Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) shares rallied 9.6% in the last trading session to close at $21.39. This move can be attributable to notable volume with a higher number of shares being traded than in a typical session. This compares to the stock's 13.9% gain over the past four weeks.Shares of Pagaya Technologies rallied for the second straight trading session and touched a new 52-week high of $21.45. The optimism across the broader markets over trade deals and hopes of interest rate cuts sooner than expected ...

Company Overview - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) is a stock within the Finance sector, which comprises 857 individual stocks and currently holds a Zacks Sector Rank of 4 [2] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a favorable earnings outlook [3] Performance Analysis - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for PGY's full-year earnings has increased by 89.2%, reflecting improved analyst sentiment [4] - Year-to-date, PGY has gained approximately 102.9%, significantly outperforming the average return of 4.6% for Finance companies [4] - In the Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, which includes 88 stocks, PGY is performing better as this group has lost an average of 4.1% this year [6] Comparison with Peers - Barclays (BCS), another Finance stock, has returned 32.9% year-to-date and also holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) [5] - Barclays belongs to the Banks - Foreign industry, which has a better performance with a 22.4% increase this year [6] Investment Outlook - Investors interested in Finance stocks should continue to monitor Pagaya Technologies Ltd. and Barclays for their strong performance [7]

Core Insights - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) raised its 2025 revenue outlook to between $1.175 billion and $1.3 billion after a strong Q1 performance, with revenues and other income increasing by 18% [1][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 revenues is $1.23 billion and $1.42 billion, indicating growth rates of 19.9% and 15.7% respectively [2] Revenue Estimates - The company anticipates second-quarter total revenues and other income to be in the range of $290 million to $310 million [5] - Current Zacks Consensus Estimates for the upcoming quarters are as follows: - Q2 2025: $298.10 million - Q3 2025: $307.66 million - Full Year 2025: $1.23 billion - Full Year 2026: $1.42 billion [3] Business Strategy - Pagaya is expanding its product offerings beyond personal loans to include auto lending and point-of-sale (POS) financing, which helps mitigate cyclical risks [6] - The company has established a network of over 135 institutional funding partners to support its asset-backed securities (ABS) sales, utilizing forward flow agreements for stable capital sources [7] Competitive Position - Pagaya's competitive advantage lies in its proprietary data and product suite, including a Pre-screen solution that allows lenders to offer pre-approved loans with minimal marketing costs [8] - In contrast, competitors like LendingTree and LendingClub have lowered their revenue outlooks for 2025, indicating a more challenging environment for them [9][10] Financial Performance - Pagaya's stock has surged 102.9% year-to-date, outperforming competitors LendingTree and LendingClub, which have seen declines of 10.7% and 30.7% respectively [12] - The current price-to-book (P/B) ratio for Pagaya is 3.23X, which is below the industry average of 3.47X, suggesting the stock is trading at a discount [15] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in 2025 and 2026 has increased to $2.45 and $3.13 respectively, indicating significant growth of 195.2% and 28% [16] - Management projects net income (GAAP) for 2025 to be in the range of $10 million to $45 million [19]

Core Viewpoint - A select group of growth stocks, including Ouster, Pagaya Technologies, and Legacy Education, are experiencing significant gains and are positioned for further upside in a recovering market [1][2]. Group 1: Ouster (OUST) - Ouster is a leading developer of high-performance lidar sensors, essential for autonomous robotics and industrial automation [3]. - Analysts project revenue growth of 29% in 2025 and 47.3% in 2026, driven by an expanding addressable market and increased lidar adoption [4]. - The stock has shown strong technical performance, consolidating below the $20 level, with a potential breakout that could attract new buyers [5]. Group 2: Legacy Education Inc. (LGCY) - Legacy Education operates in healthcare education, focusing on training for high-demand medical roles, benefiting from consistent demand even in economic downturns [8]. - The company holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) and trades at a forward earnings multiple of 16.2x, with expected sales growth of 37.9% this year and 16.9% in 2026 [9]. - In its latest quarterly report, Legacy reported a 50% year-over-year revenue increase and a 70% rise in new student enrollments, indicating strong demand [10]. Group 3: Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) - Pagaya is a fintech platform utilizing AI for consumer credit risk management, transitioning from negative to positive earnings [12]. - The company holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) and trades at 6x next year's earnings, with projected sales growth of 20% in 2025 and earnings growth of 195% [13]. - A breakout above $18.65 could signal a new upward trend for the stock, following its previous breakout in late May [14]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Ouster, Legacy Education, and Pagaya Technologies are identified as promising investment opportunities due to their accelerating revenue growth, improving fundamentals, and favorable technical setups [15][16].

Core Insights - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) is recognized as a leading fintech company utilizing AI and machine learning to improve credit decision-making and underwriting in consumer lending [1][9] - PGY stock has increased by 100.9% year-to-date, outperforming competitors LendingTree and Upstart Holdings, which have seen declines of 8.8% and 10.6% respectively [2][9] Business Model and Strategy - Pagaya's business model is diversified and resilient, expanding beyond personal loans into auto lending and point-of-sale financing, which mitigates cyclical risks [6] - The company has established a network of over 135 institutional funding partners to support asset-backed securities (ABS) sales and utilizes forward flow agreements for alternative funding [7][12] - Pagaya's proprietary data and product suite, including the Pre-screen solution, enhances customer relationships and credit access with minimal marketing costs [8] Financial Performance and Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in 2025 and 2026 is projected at $2.45 and $3.13, indicating growth rates of 195.2% and 28% respectively [13] - Revenue estimates for 2025 and 2026 suggest year-over-year growth of 19.9% and 15.7%, with total revenues expected between $1.175 billion and $1.3 billion [16] Valuation Analysis - Pagaya's stock is trading at a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 3.20X, below the industry average of 3.37X, indicating it is undervalued compared to peers like Upstart and LendingTree [20][22] - The capital-efficient model minimizes credit risk and market volatility, allowing for financial flexibility during economic fluctuations [10][11] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have a bullish outlook on Pagaya, with strong earnings and revenue growth projections, positioning the company favorably for continued expansion [24]

Summary of Pagaya Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Pagaya - **Industry**: Consumer Credit and Financial Technology - **Key Executives**: Gal Kruberner (CEO and Co-Founder), EP (CFO) Core Company Mission and Vision - Pagaya aims to enhance consumer credit access in the U.S. by partnering with banks and lenders rather than competing with them, addressing a significant credit decline rate of 42% for loan applications in the U.S. [5][6][22] Business Model and Partnerships - Pagaya connects with loan origination systems of banks to provide approvals for consumers who might otherwise be declined due to lower FICO scores [6][12] - The company has established partnerships with 31 lenders, including notable names like US Bank, Ally Bank, and various fintech companies [12][13][46] - Pagaya's partners range from fintech players to auto loan lenders, with annual loan volumes from $5 billion to $100 billion [12][46] Data and Technology Differentiation - The company processes nearly $1 trillion in loan applications annually, leveraging extensive data across the credit spectrum to enhance its lending model [15][20] - Pagaya's unique data insights allow it to monitor consumer behavior and credit health in real-time, positioning it well to navigate economic uncertainties [17][20] Consumer Health and Market Conditions - Current data indicates that U.S. consumers are stable in terms of debt repayment, although there is a slight decrease in willingness to take on new loans due to macroeconomic uncertainties [17][20] - The typical Pagaya borrower has an income of approximately $113,000 and an average FICO score of 690, indicating a strong borrower profile despite the overall credit decline rate [22][23] Operating Model and Financial Performance - Pagaya operates with no customer acquisition costs, as these are borne by lending partners, leading to high operating leverage [33][34] - The company achieved an 89% adjusted EBITDA flow-through in Q1 2025, indicating strong profitability potential as it scales [34][50] - Pagaya has reached GAAP net income profitability and is focused on maintaining cash flow without needing to raise additional equity capital [53][54] Growth Strategy - Future growth will be driven by expanding partnerships, enhancing existing models, and cross-selling products to current partners [44][48] - Pagaya is in discussions with 80% of the top 25 banks in the U.S. to further solidify its market position [46] Funding and Capital Management - The company utilizes a mix of ABS securitization and non-ABS structures for funding, with a balanced approach to managing liquidity risk [38][39] - Pagaya is recognized as a leading ABS issuer in the personal loan sector, maintaining a AAA rating across its products [39] Market Volatility and Investor Sentiment - Recent stock volatility is attributed to market perceptions of the consumer credit cycle, but Pagaya's operational leverage and profitability have begun to shift investor sentiment positively [55][56] - The company believes that consistent execution and clear growth targets will enhance its valuation over time [57][58] Management and Leadership - Recent management changes have strengthened the team, with a focus on risk management and financial strategy to drive Pagaya's growth [66][67] Conclusion - Pagaya is positioned as a key player in the consumer credit space, leveraging technology and data to enhance lending capabilities while maintaining strong partnerships with financial institutions. The company's focus on profitability, operational efficiency, and strategic growth initiatives positions it well for future success in a competitive market.

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Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) closed the last trading session at $17.13, gaining 50.8% over the past four weeks, but there could be plenty of upside left in the stock if short-term price targets set by Wall Street analysts are any guide. The mean price target of $22.03 indicates a 28.6% upside potential.The mean estimate comprises nine short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $6.97. While the lowest estimate of $13.75 indicates a 19.7% decline from the current price level, the most optimistic ...

This article is my first on Pagaya Technologies ( PGY ). However, I have written articles on a similar company and competitor named Upstart ( UPST ). Although the two companies have slightly different business models, both useI have been a Merchant Seaman that has traveled the world for over 30 years. Within the last 15 years, I developed a very intense interest in investing. I learned a lot of what I know about investing from The MF. Also because I have a engineering background, I often tend to gravitate t ...

Group 1 - The article expresses a bullish outlook on Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: PGY), with a buy rating initiated in May of the previous year and reaffirmed in February following the FY 2024 earnings report [1] - The author leverages experience as a former managing editor at a financial media publication focused on mid and small caps to identify investment opportunities in undervalued companies [1] - The analysis is supported by a strong academic background in financial markets and institutions, enabling thorough research on financial statements, market trends, and events impacting specific companies or industries [1]