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Vail Resorts: Shaky Pass Sales May Risk The 6% Dividend (Downgrade) (NYSE:MTN)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-30 18:57
Core Insights - The stock market has reached new highs in 2025, but the macroeconomic conditions indicate weaker consumer spending affecting the economy [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The stock market's performance is not reflective of the underlying economic reality, as consumer spending is declining [1] Group 2: Analyst Background - Gary Alexander has extensive experience in covering technology companies and advising startups, contributing to insights on industry trends [1]
Cramer's Stop Trading: Vail Resorts
Youtube· 2025-09-30 14:51
Core Insights - The CEO of Veil, Rob Katz, acknowledges the company's underperformance and attributes it to a failure in connecting with consumers in a rapidly changing market [1][2] - Katz takes responsibility for the company's shortcomings, emphasizing that the issues stem from execution rather than external factors like consumer behavior [2][4] - The need for a new marketing officer is highlighted as part of the strategy to improve performance [4] Company Performance - Veil has not fully capitalized on its competitive advantages, indicating a gap in operational execution [2] - Katz's candid acknowledgment of the company's failures is seen as a positive step towards accountability and improvement [3][4] Market Strategy - The company is urged to make changes in its marketing approach to better align with consumer expectations [3][4] - Katz's approach contrasts with other companies in the industry that may blame external factors for their struggles [4]
Cramer's Stop Trading: Vail Resorts
CNBC Television· 2025-09-30 14:51
Company Performance & Strategy - Vail's CEO, Rob Katz, acknowledges the company's underperformance is due to its failure to adapt to the evolving consumer landscape [1] - The CEO admits the company has not fully capitalized on its competitive advantages and takes responsibility for the execution [2] - Vail needs a new marketing officer [4] - The CEO sent a note taking responsibility for the company's shortcomings [4] Industry Insights & Consumer Behavior - The discussion highlights the importance of companies honestly assessing their performance and adapting to changing consumer needs [1] - The report praises Vail for not blaming the customer for its underperformance [2][4]
Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) Financial Performance Analysis
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-09-30 06:00
Core Insights - Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) is a prominent player in the leisure and recreation services industry, primarily recognized for its mountain resorts and ski areas, operating multiple destination resorts across North America [1] Financial Performance - On September 29, 2025, Vail Resorts reported an earnings per share (EPS) of -$5.08, which was below the estimated EPS of -$4.78, resulting in a negative surprise of 6.95% [2] - The company's revenue was approximately $271.3 million, slightly missing the estimated $276.2 million, but representing a slight increase from the $265.39 million reported a year ago [3] - Despite a 3% decline in skier visits, Vail Resorts achieved a 2% growth in Resort Reported EBITDA, attributed to improved conditions in the second quarter [4][6] Market Valuation - Vail Resorts has a price-to-sales ratio of about 1.86, an enterprise value to sales ratio of around 2.70, and an enterprise value to operating cash flow ratio of approximately 12.63, reflecting the market's perception of its financial health and growth potential [5]
Visits are down at Vail Resorts. The new CEO explains what's gone wrong and his plan to get the ski giant back on track.
Business Insider· 2025-09-30 04:14
Core Insights - Vail Resorts, the largest ski company globally, is undergoing a necessary turnaround as indicated by its new CEO, Rob Katz, following disappointing Q4 and fiscal year 2025 results [1][3] Group 1: Financial Performance - Total skier visits decreased by 3% year-over-year [1] - Season pass sales for the upcoming 2025-2026 season also fell by 3% in terms of quantity, although sales revenue increased by 1% due to a 7% price increase [2] - Shares of Vail Resorts have dropped 60% from their peak in 2021, reflecting investor concerns [13] Group 2: Strategic Changes - The CEO acknowledged that the company has not fully capitalized on its growth potential and needs to adapt to changing consumer behaviors [3][4] - Vail Resorts plans to modernize its marketing strategy, shifting focus from traditional email marketing to digital and social platforms, including potential partnerships with influencers [5][6] - The company aims to enhance emotional connections with guests rather than relying solely on transactional messaging [6] Group 3: Customer Engagement Initiatives - Katz highlighted the need to improve lift ticket offerings, including a program that allows pass holders to purchase discounted day passes for guests [11][12] - A dynamic pricing strategy will be implemented to optimize lift ticket prices based on resort and timing [12] - The company is confident that these long-term strategies will lead to higher growth by the fiscal year 2027 and beyond [13]
Vail Resorts: Disappointing Guidance Is Already Reflected In Valuation (NYSE:MTN)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-29 23:04
Core Viewpoint - Vail Resorts (NYSE: MTN) has underperformed in the past year, losing 14% of its value despite a strong equity market, primarily due to slow demand in a softer discretionary spending environment [1] Company Performance - The company's stock has seen a decline of 14% over the past year [1] - This decline occurred in the context of a generally strong equity market, indicating specific challenges faced by the company [1] Market Environment - The current market environment is characterized by slower demand and reduced discretionary spending, which has negatively impacted Vail Resorts [1]
Vail Resorts: Disappointing Guidance Is Already Reflected In Valuation
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-29 23:04
Shares of Vail Resorts (NYSE: MTN ) have been a poor performer over the past year, losing 14% of their value despite a strong equity market, as the company has struggled with slow demand amidst a softer discretionary spending environment. I last covered shares ofOver fifteen years of experience making contrarian bets based on my macro view and stock-specific turnaround stories to garner outsized returns with a favorable risk/reward profile. If you want me to cover a specific stock or have a question for an ...
Compared to Estimates, Vail Resorts (MTN) Q4 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-09-29 23:01
Core Insights - Vail Resorts reported revenue of $271.29 million for the quarter ended July 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 2.2% but falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.21% [1] - The company experienced an EPS of -$5.08, which is a decline from -$4.67 a year ago, and the EPS surprise was -6.95% compared to the consensus estimate of -$4.75 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Total skier visits were reported at 0.75 thousand, matching the average estimate [4] - Managed condominium RevPAR was $48.62, exceeding the average estimate of $46.15 [4] - Owned hotel RevPAR reached $185.37, surpassing the estimated $178.07 [4] - Mountain ETP was $63.20, above the average estimate of $59.70 [4] - Lodging net revenue was $90.27 million, exceeding the average estimate of $88.25 million, with a year-over-year change of +0.9% [4] - Mountain net revenue was $180.93 million, slightly above the average estimate of $179.08 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +2.9% [4] - Resort net revenue totaled $271.2 million, surpassing the average estimate of $267.74 million, with a year-over-year change of +2.2% [4] - Real estate revenue was $0.09 million, below the average estimate of $0.34 million, with no year-over-year change [4] - Mountain net revenue from other sources was $81.1 million, exceeding the average estimate of $71.77 million, representing a +6.9% year-over-year change [4] - Managed condominium rooms revenue was $10.11 million, slightly below the average estimate of $10.46 million, reflecting a -3.7% year-over-year change [4] - Retail/rental revenue from mountain operations was $24.09 million, below the average estimate of $26.29 million, with a year-over-year change of -0.9% [4] - Dining revenue was $18.39 million, below the average estimate of $20.51 million, showing a +2.4% year-over-year change [4] Stock Performance - Vail Resorts' shares have returned -9.8% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +2.9% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3]
Vail Resorts (MTN) Reports Q4 Loss, Lags Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-09-29 22:26
Core Insights - Vail Resorts reported a quarterly loss of $5.08 per share, which was worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $4.75, and compared to a loss of $4.67 per share a year ago, indicating a negative earnings surprise of -6.95% [1] - The company generated revenues of $271.29 million for the quarter ended July 2025, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.21%, but showing an increase from $265.39 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Vail Resorts has underperformed the market, with shares down approximately 21.2% year-to-date, contrasting with a 13% gain in the S&P 500 [3] Earnings Outlook - The earnings outlook for Vail Resorts is uncertain, with current consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming quarter at -$5.14 and $7.63 for the current fiscal year, alongside projected revenues of $271.97 million and $3.06 billion respectively [7] - The trend of estimate revisions prior to the earnings release was unfavorable, resulting in a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) for the stock, suggesting expected underperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Leisure and Recreation Services industry, to which Vail Resorts belongs, is currently ranked in the top 38% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a relatively strong position within the market [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact Vail Resorts' stock performance [5]