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Worried About a Recession? These 2 Stocks Could Signal What's Next for the Economy.
The Motley Fool· 2024-08-18 09:10
Looking at consumer spending habits could be a helpful signal when gauging the strength of the economy.The U.S. economy is at a really interesting juncture right now.Over the last few years, the U.S. has added more than 15 million jobs -- more than recovering jobs that were lost during the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic. At the same time, inflation has continued to cool from peak levels in 2022.But with that said, July's unemployment rate of 4.3% was the highest level over the last 12 months.All in all, it s ...
McDonald's(MCD) - 2024 Q2 - Quarterly Report
2024-08-08 15:27
Financial Performance - Revenue from company-owned and franchised restaurants for the quarter ended June 30, 2024, was $6,490 million, slightly down from $6,498 million in the same quarter of 2023[7]. - Net income for the quarter ended June 30, 2024, was $2,022 million, compared to $2,310 million for the same quarter in 2023, reflecting a decrease of approximately 12.4%[7]. - Basic earnings per share for the quarter ended June 30, 2024, was $2.81, down from $3.17 in the same quarter of 2023, a decline of about 11.4%[7]. - The company reported total expenses of $3,570 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2024, compared to $3,393 million in the same quarter of 2023, an increase of approximately 5.2%[7]. - Comprehensive income for the quarter was $2,093 million, down from $2,345 million in the previous year, reflecting a decline of 10.7%[10]. - Total revenues for the Company in the second quarter of 2024 were $6,490 million, a slight decrease of 0.1% compared to $6,498 million in the same quarter of 2023[53]. - Operating income for the Company in the second quarter of 2024 was $2,920 million, down 5.9% from $3,104 million in the same quarter of 2023[53]. - Diluted earnings per share was $2.80 for the quarter, a decrease of 11%, and $5.46 for the six months, a decrease of 2%[64]. - For Q2 2024, net income decreased by 12% to $2,022 million, and diluted earnings per share decreased by 11% to $2.80, impacted by foreign currency translation[73]. Assets and Liabilities - Total current assets decreased from $7,986 million on December 31, 2023, to $4,205 million on June 30, 2024, a decline of approximately 47.3%[6]. - Total assets decreased from $56,147 million to $53,801 million, a reduction of about 4.8%[6]. - Total current liabilities decreased from $6,859 million to $3,910 million, a decline of approximately 43.5%[6]. - Long-term debt increased from $37,153 million to $38,524 million, an increase of about 3.7%[6]. - The balance of total shareholders' equity at June 30, 2023, was $(4,999) million, reflecting a decrease from $(4,707) million at the end of the previous year[15]. - The company reported a total shareholders' equity of $(76,459) million as of June 30, 2024, reflecting a decrease from $(75,520) million at the end of the previous quarter[20]. Cash Flow and Investments - Cash provided by operations for the six months ended June 2024 was $4,079 million, slightly down from $4,094 million in the same period of 2023[12]. - Capital expenditures for the quarter were $628 million, an increase of 19.4% compared to $526 million in the same quarter of 2023[12]. - Cash used for investing activities totaled $3.3 billion for the six months ended June 30, 2024, an increase of $1.9 billion compared to the same period in 2023[101]. - The company incurred $101 million in charges related to the "Accelerating the Organization" strategy in the six months ended June 30, 2024, with an expectation of approximately $250 million in restructuring charges for the full year[32]. Revenue Growth and Expansion - The total number of systemwide restaurants increased to 42,406 as of June 30, 2024, up from 40,801 in 2023, reflecting a growth of approximately 3.9%[26]. - The Company plans to open more than 2,100 new restaurants globally in 2024, contributing to nearly 4% new unit growth[61]. - The Company aims to increase its 90-day active loyalty users to 250 million by 2027, with a target of $45 billion in annual Systemwide sales to loyalty members[61]. - Revenues from franchised restaurants for the six months ended June 30, 2024, totaled $7.663 billion, up from $7.521 billion in the same period of 2023, a 1.89% increase[51]. Market Challenges - The ongoing war in the Middle East is expected to continue negatively impacting Systemwide sales and revenue, particularly in International Developmental Licensed Markets[69]. - The competitive environment remains intense, with competition from traditional and non-traditional market participants impacting sales and profitability[112]. - Supply chain interruptions and price volatility may adversely affect costs and revenues, with potential causes including inflation and transportation issues[116]. - Labor challenges, including staffing and compliance with regulations, could negatively impact operations and customer satisfaction[119]. Tax and Regulatory Environment - The effective income tax rate for the six months ended June 30, 2024, was 20.4%, up from 19.1% in 2023[37]. - The effective income tax rate was 20.9% for the quarter ended June 30, 2024, compared to 18.0% for the same quarter in 2023[100]. - The company faces increasing regulatory and legal complexities that may adversely affect its business and financial results, including compliance costs and litigation risks[126]. Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to focus on market expansion and new product development as part of its future strategy[6]. - The Company is investing in three technology-enabled platforms to enhance customer engagement and operational efficiency[63]. - The company continues to invest in restaurant development, technology, digital engagement, and delivery to enhance customer experience[111].
McDonald's (MCD) Q2 Results Review: Time to Buy or Red Flag?
ZACKS· 2024-08-08 13:50
McDonald's Corporation's (MCD) second-quarter 2024 results disappointed investors, as revenues and earnings fell short of expectations. This marks a year-over-year decline in both key metrics. Despite these lackluster results, the stock has moved up 6.8% since the earnings release. Let's assess whether the gain is sustainable or short-lived.Highlights From MCD’s Q2 ResultsLower-than-expected Results: In second-quarter 2024, MCD posted adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.97, missing the Zacks Consensus E ...
Why Caution Is Warranted for McDonald's
GuruFocus· 2024-08-08 13:01
McDonald's Corp. (MCD, Financial) presented disappointing second-quarter earnings on July 29. The quarter's indicators show how challenging the company's situation is, with negative same-store sales, flat revenue and an earnings miss.Despite this, shares have advanced slightly, the justification for which can be attributed to strategies to return value to the consumer like cheaper meal initiatives.Combining the bad situation with some trends in the fast-food chain's market, I believe a very cautious stance ...
McDonald's Returns to Value
The Motley Fool· 2024-08-08 08:36
And we talk with PG&E CEO Patricia Poppe about the company's turnaround and how it's serving the growing electricity demand from data centers.In this podcast, Motley Fool analyst Asit Sharma and host Dylan Lewis discuss:2024's largest IPO -- cold storage company Lineage -- and whether the REIT is worth watching for investors.McDonald's Q2 earnings, the chain's pivot to value-oriented menu items, and why the outlook for pinched consumers likely won't get better any time soon.PG&E CEO Patricia Poppe joins Mot ...
麦当劳:Q2业绩低于预期,低价套餐提振销售
INDUSTRIAL SECURITIES· 2024-08-08 01:31
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking it as the first rating given [6]. Core Views - The company maintains its store opening pace as planned at the beginning of the year, but same-store sales are under pressure, leading to flat revenue year-on-year for Q2 2024. The introduction of low-priced meal packages is expected to boost sales in the coming period, although the same-store sales outlook for the year has been downgraded due to first-half performance. Material cost inflation has decreased, but labor cost pressures remain high, impacting profit margins. The low-priced package strategy may attract more customers in the second half of the year, and potential interest rate cuts in the U.S. could positively affect the consumer environment. Revenue projections for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are $25.99 billion, $27.33 billion, and $28.89 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 1.9%, 5.2%, and 5.7% respectively. Net profit estimates are $8.42 billion, $9.00 billion, and $9.54 billion, reflecting a decline of 0.6% in 2024, followed by growth of 6.9% and 6.1% in the subsequent years. The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 23, 21, and 20 for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [3][4][6]. Financial Summary - For the fiscal year 2023, the company reported revenue of $25.49 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 10%. The projected revenue for 2024 is $25.99 billion, reflecting a modest growth of 1.9%. The net profit for 2023 was $8.47 billion, with a significant year-on-year increase of 37.1%. However, the forecast for 2024 indicates a slight decline in net profit to $8.42 billion, a decrease of 0.6%. The operating profit margin is expected to improve gradually from 45.7% in 2023 to 47.0% by 2026 [3][4][7]. Q2 Performance - In Q2 2024, the company's revenue was $6.49 billion, a slight decline of 0.1% year-on-year. The breakdown of revenue sources shows self-operated revenue at $2.46 billion, franchise revenue at $3.94 billion, and other revenue at $0.09 billion. The operating profit for the quarter was $2.92 billion, down 5.9% year-on-year, and net profit was $2.02 billion, reflecting a decrease of 12.5%. The net profit margin for the quarter was 31.2%, down 4.3 percentage points from the previous year [4][5][6]. Store Expansion - The company continues to expand its store count, with 13,484 locations in the U.S., 10,333 in International Operated Markets (IOM), and 18,589 in International Developmental Licensees (IDL) as of Q2 2024. This represents an increase of 27, 70, and 487 stores respectively compared to the end of 2023 [5][6].
McDonald's employee sentenced to prison for setting dumpster fire because restaurant was too crowded
Fox Business· 2024-08-03 05:21
A McDonald's employee working at a store in Savannah, Georgia, was sentenced to five years in federal prison after pleading guilty to lighting a fire inside a dumpster to clear out customers because the restaurant was overcrowded. Joshua Daryl McGregor, 34, was working at the restaurant on 2701 Montgomery Ave. in April 2023 when he became frustrated that the store was too busy, the U.S. Attorney's Office said in a press release."Intentionally setting a fire in an effort to shut down or damage someone else’s ...
Wall Street Bulls Look Optimistic About McDonald's (MCD): Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2024-08-02 14:32
The recommendations of Wall Street analysts are often relied on by investors when deciding whether to buy, sell, or hold a stock. Media reports about these brokerage-firm-employed (or sell-side) analysts changing their ratings often affect a stock's price. Do they really matter, though?Let's take a look at what these Wall Street heavyweights have to say about McDonald's (MCD) before we discuss the reliability of brokerage recommendations and how to use them to your advantage.McDonald's currently has an aver ...
July 2024 New Analysts Cover Rivian, McDonald's, Paycom, Spotify +
Seeking Alpha· 2024-08-02 12:15
FrankvandenBergh/E+ via Getty Images Showcase Intro This past July, we welcomed twenty-two new analysts who published their first-ever article on Seeking Alpha. Our first five introductions are spotlight features, including a longer excerpt from the analyst's article. The rest of the new analysts will be introduced after these with a more brief excerpt, and organized by rating from Strong Sell to Strong Buy. Each section includes details about the newcomers' interest and background, so you can get to kn ...
McDonald's Sees Some Consumer Push Back. Is It Time to Sell the Stock?
The Motley Fool· 2024-08-02 08:20
The fast-food environment is becoming increasingly more difficult to operate profitably in.Share prices of McDonald's (MCD 1.26%) were climbing higher despite the company missing analyst estimates when it reported its second-quarter results earlier this week. Customers have begun to push back on higher prices, which led the company to extend its $5 Meal Deal Promotion.Let's look at the fast-food chain's most recent results, its long-term prospects, and why competitors generally fare worse when the company b ...