Nextracker (NXT)
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Nextracker (NXT) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-14 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4, revenue reached a record $924 million, up 26% year-over-year, bringing full-year revenue to approximately $3 billion, an 18% increase over fiscal '24 [19][21] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 expanded to a record $242 million, a 52% increase year-over-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 26% [20][21] - Full-year adjusted EBITDA was $776 million, also a record, up 49% compared to fiscal '24 [21] - Adjusted diluted EPS for fiscal '25 was $4.22, up 38% year-over-year, with Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.29, a 34% increase compared to the prior year [21] - Adjusted free cash flow was $227 million in Q4 and $622 million for the full year [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The backlog increased significantly from $2.1 billion at IPO to over $4.5 billion, indicating strong bookings growth momentum [7][19] - The company sold over 9 gigawatts of Hail Pro series trackers and 17 gigawatts of XTR 0.75 and XTR 1.5 during the year, reinforcing its global leading position in terrain following [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Geographic revenue mix for the full year was 69% from the U.S. and 31% from the rest of the world [20] - In Q4, contracts were signed in 17 different countries, with strong performance noted in Europe, particularly Spain, and solid gains in Latin America led by Brazil [12][13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is transitioning from a pure play tracker company to a solar power technology platform supplier, acquiring adjacent technologies to create a complete solar power platform [9][10] - The acquisition of BendTech Corporation aims to enable customers to source both tracker systems and eBOS components from a single supplier, enhancing the company's product offerings [10][11] - The company plans to increase OpEx as a percentage of revenue by approximately 100 basis points and CapEx to approximately $100 million in FY '26 [25][26] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating current policy uncertainties due to a geographically diversified order backlog and a healthy balance sheet [8][27] - The company expects revenue in FY '26 to be in the range of $3.2 billion to $3.4 billion, with adjusted EBITDA between $700 million and $775 million [24][27] - Management highlighted the importance of the solar industry in energy dominance, noting that solar accounted for over 80% of the capacity installed in the grid last year [34] Other Important Information - The company reached a record of 1,220 patents, reflecting its focus on engineering excellence and innovation [15] - The company plans to invite analysts and investors to its headquarters in the fall to discuss its technologies and long-term plans [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on the House tax bill and its workability - Management noted that there are favorable aspects in the reconciliation bill, but areas needing improvement include transferability provisions and timing of tax credits [32] Question: International business and margin outlook - Management confirmed that international business constitutes 30% to 40% of total business, with lower margins generally but maintaining healthy overall margins [37] Question: Quantifying impacts of the House draft bill - Management indicated that the bill is still in early stages, and any impacts would be more visible in the intermediate term rather than immediate [44] Question: Revenue outlook and contribution from new businesses - Management stated that details on new product contributions will be provided at the upcoming Analyst Day [51] Question: Durability of structural gross margins - Management expressed confidence in the visibility of pricing, margins, and costs for FY '26, with most of the structural margins already booked [84] Question: Market share and manufacturing capacity of BendTech - Management placed BendTech among the top three or four eBOS suppliers in the U.S., noting their undercapitalization has constrained growth [87] Question: Pipeline and bookings visibility for 2028 - Management confirmed that there is a strong pipeline extending out, with many projects getting greenlit [88] Question: eBOS revenue scaling and go-to-market strategy - Management indicated that there is real demand for eBOS solutions, and they expect to realize benefits in FY '26 [104]
Nextracker (NXT) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-14 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4, revenue reached a record $924 million, up 26% year-over-year, bringing full-year revenue to approximately $3 billion, an 18% increase over fiscal 2024 [18][20] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 expanded to a record $242 million, a 52% increase year-over-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 26% [19][20] - Adjusted diluted EPS for fiscal 2025 was $4.22, up 38% year-over-year, with Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.29, a 34% increase compared to the prior year [20] - Adjusted free cash flow was $227 million in Q4 and $622 million for the full year [21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported strong demand for its Hail Pro series trackers, with over 9 gigawatts sold during the year, and 17 gigawatts of XTR 0.75 and XTR 1.5 sold, reinforcing its global leading position in terrain following [14][15] - The backlog increased significantly from $2.1 billion at IPO to over $4.5 billion, indicating strong bookings growth momentum [5][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The geographic revenue mix for the full year was 69% from the U.S. and 31% from the rest of the world [19] - The international business signed contracts in 17 different countries in Q4 alone, with strong performance noted in Europe, particularly in Spain [11][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is transitioning from a pure play tracker company to a solar power technology platform supplier, acquiring adjacent technologies to create a complete solar power platform [6][8] - The acquisition of BendTech Corporation aims to enable customers to source both tracker systems and eBOS components from a single supplier, enhancing the company's product offerings [7][8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating current policy uncertainties due to a geographically diversified order backlog and a healthy balance sheet [6][26] - For fiscal 2026, the company expects revenue in the range of $3.2 billion to $3.4 billion, with adjusted EBITDA between $700 million and $775 million [22][26] Other Important Information - The company plans to increase OpEx as a percentage of revenue by approximately 100 basis points in FY 2026 to support growth initiatives [23] - The company has a strong focus on innovation, reaching a record 1,220 patents, including 646 issued patents and 574 patents pending [13] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on the House tax bill and its workability - Management noted that there are favorable aspects in the reconciliation bill, particularly regarding incentives for U.S. manufacturing, but also areas needing improvement [31][33] Question: International business and margin outlook - The international business continues to grow, with 30% to 40% of business being international, and margins are expected to remain healthy despite being generally lower internationally [38][39] Question: Impact of the House draft bill on volumes and bookings - Management indicated that the impact of the bill would be more significant in the intermediate term, with a healthy pipeline and secure projects in the U.S. market [45][47] Question: Revenue outlook and contribution from new businesses - The company is focused on growth, with expectations for a third of its business to come from non-tracker revenue in five years, and will provide more details at the upcoming Analyst Day [51][55] Question: Durability of structural gross margins - Management expressed confidence in the visibility of pricing, margins, and costs for fiscal 2026, with structural margins largely booked [80][81] Question: Market share and manufacturing capacity of BendTech - BendTech is considered a top supplier in the U.S. eBOS market, and the acquisition is expected to unlock growth potential due to previously constrained capacity [85][86] Question: 45X impact and tariff framework assumptions - Management indicated that Q4 saw a slight increase in 45X benefits, and the guidance for 2026 is based on a prudent approach to tariffs [89][92]
Nextracker (NXT) - 2025 Q4 - Annual Results
2025-05-14 20:14
Exhibit 99.1 Nextracker Reports Q4 and Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results Record Q4 FY25 Revenue of $924 Million, a 26% Increase Year-over-Year Launches Electrical Balance of Systems (eBOS) Business With Acquisition of Bentek FREMONT, Calif., May 14, 2025 – Nextracker (Nasdaq: NXT), a leading solar technology platform provider, today announced financial results for the fourth quarter and full year results for fiscal year 2025, ended March 31, 2025. Financial Summary (In millions, except per share) | | Q4 | ...
Nextracker: Earnings Preview, Poised For Growth And Gains
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-13 22:34
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. I am not a registered investment, tax or legal advisor or broker and therefore cannot promise or guar ...
Nextracker (NXT) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-05-07 15:06
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Nextracker (NXT) will report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues when it releases its quarterly results for the period ending March 2025 [1] Earnings Expectations - Nextracker is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.98 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 2.1% [3] - Revenue projections stand at $828.26 million, indicating a 12.5% increase from the same quarter last year [3] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.51% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for Nextracker is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, leading to an Earnings ESP of -0.34% [10][11] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with positive readings being more predictive of earnings beats [7][8] - Nextracker's current Zacks Rank is 3, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [11] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Nextracker exceeded the expected earnings of $0.59 per share by delivering $1.03, resulting in a surprise of 74.58% [12] - Over the past four quarters, Nextracker has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [13] Conclusion - While Nextracker does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat based on current estimates, other factors should also be considered when evaluating the stock ahead of its earnings release [16]
Nextracker (NXT) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Note
ZACKS· 2025-04-23 22:50
Core Viewpoint - Nextracker's stock performance has been underwhelming recently, with a notable decline over the past month, and upcoming earnings are anticipated to show modest growth in both EPS and revenue [1][2][3]. Company Performance - Nextracker's stock closed at $40.12, down by 0.61% from the previous day, underperforming compared to the S&P 500's gain of 1.67% [1]. - Over the past month, Nextracker shares have decreased by 10.73%, slightly worse than the Oils-Energy sector's decline of 10.69% and the S&P 500's loss of 6.57% [2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is projected to show an EPS of $0.98, which is a 2.08% increase year-over-year [3]. - Revenue is expected to reach $828.26 million, reflecting a 12.46% increase compared to the same quarter last year [3]. Analyst Projections - Investors are advised to monitor changes in analyst projections for Nextracker, as positive revisions indicate optimism regarding the company's business and profitability [4]. - Recent empirical research suggests that revisions in estimates correlate with stock price performance, which is utilized in the Zacks Rank system [5]. Zacks Rank and Valuation - Nextracker currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), with a recent 1.87% decline in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate [6]. - The company has a Forward P/E ratio of 10.48, which is higher than the industry's Forward P/E of 9.86, indicating a premium valuation [7]. - The Solar industry, part of the Oils-Energy sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 164, placing it in the bottom 34% of over 250 industries [7].
Nextracker: An Opportunity That Shines In The Sun
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-18 16:02
Nextracker Inc. (NASDAQ: NXT ) is a company dedicated to providing software solutions and solar trackers for solar-powered electric generation and distribution projects. The company operates primarily in the United States, but also has an international presence, primarily in AsiaI am an individual investor with over 10 years of trading. I have been developing as a stock analyst for the last five years. I am inclined to search for Value companies, mainly linked to the production of commodities. I mainly focu ...
Are Oils-Energy Stocks Lagging Nextracker Inc. (NXT) This Year?
ZACKS· 2025-04-11 14:45
The Oils-Energy group has plenty of great stocks, but investors should always be looking for companies that are outperforming their peers. Has Nextracker (NXT) been one of those stocks this year? By taking a look at the stock's year-to-date performance in comparison to its Oils-Energy peers, we might be able to answer that question.Nextracker is one of 247 companies in the Oils-Energy group. The Oils-Energy group currently sits at #11 within the Zacks Sector Rank. The Zacks Sector Rank considers 16 differen ...
Nextracker (NXT) Increases Despite Market Slip: Here's What You Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-03-28 22:50
Company Performance - Nextracker (NXT) closed at $43.15, with a +0.94% movement compared to the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 1.97% [1] - Over the past month, Nextracker's shares have decreased by 5.04%, while the Oils-Energy sector gained 3.54% and the S&P 500 lost 2.79% [1] Financial Forecast - Nextracker is expected to report an EPS of $0.97, reflecting a 1.04% growth year-over-year, with a revenue forecast of $820.49 million, indicating an 11.4% increase compared to the same quarter last year [2] - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are projected at $3.89 per share and revenue at $2.86 billion, representing increases of +27.12% and +14.22% respectively from the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Nextracker are important as they reflect the evolving business trends, with positive revisions indicating analysts' confidence in the company's performance [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which incorporates estimate changes, currently ranks Nextracker as 1 (Strong Buy), suggesting strong potential for share price momentum [5][6] Industry Context - The Solar industry, part of the Oils-Energy sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 79, placing it in the top 32% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that industries in the top 50% rated by Zacks outperform those in the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]
Here's Why You Must Add Nextracker Stock to Your Portfolio Now
ZACKS· 2025-03-27 15:00
Core Viewpoint - Nextracker Inc. (NXT) presents a strong investment opportunity in the Zacks Solar industry due to rising earnings estimates, robust return on equity (ROE), effective debt management, and strong liquidity [1] Growth Projections & Surprise History - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NXT's fiscal 2025 earnings per share (EPS) has increased by 19.7%, while the estimate for fiscal 2026 EPS has risen by 15.7% over the past 60 days [2] - The estimated revenue for fiscal 2025 is $2.86 billion, reflecting a 14.2% increase from fiscal 2024, and for fiscal 2026, it is projected at $3.19 billion, indicating an 11.7% year-over-year growth [2] - NXT has delivered an average earnings surprise of 57.44% in the last four quarters [3] Return on Equity - NXT's current ROE stands at 41.22%, significantly higher than the industry's average of 1.39%, indicating superior fund utilization to generate returns [4] Debt Position - NXT's total debt to capital ratio is 9.26%, well below the industry's average of 58.18% [5] - The times interest earned (TIE) ratio is 51.2, suggesting the company can comfortably meet its interest obligations [5] Liquidity - NXT's current ratio is 2.21, exceeding the industry's average of 1.59, demonstrating the company's capability to meet short-term liabilities [6] Stock Price Performance - Over the past three months, NXT shares have increased by 18.1%, contrasting with a 20.7% decline in the industry [7]