Core Viewpoint - A select group of growth stocks, including Ouster, Pagaya Technologies, and Legacy Education, are experiencing significant gains and are positioned for further upside in a recovering market [1][2]. Group 1: Ouster (OUST) - Ouster is a leading developer of high-performance lidar sensors, essential for autonomous robotics and industrial automation [3]. - Analysts project revenue growth of 29% in 2025 and 47.3% in 2026, driven by an expanding addressable market and increased lidar adoption [4]. - The stock has shown strong technical performance, consolidating below the $20 level, with a potential breakout that could attract new buyers [5]. Group 2: Legacy Education Inc. (LGCY) - Legacy Education operates in healthcare education, focusing on training for high-demand medical roles, benefiting from consistent demand even in economic downturns [8]. - The company holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) and trades at a forward earnings multiple of 16.2x, with expected sales growth of 37.9% this year and 16.9% in 2026 [9]. - In its latest quarterly report, Legacy reported a 50% year-over-year revenue increase and a 70% rise in new student enrollments, indicating strong demand [10]. Group 3: Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) - Pagaya is a fintech platform utilizing AI for consumer credit risk management, transitioning from negative to positive earnings [12]. - The company holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) and trades at 6x next year's earnings, with projected sales growth of 20% in 2025 and earnings growth of 195% [13]. - A breakout above $18.65 could signal a new upward trend for the stock, following its previous breakout in late May [14]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Ouster, Legacy Education, and Pagaya Technologies are identified as promising investment opportunities due to their accelerating revenue growth, improving fundamentals, and favorable technical setups [15][16].

Core Insights - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) is recognized as a leading fintech company utilizing AI and machine learning to improve credit decision-making and underwriting in consumer lending [1][9] - PGY stock has increased by 100.9% year-to-date, outperforming competitors LendingTree and Upstart Holdings, which have seen declines of 8.8% and 10.6% respectively [2][9] Business Model and Strategy - Pagaya's business model is diversified and resilient, expanding beyond personal loans into auto lending and point-of-sale financing, which mitigates cyclical risks [6] - The company has established a network of over 135 institutional funding partners to support asset-backed securities (ABS) sales and utilizes forward flow agreements for alternative funding [7][12] - Pagaya's proprietary data and product suite, including the Pre-screen solution, enhances customer relationships and credit access with minimal marketing costs [8] Financial Performance and Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in 2025 and 2026 is projected at $2.45 and $3.13, indicating growth rates of 195.2% and 28% respectively [13] - Revenue estimates for 2025 and 2026 suggest year-over-year growth of 19.9% and 15.7%, with total revenues expected between $1.175 billion and $1.3 billion [16] Valuation Analysis - Pagaya's stock is trading at a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 3.20X, below the industry average of 3.37X, indicating it is undervalued compared to peers like Upstart and LendingTree [20][22] - The capital-efficient model minimizes credit risk and market volatility, allowing for financial flexibility during economic fluctuations [10][11] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have a bullish outlook on Pagaya, with strong earnings and revenue growth projections, positioning the company favorably for continued expansion [24]

Summary of Pagaya Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Pagaya - **Industry**: Consumer Credit and Financial Technology - **Key Executives**: Gal Kruberner (CEO and Co-Founder), EP (CFO) Core Company Mission and Vision - Pagaya aims to enhance consumer credit access in the U.S. by partnering with banks and lenders rather than competing with them, addressing a significant credit decline rate of 42% for loan applications in the U.S. [5][6][22] Business Model and Partnerships - Pagaya connects with loan origination systems of banks to provide approvals for consumers who might otherwise be declined due to lower FICO scores [6][12] - The company has established partnerships with 31 lenders, including notable names like US Bank, Ally Bank, and various fintech companies [12][13][46] - Pagaya's partners range from fintech players to auto loan lenders, with annual loan volumes from $5 billion to $100 billion [12][46] Data and Technology Differentiation - The company processes nearly $1 trillion in loan applications annually, leveraging extensive data across the credit spectrum to enhance its lending model [15][20] - Pagaya's unique data insights allow it to monitor consumer behavior and credit health in real-time, positioning it well to navigate economic uncertainties [17][20] Consumer Health and Market Conditions - Current data indicates that U.S. consumers are stable in terms of debt repayment, although there is a slight decrease in willingness to take on new loans due to macroeconomic uncertainties [17][20] - The typical Pagaya borrower has an income of approximately $113,000 and an average FICO score of 690, indicating a strong borrower profile despite the overall credit decline rate [22][23] Operating Model and Financial Performance - Pagaya operates with no customer acquisition costs, as these are borne by lending partners, leading to high operating leverage [33][34] - The company achieved an 89% adjusted EBITDA flow-through in Q1 2025, indicating strong profitability potential as it scales [34][50] - Pagaya has reached GAAP net income profitability and is focused on maintaining cash flow without needing to raise additional equity capital [53][54] Growth Strategy - Future growth will be driven by expanding partnerships, enhancing existing models, and cross-selling products to current partners [44][48] - Pagaya is in discussions with 80% of the top 25 banks in the U.S. to further solidify its market position [46] Funding and Capital Management - The company utilizes a mix of ABS securitization and non-ABS structures for funding, with a balanced approach to managing liquidity risk [38][39] - Pagaya is recognized as a leading ABS issuer in the personal loan sector, maintaining a AAA rating across its products [39] Market Volatility and Investor Sentiment - Recent stock volatility is attributed to market perceptions of the consumer credit cycle, but Pagaya's operational leverage and profitability have begun to shift investor sentiment positively [55][56] - The company believes that consistent execution and clear growth targets will enhance its valuation over time [57][58] Management and Leadership - Recent management changes have strengthened the team, with a focus on risk management and financial strategy to drive Pagaya's growth [66][67] Conclusion - Pagaya is positioned as a key player in the consumer credit space, leveraging technology and data to enhance lending capabilities while maintaining strong partnerships with financial institutions. The company's focus on profitability, operational efficiency, and strategic growth initiatives positions it well for future success in a competitive market.

Momentum investing revolves around the idea of following a stock's recent trend in either direction. In the 'long' context, investors will be essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." With this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving that way. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades.While many investors like to look for moment ...

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) closed the last trading session at $17.13, gaining 50.8% over the past four weeks, but there could be plenty of upside left in the stock if short-term price targets set by Wall Street analysts are any guide. The mean price target of $22.03 indicates a 28.6% upside potential.The mean estimate comprises nine short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $6.97. While the lowest estimate of $13.75 indicates a 19.7% decline from the current price level, the most optimistic ...

This article is my first on Pagaya Technologies ( PGY ). However, I have written articles on a similar company and competitor named Upstart ( UPST ). Although the two companies have slightly different business models, both useI have been a Merchant Seaman that has traveled the world for over 30 years. Within the last 15 years, I developed a very intense interest in investing. I learned a lot of what I know about investing from The MF. Also because I have a engineering background, I often tend to gravitate t ...

Group 1 - The article expresses a bullish outlook on Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: PGY), with a buy rating initiated in May of the previous year and reaffirmed in February following the FY 2024 earnings report [1] - The author leverages experience as a former managing editor at a financial media publication focused on mid and small caps to identify investment opportunities in undervalued companies [1] - The analysis is supported by a strong academic background in financial markets and institutions, enabling thorough research on financial statements, market trends, and events impacting specific companies or industries [1]

Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on "buying high and selling higher" rather than traditional strategies of "buying low and selling high" [1] Group 1: Momentum Investing Strategy - Momentum investors often face challenges in determining the right entry point for fast-moving stocks, which can lead to limited upside or downside risks [2] - A safer approach involves investing in bargain stocks that exhibit recent price momentum, utilizing tools like the Zacks Momentum Style Score to identify such opportunities [3] Group 2: Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) Analysis - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) has shown a significant price increase of 39% over the past four weeks, indicating strong investor interest [4] - The stock has gained 5% over the past 12 weeks and has a high beta of 5.88, suggesting it moves 488% more than the market [5] - PGY has a Momentum Score of A, indicating a favorable time to invest based on momentum [6] - The stock has received a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) due to upward revisions in earnings estimates, which typically attract more investors [7] - PGY is currently trading at a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.99, suggesting it is undervalued at 99 cents for each dollar of sales [7] Group 3: Additional Investment Opportunities - Besides PGY, there are other stocks that meet the criteria of the 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen, presenting further investment opportunities [8] - Investors can explore over 45 Zacks Premium Screens tailored to different investing styles to identify potential winning stocks [9]

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) reached a significant support level, and could be a good pick for investors from a technical perspective. Recently, PGY's 50-day simple moving average broke out above its 200-day moving average; this is known as a "golden cross."There's a reason traders love a golden cross -- it's a technical chart pattern that can indicate a bullish breakout is on the horizon. This kind of crossover is formed when a stock's short-term moving average breaks above a longer-term moving average. ...

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) could be a solid choice for investors given the company's remarkably improving earnings outlook. While the stock has been a strong performer lately, this trend might continue since analysts are still raising their earnings estimates for the company.The upward trend in estimate revisions for this company reflects growing optimism of analysts on its earnings prospects, which should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between ...