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爱马仕、普拉达业绩增长不佳;加拿大鹅喜获高增长|二姨看时尚
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-04 01:21
Group 1: Company Performance - Hermès reported a 9% increase in sales for the second quarter, reaching €3.9 billion, with all regions showing growth [14] - Adidas achieved a 7.3% increase in net sales for the first half of the fiscal year, totaling €12.1 billion, with a gross margin of 51.9% [2] - Prada's net revenue for the first half of the fiscal year reached €2.74 billion, reflecting a 9.1% growth at constant exchange rates [2] - Canada Goose reported a strong start to the new fiscal year with a 22.4% increase in global revenue, amounting to CAD 107.8 million [9] - Kering's stock price rose 24% following the appointment of Luca de Meo as CEO, who received a €20 million signing bonus [3] - SMCP's sales increased by 2.7% to €601.1 million, with all regions outside Asia showing growth [11] Group 2: Operational Changes - PUMA appointed Andreas Hubert as COO, effective September 1, to streamline operations and integrate various functions [6] - Arena announced Mark Pinger as the new Chief Brand Officer, effective October 1, leveraging his sports background for brand growth [7] - Jil Sander's CEO Serge Brunschwig resigned after six months, indicating potential instability in leadership [13] Group 3: Market Trends and Insights - L'Oréal's second-quarter sales grew by 1.6%, with an operating profit margin of 21.1%, indicating a positive trend in digital transformation [8] - The luxury market shows a divergence in brand performance, with Prada's main brand experiencing a slight decline while Miu Miu surged by 49.2% [2][3] - The disappearance of shares held by Hermès' largest individual shareholder may impact brand image and market confidence [5]
中金:降普拉达目标价至75港元 维持“跑赢行业”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-01 02:32
Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains a "buy" rating for Prada (01913) but lowers the target price by 6.3% to HKD 75 due to ongoing weakness in the luxury goods sector and uncertainties surrounding the integration of Versace [1] Group 1: Target Price and Valuation - The target price corresponds to a 2025 P/E ratio of 22.6 times and a 2026 P/E ratio of 18.9 times [1] - The current stock price reflects a 2025 P/E ratio of 13.8 times and a 2026 P/E ratio of 11.2 times, indicating a potential upside of 60.3% from the target price [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - Prada Group reported a 9% year-on-year increase in net revenue for 1H25, reaching EUR 2.74 billion, in line with FactSet consensus expectations [2] - Gross margin improved to 80.1% in 1H25 from 79.8% in 1H24 due to higher operational efficiency and lower logistics costs [2] - EBIT grew by 6% year-on-year to EUR 607 million, with an EBIT margin of 22.2%, slightly below FactSet consensus of EUR 631 million [2] - Net income stood at EUR 386 million, with a net margin of 14.1%, remaining stable year-on-year [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the group held net cash of EUR 352 million [2] Group 3: Growth Drivers - Despite uncertainties related to the Versace acquisition, Prada Group is expected to be one of the best-performing luxury companies in 2025, driven by: 1) Expansion of retail space for Prada and Miu Miu brands, expected to accelerate in 2H25 [1] 2) Increased production of leather goods for the Miu Miu brand [1] 3) Consistency in creativity while many peers undergo design transformations in 2025 [1]
中金:降普拉达(01913)目标价至75港元 维持“跑赢行业”评级
智通财经网· 2025-08-01 02:29
Core Viewpoint - The investment bank maintains an "outperform" rating for Prada (01913) but has lowered the target price by 6.3% to HKD 75 due to ongoing weakness in the luxury goods sector and uncertainties surrounding the integration of Versace [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Prada Group reported a 9% year-on-year increase in net revenue for 1H25, reaching EUR 2.74 billion, in line with FactSet consensus expectations [2] - Gross margin improved to 80.1% in 1H25 from 79.8% in 1H24, driven by higher operational efficiency and lower logistics costs [2] - EBIT grew by 6% year-on-year to EUR 607 million, with an EBIT margin of 22.2%, slightly below FactSet consensus of EUR 631 million due to non-recurring expenses related to the Versace acquisition and increased marketing costs [2] - Net income stood at EUR 386 million, with a net margin of 14.1%, remaining stable year-on-year primarily due to timing adjustments in tax payments [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the group held net cash of EUR 352 million [2] Group 2: Growth Drivers and Outlook - Despite uncertainties regarding the Versace integration, the bank believes that excluding Versace, Prada Group could be one of the best-performing luxury companies in 2025, with expected revenue growth above industry average and rare EBIT margin expansion potential [1] - Key growth drivers include the expansion of retail space for the Prada and Miu Miu brands, expected to accelerate in 2H25, increased production of Miu Miu leather goods, and maintaining creative consistency while many peers undergo design transformations in 2025 [1] - The current valuation of Prada Group is considered attractive based on the 2025 earnings outlook and long-term prospects [1]
普拉达跌超3% 上半年品牌零售净销售均稍逊预期 MiuMiu在多国家渗透率仍然偏低
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-01 02:09
Core Viewpoint - Prada's performance in the first half of the year was slightly below expectations, with revenue of €2.74 billion, which is 2% lower than both the bank's and market's forecasts [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Prada's retail net sales for the Prada and Miu Miu brands were slightly below expectations, with a decline of 3.6% for Prada and an increase of 40% for Miu Miu [1] - The company's sales increased by 9% year-on-year when calculated at constant exchange rates, aligning closely with Macquarie's predictions [1] - Net profit increased by 0.6% year-on-year, which was 7% lower than Macquarie's forecast due to non-recurring costs associated with the acquisition of Versace [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - The demand for travel consumption has been under pressure in the third quarter, with Miu Miu facing the most significant year-on-year comparative base pressure [1] - Management expects overall tourist traffic in Japan and Europe to stabilize year-on-year by the end of August [1] Group 3: Strategic Outlook - The company aims to prioritize enhancing brand value and believes there is still room for improvement in profitability through operational leverage [1] - Management believes that Miu Miu's penetration rate remains low in many countries, indicating potential for further improvement in product categories and combinations [1]
港股异动 | 普拉达(01913)跌超3% 上半年品牌零售净销售均稍逊预期 MiuMiu在多国家渗透率仍然偏低
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-01 02:08
Core Viewpoint - Prada's performance in the first half of the year was slightly below expectations, with net retail sales for both the Prada and Miu Miu brands not meeting forecasts, leading to a decline in stock price [1] Financial Performance - Prada reported revenue of €2.74 billion, which was 2% lower than both the bank's and market expectations [1] - The retail net sales for Prada decreased by 3.6%, while Miu Miu's sales increased by 40% [1] - Sales growth for Prada, when adjusted for fixed exchange rates, was 9% year-on-year, aligning closely with the bank's predictions [1] Profitability and Costs - The gross margin exceeded expectations due to channel structure optimization, but net profit was below expectations due to costs associated with the acquisition of Versace and weak sales [1] - Net profit increased by 0.6% year-on-year, which was 7% lower than the bank's forecast [1] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The management anticipates that tourism consumption demand will remain under pressure in the third quarter, with Miu Miu facing significant year-on-year comparison challenges [1] - Management expects overall tourist traffic in Japan and Europe to stabilize by the end of August [1] - There is a belief that Miu Miu has low penetration rates in many countries and potential for further improvement in product categories and combinations [1]
普拉达(01913.HK):1H25EBIT不及预期 游客消费放缓
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-31 18:38
Core Viewpoint - Prada Group's 1H25 performance shows a mixed result with net income growth but EBIT falling short of market expectations, indicating potential challenges ahead [1][2] Financial Performance - Net revenue for 1H25 increased by 9% year-on-year to €2.74 billion, aligning with FactSet consensus [1] - EBIT grew by 6% year-on-year to €607 million, with an EBIT margin of 22.2%, slightly below the expected €631 million [1] - Gross margin improved to 80.1% in 1H25 from 79.8% in 1H24 due to higher operational efficiency and lower logistics costs [1] - Net income stood at €386 million with a net margin of 14.1%, down from 15.0% in 1H24, primarily due to tax payment timing adjustments [1] Development Trends - Despite uncertainties surrounding the integration of Versace, Prada Group is expected to be one of the best-performing luxury companies in 2025, with anticipated revenue growth above industry average and potential EBIT margin expansion [1] - Key growth drivers include retail space expansion for Prada and Miu Miu brands, increased volume of Miu Miu leather goods, and maintaining creative consistency amid design transformations in the industry [1] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The financials of Versace have not yet been incorporated into the group's reports, pending transaction completion expected in 2H25 [2] - The target price has been reduced by 6.3% to HKD 75, reflecting ongoing challenges in the luxury sector and uncertainties related to the Versace integration [2] - The target price corresponds to a 2025 P/E ratio of 22.6 times and a 2026 P/E ratio of 18.9 times, with current stock price reflecting a significant upside potential of 60.3% [2]
里昂:料普拉达需求承压 降目标价至50港元 重申“跑赢大市”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-07-31 07:33
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Citi has downgraded Prada's net profit forecast for 2025 to 2027 by 5% to 6% due to lower sales expectations for Prada and Miu Miu, along with increased advertising and promotional expenses and sales cost forecasts [1] - The valuation basis has been adjusted, with the expected enterprise value to EBIT ratio reduced from 13 times to approximately 9 times, and the target price lowered from HKD 72 to HKD 50, while maintaining an "outperform" rating due to Miu Miu's growing market share and attractive risk-reward ratio [1] - Prada's performance in the first half of the year was slightly below expectations, with revenue recorded at EUR 2.74 billion, which is 2% lower than both Citi's and market expectations, primarily due to slightly disappointing retail net sales for both Prada and Miu Miu brands, which fell by 3.6% and increased by 40% respectively [1] Group 2 - The optimization of channel structure has led to a gross margin that exceeded expectations, but the costs associated with the acquisition of Versace and weak sales have resulted in net profit falling below expectations [1] - The demand for travel consumption has continued to be under pressure in the third quarter to date, and Miu Miu is expected to face the most significant year-on-year comparative base pressure [1]
里昂:料普拉达(01913)需求承压 降目标价至50港元 重申“跑赢大市”评级
智通财经网· 2025-07-31 07:33
Core Viewpoint - Citi has downgraded Prada's net profit forecast for 2025 to 2027 by 5% to 6%, citing lower sales expectations for Prada and Miu Miu, alongside increased advertising and promotional expenses and sales costs [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Prada's revenue for the first half of the year was €2.74 billion, which was 2% lower than both Citi's and market expectations [1] - Retail net sales for the Prada and Miu Miu brands were slightly below expectations, with Prada experiencing a decline of 3.6% and Miu Miu seeing an increase of 40% [1] - The gross margin exceeded expectations due to channel structure optimization, but costs related to the acquisition of Versace and weak sales led to net profit falling short of expectations [1] Group 2: Valuation and Target Price - Citi has adjusted its valuation basis, estimating the enterprise value to EBITDA at approximately 9 times, down from the previous 13 times [1] - The target price for Prada has been reduced from HKD 72 to HKD 50, while maintaining a "outperform" rating due to Miu Miu's growing market share and attractive risk-reward ratio [1] Group 3: Market Conditions - The demand for travel consumption has continued to face pressure in the third quarter, with Miu Miu expected to face the most significant year-on-year comparative base pressure [1]
大摩:普拉达(01913)次季业绩逊预期 目标价降至62港元
智通财经网· 2025-07-31 06:55
Group 1 - Morgan Stanley predicts pressure on Prada's stock price, lowering the target price from HKD 66 to HKD 62 while maintaining an "Overweight" rating and listing it as an industry favorite [1] - The group performed well in the luxury goods sector during Q2, with continued optimism for the appeal and future growth potential of the Prada and Miu Miu brands [1] - The negative impact of international tourism is expected to peak in the summer, leading to potential downward adjustments in Q3 sales forecasts, with the latest prediction showing a fixed exchange rate growth of 8.3%, down from a previous forecast of 10.4% [1] Group 2 - Prada's Q2 performance fell short of expectations, with a year-on-year sales growth of 6.1% at fixed exchange rates, compared to 12.5% in Q1 and market expectations of 9% [1] - Revenue from both the Prada and Miu Miu brands was slightly below expectations, and although same-store sales grew by approximately 9%, there appeared to be a lack of operating leverage, resulting in adjusted EBIT for the first half being 3.1% lower than anticipated [1]
麦格理:下调普拉达(01913)目标价至60港元 评级“跑赢大市”
智通财经网· 2025-07-31 06:55
Core Viewpoint - Macquarie's report indicates that Prada's (01913) sales for the first half of the year increased by 9% year-on-year at constant exchange rates, aligning closely with the bank's forecast [1] Financial Performance - Net profit increased by 0.6% year-on-year, which was 7% lower than Macquarie's prediction [1] - Macquarie has revised down its net profit forecasts for Prada for the years 2025 to 2027 by 7.6%, 7.1%, and 6.6% respectively, accounting for the first half performance and brand investments [1] - Target price has been reduced by 8% from HKD 65 to HKD 60, while maintaining an outperform rating [1] Management Insights - Management expects overall tourist traffic in Japan and Europe to stabilize year-on-year by the end of August [1] - The company aims to enhance brand value and believes there is still room for improvement in profitability through operational leverage [1] - Management sees potential for further improvement in product categories and combinations, particularly for MiuMiu, which has low penetration in many countries [1]