Company Performance - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. closed at $21.19, down 1.76% from the previous trading session, underperforming the S&P 500's loss of 0.14% [1] - The company's stock has decreased by 10.61% over the past month, contrasting with the Finance sector's gain of 2.19% and the S&P 500's gain of 0.94% [1] Earnings Projections - The upcoming EPS for Pagaya Technologies Ltd. is projected at $0.75, reflecting a significant increase of 341.18% compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is estimated to be $348.35 million, indicating a 24.68% increase from the same quarter of the previous year [2] Full Year Estimates - For the full year, earnings are projected at $3.1 per share, representing a change of +273.49% from the prior year, while revenue is expected to be $1.32 billion, reflecting a +28.43% change [3] Analyst Sentiment - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Pagaya Technologies Ltd. are important, as they indicate the latest near-term business trends and a favorable outlook on business health and profitability [3][4] Zacks Rank - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), with the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate remaining unchanged over the last 30 days [5] - The Zacks Rank system has a strong track record, with 1 rated stocks delivering an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [5] Valuation Metrics - The company has a Forward P/E ratio of 6.96, which is a discount compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 12.15 [6] - The Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, part of the Finance sector, ranks in the top 45% of all industries according to the Zacks Industry Rank [6] Industry Performance - The strength of individual industry groups is measured by the Zacks Industry Rank, with top-rated industries outperforming the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Core Insights - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) has shown stabilization and improvement in credit quality throughout 2025, driven by portfolio seasoning and structural changes in funding and underwriting [1] Credit Quality and Financial Performance - In the nine months ended September 30, 2025, credit-related impairment losses on investments in loans and securities declined by over $95 million year-over-year, primarily due to improved market conditions and changes in fair value assumptions [2] - The reduction in impairments is attributed to better-performing loan vintages, stable delinquency and charge-off trends, and enhanced accuracy of AI-driven underwriting models, indicating that recent cohorts are seasoning better than earlier vintages [3] - As credit-related losses decline, PGY's earnings volatility has reduced, leading to improved profitability, with three consecutive quarters of positive GAAP net income in 2025, a significant turnaround from previous years [4][10] Risk Considerations - While credit risks are becoming more manageable, PGY still faces elevated leverage and reliance on capital markets, necessitating sustained credit discipline [5] Market Position and Competitors - Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) operates similarly to PGY as an AI-based lending platform but often holds loans on its balance sheet temporarily, making it more volatile [6][8] - LendingTree (TREE) differs from PGY as it is a marketplace platform that does not underwrite or hold loans, focusing instead on a fee-based digital marketplace [9] Stock Performance and Valuation - PGY's stock has increased by 126.2% over the past year, contrasting with a 4.9% decline in the industry [11] - The current price-to-sales (P/S) ratio for PGY is 1.11X, below the industry average of 3.36X over the last three years [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PGY's earnings for 2025 and 2026 has risen to $3.10 and $3.41, indicating year-over-year growth of 273.5% and 10%, respectively [15]

Financial Performance - D-Wave reported a significant revenue increase in 3Q25, rising from $1.9 million to $3.7 million, nearly a 100% gain year-over-year [1] - The adjusted net loss improved to $18.1 million, or 5 cents per share, compared to a loss of $23.2 million, or 12 cents per share in 3Q24, exceeding expectations by 2 cents per share [1] - D-Wave's stock has surged by 201% in 2025 [1] Intellectual Property and Technology - D-Wave has over 260 U.S. granted patents protecting its technology and innovations [2] - The company operates at all levels of the quantum computing segment, producing both hardware (quantum computers) and software, positioning itself as a full-stack quantum company [3] Market Position and Services - D-Wave is a leader in the quantum computing industry, having launched its real-time quantum cloud service, Leap, in 2018, which offers 99.9% uptime and advanced quantum processing units [4] - The company is recognized for its potential to revolutionize various sectors, including AI applications, cloud computing, and encryption [5] Analyst Insights and Ratings - Wedbush analyst Antoine Legault highlights D-Wave's broad commercial adoption potential and significant addressable market, giving it a Buy rating with a $35 price target, indicating a 38% upside [8] - The consensus rating for D-Wave is Strong Buy, with 13 recent positive analyst reviews and an average price target of $40, suggesting a 58% one-year upside [8]

Core Insights - The article discusses the competitive landscape between Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) and LendingTree, Inc. (TREE) in the fintech sector, particularly focusing on their differing business models and risk profiles [1][3]. Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) - PGY leverages AI and machine learning to optimize credit underwriting and diversify funding sources, expanding from personal loans to auto lending and point-of-sale financing [2][4]. - The company has established a network of over 135 institutional partners and utilizes forward flow agreements to ensure funding stability, especially during market disruptions [5]. - In 2025, PGY achieved three consecutive quarters of positive GAAP net income, marking a turnaround from previous losses, with a year-over-year network volume growth of 10.5% [6]. - PGY's proprietary technology allows lenders to present pre-approved offers to customers, enhancing credit access with minimal marketing costs [7]. - The company operates with minimal on-balance-sheet exposure, acquiring loans through asset-backed securities (ABS) or forward flow agreements, which limits credit and market risks [8]. LendingTree, Inc. (TREE) - TREE operates as an online marketplace connecting consumers with financial service providers, evolving its strategy to diversify into non-mortgage products [9][10]. - The company has expanded its offerings to include credit cards and various loan types, with a focus on enhancing cross-selling opportunities [11][13]. - In the third quarter of 2025, TREE's adjusted EBITDA increased by 48% year-over-year, driven by strong revenue growth across all business segments [14]. - TREE's revenue projections for 2025 are between $1.08 billion and $1.09 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth rate of 20.5% [22]. Comparative Analysis - Over the past six months, PGY shares increased by 6.3%, while TREE shares surged by 46.5%, indicating stronger investor sentiment towards TREE [15]. - PGY's price-to-book (P/B) ratio is 3.40X, lower than TREE's 5.59X, suggesting PGY is currently undervalued [16]. - PGY's return on equity (ROE) stands at 44.45%, compared to TREE's 59.04%, indicating TREE's more efficient use of shareholder funds [18]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects PGY's revenues for 2025 and 2026 to grow by 28.4% and 19.2%, respectively, while TREE's growth rates are 20.5% and 5.7% [22][24]. Investment Outlook - PGY is characterized as a profitable fintech leader with strong revenue growth, a resilient business model, and a capital-efficient funding strategy [26]. - TREE is noted for its established marketplace model and superior ROE, with ongoing efforts to diversify its product offerings supporting revenue growth [27]. - While TREE has operational maturity, PGY presents a stronger revenue and earnings growth outlook, along with better valuation metrics [28][29].

Core Insights - 2025 marked the third consecutive year of double-digit increases on Wall Street, with a notable performance from Israeli stocks, although only about a quarter outperformed Wall Street indices [1] Company Performance - **Enlight Renewable Energy (Nasdaq: ENLT; TASE: ENLT)**: The company saw a stock increase of 162% in 2025, with a market cap rising from $2 billion at its IPO in 2023 to over $6 billion. It is recognized as one of the top companies in solar energy projects in the US [2] - **Pagaya (Nasdaq: PGY)**: The stock price increased by 143% in 2025, with a current market cap of $1.8 billion. The company turned a net profit earlier than expected this year, following a significant financial recovery [3][4] - **Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (Nasdaq: TSEM; TASE: TSEM)**: The chipmaker's stock rose by 135% in 2025, reaching a market cap of $13.6 billion, largely driven by the AI boom [5] - **JFrog (Nasdaq: FROG)**: The company experienced a 127% stock increase, with a market cap of $7.9 billion. The growth was fueled by strong third-quarter results and positive forecasts [6] - **Elbit Systems Ltd. (Nasdaq: ESLT; TASE: ESLT)**: The defense company saw a 125% increase in stock price, achieving a record market cap of $27 billion, supported by a significant order backlog and large international contracts [7]

Core Insights - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) has shown a positive stock performance, closing at $23.30 with a +1.97% change, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.64% [1] - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to reveal an EPS of $0.75, representing a significant increase of 341.18% year-over-year, with projected revenue of $348.35 million, indicating a growth of 24.68% [2] - For the full year, earnings are projected at $3.1 per share and revenue at $1.32 billion, reflecting increases of 273.49% and 28.43% respectively from the previous year [3] Analyst Forecasts - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts for Pagaya Technologies Ltd. are crucial as they reflect short-term business trends and can influence stock performance [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which incorporates estimate changes, currently ranks Pagaya Technologies Ltd. as 2 (Buy), indicating a favorable outlook [6] Valuation Metrics - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 7.37, which is below the industry average of 12.18, suggesting a valuation discount [7] - The Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, to which Pagaya belongs, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 87, placing it in the top 36% of over 250 industries [7][8]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of quantitative research, financial modeling, and risk management in equity valuation and market trends to identify high-growth investment opportunities [1] Group 1: Company Analysis - The company has a strong focus on corporate earnings and financial statement analysis, aiming to provide actionable investment ideas [1] - The investment approach combines rigorous risk management with a long-term perspective on value creation [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - There is a particular interest in macroeconomic trends that influence market dynamics and investment opportunities [1] - The article highlights the significance of stress testing and model validation in understanding market risks and opportunities [1]

Core Insights - Pagaya (PGY) has been identified as a significant underperformer in 2025 due to a dramatic shift in sentiment surrounding momentum and artificial intelligence stocks [1] Company Analysis - The company has faced challenges in maintaining investor confidence as market dynamics evolve, particularly in the context of macroeconomic trends and central bank policies [1] - The focus on equities and derivatives indicates a strategic emphasis on sectors that are sensitive to market sentiment and economic indicators [1] Industry Context - The investment landscape is influenced by central bank policies in both the EU and US, which play a crucial role in shaping sector rotations and investor behavior [1] - The analysis highlights the importance of understanding macro trends to construct actionable investment strategies, reflecting broader industry practices [1]

Group 1 - FinTech industry is currently facing challenges due to credit cycles and high capital requirements [1] - Pagaya Technologies (PGY) has developed a distinctive strategy that allows it to overcome these challenges [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying profitable and undervalued investment opportunities in the U.S. market [1]

Group 1 - The article highlights the expertise of a consulting specialist at a leading Central Asian bank, emphasizing their experience in delivering strategic insights and analysis for private banking clients [1] - The author of Novo Capital has developed a resilient methodology focused on corporate valuation, due diligence for investment opportunities, and crafting accurate forecasts to guide long-term investment strategies [1] - Novo Capital was created to provide out-of-consensus information and ideas worth discussing, aiming to help investors gain "alpha" in a competitive market [1]