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Pagaya Skyrockets 225.3% YTD: Should You Still Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 16:51
Core Insights - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) has seen a remarkable stock performance, increasing by 225.3% year-to-date, outperforming competitors LendingTree (TREE) and Upstart Holdings (UPST) [1][8] - The company has achieved two consecutive quarters of positive GAAP net income, marking a significant turnaround from previous losses [3] - Strong network volume growth, improved monetization, better operating leverage, and solid credit discipline have driven Pagaya's robust results [4][8] Financial Performance - Analysts have raised PGY's earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 to $2.65 and $3.40 per share, indicating year-over-year growth rates of 219.3% and 28.3% respectively [16] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues in 2025 and 2026 is $1.31 billion and $1.53 billion, reflecting year-over-year growth of 28.4% and 16.3% [17] Business Model and Strategy - Pagaya's diversified and resilient business model reduces exposure to cyclical risks by expanding beyond personal loans into auto lending and point-of-sale financing [6] - The company has established a network of over 135 institutional funding partners, utilizing forward flow agreements to secure funding and mitigate market disruptions [9][15] - Pagaya operates a capital-efficient model that minimizes credit risk by avoiding holding loans on its balance sheet, enhancing financial flexibility [12][14] Valuation and Market Position - PGY stock is trading at a forward price/sales (P/S) ratio of 1.57X, which is below the industry average of 3.91X, indicating an attractive valuation [20] - Compared to LendingTree and Upstart, Pagaya's valuation appears favorable, trading at a discount to Upstart and a premium to LendingTree [22] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts express optimism regarding Pagaya's growth potential, with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) reflecting positive sentiment in the market [25]
PGY Closes $400M RPM Deal: A Move to Further Diversify Funding?
ZACKS· 2025-10-08 16:56
Core Insights - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) successfully closed a $400 million asset-backed securities (ABS) transaction backed by auto loans, marking its fifth auto ABS transaction in 2025 and bringing the year-to-date issuance to $1.7 billion, a record for the company [1][2][10] Group 1: Business Model and Strategy - The Revolving Pool Master (RPM) program serves as PGY's dedicated securitization platform, allowing the company to package and sell pools of auto loans to institutional investors, which is a key part of its capital markets strategy [3] - Pagaya operates a capital-efficient model by leveraging a robust network of institutional funding partners and focusing on issuing ABS, which helps minimize credit exposure and avoid significant loan write-downs [4] Group 2: Market Performance - PGY's stock has seen a significant increase of 198.4% over the past six months, outperforming the industry growth of 26.1% [9] - The current trading price-to-sales (P/S) ratio for Pagaya is 1.57X, which is below the industry average of 3.97X [11] Group 3: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PGY's earnings has increased to $2.65 for 2025 and $3.40 for 2026, indicating year-over-year growth of 219.3% and 28.3%, respectively [12]
Best Momentum Stock to Buy for September 30th
ZACKS· 2025-09-30 15:01
Group 1: Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) - Pagaya Technologies is focused on building artificial intelligence infrastructure for the financial ecosystem and has a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Pagaya's current year earnings has increased by 5.6% over the last 60 days [1] - Pagaya's shares have gained 40.6% over the last three months, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 7.4% [2] Group 2: BlackBerry (BB) - BlackBerry provides intelligent security software and services to enterprises and governments worldwide and holds a Zacks Rank 1 [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BlackBerry's current year earnings has increased by 40% over the last 60 days [2] - BlackBerry's shares have gained 15.2% over the last three months, also outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 7.4% [3] Group 3: nVent Electric (NVT) - nVent Electric specializes in electrical connection and protection solutions and has a Zacks Rank 1 [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for nVent's current year earnings has increased by 6.1% over the last 60 days [3] - nVent's shares have gained 34.4% over the last three months, again outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 7.4% [4]
Best Momentum Stock to Buy for September 25th
ZACKS· 2025-09-25 13:30
Group 1: Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) - Pagaya Technologies is a technology company focused on building artificial intelligence infrastructure for the financial ecosystem, holding a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Pagaya's current year earnings has increased by 5.6% over the last 60 days [1] - Pagaya's shares have gained 80% over the last three months, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 8.1%, and the company has a Momentum Score of A [2] Group 2: Corning (GLW) - Corning is known for its advanced glass technologies used in various applications across multiple markets, also holding a Zacks Rank 1 [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Corning's current year earnings has increased by 5.1% over the last 60 days [2] - Corning's shares have gained 55.2% over the last three months, again outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 8.1%, and the company possesses a Momentum Score of A [3] Group 3: Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) - Trip.com Group is a one-stop travel service company providing platforms that include mobile apps, internet websites, and 24/7 customer service centers, with a Zacks Rank 1 [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Trip.com's current year earnings has increased by 3.9% over the last 60 days [3] - Trip.com's shares have gained 30.4% over the last three months, compared to the S&P 500's gain of 8.1%, and the company has a Momentum Score of B [4]
Will Pagaya Be Able to Sustain Its Robust 1H25 Performance?
ZACKS· 2025-09-24 13:51
Core Insights - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) achieved a significant turnaround in the first half of 2025, reporting a GAAP net income of $24.5 million compared to a net loss of $96 million in the same period last year [1][9] - The company experienced a 24.4% year-over-year increase in total revenues and other income, reaching $616.4 million, driven by strong network volume growth and improved operational efficiency [2][9] - PGY raised its revenue guidance for 2025 to a range of $1.25 billion to $1.325 billion, with a net income forecast of $55 million to $75 million, marking a significant recovery from a $401 million loss in 2023 [3][9] Financial Performance - The strong performance in the first half of 2025 allowed PGY to avoid overexposure to credit risk and maintain cost discipline, contributing to its profitability [2][4] - Investors have shown confidence in PGY's stock, which has surged 305.4% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the industry average growth of 9.5% [8] - The current price-to-sales (P/S) ratio for PGY is 1.97X, which is below the industry average of 3.74X, indicating potential undervaluation [10] Competitor Analysis - LendingTree (TREE) reported a net loss of $3.5 million in the first half of 2025, a decline from a net income of $8.8 million in the prior-year period, although it showed signs of operational recovery [5] - LendingTree's revenues grew by 29.6% year-over-year to $489.8 million, with the insurance segment being the primary growth driver [6] - LendingClub (LC) posted a net income of $49.8 million, an increase of 83.6% year-over-year, with net revenues growing 26.7% to $466.1 million, driven by significant loan originations [7] Future Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PGY's earnings has increased, projecting earnings of $2.65 for 2025 and $3.43 for 2026, indicating year-over-year growth of 219.3% and 29.3%, respectively [11]
PGY vs. TREE: Which Fintech Lender Has a Clearer Path to Profits?
ZACKS· 2025-09-23 17:21
Core Insights - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) focuses on AI and machine learning for credit underwriting, while LendingTree, Inc. (TREE) operates a traditional online lending marketplace [1][2] - PGY has shown significant growth with a 344.6% increase in stock price year-to-date, compared to TREE's 88.8% [11][14] Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) - PGY has diversified its business model from personal loans to include auto lending and point-of-sale financing, enhancing resilience across economic cycles [3] - The company has established a network of over 135 institutional partners and utilizes forward flow agreements for funding stability [4] - In Q2 2025, PGY recorded its second consecutive quarter of positive GAAP net income and raised its revenue guidance for 2025 to between $1.25 billion and $1.325 billion [5] - PGY's proprietary technology allows lenders to present pre-approved offers, improving credit access with minimal marketing costs [6] - The company operates with minimal on-balance-sheet exposure, maintaining liquidity and minimizing loan write-downs through strategic ABS issuance and forward flow agreements [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PGY's revenues in 2025 and 2026 is $1.31 billion and $1.53 billion, indicating year-over-year growth rates of 28.4% and 16.3% respectively [19] - PGY's earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 suggest year-over-year growth of 219.3% and 29.3% respectively [21] LendingTree, Inc. (TREE) - TREE connects consumers with financial service providers and has expanded its offerings to include credit cards and various loan types [8][9] - The company launched its first consumer credit product, WinCard, in 2023, and has initiatives to enhance cross-selling opportunities [9][10] - In Q2 2025, TREE's adjusted EBITDA rose 35% year-over-year, with total revenues expected between $1 billion and $1.05 billion for 2025 [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TREE's revenues in 2025 and 2026 is $1.03 billion and $1.10 billion, implying year-over-year growth rates of 14.9% and 6.8% respectively [22] - TREE's earnings estimates indicate a 37% year-over-year growth for 2025 and 7.5% for 2026 [23] Comparative Analysis - PGY's stock is trading at a lower price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 6.72X compared to TREE's 8.44X, indicating a more attractive valuation [15] - PGY has a return on equity (ROE) of 31.69%, while TREE's ROE is higher at 52.33%, reflecting TREE's efficiency in using shareholder funds [17] - Despite TREE's operational maturity and stability, PGY has a stronger revenue and earnings growth outlook, along with a better valuation [26]
KBRA Assigns Preliminary Ratings to Research-Driven Pagaya Motor Asset Trust 2025-5 and Research-Driven Pagaya Motor Trust 2025-5
Businesswire· 2025-09-23 14:39
Core Insights - KBRA has assigned preliminary ratings to seven classes of notes issued by Research-Driven Pagaya Motor Asset Trust 2025-5 and Research-Driven Pagaya Motor Trust 2025-5, collectively referred to as RPM 2025-5 [1] - The initial credit enhancement levels for RPM 2025-5 range from 91.90% for Class A-1 notes to 9.41% for Class E notes [1] - Credit enhancement mechanisms include overcollateralization, subordination of junior note classes (excluding Class E notes), and a cash reserve [1]
Pagaya Technologies: AI-Fintech Company Poised For Strong Growth
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-21 11:52
Company Overview - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: PGY) is a fintech disruptor in the consumer credit sector, utilizing machine learning and advanced AI solutions to enhance credit access for consumers [1]. Technology and Innovation - The company employs innovative technologies to optimize credit offerings, positioning itself as a leader in the fintech space [1]. Market Position - Pagaya is recognized for its unique approach to consumer credit, which differentiates it from traditional financial institutions [1].
Pagaya Technologies: Profitable Growth At A Bargain Price (Strong Buy)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-20 14:08
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Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: Here's Why
ZACKS· 2025-09-19 23:16
Group 1 - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) closed at $42.30, reflecting a -3.45% change from the previous day, underperforming compared to the S&P 500's gain of 0.49% [1] - The stock has gained 47.16% over the past month, significantly outperforming the Finance sector's gain of 3.48% and the S&P 500's gain of 2.99% [1] Group 2 - The upcoming earnings release for Pagaya Technologies is projected to show earnings per share (EPS) of $0.65, a 47.73% increase year-over-year, with revenue expected to reach $339 million, up 31.79% from the prior-year quarter [2] - Full-year Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $2.65 per share and revenue of $1.31 billion, indicating year-over-year changes of +219.28% and +28.37%, respectively [3] Group 3 - Recent adjustments to analyst estimates for Pagaya Technologies indicate changing business trends, with upward revisions reflecting analysts' positive outlook on the company's profitability [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which assesses estimate changes, currently ranks Pagaya Technologies at 2 (Buy), suggesting a favorable investment outlook [6] Group 4 - Pagaya Technologies is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 16.53, which is a premium compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 13.56 [7] - The Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, to which Pagaya belongs, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 68, placing it in the top 28% of over 250 industries [7]