Core Viewpoint - Elliott Management has acquired a significant stake in Barrick Mining, indicating potential major changes for the company, including a possible split into two separate entities focused on different geographic regions [1][2]. Group 1: Stakeholder Actions - Elliott Management is reportedly "encouraged" by the potential breakup of Barrick Mining, which has been a topic of discussion since the departure of CEO Mark Bristow [2]. - The idea of a spinoff and possible asset sales has gained traction among analysts following recent leadership changes [2]. Group 2: Company Structure and Market Response - A split would revert Barrick to its pre-2019 structure, prior to its acquisition of Randgold [3]. - Elliott's stake is substantial enough to position it among Barrick's top 10 shareholders, alongside Capital Research & Management and Vanguard [3]. - Following the news, Barrick's NYSE shares rose by 1.4%, resulting in a market capitalization of $63.7 billion, with the stock gaining nearly 135% year-to-date [4]. Group 3: Industry Context - Elliott Management, managing approximately $76 billion in assets, has a history in the mining sector, having previously invested in Anglo American and Triple Flag Precious Metals [4].

Core Insights - The current market environment is characterized as a "golden age of active investing," driven by mispricings and opportunities in smaller market cap securities and international stocks [10][14][61] - There is a significant disparity in market capitalization among the largest companies, with some reaching valuations of over $4 trillion, while smaller companies like American Airlines have market caps around $15 billion [12][13] - The focus on free cash flow yields is emphasized, with many large-cap tech companies exhibiting low yields compared to smaller or undervalued companies [19][90] Market Trends - Active investing has gained traction since 2020, largely due to the dominance of large-cap technology companies and the distortions caused by passive investing [10][11] - International markets, particularly in Europe, have shown strong performance, with the Italian ETF up 52.7% this year, indicating opportunities outside the U.S. [14][57] - The S&P 500's P/E ratio is currently around 31, which, while high, is not unprecedented compared to historical peaks [35][36] Investment Strategies - The strategy of being contrarian is highlighted, suggesting that investors should look for mispriced opportunities and consider free cash flow yields as a critical metric for investment decisions [9][89] - REITs, particularly Realty Income, are suggested as potentially undervalued due to a long period of underperformance, setting the stage for future gains [32][34] - The importance of starting valuation is reiterated, with a focus on companies that have high free cash flow yields as attractive investment opportunities [94] Valuation Metrics - Price-to-sales ratios are discussed as a key valuation metric, with many companies trading at multiples significantly above historical norms, indicating potential overvaluation [45][46] - The current market environment shows a bifurcation where some stocks are highly valued while others remain undervalued, suggesting a need for careful selection [47][61] Macro Economic Factors - The U.S. dollar's performance is noted as a significant factor influencing market dynamics, with a weaker dollar benefiting international investments and commodities [85][86] - The potential for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is anticipated, which could impact various sectors differently, particularly those reliant on economic growth [68][71]

Core Insights - The gold mining sector is experiencing significant price increases, with GDX and GDXJ both doubling in value, while spot gold surpassed $4,000, indicating strong market performance [1][3][10] - Despite the price gains, approximately $5 billion has exited mining ETFs, suggesting that the market is under-owned and that institutional investors are taking profits rather than retail investors fully participating [1][7][45] - Central banks are major players in the gold market, consistently purchasing over 1,000 tonnes of gold annually since 2022, which is double the average of the previous decade, contributing to a structural supply-demand imbalance [11][12][45] Market Dynamics - Gold prices reached historic highs around $4,000 per ounce, with GDX and GDXJ showing year-to-date gains of 115% and 117% respectively, significantly outperforming physical gold [3][17] - The GDX/GLD ratio improved by 40.7% in 2025, indicating a stronger performance of miners relative to gold [5] - Central banks are absorbing 24-29% of annual gold output, while mine supply is only expected to grow by 1%, creating a tight supply situation [13][14] Investment Strategies - A three-tier investment strategy is proposed for retail traders, focusing on core holdings, momentum plays, and premium growth stocks [23][48] - Newmont (NEM) is highlighted as a core holding with a P/E ratio of 13.65x and significant free cash flow potential, while Barrick (B) and Agnico Eagle (AEM) are recommended for momentum and premium growth respectively [24][28][32] - Entry points and stop-loss levels are suggested for each tier to manage risk effectively [27][31][34] Technical Analysis - The technical picture shows that GDX peaked on October 16, 2025, and has since retraced about 9.8%, while GLD has also seen a slight decline [18][19] - Key support levels for GDX are identified around $59.51 and $34.58, which have not been seriously challenged during recent price movements [21] - The current pullback is viewed as a potential opportunity for disciplined buyers rather than a sign of a market breakdown [22][46] Future Outlook - The upcoming December FOMC meeting is a key event to watch, as it may influence central bank behavior regarding gold purchases [47] - The relationship between slow supply growth and steady official demand is expected to persist, providing a favorable environment for gold miners [45][49]

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of not only identifying strong investment opportunities but also the timing and strategy for buying and selling stocks [1] - It introduces the concept of "Cash Management Discipline," which focuses on using cash as a strategic position for overall investment success [1] - The article highlights the significance of stock picking, even for well-known stocks, and the need for daily identification of special trading situations [1] Group 2 - The article discusses the attractiveness of physical gold in the current market, suggesting it is perceived favorably by market participants [2] - It mentions the author's background in software consulting and technology, which aids in identifying market trends and generating trade ideas [2] - The author employs a combination of technical analysis and market psychology to achieve outsized returns, along with a simple trading style to hedge against market volatility [2]

Group 1: Infrastructure Projects - Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney confirmed the second batch of projects to the Major Projects Office, including Northcliff Resources' tungsten proposal, Nouveau Monde Graphite's initiatives, and Canada Nickel's projects [1][2] - The federal government formed the Major Projects Office in August to expedite infrastructure projects and develop critical mineral supply chains outside of Chinese and Russian control [2] Group 2: Company-Specific Details - Canada Nickel's Crawford project is noted for holding the world's second-largest nickel reserves, with a projected cost of C$3.5 billion and an output of 3.5 billion lb. of nickel over a 41-year lifespan [3] - Northcliff Resources' Sisson tungsten-molybdenum project has estimated capital costs of C$579 million and has received major federal and provincial approvals [4] - Nouveau Monde is advancing the Matawinie mine and Bécancour battery material plant, with an expected production of 103,000 tonnes of graphite annually over 25 years and a total project cost of approximately C$1.2 billion [5] Group 3: Additional Projects - Earlier projects referred to the Major Projects Office included Foran Mining's McIlvenna Bay copper mine and the Red Chris copper and gold mine expansion, owned by Newmont and Imperial Metals [6] - The Ksi Lisims LNG project was added to the list, proposing a new gas pipeline and floating LNG export plant with a capacity of 12 million tonnes per year [7] - The Nukkiksautiit Hydro project aims to save C$1.9 billion in diesel costs over 50 years for Iqaluit, with Ottawa granting C$6 million to the project [8]

Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corporation (NEM) is positioned as a strong investment opportunity due to its strong margins, low-debt capital structure, and robust momentum in the current market environment [2][3]. Financial Performance - Q3 2025 gold prices averaged $3,539 per ounce, contributing to strong margins and improved cost guidance [3]. - Newmont has a nearly zero net debt of $12 million, following the retirement of $2 billion in Q3 and $3.5 billion from asset sales, indicating a low-debt structure [3]. - The company achieved a record $4.5 billion in free cash flow year-to-date, driven by production from the new Ahafo North mine [3]. - Despite a decrease in Q3 gold production from planned activities, the stock price increased by over 123% year-on-year [3]. Revenue and Profitability - Newmont reported a revenue growth of 26.6% for the last twelve months (LTM) and an average growth of 23.9% over the past three years [10]. - The operating cash flow margin stands at approximately 32.6%, with an operating margin averaging 23.9% over the last three years [10]. Market Position and Momentum - Newmont is currently ranked in the top 10 percentile of stocks for "trend strength," indicating strong momentum [10]. - The stock is trading 8.7% below its 52-week peak, suggesting potential for further growth [10]. Investment Strategy - The focus on stocks with strong margins and low-debt capital structures is emphasized as a prudent investment strategy [5]. - The Trefis High Quality Portfolio, which includes Newmont, has a history of outperforming benchmarks with better returns and lower risk [9].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Zinc prices are under pressure from above and supported from below, with no clear direction. The short - term is expected to maintain range consolidation. Unilateral strategies should focus on high - selling and low - buying, and arbitrage strategies can consider going long on the Shanghai - London ratio [3][65][66]. - The tight pattern of the zinc ore end is expected to continue until the first quarter of next year. The TC has changed from rising to falling, and the industrial chain profit has shifted from the smelter end to the ore end again. The inventory trends at home and abroad are diverging [2][62][63]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Total Overview - In August 2025, the global zinc market supply surplus expanded to 47,900 tons. From January to August 2025, the global refined zinc supply surplus was 154,000 tons. From July to August 2025, the global zinc concentrate cumulative output was 2.1712 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 11.57%. From January to August 2025, the global refined zinc output was 9.1482 million tons, basically the same as the cumulative output of last year [11]. - The statistical sample of this report shows that the zinc concentrate output in the third quarter of 2025 was 1.4424 million tons, a quarter - on - quarter decrease of 0.95% and a year - on - year increase of 8.20%. The cumulative output in the first three quarters was 4.254 million tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 6.31% [11]. 3.2 Glencore - In 2025, Glencore's zinc concentrate production guidance was adjusted to 94 - 980,000 tons. In the third quarter, the zinc concentrate output was 244,200 tons, a quarter - on - quarter decrease of 2.94% and a year - on - year increase of 7.86%. The cumulative output in the first three quarters was 709,400 tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 10.22% [19]. 3.3 Teck - In 2025, Teck's zinc concentrate production guidance was 525,000 - 575,000 tons. In the third quarter, the zinc concentrate output was 150,500 tons, a quarter - on - quarter decrease of 10.68% and a year - on - year decrease of 4.59%. The cumulative output in the first three quarters was 456,400 tons, a cumulative year - on - year decrease of 2.81% [24]. 3.4 Boliden - In the third quarter of 2025, Boliden's zinc concentrate output was 108,000 tons, a quarter - on - quarter increase of 5.08% and a year - on - year increase of 17.75%. The cumulative output in the first three quarters was 317,600 tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 21.12% [27]. 3.5 Vedanta - In the third quarter of 2025, Vedanta's zinc concentrate output was 262,000 tons, a quarter - on - quarter increase of 1.16% and a year - on - year increase of 8.26%. The cumulative output in the first three quarters was 785,000 tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 5.65% [32]. 3.6 Nexa - In 2025, Nexa's zinc concentrate production guidance was 300,000 - 336,000 tons. In the third quarter, the zinc concentrate output was 83,700 tons, a quarter - on - quarter increase of 13.88% and a year - on - year increase of 1.21%. The cumulative output in the first three quarters was 224,500 tons, a cumulative year - on - year decrease of 11.05% [37]. 3.7 MMG - In 2025, MMG's zinc concentrate production guidance was 215,000 - 240,000 tons. In the third quarter, the zinc concentrate output was 58,700 tons, a quarter - on - quarter increase of 4.58% and a year - on - year increase of 26.49%. The cumulative output in the first three quarters was 166,700 tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 6.85% [44]. 3.8 Newmont Goldcorp - In 2025, Newmont's zinc concentrate production guidance was 236,000 tons. In the third quarter, the zinc concentrate output was 59,000 tons, a quarter - on - quarter decrease of 11.52% and a year - on - year increase of 2.42%. The cumulative output in the first three quarters was 184,700 tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 2.30% [47][48]. 3.9 BHP - In the 2025 fiscal year, BHP's zinc concentrate production guidance was 90,000 - 110,000 tons. In the third quarter, the zinc concentrate output was 36,000 tons, a quarter - on - quarter decrease of 10.95% and a year - on - year increase of 85.77%. The cumulative output in the first three quarters was 102,400 tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 91.03% [49]. 3.10 South32 - In the 2026 fiscal year, South32's zinc concentrate production guidance was 40,000 tons, a decrease compared with the 2025 fiscal year. In the third quarter of 2025, the zinc concentrate output was 8,300 tons, a quarter - on - quarter decrease of 21.70% and a year - on - year decrease of 31.40%. The cumulative output in the first three quarters was 29,900 tons, a cumulative year - on - year decrease of 31.74% [50][51]. 3.11 Grupo Mexico - SCC - In 2025, SCC's zinc concentrate production guidance was 174,700 tons, a slight increase compared with the previous period. In the third quarter, the zinc concentrate output was 45,500 tons, a quarter - on - quarter decrease of 0.89% and a year - on - year increase of 46.42%. The cumulative output in the first three quarters was 130,800 tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 50.55% [52]. 3.12 Industrials Pelones - In the third quarter of 2025, Pelones' zinc concentrate output was 63,200 tons, a quarter - on - quarter increase of 5.02% and a year - on - year decrease of 11.33%. The cumulative output in the first three quarters was 181,000 tons, a cumulative year - on - year decrease of 13.68% [54]. 3.13 Fresnillo plc - In 2025, Fresnillo plc's zinc concentrate production guidance was 93,000 - 103,000 tons. In the third quarter, the zinc concentrate output was 24,700 tons, a quarter - on - quarter decrease of 12.91% and a year - on - year decrease of 23.41%. The cumulative output in the first three quarters was 78,400 tons, a cumulative year - on - year decrease of 10.61% [57]. 3.14 Market Outlook - The tight pattern of the ore end is expected to continue until the first quarter of next year. The TC has changed from rising to falling, and the industrial chain profit has shifted from the smelter end to the ore end again. The domestic and foreign inventory trends are diverging. Zinc prices are under pressure from above and supported from below, with no clear direction [62][63][65].

Core Insights - Newmont Corporation's shares have increased by 150.5% year to date, driven by rising gold prices and strong earnings performance [1][6] - The company's stock has outperformed the Zacks Mining – Gold industry and the S&P 500, with notable gains among its peers [2] Financial Performance - Newmont's liquidity stands at $9.6 billion, with free cash flow reaching $1.6 billion, reflecting a significant year-over-year increase [14] - The company has distributed over $5.7 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in the past two years [15] - Newmont's earnings estimates for 2025 have risen, with a projected year-over-year growth of 71.3% [20] Growth Projects and Strategic Focus - Newmont is investing in growth projects, including the Ahafo North expansion and other projects in Australia, aimed at increasing production capacity [9][10] - The acquisition of Newcrest Mining Limited has enhanced Newmont's portfolio, expected to generate $500 million in annual run-rate synergies [11] - The company has divested non-core assets to focus on Tier 1 assets, anticipating $3 billion in after-tax cash proceeds from its divestiture program [12][13] Market Conditions and Valuation - Gold prices have surged approximately 60% this year, influenced by global trade tensions and central bank purchases [18] - Newmont's current forward price/earnings ratio is 13.11X, in line with the industry average, and the company is trading at a discount compared to some peers [21] Investment Outlook - Newmont is positioned for attractive returns due to its strong project portfolio, financial health, and favorable market conditions for gold [24]

Core Viewpoint - Safe-haven traders are focusing on a bill vote that could fund the U.S. government through January, leading to an increase in December-dated gold futures, which are up 2.3% at $4,213.10 [1] Company Summaries Newmont Corporation (NEM) - NEM shares are up 3.8% at $93.44, marking a sixth consecutive daily gain and approaching the record high of $98.58 reached on October 16 [2] - The stock has been on a long-term uptrend, supported by the ascending 80-day moving average [2] Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd (HMY) - HMY shares have increased by 6.1%, trading at $18.97, and are set for a fourth consecutive rise [4] - The stock has shown a remarkable 131% year-to-date gain and is in recovery after a decline from the October 16 record peak of $22.25, having bounced off the 180-day trendline earlier this month [4]

Core Insights - The article provides a market analysis focusing on four major companies: Eli Lilly and Company, Pfizer Inc, Newmont Goldcorp Corp, and Novo Nordisk A/S, highlighting their recent performance and market trends [1] Company Summaries Eli Lilly and Company - Eli Lilly has shown significant growth in its pharmaceutical sales, particularly in diabetes and oncology segments, contributing to a robust revenue increase [1] - The company is actively investing in research and development to expand its product pipeline, which is expected to drive future growth [1] Pfizer Inc - Pfizer has experienced fluctuations in revenue due to varying demand for its COVID-19 vaccine, with a notable decline in sales as the pandemic situation evolves [1] - The company is focusing on diversifying its portfolio and enhancing its pipeline with new drug approvals to stabilize revenue streams [1] Newmont Goldcorp Corp - Newmont has reported a decrease in gold production, which has impacted its overall financial performance, reflecting challenges in the mining sector [1] - The company is implementing cost-cutting measures and exploring new mining projects to improve operational efficiency and profitability [1] Novo Nordisk A/S - Novo Nordisk continues to lead in the diabetes care market, with strong sales growth driven by its innovative insulin products [1] - The company is also expanding its presence in obesity treatment, which is expected to further enhance its market position and revenue potential [1]