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Pagaya Technologies .(PGY) - 2025 Q2 - Quarterly Results
2025-08-07 11:00
[Form 8-K Current Report](index=1&type=section&id=Form%208-K) This report details Pagaya Technologies Ltd.'s preliminary Q2 2025 financial results and changes in regulatory status [Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition](index=2&type=section&id=Item%202.02.%20Results%20of%20Operations%20and%20Financial%20Condition.) Pagaya Technologies Ltd. announced preliminary unaudited Q2 2025 financial results, noting these figures are subject to finalization - The company issued a press release on July 17, 2025, detailing preliminary unaudited financial results for Q2 2025[4](index=4&type=chunk) - These preliminary financial results are subject to revision pending finalization of Q2 financial statements[4](index=4&type=chunk) - Information under this item, including the press release, is considered furnished, not filed, under Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934[5](index=5&type=chunk) [Item 8.01 Other Events](index=2&type=section&id=Item%208.01%20Other%20Events.) This section details the company's loss of 'emerging growth company' and 'foreign private issuer' statuses, increasing SEC compliance requirements [Emerging Growth Company Status](index=2&type=section&id=Emerging%20Growth%20Company%20Status) The company will lose its 'emerging growth company' status by December 31, 2025, becoming a 'large accelerated filer' subject to SOX 404(b) auditor attestation - The company will lose its **emerging growth company** status effective December 31, 2025[6](index=6&type=chunk) - This change is due to the aggregate market value of non-affiliate common stock exceeding **$700 million** in Q2 2025[6](index=6&type=chunk) - Consequently, the company will become a **large accelerated filer** and must comply with Sarbanes-Oxley Section 404(b) auditor attestation for fiscal year 2025[6](index=6&type=chunk) [Foreign Private Issuer Status](index=2&type=section&id=Foreign%20Private%20Issuer%20Status) As of June 30, 2025, the company no longer qualifies as a 'foreign private issuer,' subjecting insiders to Section 16 'short-swing' profit rules from January 1, 2026 - The company no longer meets the criteria for **foreign private issuer (FPI)** status as of June 30, 2025[7](index=7&type=chunk) - Voluntary filing on U.S. domestic issuer forms since 2024 means no material adjustments are required[7](index=7&type=chunk) - Effective January 1, 2026, insiders will be subject to Section 16 'short-swing' profit recovery provisions of the Exchange Act[7](index=7&type=chunk) [Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits](index=2&type=section&id=Item%209.01.%20Financial%20Statements%20and%20Exhibits.) This section lists exhibits filed with the Form 8-K, primarily the press release detailing preliminary Q2 2025 financial results Exhibits Filed | Exhibit No. | Description | | :--- | :--- | | 99.1 | Press Release, dated July 17, 2025 | | 104 | Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document) |
Is Pagaya Stock's Low Valuation an Opportunity or a Value Trap?
ZACKS· 2025-07-14 16:16
Core Insights - Pagaya Technologies (PGY) stock is attractively priced based on its price/sales (P/S) ratio compared to peers, indicating potential value for investors [1][6] - The current forward 12-month P/S ratio for PGY is 1.29X, significantly lower than the industry average of 3.42X, suggesting undervaluation [2][6] - PGY's P/S ratio is also lower than its historical highs over the past two years, reinforcing the notion of being undervalued [3] Valuation Comparison - PGY is trading at a discount compared to close competitors like SoFi Technologies (SOFI) at 6.41X and Virtu Financial (VIRT) at 4.04X [6] - This valuation disparity positions Pagaya as an attractive investment option with potential for significant gains as the market recognizes its true worth [6] Business Model and Growth Prospects - Pagaya's business model is resilient and adaptable, expanding beyond personal loans into auto lending and point-of-sale financing, which reduces cyclical risk [10] - The company has established a robust network of over 135 institutional funding partners, diversifying its funding sources and enhancing financial stability [11] - PGY's proprietary data and product suite, including its Pre-screen solution, enhances customer relationships and expands credit access with minimal marketing costs [12] Financial Efficiency - Pagaya operates a capital-efficient model that minimizes credit risk by avoiding holding loans on its balance sheet, relying on institutional funding partners and asset-backed securities (ABS) [13] - This off-balance-sheet model has proven effective during periods of market stress, maintaining financial flexibility [14] - The reliance on forward flow agreements provides a predictable source of capital, aiding liquidity amid tightening credit markets [15] Stock Performance - Year-to-date, Pagaya's shares have surged 147.7%, outperforming the industry and major indices [16] - The performance is superior to that of competitors SoFi Technologies and Virtu Financial, which have gained 37.7% and 23.2% respectively [16] Expense Trends - Despite strong performance, PGY has seen a persistent increase in expenses, with total costs and operating expenses growing at a compound annual growth rate of 26.2% over the past three years [18] - Rising production costs, correlated with network volume, are expected to continue impacting profitability [19] Earnings Outlook - Analysts have maintained earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 at $2.45 and $3.13 respectively, indicating a lack of optimism regarding earnings growth potential [20] - The earnings estimate revision trend shows stability in current and future earnings expectations [21] Investment Consideration - While PGY stock presents an attractive option for investors seeking exposure to a high-growth fintech company, caution is advised due to rising expenses that may affect profitability [23] - Existing shareholders may consider holding onto their investments, as long-term prospects remain positive despite near-term headwinds [23]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-14 12:38
Investment & Acquisition - Castlelake 将从金融科技公司 Pagaya Technologies 购买高达 25 亿美元的消费贷款 [1]
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) Is Up 15.81% in One Week: What You Should Know
ZACKS· 2025-07-07 17:05
Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on following a stock's recent price trends, aiming to buy high and sell higher, with the expectation that established trends will continue [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) currently holds a Momentum Style Score of B, indicating a favorable momentum characteristic [2] - PGY has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), suggesting strong potential for outperformance in the market [3] Group 2: Price Performance - PGY shares have increased by 15.81% over the past week, outperforming the Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, which rose by 3.35% [5] - Over the last month, PGY's price change is 26.56%, significantly higher than the industry's 6.91% [5] - In the past quarter, PGY shares have risen by 134.75%, and over the last year, they are up 66.99%, while the S&P 500 has only moved 24.12% and 14.76%, respectively [6] Group 3: Trading Volume - PGY's average 20-day trading volume is 2,226,400 shares, which serves as a bullish indicator when combined with rising stock prices [7] Group 4: Earnings Outlook - In the last two months, two earnings estimates for PGY have increased, with no downward revisions, raising the consensus estimate from $1.76 to $2.45 [9] - For the next fiscal year, two estimates have also moved upwards, indicating positive sentiment regarding future earnings [9] Group 5: Conclusion - Considering all factors, PGY is positioned as a 1 (Strong Buy) stock with a Momentum Score of B, making it a strong candidate for near-term investment [11]
Pagaya Technologies: Strong Performance, But Taking Some Chips Off The Table
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-01 11:07
Company Overview - Pagaya Technologies (NASDAQ: PGY) is a prominent financial technology firm that utilizes proprietary data and an internal AI model for underwriting Asset-Backed Securities (ABS) loans [1] - The company has established a network of over 100 capital partners and more than 30 lending partners to facilitate these loans [1] Business Model - Pagaya's business model focuses on leveraging advanced technology to enhance the underwriting process for ABS loans, positioning itself as a leader in the fintech space [1]
Pagaya: Profitable Growth Worth A Second Look
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-30 17:24
Company Overview - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: PGY) is a technology-based lending and financial services company that utilizes AI-powered technology for its lending process [1] - The company collaborates with 31 bank and non-bank partners to process applications, including those that are rejected by other institutions [1] Leadership and Expertise - The CIO and Founder of Sunshine Kapital, Stefan, has a BA in Finance and over twenty years of institutional experience in Research and Portfolio Management, focusing on distressed situations and value opportunities [1]
PGY vs. TREE: Which Disruptive Lending Platform Has More Upside Ahead?
ZACKS· 2025-06-30 14:25
Core Insights - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) and LendingTree, Inc. (TREE) are fintech firms aiming to innovate the lending sector through different approaches [1][2] - PGY leverages AI for credit underwriting and securitization, while TREE operates an online marketplace connecting borrowers and lenders [1][2] Pagaya's Case - Pagaya's adaptable business model and capital-efficient structure allow it to diversify beyond personal loans into auto lending and point-of-sale financing, enhancing resilience [3][11] - The company has established a network of over 135 institutional partners and utilizes forward flow agreements for funding stability during market disruptions [4][6] - Pagaya's proprietary technology, including the Pre-screen solution, enables lenders to offer pre-approved loans, improving credit access with minimal marketing costs [5] - The capital-light model limits credit and market risk, maintaining liquidity and minimizing loan write-downs, with $206.5 million in cash against $507.8 million in debt as of March 31, 2025 [6][7] LendingTree's Case - LendingTree has evolved its strategy to diversify into non-mortgage products, including personal, auto, small business, and student loans, enhancing its marketplace offerings [8][9] - The launch of the WinCard in 2023 marks its entry into the branded credit market, while initiatives like SPRING and TreeQual improve cross-selling opportunities [9][10] - LendingTree's investment in EarnUp reflects its commitment to a tech-enabled ecosystem for financial health management [10] Financial Performance and Projections - Pagaya expects 2025 revenues between $1.175 billion and $1.3 billion, with year-over-year growth of 19.9% and 15.7% for 2025 and 2026, respectively [19] - The consensus estimate for Pagaya's earnings indicates a significant increase of 195.2% for 2025 [19] - In contrast, LendingTree projects 2025 revenues between $955 million and $995 million, with lower growth rates of 9.2% and 6.4% for 2025 and 2026, respectively [20] - LendingTree's earnings growth is expected to be 43.9% for 2025, but a decline of 3.5% for 2026 [21] Market Performance and Valuation - Pagaya's stock has surged 130.3% this year, while LendingTree's has decreased by 4.6% [13] - Pagaya's price-to-book (P/B) ratio is 3.66X, compared to LendingTree's 4.66X, indicating a more attractive valuation for Pagaya [14][15] - Pagaya's return on equity (ROE) is 9.28%, lower than LendingTree's 14.76%, suggesting LendingTree is more efficient in generating profits [15] Investment Outlook - Pagaya's rapid scaling, capital-light model, and strong growth outlook make it a compelling investment opportunity compared to LendingTree [23][24] - While LendingTree has a well-established marketplace, its growth is slowing, making Pagaya appear better positioned for long-term gains [24]
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) Moves 9.6% Higher: Will This Strength Last?
ZACKS· 2025-06-30 13:05
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) shares rallied 9.6% in the last trading session to close at $21.39. This move can be attributable to notable volume with a higher number of shares being traded than in a typical session. This compares to the stock's 13.9% gain over the past four weeks.Shares of Pagaya Technologies rallied for the second straight trading session and touched a new 52-week high of $21.45. The optimism across the broader markets over trade deals and hopes of interest rate cuts sooner than expected ...
Is Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) Stock Outpacing Its Finance Peers This Year?
ZACKS· 2025-06-19 14:41
Company Overview - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) is a stock within the Finance sector, which comprises 857 individual stocks and currently holds a Zacks Sector Rank of 4 [2] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a favorable earnings outlook [3] Performance Analysis - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for PGY's full-year earnings has increased by 89.2%, reflecting improved analyst sentiment [4] - Year-to-date, PGY has gained approximately 102.9%, significantly outperforming the average return of 4.6% for Finance companies [4] - In the Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, which includes 88 stocks, PGY is performing better as this group has lost an average of 4.1% this year [6] Comparison with Peers - Barclays (BCS), another Finance stock, has returned 32.9% year-to-date and also holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) [5] - Barclays belongs to the Banks - Foreign industry, which has a better performance with a 22.4% increase this year [6] Investment Outlook - Investors interested in Finance stocks should continue to monitor Pagaya Technologies Ltd. and Barclays for their strong performance [7]
PGY Expects Double-Digit Top-Line Growth in 2025: What's Driving It?
ZACKS· 2025-06-19 14:01
Core Insights - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) raised its 2025 revenue outlook to between $1.175 billion and $1.3 billion after a strong Q1 performance, with revenues and other income increasing by 18% [1][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 revenues is $1.23 billion and $1.42 billion, indicating growth rates of 19.9% and 15.7% respectively [2] Revenue Estimates - The company anticipates second-quarter total revenues and other income to be in the range of $290 million to $310 million [5] - Current Zacks Consensus Estimates for the upcoming quarters are as follows: - Q2 2025: $298.10 million - Q3 2025: $307.66 million - Full Year 2025: $1.23 billion - Full Year 2026: $1.42 billion [3] Business Strategy - Pagaya is expanding its product offerings beyond personal loans to include auto lending and point-of-sale (POS) financing, which helps mitigate cyclical risks [6] - The company has established a network of over 135 institutional funding partners to support its asset-backed securities (ABS) sales, utilizing forward flow agreements for stable capital sources [7] Competitive Position - Pagaya's competitive advantage lies in its proprietary data and product suite, including a Pre-screen solution that allows lenders to offer pre-approved loans with minimal marketing costs [8] - In contrast, competitors like LendingTree and LendingClub have lowered their revenue outlooks for 2025, indicating a more challenging environment for them [9][10] Financial Performance - Pagaya's stock has surged 102.9% year-to-date, outperforming competitors LendingTree and LendingClub, which have seen declines of 10.7% and 30.7% respectively [12] - The current price-to-book (P/B) ratio for Pagaya is 3.23X, which is below the industry average of 3.47X, suggesting the stock is trading at a discount [15] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in 2025 and 2026 has increased to $2.45 and $3.13 respectively, indicating significant growth of 195.2% and 28% [16] - Management projects net income (GAAP) for 2025 to be in the range of $10 million to $45 million [19]