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Josh Brown's best stocks in the market: Phillips 66 and Marathon Petroleum
Youtube· 2025-10-28 17:31
Core Viewpoint - The energy sector, while less discussed, still presents investment opportunities, particularly in companies like Baker Hughes, Valero, and Phillips 66, which are expected to report earnings soon [2][3]. Company Insights - Baker Hughes and Valero have shown strong performance and are considered among the best stocks in the energy market [2]. - Phillips 66 is anticipated to report earnings soon, with expectations of improved performance after being a laggard in the sector [3][4]. - Marathon Petroleum is also highlighted as a strong stock, with a recommendation to maintain positions despite recent fluctuations [5]. Financial Performance - Phillips 66 is projected to generate approximately $30 billion in revenue, with a share price target of $229 [4]. - The focus for these companies is on returning capital to shareholders, which will be closely monitored in upcoming earnings reports [4]. Debt Management - There is concern regarding Phillips 66's high debt levels, which need to be reduced to the mid-teens from above $20 billion, potentially impacting shareholder dividends [6]. Market Conditions - The current environment of $60 oil is favorable for refiners, emphasizing the importance of production volume in the U.S. rather than just oil prices [7]. - The energy ecosystem is also shifting focus towards natural gas and its role in power production [8].
Marathon Petroleum Stock Earns 82 RS Rating
Investors· 2025-10-23 16:48
Core Insights - Crude oil prices have surged by 5% following a significant move by former President Trump, indicating potential volatility in the energy sector [1] - Marathon Petroleum's Relative Strength Rating (RS Rating) has improved from 76 to 82, surpassing the critical threshold of 80, which suggests strong technical performance [1][2] - The upgrade in Marathon Petroleum's RS Rating reflects a positive trend in its stock performance, aligning with broader market movements [4] Company Performance - Marathon Petroleum has achieved an RS Rating above 80, indicating a strong relative price strength compared to other stocks [4] - The increase in RS Rating is a positive signal for investors, suggesting that Marathon Petroleum is gaining momentum in the market [4] Industry Trends - The energy sector, particularly crude oil, is experiencing fluctuations influenced by political events, which can impact stock performance [1] - Other companies in the sector, such as HF Sinclair, are also seeing improvements in their RS Ratings, indicating a broader trend of rising relative strength among energy stocks [4]
Here's What to Expect From Marathon Petroleum’s Next Earnings Report
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-21 08:48
Core Viewpoint - Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is positioned for strong earnings growth, with analysts projecting significant increases in earnings per share (EPS) for the upcoming fiscal quarters [2][3]. Company Overview - Marathon Petroleum Corporation has a market capitalization of $56.1 billion and operates as an integrated downstream energy company, focusing on the transportation and marketing of petroleum products [1]. - The company is based in Findlay, Ohio, and also provides transportation, storage, and logistics services for crude oil and refined products [1]. Earnings Projections - Analysts expect MPC to report a profit of $2.86 per share for fiscal Q3 2025, which represents a 52.9% increase from $1.87 per share in the same quarter last year [2]. - For the current fiscal year, EPS is projected to be $9.76, a slight increase from $9.71 in fiscal 2024 [3]. - EPS is anticipated to grow by 30.8% annually, reaching $12.77 in fiscal 2026 [3]. Stock Performance - Over the past 52 weeks, MPC shares have increased by 17.7%, outperforming the S&P 500 Index's return of 14.8% and the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund's decline of 3.8% [4]. - On September 30, shares of Marathon Petroleum fell by over 1% due to a drop in WTI crude oil prices [5]. Analyst Ratings - Wall Street analysts maintain a "Moderate Buy" rating for MPC, with 20 analysts covering the stock: eight recommend "Strong Buy," three suggest "Moderate Buy," and nine indicate "Hold" [6]. - The mean price target for MPC is set at $197.65, suggesting a potential upside of 6.1% from current price levels [6].
Polaris Global Equity Composite Q3 2025 Commentary
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-20 06:25
Core Insights - Global equity markets experienced broad positive returns in Q3 2025, driven by resilient corporate earnings, enthusiasm for AI, and the U.S. Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut of the year [3][21] - Emerging markets, particularly China, led the gains, supported by a U.S. trade truce and strength in the tech sector [3][4] - The Polaris Global Equity Composite gained 5.04% (net of fees) for the quarter, underperforming the MSCI World Index, which returned 7.36% [5][6] Market Performance - Developed markets saw weaker currencies benefiting export-oriented indices, with Japan's TOPIX Index up 11.0% and the U.K.'s FTSE All-Share Index up 6.9% [4] - The U.S. market, represented by the S&P 500 Index, gained over 8%, primarily due to tech and communication stocks [4] - France and Germany underperformed due to geopolitical and fiscal concerns, with tepid growth projections under new U.S. trade policy [4] Sector Analysis - The healthcare sector was the best performer, with notable gains from pharmaceutical stocks, while financials, consumer discretionary, and IT also contributed positively [5][6] - Health insurers faced challenges, with UnitedHealth Group and CVS Health posting over 10% returns, while Elevance Health's shares dropped sharply due to profit guidance cuts [7] - In IT, Samsung Electronics excelled with strong performance in HBM technology and a significant deal with Tesla for AI chip manufacturing [11] Company Highlights - United Therapeutics Corp. was a top contributor to portfolio performance, driven by positive clinical trial results for its drug Tyvaso, potentially adding $4-5 billion in peak sales [6] - AbbVie, Inc. expects high single-digit revenue growth through 2029, with flagship drugs projected to exceed $31 billion in sales by 2027 [6] - The Carlyle Group Inc. outperformed in the financial sector, up over 20% due to strong fee-based credit and secondaries business [8] Investment Strategy - The current economic environment is characterized by a "two-speed" economy, with a concentrated AI-driven boom amidst subdued growth in other sectors [21][22] - Financials are seen as attractive due to stable net interest margins and loan growth, while defensives like consumer staples and healthcare are expected to perform well [22] - Opportunities in economically-sensitive sectors are being explored, with a focus on industrials benefiting from AI integration and supply chain modernization [22][23]
Oil market environment better for refiners than crude oil, says Wells Fargo's Sam Margolis
Youtube· 2025-10-17 19:28
Group 1: Market Overview - The oil market is currently oversupplied, leading to a challenging environment for the sector [2] - There is a risk of downside asymmetrically in the near term, prompting a focus on identifying stocks that can grow dividends [3] Group 2: Company Recommendations - Wells Fargo has an overweight rating on major integrated oil companies such as Chevron, Exxon, and Marathon Petroleum, despite declining oil prices [1][4] - The refining sector is also highlighted, with companies like Dell, Philip 66, and Valero performing well [6] Group 3: Refining and Gasoline Prices - The refining environment is better than that for crude oil, but refining margins need to increase significantly to impact retail gasoline prices [7] - Retail gasoline prices are primarily driven by inflation and increased retail margins at convenience stores, rather than just refining margins [8]
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is a Top Dividend Stock Right Now: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-10-17 16:46
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of dividends for income investors, highlighting that dividends significantly contribute to long-term returns, often exceeding one-third of total returns [2] Company Overview - Marathon Petroleum (MPC), based in Findlay, operates in the Oils-Energy sector and has experienced a share price increase of 29.86% this year [3] - The company currently pays a dividend of $0.91 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 2.01%, which is lower than the industry average of 3.16% and the S&P 500's yield of 1.52% [3] Dividend Growth - Marathon Petroleum's annualized dividend of $3.64 has increased by 7.5% from the previous year [4] - Over the past five years, the company has raised its dividend three times, achieving an average annual increase of 12.49% [4] - The current payout ratio stands at 57%, indicating that the company distributes 57% of its trailing 12-month earnings per share as dividends [4] Earnings Outlook - For the fiscal year, MPC anticipates solid earnings growth, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 projected at $9.73 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth rate of 2.31% [5] Investment Considerations - The article notes that while high-growth firms typically do not offer dividends, established companies like Marathon Petroleum are viewed as attractive dividend options [6] - MPC is characterized as a compelling investment opportunity, not only for its dividend but also due to its strong Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [6]
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Rises Yet Lags Behind Market: Some Facts Worth Knowing
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 22:46
Core Viewpoint - Marathon Petroleum is set to release its earnings on November 4, 2025, with projected EPS of $2.87, indicating a significant year-over-year increase of 53.48%, while revenue is expected to decline by 12.88% to $30.82 billion [2] Group 1: Earnings and Revenue Projections - The full-year earnings projection for Marathon Petroleum is $9.03 per share, reflecting a decrease of 5.05% from the previous year, with total revenue expected to be $124.98 billion, down 10.99% [3] - The upcoming earnings release is highly anticipated by the investment community, with a focus on the company's performance metrics [2] Group 2: Analyst Estimates and Stock Performance - Recent modifications to analyst estimates for Marathon Petroleum indicate changing business trends, with positive changes reflecting analyst optimism [4] - The Zacks Rank system currently rates Marathon Petroleum as 2 (Buy), with a consensus EPS projection that has increased by 20.03% in the past 30 days [6] Group 3: Valuation Metrics - Marathon Petroleum has a Forward P/E ratio of 20.03, which is higher than the industry average of 15.46 [7] - The company's PEG ratio stands at 3.04, compared to the industry average of 1.52, indicating a premium valuation relative to expected earnings growth [8] Group 4: Industry Context - The Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry, which includes Marathon Petroleum, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 21, placing it in the top 9% of over 250 industries [9]
Is Galp Energia (GLPEY) Outperforming Other Oils-Energy Stocks This Year?
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 14:41
Group 1 - Galp Energia SGPS SA is part of the Oils-Energy group, which ranks 14 within the Zacks Sector Rank, indicating its relative strength among 16 sector groups [2] - The Zacks Rank for Galp Energia is 2 (Buy), suggesting a positive outlook based on earnings estimates and revisions [3] - Over the past 90 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Galp Energia's full-year earnings has increased by 25.4%, reflecting improved analyst sentiment [4] Group 2 - Year-to-date, Galp Energia has gained approximately 12.1%, outperforming the average return of 2% for Oils-Energy companies [4] - Galp Energia belongs to the Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry, which ranks 21 in the Zacks Industry Rank, with an average gain of 11.1% this year [6] - Other notable performers in the Oils-Energy sector include Marathon Petroleum, which has seen a year-to-date increase of 29.7% [5]
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Falls More Steeply Than Broader Market: What Investors Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-10-07 22:46
Core Viewpoint - Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is experiencing fluctuations in stock performance, with a recent trading price of $191.54, reflecting a -1.02% change from the previous day, while the company is set to report earnings on November 4, 2025, with significant projected growth in EPS but a decline in revenue compared to the previous year [1][2]. Company Performance - The shares of Marathon Petroleum have increased by 6.8% over the last month, outperforming the Oils-Energy sector's gain of 3.6% and the S&P 500's gain of 4.06% [1]. - The upcoming EPS is projected at $2.94, indicating a 57.22% increase compared to the same quarter of the previous year, while revenue is expected to be $30.82 billion, showing a 12.88% drop from the year-ago quarter [2]. - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are estimated at $9.04 per share and revenue at $124.98 billion, reflecting changes of -4.94% and -10.99% respectively from the previous year [3]. Analyst Estimates - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Marathon Petroleum indicate evolving short-term business trends, with upward revisions suggesting analysts' positivity towards the company's operations [4]. - The Zacks Rank system, which incorporates estimate changes, currently ranks Marathon Petroleum at 3 (Hold), with a recent 20.27% increase in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate [6]. Valuation Metrics - Marathon Petroleum is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 21.4, which is a premium compared to its industry's Forward P/E of 16.25 [7]. - The company has a PEG ratio of 3.25, significantly higher than the industry average PEG ratio of 1.57, indicating a disparity in expected earnings growth [7]. Industry Context - The Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry, part of the Oils-Energy sector, ranks in the top 10% of all industries according to the Zacks Industry Rank, which measures the strength of industry groups [8].
Iran-Aligned Houthis Sanction US Oil Majors
ZeroHedge· 2025-10-02 02:15
Group 1 - Major U.S. oil companies and their executives have been sanctioned by a Houthi-affiliated body for allegedly violating a Houthi embargo [1][3] - The Humanitarian Operations Coordination Center (HOCC) sanctioned 13 U.S. oil companies, nine executives, and two assets linked to the U.S. [3] - Companies affected include ExxonMobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum, Valero, and Occidental, along with their top executives [4] Group 2 - The sanctions are described as a response to U.S. sanctions, with the Houthis claiming the action is based on the principle of reciprocity [5] - The geopolitical context includes ongoing events in the Middle East, such as the Israeli offensive in Gaza and the re-imposition of UN sanctions on Iran [6] - The Houthis also claimed responsibility for an attack on a Netherlands-flagged cargo ship, indicating a potential escalation in maritime security risks [7]