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Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Note
ZACKS· 2025-10-28 23:16
Core Insights - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. closed at $28.47, reflecting a -1.86% change from the previous day, underperforming compared to the S&P 500's gain of 0.23% [1] - The company has experienced an 8.66% decline prior to the latest trading session, contrasting with the Finance sector's loss of 0.48% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.57% [1] Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report on November 10, 2025, is anticipated to show an EPS of $0.62, representing a 40.91% increase year-over-year [2] - Revenue is projected to reach $339 million, indicating a 31.79% growth compared to the same quarter last year [2] - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are expected to be $2.65 per share, with revenue forecasted at $1.31 billion, reflecting increases of +219.28% and +28.37% respectively from the prior year [3] Analyst Estimates and Market Sentiment - Recent changes in analyst estimates are crucial as they reflect near-term business trends, with upward revisions indicating positive sentiment towards the company's operations [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which incorporates estimate changes, currently ranks Pagaya Technologies Ltd. at 3 (Hold), with a recent 0.54% decrease in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days [6] Valuation Metrics - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 10.95, which is below the industry average of 12.3, suggesting a valuation discount [7] - The Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, to which the company belongs, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 79, placing it in the top 32% of over 250 industries [7]
Pagaya: The Foundation Is Set For A Long-Term Rerating
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-24 17:20
Group 1 - The article discusses technology-driven Chinese lending businesses, specifically highlighting Finvolution and QFIN Holdings, which utilize AI to include a broader range of borrowers [1] - The author emphasizes a value-focused investment strategy, targeting sectors such as chemicals, homebuilders, building materials, industrials, and metals & mining [1] - The investment horizon mentioned ranges from a quarter to two years, indicating a medium-term approach to investment opportunities [1] Group 2 - The article does not provide any specific financial data or performance metrics related to the companies mentioned [2][3]
PGY vs. OMF: Which Consumer Credit Stock Is Better Placed for Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-10-24 17:16
Core Insights - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) and OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF) are significant players in the consumer finance sector, focusing on underserved credit segments like subprime and non-prime borrowers, but they operate under different business models [1][3] Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) - Pagaya is a technology-driven fintech platform utilizing AI-powered machine learning algorithms for credit risk assessment, loan underwriting, and asset securitization in collaboration with banks and fintech lenders [2] - The company has diversified its offerings from personal loans to auto lending and point-of-sale financing, reducing reliance on any single loan type and enhancing resilience during economic fluctuations [4] - Pagaya has established a network of over 135 institutional partners and employs forward flow agreements to ensure funding stability, particularly during market disruptions [4][6] - The company has recorded two consecutive quarters of positive GAAP net income, marking a significant turnaround from previous losses, driven by strong network volume growth and improved operating leverage [8] - Pagaya's return on equity (ROE) stands at 31.69%, indicating higher efficiency in generating profits compared to OneMain's 20.65% [18] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts revenue growth of 28.4% and 20.1% for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with earnings growth estimates of 219.3% and 28.3% for the same years [19] OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF) - OneMain operates as a traditional non-prime lender, providing personal loans through a nationwide branch network and digital channels, with a focus on unsecured and secured personal installment loans [11] - The company has a strong revenue growth trajectory, with a loan mix designed for sustainability and upside potential in a changing macroeconomic environment [12] - OneMain has a $1 billion buyback program extending through December 2026 and has raised dividends seven times since initiating them in 2019, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns [14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates revenue growth of 7.8% and 7.4% for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with earnings growth estimates of 28.2% and 25.4% for the same years [23] Comparative Analysis - Pagaya's stock has surged 217.8% this year, significantly outperforming OneMain's 8.1% gain, indicating stronger investor sentiment towards Pagaya [15] - In terms of valuation, Pagaya trades at a trailing 12-month price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 4.83X, while OneMain's P/B ratio is 2.03X, suggesting that Pagaya is considered more expensive [16][18] - Pagaya's compelling growth trajectory positions it as a high-upside investment opportunity, while OneMain's established marketplace model offers a more attractive valuation [25][26]
Pagaya Technologies: The AI Credit Platform Turning Data Into Durable Profits
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-24 08:46
Core Insights - Pagaya Technologies (NASDAQ: PGY) stock reached a new high of $44.99 on September 19, 2025, following a significant rally of over 400% from its 2025 lows of $9 [1] Stock Performance - The stock's increase of more than 400% indicates strong market interest and potential investor confidence in Pagaya Technologies [1]
Pagaya Technologies: The Market Is Mispricing Its Growth - Buy
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-23 07:55
Core Viewpoint - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: PGY) is positioned for strong growth, which is currently undervalued by the market due to the ongoing AI revolution impacting the finance sector [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Pagaya Technologies is leveraging advancements in AI to enhance its operations within the finance sector, indicating a significant growth potential [1] Group 2: Analyst's Perspective - The analyst employs a "First Principles" approach to identify overlooked investment opportunities by simplifying complex financial and technological problems [1] - The analyst has a strong background in investment, private equity, and venture capital, showcasing a proven track record of delivering strong returns [1] Group 3: Investment Focus - The articles focus on emerging technologies, sustainable investing, and the intersection of innovation and finance, highlighting the importance of these areas for future investment strategies [1]
Pagaya Technologies: Use The Recent Dip To Pursue This Exciting Consumer Finance Intermediary
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-22 07:13
Core Insights - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: PGY) has shown significant performance in the fintech sector this year, outperforming other innovative stocks from the Israeli tech universe [1] Company Performance - Pagaya Technologies is characterized as a small-cap proxy within the broader fintech space, indicating its role as a representative of the industry [1]
Unicredit share price analysis as earnings growth continues
Invezz· 2025-10-22 07:13
Core Insights - Unicredit's share price has experienced a pullback, declining from a high of €69.54 in August to the current price of €63 [1] - Despite the recent decline, the share price remains approximately 70% above its lowest level recorded this year [1]
KBRA Assigns Preliminary Ratings to Pagaya AI Debt Grantor Trust 2025-7 & Pagaya AI Debt Trust 2025-7
Businesswire· 2025-10-14 20:24
Core Insights - KBRA has assigned preliminary ratings to 13 classes of notes issued by Pagaya AI Debt Grantor Trust 2025-7 and Pagaya AI Debt Trust 2025-7, collectively known as PAID 2025-7, which is an unsecured consumer loan ABS transaction [1][2] - The total issuance of PAID 2025-7 amounts to $500.0 million, with initial hard credit enhancement levels ranging from 82.79% for Class A-1 Notes to 1.36% for Class F Notes [1][2] - Pagaya Technologies Ltd., the parent company, is a financial technology firm specializing in AI-driven credit analysis and is listed on NASDAQ under the ticker PGY [3] Credit Enhancement and Methodology - Credit enhancement for PAID 2025-7 includes overcollateralization, subordination (except for Class F Notes), a cash reserve account funded at closing, and excess spread [1] - KBRA utilized its Consumer Loan ABS Global Rating Methodology, Global Structured Finance Counterparty Methodology, and ESG Global Rating Methodology in analyzing the transaction's capital structure and Pagaya's historical data [4] Company Background - Pagaya Structured Products LLC, the sponsor and administrator of the transaction, is a wholly owned subsidiary of Pagaya US Holding Company LLC, which is fully owned by Pagaya Technologies Ltd. [3] - This transaction marks the 51st publicly rated securitization sponsored by Pagaya Structured Products LLC and its affiliates [3]
Pagaya Skyrockets 225.3% YTD: Should You Still Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 16:51
Core Insights - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) has seen a remarkable stock performance, increasing by 225.3% year-to-date, outperforming competitors LendingTree (TREE) and Upstart Holdings (UPST) [1][8] - The company has achieved two consecutive quarters of positive GAAP net income, marking a significant turnaround from previous losses [3] - Strong network volume growth, improved monetization, better operating leverage, and solid credit discipline have driven Pagaya's robust results [4][8] Financial Performance - Analysts have raised PGY's earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 to $2.65 and $3.40 per share, indicating year-over-year growth rates of 219.3% and 28.3% respectively [16] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues in 2025 and 2026 is $1.31 billion and $1.53 billion, reflecting year-over-year growth of 28.4% and 16.3% [17] Business Model and Strategy - Pagaya's diversified and resilient business model reduces exposure to cyclical risks by expanding beyond personal loans into auto lending and point-of-sale financing [6] - The company has established a network of over 135 institutional funding partners, utilizing forward flow agreements to secure funding and mitigate market disruptions [9][15] - Pagaya operates a capital-efficient model that minimizes credit risk by avoiding holding loans on its balance sheet, enhancing financial flexibility [12][14] Valuation and Market Position - PGY stock is trading at a forward price/sales (P/S) ratio of 1.57X, which is below the industry average of 3.91X, indicating an attractive valuation [20] - Compared to LendingTree and Upstart, Pagaya's valuation appears favorable, trading at a discount to Upstart and a premium to LendingTree [22] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts express optimism regarding Pagaya's growth potential, with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) reflecting positive sentiment in the market [25]
PGY Closes $400M RPM Deal: A Move to Further Diversify Funding?
ZACKS· 2025-10-08 16:56
Core Insights - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) successfully closed a $400 million asset-backed securities (ABS) transaction backed by auto loans, marking its fifth auto ABS transaction in 2025 and bringing the year-to-date issuance to $1.7 billion, a record for the company [1][2][10] Group 1: Business Model and Strategy - The Revolving Pool Master (RPM) program serves as PGY's dedicated securitization platform, allowing the company to package and sell pools of auto loans to institutional investors, which is a key part of its capital markets strategy [3] - Pagaya operates a capital-efficient model by leveraging a robust network of institutional funding partners and focusing on issuing ABS, which helps minimize credit exposure and avoid significant loan write-downs [4] Group 2: Market Performance - PGY's stock has seen a significant increase of 198.4% over the past six months, outperforming the industry growth of 26.1% [9] - The current trading price-to-sales (P/S) ratio for Pagaya is 1.57X, which is below the industry average of 3.97X [11] Group 3: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PGY's earnings has increased to $2.65 for 2025 and $3.40 for 2026, indicating year-over-year growth of 219.3% and 28.3%, respectively [12]