O’Reilly Automotive(ORLY)
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 O'Reilly Automotive's Stock Price Uptrend Will Continue in 2026
 MarketBeat· 2025-10-23 21:23
 Core Insights - O'Reilly Automotive's Q3 earnings report indicates a sustained moderately high single-digit growth pace and margin strength for the foreseeable future [3][7] - The company is recognized for its strong cash flow and aggressive share buyback strategy, reducing its share count significantly each year [4][5] - O'Reilly's stock trades at a premium valuation of 35 times its current-year earnings, reflecting its growth outlook and share repurchases [5]   Financial Performance - Revenue for O'Reilly Automotive grew by 8% to $4.71 billion, significantly outperforming AutoZone's 0.6% growth in the same quarter [7] - Comparable store sales (comps) increased by 5.6%, with a nearly 4% year-over-year growth in store count [7] - The operating margin improved by 20 basis points, contributing to a 9% increase in operating and net income, and a 12% increase in GAAP earnings [8]   Future Guidance - O'Reilly expects full-year revenue growth of approximately 6%, driven by a 4% to 5% comp and new store openings [9] - Analysts project a 12-month stock price forecast of $111.12, indicating a 17.23% upside potential [11] - The consensus forecast suggests a potential new all-time high, with a high-end target of $125 by mid-2026 [12]   Market Sentiment - 90% of analysts rate O'Reilly Automotive as a Buy, with a positive trend in price target revisions and institutional buying activity [11] - The stock is currently in a technical uptrend, with expectations of continued growth over the long term [14]
 O'Reilly Automotive outlines 2026 target of up to 235 new stores as international expansion begins (NASDAQ:ORLY)
 Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-23 19:18
 Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific content related to a company or industry [1]
 X @Bloomberg
 Bloomberg· 2025-10-23 17:06
 Stock Performance - O'Reilly Automotive shares fell more than 7% [1]   Business Operations & Risks - Company executives detailed its exposure to a bankrupt supplier [1] - Inflation is taking a toll on sales to do-it-yourself customers [1]
 O’Reilly Automotive(ORLY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
 2025-10-23 16:02
 Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 5.6% increase in comparable store sales for Q3 2025, with total sales increasing by $341 million [4][26] - Operating income increased by 9%, and diluted earnings per share rose by 12% [5] - The updated diluted earnings per share guidance is now in the range of $2.90 to $3.00, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 9% [13][14] - Free cash flow for the first nine months of 2025 was $1.2 billion, down from $1.7 billion in the same period in 2024 [28]   Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The professional business saw a comparable store sales increase of just over 10%, significantly contributing to overall sales growth [6][7] - DIY comparable store sales growth was in the low single digits, driven by average ticket benefits but partially offset by pressure on transaction counts [7][8] - Same-skew inflation during Q3 was just over 4%, impacting both professional and DIY segments [8]   Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company updated its full-year comparable store sales guidance from 3%-4.5% to 4%-5% [10][11] - The effective tax rate for Q3 was 21.4%, slightly lower than the previous year's rate of 21.5% [26][28]   Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to open 225 to 235 net new stores in 2026, building on its growth in the U.S., Mexico, and Canada [23][50] - The focus remains on maintaining strong supplier relationships and managing risks associated with supplier health [19][60] - The company aims to provide exceptional service and industry-leading availability to continue gaining market share [12][18]   Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed caution regarding consumer spending due to economic uncertainty but noted that DIY consumers are still willing to invest in vehicle maintenance [9][12] - The company remains optimistic about its ability to navigate the current tariff environment and maintain competitive pricing [11][17] - Management highlighted the importance of customer service and product availability in retaining and growing market share [12][18]   Other Important Information - The company opened 55 net new stores in Q3, bringing the year-to-date total to 160 [22] - Capital expenditures for the first nine months of 2025 were $900 million, with a revised full-year guidance of $1.1-$1.2 billion [24][25]   Q&A Session All Questions and Answers  Question: Regarding the 4% same-skew inflation, will there be any residuals in the next quarters? - Management indicated that there may still be a tailwind from same-skew inflation moving into Q4 and Q1, but most adjustments needed have been made [34][35]   Question: What has been observed historically regarding price elasticity, particularly on the DIY side? - Historically, larger ticket jobs can be deferred during economic shocks, but the company remains confident in the overall strength of both professional and DIY segments [36][37]   Question: Is the elasticity function getting worse, and why wouldn't comps be higher than expected inflation? - Management noted that various factors, including weather and consumer behavior, contribute to the cautious outlook for comps, but they remain optimistic about overall trends [42][46]   Question: Can you discuss the potential for U.S. store growth and international expansion? - Management expressed confidence in U.S. store growth potential and highlighted Mexico and Canada as significant opportunities for future expansion [47][50]   Question: Are there notable differences in geographic performance due to weather patterns? - Management reported no material differences in regional performance during Q3, aligning with internal expectations [56]   Question: What is the company's exposure to the First Brands situation? - The company indicated that First Brands represents a small portion of COGs, and they have multiple sourcing strategies in place to mitigate risks [58][60]
 O’Reilly Automotive(ORLY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
 2025-10-23 16:02
 Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 5.6% increase in comparable store sales for Q3 2025, with total sales increasing by $341 million [5][26] - Operating income increased by 9%, and diluted earnings per share rose by 12% [5] - The updated diluted earnings per share guidance is now in the range of $2.90 to $3.00, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 9% [13][14] - Free cash flow for the first nine months of 2025 was $1.2 billion, down from $1.7 billion in the same period in 2024 [28][29]   Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The professional business saw a comparable store sales increase of just over 10%, significantly contributing to overall sales growth [6][7] - The DIY segment experienced low single-digit comparable store sales growth, driven by average ticket benefits but faced pressure on transaction counts [7][8] - Same-skew inflation was just over 4%, impacting both business segments [8][11]   Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company updated its full-year comparable store sales guidance from 3%-4.5% to 4%-5% [10][11] - Inventory per store finished the quarter at $858,000, up 10% from the previous year [29][30] - The adjusted debt to EBITDA ratio was 2.04 times, slightly up from 1.99 times at the end of 2024 [30][31]   Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to open 200-210 net new stores by year-end 2025 and has set a target of 225-235 net new stores for 2026 [22][23] - The focus remains on maintaining strong customer service and product availability to gain market share [12][18] - The company is navigating the evolving tariff environment while ensuring competitive pricing [17][18]   Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed caution regarding consumer spending due to economic uncertainty but noted that DIY consumers are still willing to invest in vehicle maintenance [9][12] - The company remains optimistic about its ability to gain market share despite potential consumer deferral in larger ticket jobs [9][10] - The overall industry backdrop is described as stable and supportive, with expectations of continued share gains [12][18]   Other Important Information - The company reduced its full-year capital expenditure guidance by $100 million to a range of $1.1-$1.2 billion [25] - The gross margin for Q3 was 51.9%, up 27 basis points from the previous year [15][16] - SG&A per store growth was 4%, at the top end of expectations, driven by strong sales performance and inflationary pressures [20][21]   Q&A Session Questions and Answers  Question: Regarding the 4% same-skew inflation, will there be any residuals in the next quarters? - Management indicated that a tailwind from same-skew inflation is expected in Q4 and Q1, but adjustments needed are mostly behind them [34][35]   Question: What has been observed historically regarding price elasticity, particularly on the DIY side? - Historically, larger ticket jobs can be deferred, but the company remains confident in the overall strength of both business segments [36][37]   Question: Is the elasticity function getting worse, and why wouldn't comps be higher than expected inflation? - Management noted that various factors influence the outlook, including weather and consumer behavior, but they remain cautious yet optimistic about trends [42][46]   Question: Can you discuss the potential for U.S. store growth and international expansion? - The company sees significant growth potential in the U.S. and untapped markets in Mexico and Canada, with plans to accelerate store openings [47][50]   Question: Are there any notable differences in geographic performance due to weather patterns? - No material differences were observed in regional performance during Q3, aligning with internal plans [56][57]   Question: What risks or exposure does the company have regarding First Brands? - First Brands represents a small portion of COGs, and the company has strong relationships with multiple suppliers to mitigate risks [58][59]
 O’Reilly Automotive(ORLY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
 2025-10-23 16:00
 Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 5.6% increase in comparable store sales for Q3 2025, which was at the high end of expectations [5][11] - Operating income increased by 9%, and diluted earnings per share rose by 12% [5] - The updated diluted earnings per share guidance for the full year is now between $2.90 and $3.00, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 9% [13][14] - Total revenues for 2025 are expected to be between $17.6 billion and $17.8 billion [27]   Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The professional business segment saw a comparable store sales increase of just over 10%, driven by pro-ticket count growth [5][6] - The DIY segment experienced low single-digit comparable store sales growth, primarily due to average ticket benefits, although there was pressure on transaction counts [7][10] - Same-skew inflation was reported at just over 4%, impacting both business segments [9]   Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted that the DIY business faced modest pressure from rising prices, which may have led to some deferral in larger ticket jobs [8][10] - The professional side of the business showed strong performance across failure and maintenance-related categories, indicating resilience in customer demand [10][11]   Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to open 200 to 210 net new stores by year-end 2025, with a target of 225 to 235 net new stores for 2026 [23][24] - The expansion strategy includes growth in the U.S., Mexico, and Canada, with a focus on building teams and infrastructure to support operations [49][50] - The company aims to maintain competitive pricing and service levels while navigating the evolving tariff environment [18][19]   Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed caution regarding consumer spending due to economic uncertainty but noted that DIY consumers are still willing to invest in vehicle maintenance [10][13] - The company remains optimistic about gaining market share despite the challenges posed by inflation and tariffs [12][13] - Management highlighted the importance of customer service and product availability in maintaining competitive advantage [19][20]   Other Important Information - The gross margin for Q3 was reported at 51.9%, up 27 basis points from the previous year [16][17] - SG&A per store growth was at the top end of expectations at 4%, driven by strong sales performance and inflationary pressures [21] - Free cash flow for the first nine months of 2025 was $1.2 billion, down from $1.7 billion in the same period in 2024 [29]   Q&A Session Summary  Question: Impact of same-skew inflation - Management indicated that while the majority of cost adjustments are behind them, there may still be some tailwind from same-skew inflation moving into Q4 [35][36]   Question: Price elasticity on DIY side - Historical trends suggest that larger ticket jobs may be deferred, but essential repairs are likely to be prioritized by consumers [38][39]   Question: Geographic performance differences - No significant material differences were noted in regional performance during Q3, despite varying weather patterns [52][53]   Question: Supplier health and risks - The company expressed confidence in its supplier health, noting that First Brands represents only 3% of COGs and that they have multiple sourcing strategies in place [54][56]   Question: Conditions for restoring SG&A per store growth - Management acknowledged that broader macroeconomic conditions play a significant role in SG&A growth and emphasized their focus on maintaining high service levels [77][79]
 O’Reilly Automotive(ORLY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
 2025-10-23 16:00
 Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, O'Reilly Automotive reported a 5.6% increase in comparable store sales, a 9% increase in operating income, and a 12% increase in diluted earnings per share [5][28] - The gross margin for Q3 was 51.9%, up 27 basis points from 2024, and the company maintained its full-year gross margin guidance range of 51.2% to 51.7% [17][18] - The effective tax rate for Q3 was 21.4%, slightly lower than the 2024 rate of 21.5%, with an updated full-year tax rate guidance of 21.6% [29][30]   Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The professional business saw a comparable store sales increase of just over 10%, driven by pro ticket count growth [6][10] - The DIY segment experienced low single-digit comparable store sales growth, impacted by pressure on transaction counts due to rising prices [7][10] - Same SKU inflation was reported at just over 4%, affecting both business segments [8][12]   Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company updated its full-year comparable store sales guidance from 3% - 4.5% to 4% - 5% [11] - Inventory per store finished the quarter at $858,000, a 10% increase from the previous year [32] - The adjusted debt to EBITDA ratio was 2.04 times, slightly up from 1.99 times in 2024, remaining below the leverage target of 2.5 times [33]   Company Strategy and Development Direction - O'Reilly plans to open 200 to 210 net new stores in 2025 and has set a target of 225 to 235 net new stores for 2026 [23][24] - The company is focused on maintaining strong supplier relationships and managing risks through a diversified supplier base [20][66] - The strategic emphasis is on enhancing customer service and product availability to gain market share [13][19]   Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed caution regarding consumer spending but noted that DIY consumers are still willing to invest in vehicle maintenance [10][12] - The company anticipates a mid-single-digit same SKU benefit in Q4, with expectations that most cost adjustments have been made [12][38] - Management remains optimistic about long-term growth opportunities, particularly in untapped markets like Mexico and Canada [58][59]   Other Important Information - Free cash flow for the first nine months of 2025 was $1.2 billion, down from $1.7 billion in the same period in 2024, primarily due to accelerated tax payments [30][31] - Capital expenditures for the first nine months were $900 million, with a reduction in full-year guidance to $1.1 billion to $1.2 billion [26]   Q&A Session Summary  Question: What is the outlook for same SKU inflation? - Management expects to see a tailwind from same SKU inflation moving into Q4 and Q1, with most cost adjustments already made [37][38]   Question: How is price elasticity affecting demand? - Historical trends indicate that larger ticket jobs may be deferred, but there is still strong demand for essential repairs [41][42]   Question: What are the geographic performance differences? - No material differences were noted in regional performance during Q3, with results aligning closely with internal plans [64]   Question: What is the company's approach to supplier health? - First Brands represents a small portion of COGS, and the company has multiple sourcing strategies to mitigate risks [66][68]
 Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Q3 Earnings
 ZACKS· 2025-10-22 23:01
O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) reported $4.71 billion in revenue for the quarter ended September 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 7.8%. EPS of $0.85 for the same period compares to $0.76 a year ago.The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.7 billion, representing a surprise of +0.21%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of +2.41%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $0.83.While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings ...
 O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
 ZACKS· 2025-10-22 22:41
 Group 1 - O'Reilly Automotive reported quarterly earnings of $0.85 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.83 per share, and up from $0.76 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +2.41% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $4.71 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.21%, and an increase from $4.36 billion year-over-year [2] - O'Reilly Automotive shares have increased approximately 28.2% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 14.5% [3]   Group 2 - The earnings outlook for O'Reilly Automotive is crucial for investors, as it includes current consensus earnings expectations for upcoming quarters and any recent changes to these expectations [4] - The estimate revisions trend for O'Reilly Automotive was mixed prior to the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.71 on revenues of $4.37 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.95 on revenues of $17.73 billion [7]   Group 3 - The automotive retail and wholesale parts industry, to which O'Reilly Automotive belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 26% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges for stock performance [8]
 O’Reilly Automotive(ORLY) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Results
 2025-10-22 20:32
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE, INC. REPORTS THIRD QUARTER 2025 RESULTS Springfield, MO, October 22, 2025 – O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (the "Company" or "O'Reilly") (Nasdaq: ORLY), a leading retailer in the automotive aftermarket industry, today announced record revenue and earnings for its third quarter ended September 30, 2025. 3rd Quarter Financial Results Brad Beckham, O'Reilly's CEO, commented, "We are pleased to report another quarter of solid performance and profitable growth, highlighted b ...