Core Insights - Pegasystems (PEGA) is leveraging its generative AI strategy, particularly through its low-code tool "Pega Blueprint," which is driving enterprise modernization and efficiency in deal closures [1][9] - A strategic five-year collaboration with Amazon Web Services (AWS) focuses on legacy system modernization, integrating Amazon Bedrock into Pega tools to enhance application lifecycle management while ensuring security and compliance [2][3] - The introduction of Pega-as-a-Service on AWS Marketplace is designed to streamline procurement and implementation, enhancing financial flexibility and accelerating time to value for clients [4] Competitive Landscape - Microsoft poses a significant challenge to Pegasystems with its Power Platform and Azure, offering low-code solutions and strong integration capabilities, making it a more accessible option for modern digital workflows [5] - ServiceNow competes directly with Pegasystems in workflow automation, particularly in IT service management, with its AI-powered Core Business Suite and a robust partner ecosystem that enhances scalability [6] Financial Performance - Pegasystems' shares have increased by 8.2% year to date, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which has returned 7.4%, and the Computer-Software industry, which has risen by 16.8% [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PEGA's earnings is projected at $1.88 per share for 2025, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 24.5%, with a recent upward revision of 13.9% over the past 60 days [13]

Core Insights - Pegasystems (PEGA) shares have increased by 6.9% year to date (YTD), underperforming the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector, which has appreciated by 7.4%, and key competitors like Microsoft (MSFT), Oracle (ORCL), and IBM, which have seen increases of 19.4%, 38.4%, and 29% respectively [1][2][8] Performance Analysis - The underperformance of PEGA shares is attributed to a challenging macroeconomic environment and intense competition from Microsoft and Oracle in the business process management sector [2] - Despite the challenges, Pegasystems is experiencing strong demand for its AI-powered and cloud-based solutions, with the market expected to exceed $130 billion by 2027 [6][11] - PEGA's Annual Contract Value (ACV) rose by 23% year over year to $701 million, driven by the adoption of Pega GenAI Blueprint and a shift towards term-based licensing [8][11] Revenue and Growth Projections - Pegasystems forecasts revenues of $1.7 billion for 2025, an increase from previous guidance of $1.6 billion, supported by growing ACV and market momentum [15] - The company anticipates free cash flow to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15-20%, reaching over $700 million by 2028 [15] Market Position and Valuation - Pegasystems is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend [6] - However, PEGA shares are considered overvalued, with a trailing 12-month Price/EBITDA (P/EBITDA) ratio of 23.79X, compared to the Zacks Computer Software market's 20.32X and IBM's 15.35X [18] Investment Outlook - Pegasystems is recognized for its strong portfolio, expanding ACV, and robust free cash flow generation capabilities, currently holding a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) and a Growth Score of A, indicating a favorable investment opportunity [21]

Core Insights - Pegasystems (PEGA) is experiencing accelerated growth in its cloud segment, with Pega Cloud's Annual Contract Value (ACV) increasing by 23% year-over-year to $701 million in Q1 2025, driven by demand for AI-powered, cloud-native solutions [1][3] - The company's cloud revenues rose 15% year-over-year to $151.1 million, highlighting the strength of its recurring revenue model [1][9] - Pegasystems aims to grow Cloud ACV by 20% or more, supported by successful cross-selling, upselling, and new client acquisitions [3][9] Cloud Momentum - There is a clear shift among enterprises towards scalable and intelligent automation, with PEGA's AI-infused platforms simplifying digital transformation and enhancing client retention [2] - The increase in ACV indicates deeper customer engagement and more durable multi-year contracts as workloads transition from legacy systems to the cloud [2] Competitive Landscape - Salesforce (CRM) is a strong competitor in cloud-native CRM and low-code workflows, leveraging its extensive integrations and partnerships to enhance its market position [5] - Oracle (ORCL) competes with PEGA in process automation, excelling in infrastructure and large-scale deployments, while PEGA stands out in BPM usability and AI-driven decision-making [6] Stock Performance and Valuation - Pegasystems shares have gained 16% year-to-date, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which returned 8.2%, and the Computer-Software industry, which rose 17% [7][9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PEGA's earnings is $1.88 per share for 2025, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 24.5% [11]

Core Insights - The emergence of agentic AI marks a new phase in the AI revolution, with Microsoft and Pegasystems adopting different strategies to leverage this technology [1][2] Group 1: Microsoft (MSFT) - Microsoft's agentic AI strategy integrates autonomous digital workers across its technology stack, with Q3 fiscal 2025 revenues reaching $70.1 billion, a 13% year-over-year increase [4] - Microsoft Cloud revenues grew 22% in constant currency, with Azure showing a 33% growth, including 16 percentage points from AI services [4] - The company processed over 100 trillion tokens in the quarter, indicating a five-fold year-over-year increase in AI service adoption [5] - Capital expenditures of $21.4 billion support long-term monetization, although diversification may limit upside potential from any single technology trend [6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Microsoft's fiscal 2025 earnings is $13.36 per share, reflecting a 13.22% year-over-year increase [7] Group 2: Pegasystems (PEGA) - Pegasystems focuses on enterprise agentic AI with a strong emphasis on workflow automation and legacy system modernization, showcasing a 13% year-over-year growth in Annual Contract Value (ACV) [8] - Pega Cloud ACV surged 23%, and the company generated $202 million in free cash flow, highlighting the profitability of its subscription model [8] - Pega's Blueprint platform enables automatic transformation of legacy systems into modern applications, addressing a significant market opportunity [10] - The company has created over 1,000 new Blueprints weekly, indicating rapid customer adoption [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PEGA's 2025 earnings is $1.88 per share, indicating a 24.5% year-over-year increase [12] Group 3: Market Performance and Valuation - Over the past three months, PEGA stock surged 39.5%, significantly outperforming MSFT's 26% gain [9][13] - PEGA trades at a P/E ratio of 13.2x, while Microsoft trades at 32.93x, suggesting limited valuation expansion potential for Microsoft despite its market dominance [17] - Pegasystems' focused exposure to high-growth agentic AI applications enhances its investment appeal [17] Group 4: Conclusion - Microsoft offers stability and comprehensive AI capabilities, while Pegasystems presents superior upside potential for the second half of 2025 [20] - Pega's specialized focus aligns well with agentic AI capabilities, creating concentrated exposure to transformative technology [20] - Investors are encouraged to consider Pegasystems for its focused strategy while holding or waiting for better entry points in Microsoft [20]

Core Viewpoint - Stock splits can lead to significant positive returns for shares, with an average return of over 25% in the 52 weeks following a split, compared to the S&P 500's average return of under 12% [1][2] Group 1: O'Reilly Automotive - O'Reilly Automotive executed a 15-for-1 stock split, reducing its share price by over 93% from above $1,300 to around $89, making it more accessible for retail investors [3][4][5] - The current price forecast for O'Reilly Automotive is $94.30, indicating a potential upside of 7.36% based on 18 analyst ratings [3][5] Group 2: Interactive Brokers Group - Interactive Brokers performed a 4-for-1 stock split, lowering its share price from just over $200 to around $52, which increases accessibility but may have a limited positive impact [6][8] - The 12-month stock price forecast for Interactive Brokers is $53.38, suggesting a modest upside of 0.55% based on 8 analyst ratings [6][9] Group 3: Pegasystems - Pegasystems executed a 2-for-1 stock split, with the share price moving from just over $100 to around $52, which does not significantly impact its valuation [10][11] - The current price forecast for Pegasystems is $53.36, indicating a potential upside of 4.18% based on 12 analyst ratings [10][11] - Pegasystems has seen substantial growth, with annual contracted revenues increasing over three times to $1.4 billion and free cash flow margins exceeding 42% [12] - The company's GenAI Blueprint tool is expected to drive significant adoption in the second half of 2025, which could enhance its stock performance beyond the effects of the stock split [13][15]

Industry Overview - The software industry is experiencing significant growth driven by digital transformation, cloud adoption, and the rise of SaaS models, which provide recurring revenue visibility and scalability for users [1][2] - The global software market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 11.3% from 2025 to 2030, reaching $1,397.31 billion [2] - The Zacks Computer Software industry ranks 30, placing it in the top 12% of over 245 Zacks industries, indicating bright near-term prospects [8][9] Key Trends - Increased spending on AI and cloud technologies is expected to enhance software tools for automation, personalization, and predictive analytics [4] - Cloud computing is becoming a dominant force, with businesses adopting hybrid and multi-cloud environments for flexibility and scalability [5] - The demand for cybersecurity software is rising due to the increasing need to secure cloud platforms amid growing cyber threats [6] Company Highlights Intuit (INTU) - Intuit's shift to a cloud-based subscription model is expected to generate stable revenues, with a focus on embedding AI across key products [19] - In Q3 fiscal 2025, Intuit reported revenues of $7.75 billion, a 15.1% year-over-year increase, with QuickBooks Online revenues up 21% [20] - The Zacks Consensus estimate for Intuit's fiscal 2025 earnings is $20.06 per share, indicating 18.4% year-over-year growth [21] Adobe (ADBE) - Adobe is leveraging generative AI across its portfolio, enhancing its digital marketing services and personalized experiences [25] - In the last reported quarter, Adobe's total revenues were $5.87 billion, an 11% year-over-year increase [26] - The Zacks Consensus estimate for Adobe's fiscal 2025 earnings is $20.60 per share, indicating 11.8% year-over-year growth [28] Pegasystems (PEGA) - Pegasystems is focusing on its GenAI Blueprint solution and Customer Decision Hub, which utilize AI for personalized customer interactions [30] - In Q1 2025, Pegasystems reported revenues of $475.6 million, a 44% year-over-year increase, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 33.6% [31] - The Zacks Consensus estimate for Pegasystems' 2025 earnings is $3.61 per share, indicating 19.1% year-over-year growth [31]

Core Viewpoint - Pegasystems (PEGA) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive outlook on its earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Performance - The Zacks rating system emphasizes the correlation between changes in earnings estimates and stock price movements, making it a valuable tool for investors [2][4]. - For Pegasystems, the recent upgrade reflects an improvement in the company's underlying business, which is expected to drive stock price appreciation [5]. Earnings Estimate Revisions - Pegasystems is projected to earn $3.56 per share for the fiscal year ending December 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 17.5% [8]. - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Pegasystems has risen by 21.6%, indicating a positive trend in earnings expectations [8]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system categorizes stocks based on earnings estimate revisions, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7]. - Pegasystems' upgrade to Zacks Rank 1 places it in the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks, suggesting potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10].

Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on following a stock's recent price trends, aiming to buy high and sell higher, with the expectation that established trends will continue [1] Company Overview: Pegasystems (PEGA) - Pegasystems currently holds a Momentum Style Score of A, indicating strong momentum characteristics [2] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), which historically outperforms the market when combined with a Style Score of A or B [3] Price Performance - Over the past week, PEGA shares increased by 2.2%, outperforming the Zacks Computer - Software industry, which rose by 1.28% [5] - In the last month, PEGA's price change was 9%, significantly higher than the industry's 3.86% [5] - Over the past quarter, PEGA shares rose by 39.22%, and over the last year, they increased by 73.94%, while the S&P 500 only moved 3.59% and 14.21%, respectively [6] Trading Volume - The average 20-day trading volume for PEGA is 1,232,767 shares, which serves as a bullish indicator when combined with rising stock prices [7] Earnings Outlook - In the past two months, four earnings estimates for PEGA have been revised upwards, with no downward revisions, boosting the consensus estimate from $3.10 to $3.56 [9] - For the next fiscal year, three estimates have also moved upwards without any downward revisions [9] Conclusion - Considering the strong momentum indicators and positive earnings outlook, Pegasystems is positioned as a 1 (Strong Buy) stock with a Momentum Score of A, making it a potential candidate for near-term investment [11]

Group 1: Pegasystems (PEGA) - Pegasystems is a leading provider of Customer Relationship Management software, enabling transaction-intensive organizations to manage a wide range of customer interactions [1] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) and its current year earnings estimate has increased by 8.4% over the last 60 days [1] - Pegasystems' shares have gained 27.9% over the last three months, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, which gained 2.1% during the same period [2] Group 2: Telenor (TELNY) - Telenor is a leading telecommunications company in Norway, operating in one of the most advanced telecommunications markets globally [2] - The company also holds a Zacks Rank of 1 and has seen its current year earnings estimate increase by 3.8% over the last 60 days [2] - Telenor's shares have increased by 17.3% over the last three months, again outperforming the S&P 500's 2.1% gain [3]

Summary of Pegasystems (PEGA) Investor Session - June 02, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: Pegasystems (PEGA) - **Event**: Investor Session - **Date**: June 02, 2025 Key Points and Arguments Company Strategy and Differentiation - **AI Integration**: The company emphasizes the importance of using AI to design specific workflows rather than relying solely on textual prompts for automation. This approach aims to enhance reliability and predictability in business processes [9][11][12]. - **Workflow Engine**: Pegasystems has a state-of-the-art workflow engine that integrates AI to facilitate conversational interactions while maintaining workflow integrity [12][16]. - **Center Out Architecture**: The architecture allows for a unified approach to business processes, ensuring consistent outcomes across different customer channels [18][19]. Market Opportunity - **Market Size**: The addressable market for Pegasystems is estimated to be around $90 billion, potentially growing to $150 billion in the coming years, indicating a double-digit growth rate [70][74]. - **Cloud Adoption**: There is a significant trend towards cloud migration, with expectations that 80% of enterprise applications will be cloud-based within the next five to seven years [75][76]. - **Legacy Transformation**: Many companies are still on legacy systems, and Pegasystems positions itself as a leader in addressing the challenges of legacy transformation [77][78]. Product Innovations - **Blueprint Technology**: The introduction of Blueprint technology is highlighted as a game changer for legacy transformation, allowing for rapid ideation and workflow creation [30][80]. - **Partner Collaboration**: Pegasystems is collaborating with major partners like Accenture to create branded blueprints that leverage their unique intellectual property [82][84]. - **Pricing Model**: A new pricing model allows customers to access up to 80,000 pieces of work for as little as $60,000 a year, making it more accessible for a broader range of clients [29]. Financial Update and Capital Allocation - **Capital Allocation Strategy**: The CFO will provide insights into the company's capital allocation strategy, which is expected to be discussed in detail for the first time during this session [6]. AI and Automation - **Generative AI**: The company is leveraging generative AI to enhance its offerings, particularly in automating workflows and improving customer interactions [30][89]. - **Agentic AI**: There is a focus on combining the creativity of agentic AI with the predictability of established workflows to ensure consistent enterprise operations [89][90]. Additional Important Insights - **Sales Strategy**: Pegasystems is cautious about not disrupting its existing sales channels while exploring new market opportunities with partners [35][36]. - **Productivity Improvements**: The company has seen significant productivity improvements, allowing sales teams to conduct demonstrations independently, which enhances efficiency [44]. - **Data Management**: The company is addressing data rationalization challenges associated with legacy systems, ensuring that data can be effectively integrated into new workflows [56][57]. This summary encapsulates the core discussions and insights from the Pegasystems investor session, highlighting the company's strategic direction, market opportunities, product innovations, and financial outlook.