Core Viewpoint - O'Reilly Automotive has demonstrated exceptional stock performance, rewarding long-term shareholders significantly, but current valuation raises concerns about future returns for new investors [1][10][12] Group 1: Company Performance - O'Reilly's stock has increased by 502% over the past decade and 57,620% since its IPO in 1993 [1] - The company has shown consistent revenue growth, with a 5.7% year-over-year increase in 2024 and a projected 5.4% growth for the current year [6] - O'Reilly's operating margin has averaged 19.9% over the past decade, indicating strong profitability [7] Group 2: Market Position and Demand - The company benefits from durable demand trends, as vehicle maintenance is necessary regardless of economic conditions [4] - An aging vehicle fleet supports demand for aftermarket auto parts, with the average age of vehicles in the U.S. reaching 12.8 years in 2025, up from 11.5 years a decade ago [5] - O'Reilly's extensive store footprint and brand visibility provide a competitive advantage in a fragmented industry [6] Group 3: Financial Management - O'Reilly's management has effectively utilized excess cash for business expansion and stock buybacks, reducing the outstanding share count by 3% in the last 12 months [7] - The company's stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 34, the highest level since 2000, raising concerns about valuation [10][11] Group 4: Investment Outlook - While O'Reilly possesses favorable investment qualities, the current high valuation suggests that it may not provide life-changing returns for new investors [10][12] - The stock's continued upward trajectory despite valuation concerns indicates market optimism, but investors should consider their own valuation criteria in decision-making [11]

Company Overview - O'Reilly operates 6,152 stores in 48 states, 69 stores in Mexico, and 23 stores in Canada as of June 30, 2024 [15] - The company's last-twelve-months sales reached $163 billion as of June 30, 2024 [15] - O'Reilly's market capitalization was $66 billion as of July 31, 2024 [15] - The split between Do-It-Yourself (DIY) and Professional sales was 53% and 47% respectively for the year ended December 31, 2023 [15] Financial Performance & Guidance - O'Reilly reported a 28% comparable store sales increase year-to-date in 2024 [18] - The company's gross margin was 509% year-to-date in 2024 [18] - Operating margin reached 196% year-to-date in 2024 [18] - Diluted EPS was $1975, with a 3-year CAGR of 9% [18] - O'Reilly generated $12 billion of free cash flow and repurchased $106 billion under the share repurchase program year-to-date in 2024 [18] - The full-year 2024 guidance includes $166 - $169 billion in sales and $4075 - $4125 in diluted earnings per share [20, 116, 120] Strategic Investments & Expansion - O'Reilly expects $900 million - $1 billion in total capital expenditures for 2024 [43] - The company is undertaking distribution network expansion projects in Atlanta, GA, Lakeland, FL, and Stafford, VA [44] - O'Reilly plans to open 190-200 net new stores in 2024 [20, 116] - In Mexico, 7 new stores were opened in the first 6 months of 2024, bringing the total to 69, with 15-20 more expected by year-end [51] - O'Reilly acquired Groupe Del Vasto in Canada in January 2024, adding 2 distribution centers and 23 stores [56]

Core Points - O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. will release its second quarter 2025 financial results on July 23, 2025, after 3:30 p.m. Central Time [1][2] - A conference call to discuss the financial results will take place on July 24, 2025, at 10:00 a.m. Central Time [2][4] - The company operates 6,416 stores across 48 U.S. states, Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Canada as of March 31, 2025 [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the potential investment opportunity in O'Reilly Automotive, driven by favorable market trends and the company's strong financial performance, despite concerns over its current valuation [2][10]. Group 1: Market Trends - The average age of vehicles on the road in the U.S. has reached 12.8 years, increasing for eight consecutive years, which is expected to benefit O'Reilly Automotive as older vehicles require more maintenance [5]. - The macroeconomic environment, characterized by high interest rates on auto loans and rising material and labor costs, makes purchasing new vehicles less affordable, leading consumers to invest in repairs for their existing cars [8]. Group 2: Company Performance - O'Reilly Automotive reported a same-store sales increase of 2.9% in 2024, marking its 32nd consecutive year of growth, showcasing its resilience in various economic conditions [9]. - The company has effectively utilized its free cash flow for stock buybacks, reducing its outstanding share count by 24% over the past five years, which may enhance shareholder value [10]. Group 3: Valuation Concerns - Despite the positive growth and demand, O'Reilly's current price-to-earnings ratio stands at 32.8, which is 36% higher than its trailing 10-year average, raising concerns about its valuation [11].

Core Viewpoint - Stock splits can lead to significant positive returns for shares, with an average return of over 25% in the 52 weeks following a split, compared to the S&P 500's average return of under 12% [1][2] Group 1: O'Reilly Automotive - O'Reilly Automotive executed a 15-for-1 stock split, reducing its share price by over 93% from above $1,300 to around $89, making it more accessible for retail investors [3][4][5] - The current price forecast for O'Reilly Automotive is $94.30, indicating a potential upside of 7.36% based on 18 analyst ratings [3][5] Group 2: Interactive Brokers Group - Interactive Brokers performed a 4-for-1 stock split, lowering its share price from just over $200 to around $52, which increases accessibility but may have a limited positive impact [6][8] - The 12-month stock price forecast for Interactive Brokers is $53.38, suggesting a modest upside of 0.55% based on 8 analyst ratings [6][9] Group 3: Pegasystems - Pegasystems executed a 2-for-1 stock split, with the share price moving from just over $100 to around $52, which does not significantly impact its valuation [10][11] - The current price forecast for Pegasystems is $53.36, indicating a potential upside of 4.18% based on 12 analyst ratings [10][11] - Pegasystems has seen substantial growth, with annual contracted revenues increasing over three times to $1.4 billion and free cash flow margins exceeding 42% [12] - The company's GenAI Blueprint tool is expected to drive significant adoption in the second half of 2025, which could enhance its stock performance beyond the effects of the stock split [13][15]

Core Viewpoint - Fastenal, O'Reilly Automotive, and Interactive Brokers have all announced stock splits this year, prompting a comparison of their financial metrics, growth prospects, and valuations to determine the best investment choice among them [2][14]. Financials - O'Reilly Automotive generated revenue of $16.87 billion over the last 12 months, significantly higher than Fastenal's $7.61 billion and Interactive Brokers' $5.4 billion [4]. - In terms of net profit margin, Fastenal leads slightly with 15.1%, followed by Interactive Brokers at 14.7% and O'Reilly at 14.1% [5]. - Interactive Brokers has the strongest balance sheet, with a cash position of nearly $89.7 billion compared to its debt of $17.15 billion, while both Fastenal and O'Reilly have larger debt loads than their cash reserves [6]. Growth - Interactive Brokers experienced a revenue increase of 18.6% year over year in Q1 2025, with earnings rising by 21.7% [7]. - Fastenal's net sales grew by 3.4% year over year, with earnings up only 0.3%, while O'Reilly reported a revenue growth of 4% but a decline in earnings by 1.6% [8]. - Analysts project O'Reilly to deliver the highest earnings growth next year at 12.5%, compared to Fastenal's 9.8% and Interactive Brokers' 7.3% [9]. Valuation - Interactive Brokers has the lowest trailing 12-month price-to-earnings ratio and forward P/E multiple [10]. - O'Reilly has a lower price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio than Fastenal, indicating a more attractive valuation based on future earnings growth projections [11]. Dividends - Fastenal is the dividend winner with a forward dividend yield of 2.13% and has increased its dividend for 27 consecutive years [12]. - Interactive Brokers has a forward dividend yield of 0.63% and has only increased its dividend for two years, while O'Reilly does not currently offer a dividend [12]. Best Stock-Split Stock - The best choice among these stocks depends on the investor's style; Fastenal is recommended for income investors, while O'Reilly is viewed as the most attractively valued for growth investors [13][14].

Group 1: Company Overview - O'Reilly Automotive is an auto parts retailer that sells vehicle supplies to both consumers and professionals in a mature and competitive industry [2] - The company has shown reasonable performance in same-store sales, with a 3.6% increase in Q1 2025, and opened 38 new stores, leading to a 4% top-line growth [4] Group 2: Financial Performance - Earnings per share rose by 2%, although net income decreased by 2%, with the increase in EPS attributed to a reduction in share count due to stock buybacks [4] - The company plans to open up to 210 new locations in 2025 and expects same-store sales to grow between 2% and 4% [5] Group 3: Market Position and Valuation - O'Reilly Automotive's stock is currently considered historically expensive, with price-to-sales and price-to-earnings ratios above their five-year averages [7] - Despite recent stock price pullbacks, the decline has been less than 10% from all-time highs, indicating that the stock remains relatively high-priced [7][8] Group 4: Investment Considerations - The company faces business difficulties due to rising costs, which may impact its growth potential, making it challenging to recommend buying the stock at current prices [8][10] - Historical data shows that O'Reilly's stock has experienced common drawdowns of 25% or more, suggesting potential for deeper pullbacks in the future [11][13]

Core Viewpoint - O'Reilly Auto Parts remains a strong investment opportunity even after its stock split, indicating long-term profitability potential [1]. Group 1 - The stock split itself is not the primary factor contributing to O'Reilly Auto Parts' investment appeal [1]. - The analysis suggests that the company's fundamentals and market position continue to support its growth prospects [1]. - Contributors emphasize the importance of evaluating the company's overall performance rather than focusing solely on stock price changes [1].

Company Overview - O'Reilly Automotive has seen a remarkable stock performance, climbing 509% over the past decade and outperforming the S&P 500 index [3] - Since its IPO in April 1993, O'Reilly's stock has skyrocketed 56,350%, indicating strong business fundamentals and shareholder value [9] Stock Split Details - On March 13, O'Reilly's board approved a 15-for-1 stock split, which was implemented on June 10, reducing the share price from approximately $1,350 to $90 [6] - The stock split increased the number of outstanding shares by a factor of 15, making shares more accessible to investors [5][6] Business Model and Demand Stability - O'Reilly operates 6,416 stores, primarily selling aftermarket auto parts, which are in stable demand regardless of economic conditions [10] - The necessity of maintaining working automobiles supports consistent demand, as consumers tend to either drive more in good times or maintain existing vehicles during recessions [11] Financial Performance - O'Reilly generated $2 billion in free cash flow in 2024 and reported $455 million in Q1, with a history of using this cash for share buybacks [12] - The diluted outstanding share count has been reduced by 24% over the last five years, enhancing earnings per share [12] Valuation Considerations - O'Reilly's stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.3, which is 38% higher than its trailing-10-year average, suggesting that the stock may be overvalued [13] - A recommendation is made for investors to consider waiting for a pullback before investing, although a dollar-cost averaging strategy could be viable for those bullish on the stock [13]

Company Insights - Fastenal has completed a 2-for-1 forward stock split, marking its ninth split since its IPO in August 1987, with shares declining from approximately $82 to $41 post-split [9][10] - Fastenal's stock has appreciated nearly 210,000% since its IPO, driven by its integration into customer supply chains and its ability to navigate economic cycles [10][11] - O'Reilly Automotive announced a 15-for-1 forward stock split, reducing its share price from over $1,370 to around $92, making it the largest split by magnitude in 2025 [16][17] - O'Reilly's distribution model, with 31 distribution centers and nearly 400 hub stores, allows for efficient delivery of over 153,000 stock keeping units [20] - O'Reilly has executed a significant share-repurchase program, spending over $25.9 billion to buy back 59.4% of its outstanding shares since 2011, enhancing its earnings per share [21] Industry Trends - The aging of vehicles in the U.S. has reached an all-time high of 12.8 years, encouraging consumers to retain their vehicles longer, which benefits auto parts suppliers [18] - Rising auto loan interest rates, now between 7% and 8%, incentivize vehicle owners to keep their cars longer, positively impacting demand for auto parts [19] - The stock split trend has attracted investor interest, particularly in companies like Fastenal and O'Reilly, which are perceived as growth-oriented and innovative [2][6]