Core Insights - Nutanix, Inc. reported a 19% year-over-year growth in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), reaching $2.06 billion, and demonstrated strong free cash flow generation in its second quarter of fiscal 2025 [1][2][3] - The company attributes its performance to the strength of the Nutanix Cloud Platform and increasing demand from businesses seeking reliable long-term partnerships [2][3] - Nutanix has improved its financial flexibility by issuing convertible notes and establishing a new revolving credit facility [2][5] Financial Performance - Q2 FY'25 ARR was $2.06 billion, up from $1.74 billion in Q2 FY'24, marking a 19% increase [3] - Total revenue for Q2 FY'25 was $654.7 million, a 16% increase from $565.2 million in Q2 FY'24 [3] - GAAP operating income increased to $65.4 million from $37.0 million year-over-year, while non-GAAP operating income rose to $161.3 million from $123.9 million [3] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $187.1 million, compared to $162.6 million in the same quarter last year [3] Operational Highlights - The average contract duration increased to 3.0 years from 2.8 years year-over-year [3] - GAAP gross margin improved to 87.0% from 85.6%, and non-GAAP gross margin increased to 88.3% from 87.3% [3] - The company has established a new revolving credit facility of $500 million to enhance liquidity [5] Future Outlook - For Q3 FY'25, Nutanix expects revenue between $620 million and $630 million, with a non-GAAP operating margin of 17% to 18% [5][6] - The fiscal 2025 outlook anticipates total revenue between $2.495 billion and $2.515 billion, with free cash flow projected at $650 million to $700 million [6]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street analysts' recommendations significantly influence investor decisions, but their reliability is questionable, particularly for Nutanix (NTNX) [1][4]. Brokerage Recommendations - Nutanix has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.54, indicating a consensus between Strong Buy and Buy, based on 14 brokerage firms [2]. - Among the 14 recommendations, 8 are Strong Buy (57.1%) and 4 are Buy (28.6%) [2]. Analyst Bias and Limitations - Brokerage analysts often exhibit a positive bias due to their firms' vested interests, leading to a disproportionate number of favorable ratings compared to negative ones [5][9]. - Studies suggest that brokerage recommendations have limited success in guiding investors toward stocks with high price appreciation potential [4][9]. Zacks Rank as an Alternative - Zacks Rank, a proprietary stock rating tool, categorizes stocks from Strong Buy to Strong Sell and is based on earnings estimate revisions, showing a strong correlation with near-term stock price movements [7][10]. - The Zacks Rank is updated more frequently than the ABR, making it a more timely indicator for predicting future stock prices [11]. Current Earnings Estimates for Nutanix - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Nutanix's current year earnings has increased by 1.1% to $1.49, reflecting analysts' growing optimism [12]. - The recent change in consensus estimates has contributed to a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) for Nutanix, suggesting a positive outlook for the stock [13].

Core Viewpoint - Nutanix (NTNX) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.47 per share, a 2.2% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $641.76 million, reflecting a 13.5% year-over-year growth [1]. Financial Projections - Analysts estimate 'Revenue- Support, entitlements and other services' at $304.98 million, indicating a 14.8% increase from the previous year [4]. - 'Revenue- Product' is projected to be $337.19 million, showing a 12.5% year-over-year change [4]. - 'Disaggregation of Revenue- Professional services revenue' is expected to reach $29.09 million, a 16.3% increase year-over-year [4]. - 'Disaggregation of Revenue- Subscription revenue' is forecasted at $607.97 million, reflecting a 14.3% year-over-year growth [5]. - 'Annual Contract Value Billings (ACV Billings)' is predicted to be $389.28 million, up from $329.48 million year-over-year [5]. Billing and Customer Metrics - Total Billings are expected to reach $691.98 million, compared to $616.48 million in the same quarter last year [6]. - 'Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR)' is projected at $2.04 billion, up from $1.74 billion year-over-year [6]. - Total end customers are forecasted to be 27,645, an increase from 25,370 in the previous year [6]. - 'Disaggregation of billings - Professional services billings' is estimated at $29.60 million, down from $35.48 million year-over-year [7]. - 'Disaggregation of billings - Subscription billings' is expected to reach $658.94 million, compared to $572.76 million last year [7]. Market Performance - Nutanix shares have returned +10.7% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +2.2% change [8]. - The company holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expectations to mirror overall market performance in the near future [8].

Company Performance - Nutanix (NTNX) closed at $72.07, with a slight decrease of -0.18% from the previous trading session, underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.24% [1] - Over the last month, Nutanix shares increased by 10.33%, outperforming the Computer and Technology sector's gain of 1.76% and the S&P 500's gain of 2.37% [1] Upcoming Earnings - Nutanix is set to release its earnings on February 26, 2025, with projected EPS of $0.47, reflecting a 2.17% increase year-over-year [2] - The consensus estimate for revenue is $641.76 million, indicating a 13.54% increase compared to the same quarter of the previous year [2] Fiscal Year Projections - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are projected at $1.49 per share and revenue at $2.46 billion, representing increases of +13.74% and +14.5% respectively from the prior year [3] - Recent adjustments to analyst estimates for Nutanix may indicate positive business outlooks, as these revisions often reflect short-term business dynamics [3] Valuation Metrics - Nutanix has a Forward P/E ratio of 48.61, which is a premium compared to the industry's average Forward P/E of 29.05 [6] - The PEG ratio for Nutanix is currently 2.45, while the average PEG ratio for Computers - IT Services stocks is 2.61 [6] Industry Context - The Computers - IT Services industry is part of the Computer and Technology sector, currently holding a Zacks Industry Rank of 59, placing it in the top 24% of over 250 industries [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Company Performance - Nutanix (NTNX) closed at $70.28, reflecting a -1.83% change from the previous session, underperforming the S&P 500 which lost 0.27% [1] - Over the past month, Nutanix shares have increased by 13.55%, while the Computer and Technology sector gained 1.69% and the S&P 500 gained 4.27% [1] Upcoming Earnings - Nutanix is set to release its earnings report on February 26, 2025, with an expected EPS of $0.47, representing a 2.17% increase year-over-year [2] - The consensus estimate for quarterly revenue is $641.76 million, which is a 13.54% increase from the same period last year [2] Full-Year Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimates for Nutanix's full-year earnings are $1.49 per share and revenue of $2.46 billion, indicating year-over-year increases of +13.74% and +14.5%, respectively [3] Analyst Estimates and Market Sentiment - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Nutanix are important as they reflect the evolving business outlook, with positive revisions indicating optimism [3] - The Zacks Rank system, which assesses estimate changes, currently ranks Nutanix at 3 (Hold) [5] Valuation Metrics - Nutanix has a Forward P/E ratio of 48.2, which is higher than the industry average of 29.8, suggesting it is trading at a premium [6] - The company also has a PEG ratio of 2.43, compared to the industry average of 2.65, indicating a relatively favorable growth expectation [7] Industry Context - The Computers - IT Services industry, part of the Computer and Technology sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 59, placing it in the top 24% of over 250 industries [8]

Group 1 - Nutanix, Inc. will report its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025 on February 26, 2025, after U.S. markets close [1] - A conference call and earnings webcast will be held on the same day at 4:30 p.m. EST / 1:30 p.m. PST to discuss the financial results [2] - An archived replay of the webcast will be available shortly after the call on the Nutanix Investor Relations website [3] Group 2 - Nutanix is a global leader in cloud software, providing a single platform for running applications and managing data [4] - The company aims to reduce complexity and simplify operations for organizations, allowing them to focus on business outcomes [4] - Nutanix is recognized for its role as a pioneer in hyperconverged infrastructure, trusted by companies worldwide for hybrid multicloud environments [4]

Core Insights - The Nutanix Enterprise Cloud Index (ECI) survey reveals that Generative Artificial Intelligence (GenAI) is reshaping organizational priorities, with a strong emphasis on security and privacy concerns [1][2][3] GenAI Adoption and Implementation - A significant majority of organizations (over 80%) have implemented a GenAI strategy, with only 2% not planning to do so [2][3] - Organizations are keen to utilize GenAI for enhancing productivity, automation, and innovation, but face challenges related to data security, compliance, and IT infrastructure modernization [2][3] Security and Privacy Concerns - 95% of respondents acknowledge that GenAI is altering their organization's priorities, particularly regarding security and privacy [3][4] - Data privacy is a top priority for over 90% of organizations when implementing GenAI solutions, yet 95% believe more could be done to secure GenAI models and applications [3][4] Infrastructure Modernization - Nearly all respondents (98%) encounter challenges in scaling GenAI workloads from development to production, with integration with existing IT infrastructure being the primary challenge [3][4] - IT infrastructure is identified as the top area for investment to support GenAI initiatives [3] Talent and Skills Development - 52% of organizations indicate a need for IT training to support GenAI, while 48% believe hiring new IT talent is essential [4] - 53% of respondents see advancements in GenAI as an opportunity to develop AI expertise organically within their teams [4] Research Methodology - The ECI survey was conducted by U.K. researcher Vanson Bourne, involving 1,500 IT and DevOps/Platform Engineering decision-makers across various industries and regions [4]

Stock Performance - Nutanix closed at $65 44, marking a +0 46% move from the prior day, lagging the S&P 500's daily gain of 0 88% [1] - The stock has climbed by 0 88% in the past month, exceeding the Computer and Technology sector's gain of 0 37% but lagging the S&P 500's gain of 1 17% [1] Earnings and Revenue Projections - Nutanix is projected to report earnings of $0 47 per share in its forthcoming earnings report, representing year-over-year growth of 2 17% [2] - Quarterly revenue is expected to be $641 84 million, up 13 55% from the year-ago period [2] - For the entire year, earnings are forecasted at $1 49 per share and revenue at $2 46 billion, indicating year-over-year changes of +13 74% and +14 5%, respectively [3] Analyst Estimates and Valuation - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Nutanix reflect shifting dynamics of short-term business patterns, with positive alterations signifying optimism [3] - Nutanix holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), with the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate remaining stagnant over the past month [5] - The company's Forward P/E ratio is 43 85, expressing a premium compared to the industry average of 27 79 [6] - Nutanix has a PEG ratio of 2 21, compared to the industry average of 2 6 [6] Industry Overview - The Computers - IT Services industry, part of the Computer and Technology sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 56, placing it in the top 23% of all industries [7] - The top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Stock Performance and Price Targets - Shares of Nutanix (NTNX) have gained 4.2% over the past four weeks, closing at $66.55 [1] - The mean price target of $83.50 indicates a potential upside of 25.5% [1] - The average price target comprises 12 estimates ranging from $75 to $90, with a standard deviation of $4.50 [2] - The lowest estimate suggests a 12.7% increase, while the most optimistic estimate points to a 35.2% upside [2] - A low standard deviation indicates a high degree of agreement among analysts about the stock's price movement [7] Analysts' Earnings Estimates and Revisions - Analysts have revised EPS estimates higher, indicating growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects [9] - For the current year, one estimate has moved higher over the last 30 days, with no negative revisions [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased by 1.4% [10] - NTNX currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks [11] Limitations of Price Targets - Price targets are often misleading and rarely indicate where a stock's price is actually heading [5] - Analysts may set overly optimistic price targets to generate interest in companies their firms have business relationships with [6] - Investors should not make investment decisions solely based on price targets, as they should be treated with skepticism [8] Conclusion - While the consensus price target may not be a reliable indicator of NTNX's potential gain, the direction of price movement it implies appears to be a good guide [12]

Nutanix (NTNX) shares have gained 25.1% over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector’s appreciation of 0.4% and the Zacks Computers – IT Services industry’s return of 10.4%.NTNX shares have also outperformed the industry peers like DXC Technology (DXC) and TaskUs (TASK) in the same time frame. While DXC shares have appreciated 1.7%, TASK shares have lost 5.9% over the past six months.NTNX shares have been riding on the company’s strong positioning as a key partner for org ...