2024 sales exceeding $83 billion [4]. - The company employs around 300,000 associates and operates over 1,700 home improvement stores, 530 branches, and 130 distribution centers [4]. - Lowe's is based in Mooresville, N.C., and engages in community support through various programs aimed at safe housing, community improvement, skilled trade development, and disaster relief [4].

Core Insights - Lowe's Companies, Inc. has significantly underperformed the broader market and sector over the past year, with stock prices declining 4.6% year-to-date and 14.3% over the past 52 weeks, while the S&P 500 Index and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund have shown positive returns [2][3]. Financial Performance - In Q3, Lowe's reported net sales of approximately $24 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 1.6%, although it slightly missed market expectations. Adjusted EPS increased by 5.6% year-over-year to $4.33, surpassing consensus estimates by 2.4% [4]. - For the full fiscal 2026, analysts project an adjusted EPS of $12.31, representing a 2.6% year-over-year increase. The company has a strong earnings surprise history, exceeding bottom-line estimates in the last four quarters [5]. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Among 29 analysts covering Lowe's stock, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," consisting of 18 "Strong Buys," one "Moderate Buy," nine "Holds," and one "Strong Sell" [5]. - Evercore ISI analyst Greg Melich maintained an "In-Line" rating but reduced the price target from $245 to $240. The mean price target of $281.09 indicates a 19.4% premium to current price levels, while the highest target of $325 suggests a potential upside of 38.1% [7].