Group 1: O'Reilly Automotive - O'Reilly Automotive shares increased by 35% from the end of 2024 to August 1, 2023, with analysts predicting further growth [4][7] - Citigroup analyst Steven Zaccone raised the price target for O'Reilly stock to $114 per share, indicating a potential 15% gain over the next 12 months [4] - The company operates over 6,000 stores in the U.S., giving it a strong position in the automotive aftermarket and favorable pricing from suppliers [5] - Sales to professional mechanics rose by 7.9% year over year in the first half of 2025, highlighting the company's competitive advantage [6] Group 2: Genius Sports - Genius Sports shares also gained 35% from the end of 2024 to August 1, 2023, with analysts forecasting further increases [9] - Truist Financial analyst Barry Jonas set a buy rating and a price target of $14, suggesting a potential 20% rise over the next 12 months [9] - The company has secured important partnerships, including an exclusive deal with the NFL for real-time statistics and betting data [10] - Management expects sales to grow by 21% this year, with adjusted EBITDA projected to reach $125 million, a 46% increase year over year [11]

A company that's rallied almost 62,000% since its debut makes for a no-brainer buy in August, while another that had gained more than 60,000% on a year-to-basis is a disaster waiting to happen. For more than three decades, investors have consistently had a next-big-thing technology or trend to captivate their attention and wallets. For instance, artificial intelligence (AI) has been a driving force for Wall Street's major stock indexes for almost three years. But more than one market-driving trend can exist ...

Market Overview - The stock market is entering a "danger zone," particularly in August, which is historically a poor month for American equity markets [2][5] - TradeSmith's Trade Cycles system indicates that many stocks associated with early summer rallies tend to decline as fall approaches [2][3] Company Insights - Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE) is highlighted as a strong buy due to its position as the largest U.S. options exchange and its monopoly over VIX equity contracts, which are essential for traders seeking to hedge positions [6][7] - Cboe has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the third quarter, with a 4.7% average beat compared to 1.8% in the second quarter, indicating a "slow burn" of rising share prices from June 17 to September 10 [8] Seasonal Trends - The summer months see reduced liquidity, with daily trading volumes averaging 9.3 billion shares in August, about 30% lower than March's 13.2 billion [5] - Gasoline refining companies like Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) and Marathon Petroleum Corp. (MPC) typically see gains of up to 7% due to increased road trips during the summer [10][11] - O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) is recommended for its longer seasonal bull cycle, benefiting from repairs needed before and after road trips, and showing strong growth compared to competitors [12][13] Financial Performance - O'Reilly reported a 9.1% growth rate in its professional segment and a 3.5% growth rate in the do-it-yourself segment, outperforming competitors [13] - O'Reilly's distribution network and knowledgeable staff contribute to its competitive advantage, allowing it to meet demand quickly [14][15] Investment Strategy - O'Reilly's shares are trading at a premium, with a forward earnings ratio of 32X compared to competitors' 17.5X, suggesting a justified value closer to $70 [16] - The Trade Cycles system provides insights on optimal buying and selling times, recommending holding ORLY through early September before exiting [16][20]

Group 1: Apple Inc. - Apple has a strong brand moat based on design expertise in both hardware and software, leading the market in smartphone revenue with a 5% revenue increase to $95 billion and a 5% rise in GAAP net income to $24.8 billion in the March quarter [4][8] - The company has struggled to effectively integrate artificial intelligence (AI) into its business, with underwhelming consumer response to new AI features and delays in upgrades to its digital assistant Siri [5][6] - Analysts expect Apple's earnings to grow at 11% annually over the next three years, but the current valuation of 33 times earnings may be overestimated, as earnings compounded at less than 2% annually over the last three years [8][9] Group 2: O'Reilly Automotive - O'Reilly Automotive is a leading specialty retailer of aftermarket automotive parts, operating over 6,400 stores across North America, serving both DIY and professional customers [10] - The company reported a 6% revenue increase to $4.5 billion in Q2, driven by 67 new store openings and 4.1% same-store sales growth, with GAAP earnings rising 11% to $0.78 per diluted share [12] - Wall Street anticipates O'Reilly's earnings to grow at 10% annually over the next three to five years, making the current valuation of 36 times earnings appear relatively expensive, yet it is suggested that investors consider a small position in the stock [13]

Core Insights - O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) reported Q2 2025 adjusted EPS of 78 cents, slightly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 77 cents, and up from 70 cents in the prior-year quarter [1][10] - Quarterly revenues reached $4,525 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4,532 million, but reflecting a 6% year-over-year increase [1][10] Financial Performance - Comparable store sales grew by 4.1%, with the company opening 67 new stores in the U.S. and Mexico, bringing the total store count to 6,483 as of June 30, 2025 [2] - Selling, general and administrative expenses rose by 8% year-over-year to $1.41 billion, while operating income increased by 6% to $914 million [3] - Net income for the quarter was $668.6 million, up from $622.8 million in the same quarter last year [3] Share Repurchase and Cash Flow - O'Reilly repurchased 6.8 million shares for $617 million at an average price of $90.71 per share during the quarter, with an additional 1.7 million shares repurchased for $160 million post-quarter [4] - As of June 30, 2025, cash and cash equivalents stood at $198.6 million, up from $145 million a year earlier, while long-term debt increased to $5.82 billion from $5.4 billion [5] - Cash generated from operating activities was $1.51 billion, down from $1.65 billion in the prior year, with capital expenditures totaling $300.7 million compared to $225.4 million a year ago [6] 2025 Outlook - For 2025, O'Reilly revised its revenue estimate to a range of $17.5-$17.8 billion, up from the previous estimate of $17.4-$17.7 billion, and expects EPS between $2.85-$2.95 [7] - Comparable store sales growth is projected at 3-4.5%, an increase from the prior estimate of 2-4%, with free cash flow anticipated between $1.6 billion and $1.9 billion [7] - The company plans to open 200-210 new stores in 2025 [7] Market Position - O'Reilly currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [8] - Competitors with better rankings include Ferrari N.V. (RACE) with a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), and Gentex Corporation (GNTX) and XPeng Inc. (XPEV) both with a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [8]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a second quarter comparable store sales increase of 4.1%, contributing to a year-to-date comp growth at the high end of expectations [7][12] - Earnings per share increased by 11% to $0.78 for the second quarter [7] - The updated diluted earnings per share guidance for the full year is now in the range of $2.85 to $2.95, reflecting a 1% increase from the previous midpoint adjusted for a stock split [17][31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The professional business was a significant driver of sales results, with comparable store sales exceeding 7% due to strong ticket count growth [9] - DIY sales contributed to overall growth with a low single-digit comp, although there was a small decline in DIY ticket count for the full year [9][10] - Average ticket size increased due to the complexity of vehicle repairs, with same SKU inflation contributing just under 1.5% [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company observed continued softness in discretionary categories, indicating cautious consumer spending [11][12] - The effective tax rate for the second quarter was 22.4%, down from 23.2% in the previous year [31][32] - Inventory per store finished the quarter at $833,000, up 9% from the previous year [33] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage strategic advantages to enhance competitive positioning, focusing on improving customer service to gain market share [16][88] - The acquisition of a new distribution center in Texas is expected to enhance service capabilities and support growth in the South Central region [28][29] - The company remains cautious about potential adverse impacts on consumers due to rising prices but believes in the resilience of consumer demand [14][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the health of consumers, supported by strong employment and wage growth, but noted caution due to inflationary pressures [14][15] - The company updated its full-year comparable store sales guidance to a range of 3% to 4.5%, reflecting positive trends observed in the first half of the year [12][13] - Management acknowledged the potential for short-term consumer reactions to price increases but remains optimistic about long-term demand fundamentals [15][16] Other Important Information - The company successfully opened 105 net new stores in the first half of 2025, with continued growth in Greenfield expansion markets [25][26] - Free cash flow for the first six months of 2025 was $904 million, a decrease from $1.2 billion in the same period of 2024, primarily due to timing of renewable energy tax credit payments [33] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the pricing pressure related to tariffs? - Management indicated that pricing pressure is difficult to quantify but remains focused on minimizing impacts to consumers while working closely with suppliers [39][40][41] Question: What could cause SG&A dollar growth to exceed expectations? - Management noted that continued inflation or cost-driven pressures could lead to higher SG&A, but they remain committed to providing excellent service to capture market share [45][46][48] Question: Has the cost of doing business increased due to industry consolidation? - Management acknowledged that the cost of doing business has increased but emphasized their long-term focus on maintaining operating profit rates [55][57][58] Question: How does the company view consumer behavior in response to inflation? - Management believes that while there may be some deferral in discretionary spending, the overall demand for necessary repairs remains strong [60][62][80] Question: What opportunities does the new Virginia distribution center present? - The new distribution center is expected to unlock growth opportunities in the Mid Atlantic region, allowing for better service and expansion [81][84]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a second quarter sales increase of $253 million, driven by a 4.1% increase in comparable store sales and an $86 million non-comparable contribution from new stores [32] - Earnings per share (EPS) increased by 11% to $0.78 [5] - The effective tax rate for the second quarter was 22.4%, down from 23.2% in the previous year [32] - Free cash flow for the first half of 2025 was $904 million, compared to $1.2 billion in the same period of 2024 [34] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Comparable store sales growth was 4.1%, with professional business sales increasing over 7% and DIY sales contributing low single-digit growth [5][6] - Average ticket size increased due to the complexity of vehicle repairs, with same SKU inflation contributing just under 1.5% [7][10] - The company experienced a decline in DIY ticket counts towards the end of the quarter, but overall sales growth in DIY was positive due to increased average ticket size [6][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company updated its full-year comparable store sales guidance from a range of 2% to 4% to a new range of 3% to 4.5% [11] - The company anticipates continued strong performance in maintenance categories, while discretionary categories remain soft [10][11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage strategic advantages to enhance competitive positioning, focusing on improving customer service to gain market share [16] - The company is expanding its distribution network, with the acquisition of a new facility in Haslet, Texas, expected to enhance service capabilities [27][30] - The company remains cautious about the potential adverse impact of rising prices on consumer spending [13][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of consumers and the automotive aftermarket, despite potential short-term shocks from inflation [15][84] - The company remains focused on maintaining a strong value proposition for customers, even in a challenging pricing environment [24][84] - Management noted that while there are pressures on pricing, the industry has historically been rational in its response to cost changes [40][41] Other Important Information - The company successfully opened 105 net new stores in the first half of 2025 [25] - The company’s gross margin for the second quarter was 51.4%, up 67 basis points from the previous year [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the pricing pressure related to tariffs? - Management indicated that pricing pressure is difficult to quantify but remains focused on minimizing impacts to consumers while working closely with suppliers [40][41] Question: What could cause SG&A dollar growth to exceed expectations? - Management noted that continued inflation or cost-driven pressures could lead to higher SG&A, but they remain committed to providing excellent service [43][47] Question: Has the cost of doing business increased due to weaker competitors exiting the market? - Management acknowledged that the cost of doing business may be under pressure but emphasized their long-term focus on maintaining operating profit rates [55][56] Question: How does the company view consumer reactions to rising prices? - Management believes that while there may be some deferral in spending, the overall demand for maintenance items remains strong [72][76] Question: What opportunities does the new Virginia distribution center present? - Management sees significant growth opportunities in the Mid Atlantic region, which has been constrained by distribution capacity [78][80]

Group 1: Earnings Performance - O'Reilly Automotive reported quarterly earnings of $0.78 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.77 per share, and up from $0.70 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +1.30% [1] - The company posted revenues of $4.53 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, which was slightly below the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.16%, and an increase from $4.27 billion year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, O'Reilly Automotive has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and topped consensus revenue estimates just once [2] Group 2: Stock Performance and Outlook - O'Reilly Automotive shares have increased approximately 20.6% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 7.3% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.82 on revenues of $4.64 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.91 on revenues of $17.62 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for O'Reilly Automotive was mixed ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] Group 3: Industry Context - The Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry, to which O'Reilly Automotive belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 13% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5]

Exhibit 99.1 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE, INC. REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2025 RESULTS Springfield, MO, July 23, 2025 – O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (the "Company" or "O'Reilly") (Nasdaq: ORLY), a leading retailer in the automotive aftermarket industry, today announced record revenue and earnings for its second quarter ended June 30, 2025. 2nd Quarter Financial Results Brad Beckham, O'Reilly's CEO, commented, "I would like to thank our Team of over 92,000 Professional Parts People for their tremendou ...

Core Insights - O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. reported record revenue and earnings for Q2 2025, with a significant increase in comparable store sales and net income [1][2][3] Financial Performance - Q2 2025 sales increased by $253 million, or 6%, to $4.53 billion compared to $4.27 billion in Q2 2024 [2] - Gross profit for Q2 2025 rose 7% to $2.33 billion, representing 51.4% of sales, up from 50.7% in the same period last year [2] - Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) increased by 8% to $1.41 billion, accounting for 31.2% of sales [2] - Operating income for Q2 2025 increased by 6% to $914 million, maintaining 20.2% of sales [2] - Net income for Q2 2025 rose by $46 million, or 7%, to $669 million, which is 14.8% of sales [3] - Diluted earnings per share for Q2 2025 increased by 11% to $0.78 [3] Year-to-Date Results - For the first half of 2025, sales increased by $414 million, or 5%, to $8.66 billion compared to $8.25 billion in the same period last year [4] - Gross profit for the first six months of 2025 increased by 6% to $4.45 billion, representing 51.4% of sales [4] - SG&A for the first half of 2025 rose by 8% to $2.79 billion, accounting for 32.2% of sales [4] - Operating income for the first half of 2025 increased by 2% to $1.66 billion, which is 19.1% of sales [4] - Net income for the first six months of 2025 increased by $37 million, or 3%, to $1.21 billion [5] Comparable Store Sales - Comparable store sales for Q2 2025 grew by 4.1%, following a 2.3% increase in the same period last year [6][7] - For the first half of 2025, comparable store sales increased by 3.9%, compared to a 2.8% increase in the same period last year [7] Share Repurchase Program - In Q2 2025, the company repurchased 6.8 million shares at an average price of $90.71, totaling $617 million [8] - For the first half of 2025, the company repurchased 13.3 million shares at an average price of $88.65, totaling $1.18 billion [8] Updated Guidance - The company raised its full-year comparable store sales guidance to a range of 3% to 4.5% [4] - Total revenue guidance for 2025 is set between $17.5 billion and $17.8 billion [9] - Diluted earnings per share guidance for 2025 is projected to be between $2.85 and $2.95 [9]