Group 1 - The logistics sector has seen significant engagement from investors, particularly in the ASEAN and US markets, with a focus on banks, telecommunications, logistics, and hotels [1] - The popularity of insurance companies in the Philippines has influenced investment strategies, leading to diversification beyond traditional savings in banks and properties [1] - The investment approach has evolved from initially focusing on blue-chip companies to a more diversified portfolio across various industries and market capitalizations [1] Group 2 - The entry into the US market occurred in 2020, following a period of learning and analysis through platforms like Seeking Alpha [1] - The investor has holdings in US banks, hotels, shipping, and logistics companies, indicating a broad interest in these sectors [1] - The comparative analysis between the US and Philippine markets has been a key aspect of the investment strategy, enhancing market understanding [1]

Core Insights - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) and OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF) are consumer finance companies targeting subprime and non-prime borrowers, with Pagaya leveraging AI for credit underwriting and securitization, while OneMain operates through physical and digital lending channels [1][2] Group 1: Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) - Pagaya has a flexible business model that initially focused on personal loans but has since diversified into auto lending and point-of-sale financing, enhancing resilience across economic cycles [3] - The company has established a network of over 135 institutional partners and utilizes forward flow agreements to ensure funding stability during market disruptions [4] - Pagaya's proprietary technology allows lenders to present pre-approved offers to customers without formal applications, enhancing credit access with minimal marketing costs [5] - The company operates with minimal on-balance-sheet exposure, acquiring loans through asset-backed securities (ABS) or forward flow agreements, which limits credit and market risk [6] - Pagaya's model has proven effective from 2021 to 2023, maintaining liquidity and minimizing loan write-downs amid rising rates and tighter markets [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PGY's revenues indicates year-over-year growth of 23.6% in 2025 and 18.3% in 2026, with earnings expected to jump 202.4% and 26.7% in the same years [18] Group 2: OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF) - OneMain operates 1,300 locations across 47 states, providing unsecured and secured personal installment loans for various personal needs, along with optional insurance products [8] - The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a loan mix designed for sustainability and upside potential, frequently securitizing portions of its loan book to manage funding costs [9] - OneMain's rigorous underwriting and servicing, supported by centralized data analytics, help manage credit performance, even during economic downturns [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for OMF's revenues implies a modest year-over-year increase of 7.4% in 2025 and 7.5% in 2026, with earnings growth projected at 26.4% for 2025 and 29.4% for 2026 [20] Group 3: Comparative Analysis - Year-to-date, Pagaya's stock has surged 234.7%, while OneMain's has gained 13.5%, indicating stronger investor sentiment towards Pagaya [12] - In terms of valuation, Pagaya trades at a trailing 12-month price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 5.34X, compared to OneMain's 2.15X, suggesting Pagaya is more expensive [13][14] - Pagaya's return on equity (ROE) stands at 20.88%, slightly above OneMain's 20.77%, indicating marginally better efficiency in generating profits [14] - Pagaya's compelling growth trajectory and strong revenue and earnings prospects position it as a high-upside investment opportunity compared to OneMain's established marketplace model [22][23]

Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2025, the company reported managed receivables of $25.2 billion from approximately 3.5 million customer accounts, an increase from $24.7 billion from 3.4 million accounts at December 31, 2024[128]. - For the three months ended June 30, 2025, interest income was $1,339 million, up from $1,219 million in the same period of 2024, while net income increased to $167 million from $71 million[141]. - The provision for finance receivable losses decreased to $511 million for the three months ended June 30, 2025, compared to $575 million for the same period in 2024[141]. - The gross charge-off ratio improved to 9.05% for the three months ended June 30, 2025, down from 9.84% in the same period of 2024[141]. - The average net receivables increased to $23,600 million for the three months ended June 30, 2025, compared to $22,141 million for the same period in 2024[141]. - Interest income increased by $120 million or 10% for the three months ended June 30, 2025, and by $256 million or 11% for the six months ended June 30, 2025, compared to the same periods in 2024[145]. - Adjusted pretax income (non-GAAP) for the three months ended June 30, 2025, was $231 million, up from $163 million in 2024[159]. - Other revenues increased by $2 million or 1% for the three months ended June 30, 2025, driven by higher gains on sales of finance receivables[148]. - Other revenues rose by $11 million or 6% and $21 million or 6% for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025, due to higher gains on sales of finance receivables and increased credit card revenue[167]. Debt and Financing - The company issued $600 million of 6.750% Senior Notes due 2032 on March 13, 2025, and $800 million of 7.125% Senior Notes due 2032 on June 11, 2025[131][132]. - Long-term debt balance increased to $22,053 million as of June 30, 2025, compared to $20,671 million in 2024[160]. - The borrowing capacity of the corporate revolver was $1.1 billion as of June 30, 2025[186]. - The company completed two new consumer loan securitizations during the six months ended June 30, 2025, with a borrowing capacity of $6.0 billion for revolving conduit facilities[187]. - OMFC issued $600 million of 6.750% Senior Notes due 2032 on March 13, 2025, and $800 million of 7.125% Senior Notes due 2032 on June 11, 2025[183][184]. - OMFC has access to 17 revolving conduit facilities with a total borrowing capacity of $6.0 billion as of June 30, 2025[211]. Receivables and Loan Performance - Net finance receivables for personal loans reached $20,814 million for the three months ended June 30, 2025, up from $20,073 million in 2024[160]. - The net charge-off ratio improved to 7.19% for the three months ended June 30, 2025, compared to 8.31% in 2024[160]. - The yield on consumer loans improved to 22.70% for the three months ended June 30, 2025, compared to 22.12% in 2024[160]. - The delinquency ratio for consumer loans was 3.05% for 30-89 days past due and 2.12% for 90+ days past due as of June 30, 2025, showing slight improvements from the previous year[174]. - The allowance for finance receivable losses as a percentage of net finance receivables increased slightly to 11.54% as of June 30, 2025, primarily due to changes in portfolio mix[178]. Cash Flow and Liquidity - Net cash provided by operations for the six months ended June 30, 2025, was $1.4 billion, reflecting a net income of $380 million[199]. - Net cash used for investing activities was $1.3 billion for the six months ended June 30, 2025[200]. - Net cash provided by financing activities was $274 million for the six months ended June 30, 2025[201]. - As of June 30, 2025, OMH had $769 million in cash and cash equivalents and $1.7 billion in investment securities[202]. - As of June 30, 2025, the company had $9.7 billion of unencumbered receivables, indicating strong liquidity[181]. Shareholder Returns - As of June 30, 2025, OMH repurchased 782,773 shares of its common stock for a total of $37 million[193]. - OMH declared a total dividend of $2.08 per share for the current year, amounting to $248 million paid to common stockholders[194]. Internal Controls and Risk Management - As of June 30, 2025, OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMH) evaluated the effectiveness of its disclosure controls and procedures, concluding they were effective[221]. - There were no material changes in OMH's internal control over financial reporting during Q2 2025[222]. - OneMain Finance Corporation (OMFC) also evaluated its disclosure controls and procedures as of June 30, 2025, and found them effective[224]. - OMFC reported no changes in its internal control over financial reporting during Q2 2025 that materially affected its operations[225]. - There have been no material changes to market risk previously disclosed by OMH[218]. Economic Outlook - The company aims to expand its product offerings and grow receivables while maintaining a disciplined underwriting model[138]. - The company is focused on maximizing returns while minimizing credit risk and maintaining strong liquidity levels with diversified funding sources[139]. - The company is actively monitoring macroeconomic conditions that could impact its financial performance, including unemployment and inflation trends[137].

Core Insights - Zacks Premium offers various tools to help investors make informed decisions and enhance their confidence in the stock market [1][2] Zacks Style Scores - The Zacks Style Scores are indicators that assist investors in selecting stocks likely to outperform the market within 30 days, rated from A to F based on value, growth, and momentum characteristics [2][3] - The Value Score identifies attractive and discounted stocks using ratios like P/E, PEG, and Price/Sales [3] - The Growth Score focuses on a company's financial strength and future outlook, analyzing projected and historical earnings, sales, and cash flow [4] - The Momentum Score helps investors capitalize on price trends, utilizing factors like one-week price change and monthly earnings estimate changes [5] - The VGM Score combines all three Style Scores, providing a comprehensive indicator for stock selection based on value, growth, and momentum [6] Zacks Rank - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary stock-rating model that uses earnings estimate revisions to facilitate portfolio building [7] - Stocks rated 1 (Strong Buy) have produced an average annual return of +23.75% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [8] - Investors are encouraged to select stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 and Style Scores of A or B for optimal returns [9] Stock to Watch: OneMain Holdings - OneMain Holdings Inc. is a financial services company with a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) and a VGM Score of A [11] - The company has a Value Style Score of A, supported by a forward P/E ratio of 9.6, making it appealing to value investors [12] - Recent earnings estimates for fiscal 2025 have been revised higher, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing to $6.18 per share, and an average earnings surprise of +9.3% [12]

Core Insights - OneMain Holdings (OMF) reported a strong second-quarter 2025 performance with adjusted earnings of $1.45 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.25, and reflecting a 42.2% increase year-over-year [1][8] - The company's net interest income (NII) rose by 10.8% to $1.02 billion, driven by higher net finance receivables and improved yield, while total other revenues increased by 1.1% to $176 million [3][8] - Despite the positive earnings and revenue growth, total other expenses rose by 10.3% year-over-year to $473 million, primarily due to higher operating expenses and insurance policy claims [3][8] Financial Performance - Net income available to common shareholders on a GAAP basis was $167 million, significantly up from $71 million in the prior-year quarter [2] - The provision for finance receivable losses decreased by 11.1% to $511 million, with net charge-offs also down by 10.3% to $445 million [4][8] - As of June 30, 2025, net finance receivables were $23.9 billion, a 2.3% increase from the previous quarter, while long-term debt rose by 2.6% to $22.1 billion [5][8] Credit Quality - The company reported 30-89-day delinquencies of $706 million, which is a 2.8% increase from the prior-year quarter, indicating some deterioration in asset quality [4] - The allowance ratio increased to 11.54% from 11.46% in the prior-year quarter, reflecting a cautious approach to credit risk [4] Shareholder Actions - In the reported quarter, OneMain Holdings repurchased 460 thousand shares for $21 million, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders [6] Strategic Outlook - The company's focus on growing credit card and auto finance loans, along with strategic acquisitions, is expected to bolster its financial performance, although rising expenses and asset quality concerns remain challenges [7]

Core Insights - OneMain reported strong financial results for Q2 2025, with adjusted EPS of $1.45, exceeding the consensus forecast of $1.23, and revenue of $1.5 billion, surpassing the anticipated $1.186 billion [1][5] - The company achieved a net income of $167 million, more than doubling the prior year's quarter, driven by growth in loan originations and improved credit performance [1][5] Financial Performance - Adjusted EPS for the Consumer & Insurance Segment was $1.45, a 42.2% increase year-over-year from $1.02 [2] - Revenue for Q2 2025 was $1.5 billion, a 10% increase from $1.39 billion in Q2 2024 [2] - Net income rose to $167 million, up 135.2% from $71 million in the prior year [2] - Consumer loan originations reached $3.9 billion, a 9.2% increase from $3.58 billion in Q2 2024 [2] - Managed receivables increased to $25.2 billion, a 6.6% rise from $23.7 billion [2] Business Overview - OneMain specializes in lending to nonprime consumers, offering personal loans, auto finance, credit card products, insurance, and financial wellness platforms [3] - The company operates over 1,300 physical branches and has a strong digital presence, serving customers across 47 states [3] Strategic Focus - The company has concentrated on managing credit risk, expanding digital capabilities, and improving operational efficiency [4] - Key strategies include maintaining underwriting discipline, robust customer service, and adapting to changing economic conditions [4] Portfolio Health - The net charge-off ratio for consumer and insurance loans decreased to 7.19% from 8.29% year-over-year, indicating improved credit quality [6] - The 30+ days delinquency ratio improved to 5.17% from 5.45% [6] Product Development - OneMain invested in its product platform, with the "BrightWay" credit card portfolio reaching $752 million in receivables and the auto finance business at $2.34 billion [7] - Both segments are in a "seasoning" phase, indicating they are still establishing predictable performance patterns [7] Operational Metrics - Operating expenses rose 11% to $415 million, reflecting strategic investments for future profitability [8] - Liquidity remained strong with $769 million in cash and equivalents and unencumbered receivables of $9.7 billion [8] Shareholder Returns - The company repurchased approximately 460,000 shares for $21 million and declared a quarterly dividend of $1.04 per share [9] Future Outlook - Leadership noted no observed weakness in the customer base despite macroeconomic volatility, with conservative reserve overlays in place [10] - Investors will focus on credit risk management, efficiency in digital and branch networks, and alignment of operating expenses with receivables growth [11]

Group 1 - OneMain Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: OMF) shares have increased by 14% over the past year, alongside a 7% dividend yield, indicating strong performance despite concerns about consumer credit defaults not materializing [1] - The company has a strategy focused on contrarian bets and stock-specific turnaround stories, aiming for outsized returns with a favorable risk/reward profile [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Capital generation reached $222 million, up 63% year over year [6][21] - C&I adjusted earnings were $1.45 per share, up 42% [6][21] - Total revenue grew 10% year over year, reaching $1.5 billion [6][25] - Managed receivables ended at $25.2 billion, up 7% from a year ago [21][22] - GAAP net income was $167 million or $1.4 per diluted share, up 137% from the previous year [20][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Originations grew 9%, driven by enhanced data analytics and product innovations [6][21] - Credit card receivables reached $752 million, up 61% year over year [11][12] - Auto finance receivables increased to over $2.6 billion, with quarterly originations growing by 29% [13][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - 30+ delinquency rate was 5.07%, down 29 basis points year over year [27][28] - Consumer loan net charge offs were 7.2%, down 110 basis points year over year [29][30] - Interest income grew 10% year over year, driven by receivables growth [25][26] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on responsible credit access and disciplined credit management [5][16] - Strategic initiatives include enhancing customer experience and expanding product offerings [10][11] - The company aims to grow its credit card business conservatively while maintaining a strong balance sheet [12][17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The non-prime consumer remains resilient, supported by a solid labor market [15][16] - Management expressed confidence in the business model and strategic initiatives, anticipating significant capital generation growth in 2025 [40][41] - The company expects a more normalized mid-single-digit growth in originations for the second half of the year [23][68] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 460,000 shares at an average price of just below $46 per share [18] - Operating expenses were $415 million, up 11% year over year [33][34] - The company raised $1.8 billion in funding through secured and unsecured markets, enhancing liquidity [20][36] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the competitive dynamics driving your origination growth? - Management noted a constructive competitive environment with strong origination growth despite a tight credit box, emphasizing their ability to maintain good pricing and customer trust [45][46][48] Question: How do you plan to deploy your stronger capital generation in the next 6 to 12 months? - The company prioritizes investing in business growth, maintaining a strong dividend, and considering share repurchases or strategic opportunities as excess capital increases [50][52] Question: What are your thoughts on the credit card portfolio's growth and maturity? - Management indicated that while the card yields are expected to remain above 30%, they are not rushing growth and are focused on perfecting the product [55][59] Question: How stable is your consumer base in the current macroeconomic environment? - Management reported that the non-prime consumer has been stable over the past year, with improved net disposable income contributing to better credit quality [84][86] Question: What are the key inputs you monitor to assess consumer health? - The company focuses on individual customer metrics such as income, spending, and debt load to evaluate creditworthiness [86][87]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Capital generation reached $222 million, up 63% year over year [6][21] - C and I adjusted earnings were $1.45 per share, up 42% [6][21] - Total revenue grew 10% year over year [6][24] - Receivables grew 7% year over year, surpassing $25 billion for the first time [6][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Originations increased by 9%, driven by enhanced data analytics and product innovations [7][23] - Credit card receivables reached $752 million, up 61% year over year [12][21] - Auto finance receivables grew to over $2.6 billion, with quarterly originations up 29% [14][21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - 30 plus delinquency rate was 5.07%, down 29 basis points year over year [7][27] - C and I net charge offs were 7.6%, down 88 basis points year over year [29] - Consumer loan net charge offs were 7.2%, down 110 basis points year over year [29] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on responsible credit access and disciplined credit management [5][17] - Strategic initiatives include enhancing product offerings and improving customer experience [11][12] - The company aims to grow its credit card business conservatively while maintaining a strong balance sheet [13][17] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The macroeconomic environment remains stable, with a resilient non-prime consumer supported by a solid labor market [15][16] - Management expressed confidence in the business model and strategic initiatives, anticipating significant capital generation growth in 2025 [40][38] - The company expects a more normalized mid-single-digit growth in originations for the second half of the year [23][68] Other Important Information - The company raised $1.8 billion in the quarter through ABS and unsecured markets, enhancing liquidity [20][36] - Operating expenses were $415 million, up 11% year over year, aligned with receivables growth [33][34] - The company repurchased 460,000 shares at an average price below $46 per share [18][21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the competitive dynamics driving your origination growth? - Management noted a constructive competitive environment with strong origination growth despite a tight credit box, emphasizing their ability to maintain competitive pricing [44][46] Question: How do you plan to deploy stronger capital generation in the next 6-12 months? - The company prioritizes building a great business, paying dividends, and considering share repurchases or strategic investments based on capital generation [49][51] Question: What is the expected timing for the credit card portfolio to reach similar returns as personal loans? - Management indicated that while they are not providing specific guidance, they expect card yields to remain above 30% and are focused on perfecting the product before accelerating growth [55][59] Question: How is the macroeconomic environment affecting your consumer base? - Management stated that the non-prime consumer has remained stable, with improved net disposable income compared to previous periods [82][85] Question: Are there signs of increased price competition in the market? - Management acknowledged the presence of competition but emphasized their disciplined approach to maintaining credit quality and customer value [90][92]

Financial Performance - Originations increased to $3.9 billion, up 9% year-over-year[13] - Capital Generation reached $222 million, a 63% increase year-over-year[14] - Managed Receivables totaled $25.2 billion, up 7% year-over-year[15] - Consumer & Insurance (C&I) Total Revenue was $1.5 billion, a 10% increase year-over-year[15] - C&I Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) increased to $1.45, up 42% year-over-year[19] Credit Quality - C&I Net Charge-offs decreased to 7.6%, down 88 basis points year-over-year[16] - Consumer Loan Net Charge-offs decreased to 7.2%, down 110 basis points year-over-year[18] - 30+ delinquency of 5.07%, down 29bps YoY[50] Balance Sheet and Funding - The company issued $1 billion in Asset-Backed Securities (ABS) and $800 million in unsecured debt[20] - The company repurchased 460 thousand shares for $21 million in 2Q25[78]