IonQ, Rigetti Computing and D-Wave Quantum are all in talks about granting shares to the Commerce Department, according to The Wall Street Journal. ...

格隆汇10月23日｜量子计算公司D-Wave Quantum在夜盘交易中涨超17%，Rigetti Computing涨18%。消 息面上，美国总统特朗普政府正商谈入股量子计算公司，这表明特朗普政府正在扩大对其认为至关重要 的经济领域的干预。量子计算公司正讨论向美国政府提供股权以换取芯片研发资金，参与美国政府入股 谈判的量子公司包括IonQ，Rigetti Computing，D-Wave Quantum等。 | RGTI Rigetti Computing | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 36.060 4 -3.940 -9.85% | | 收盘价 10/22 16:00 美东 | | 42.580 + 6.520 +18.08% | | 夜盘 10/22 21:43 美东 | | ■ 72 24 4 ～ ～ 日 ◎ 品 ◎ 品 ◎ 品 ◎ 品 ◎ 品 ◎ 品 ◎ 品 ◎ 品 ◎ 品 。 | | ● 快捷交易 | | 最高价 39.720 | 开盘价 38.520 | 成交量 1.15亿 | | 最低价 34.140 | 昨收价 40.000 | 成交额 42.01亿 | | 平均价 ...

Core Viewpoint - Former hedge fund manager Jim Cramer warns investors to sell into the "snapback" momentum in speculative markets, particularly in quantum computing, data centers, nuclear energy, and precious metals [2][3]. Speculative Market Trends - Cramer highlights that speculators in quantum computing, data centers, and nuclear energy will resist declines, indicating a potential for a recovery or "snapback" in these sectors [2]. - Investors are advised to be cautious of rallies that may not be supported by fundamentals and to consider selling during these moments [2]. Performance of Specific Stocks - Significant declines were noted in speculative stocks, with quantum computing stocks like Rigetti Computing Inc. down 7.64%, Quantum Computing Inc. down 7.41%, and D-Wave Quantum Inc. down 6.42% [4]. - Nuclear energy company Oklo Inc. experienced a drop of 12.33%, while data center stocks IREN Ltd. and CoreWeave Inc. fell by 6.80% and 1.57%, respectively [4]. Precious Metals Decline - Gold and silver saw their largest single-day drops in years, with gold decreasing by 5.2% and silver by 6.7% [3]. Market Indices Overview - Despite the declines in speculative stocks, major indices remained relatively flat, with the S&P 500 up 0.003%, Nasdaq Composite down 0.16%, and Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.47% [5].

Core Insights - Quantum computing is emerging as a significant advancement in processing power, with several companies, including D-Wave Quantum, poised to capitalize on this technology [1][2] Company Overview - D-Wave Quantum, based in Palo Alto, California, is recognized as the world's first commercial supplier of quantum computers, focusing on both annealing and gate-model quantum computers [4] - The company has a market capitalization of $11 billion [4] Recent Developments - D-Wave Quantum announced a plan to streamline its capital structure by redeeming 5 million warrants, which could lead to the issuance of 7.2 million shares if all warrants are exercised by the November 17 deadline, resulting in a 2.1% dilution for existing shareholders [3] - Following this announcement, D-Wave Quantum's stock experienced a 6% drop, despite a significant increase in value over the past year [4] Performance Metrics - Over the last year, D-Wave Quantum's stock has surged by 2,220%, significantly outperforming the Russell 2000's return of 12.6% during the same period [6] - The stock's performance, while impressive, has led to a forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 448, which is substantially higher than its three-year mean of 24.6, indicating speculative optimism in the market [7] Product Innovations - In May, D-Wave Quantum launched its sixth-generation quantum computer, the Advantage2, which features 20-way qubit connectivity and a 40% increase in energy scale, aimed at real-world applications [5]

Core Viewpoint - D-Wave Quantum Inc (NYSE: QBTS) is experiencing a pullback in its stock price, which may present a buying opportunity as it gains popularity among billionaires in the quantum computing sector [1] Company Summary - D-Wave Quantum Inc is positioned as a significant player in the quantum computing industry, attracting interest from high-net-worth individuals [1] - The company's stock opened lower in the morning trading session, indicating a potential moment for investors to consider purchasing shares [1] Industry Summary - The quantum computing sector is emerging as a favored investment area among wealthy investors, suggesting a growing confidence in the technology's future [1]

Core Insights - The quantum computing sector has seen significant share price gains, with some stocks rising as much as 2,640% over the past year, attracting the attention of billionaires and hedge funds [3][11] - D-Wave Quantum is a notable player in the quantum computing industry, focusing on both gate-based quantum computing and quantum annealing, which is believed to be advantageous for specific optimization problems [7][10] - The market capitalization of D-Wave Quantum is currently $11 billion, with a reported revenue of approximately $3.1 million in Q2 and a loss exceeding $167 million, indicating a speculative investment reliant on the future commercialization of quantum technology [10][15] Investment Activity - Billionaires have shown increased interest in D-Wave Quantum, with significant purchases made by funds such as Tudor Investment Corp, Citadel Advisors, and Millennium Management, the latter increasing its position by 948% [13][11] - JPMorgan Chase's recent announcement of billions in investments related to quantum technology may serve as a catalyst for further interest and funding in the sector [14] Technology Overview - Quantum computers utilize qubits, which allow for greater data processing capabilities compared to traditional bits, potentially leading to superior computing power [6] - D-Wave's approach to quantum annealing may facilitate scaling with more qubits, although it presents challenges in manipulation compared to gate-based systems [8][10]

Core Insights - The article discusses the potential upside for quantum computing stocks, highlighting the significant price targets set by Wall Street analysts, which suggest further growth opportunities in this sector [4][17]. - Despite the excitement surrounding quantum computing, historical trends indicate that such high valuations may not be sustainable, as the technology is still in its infancy and profitability remains elusive for key players [9][14]. Quantum Computing Stocks Performance - As of October 17, trailing-12-month gains for quantum computing pure-play stocks have been substantial, with some analysts believing that these stocks are just beginning their upward trajectory [2][4]. - The four main quantum computing stocks discussed are IonQ, Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum, and Quantum Computing Inc., each with significant price targets indicating potential upside: IonQ (412%), Rigetti Computing (4,940%), D-Wave Quantum (3,590%), and Quantum Computing Inc. (2,310%) [4][12]. Analyst Price Targets - IonQ's price target was raised from $75 to $100, indicating a potential upside of 59% [5]. - Rigetti Computing's price target increased from $20 to $50, suggesting an 8% upside from its closing price on October 17 [5]. - D-Wave Quantum's target was raised from $20 to $50, indicating a 30% upside [12]. - Quantum Computing Inc.'s price target was increased from $22 to $40, suggesting a potential rally of 118% [12]. Market Dynamics and Historical Context - The article notes that while quantum computing has transformative potential across various industries, its commercialization and practical applications are still years away [10]. - Historical patterns indicate that new technologies often experience a bubble, with investors overestimating their utility and adoption, leading to eventual corrections [9][14]. - Current price-to-sales ratios for these quantum computing stocks are significantly higher than historical norms for game-changing technologies, raising concerns about sustainability [16]. Profitability and Future Outlook - None of the discussed quantum computing companies are currently profitable, with estimates suggesting that D-Wave Quantum may achieve profitability by 2029, while IonQ and Rigetti Computing may continue to incur losses until at least the end of the decade [14]. - The global addressable market for quantum computing is promising, but there is little evidence of widespread commercialization or ongoing success at present [13].

Group 1 - D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE:QBTS) experienced a significant decline, losing 10.25% to close at $34.40, marking its third consecutive day of losses due to investors selling off positions following the redemption of outstanding warrants [1][4]. - The company has approximately 5 million outstanding warrants that are exercisable until November 19, 2025, which could lead to the issuance of about 7.2 million shares, resulting in less than 2.1% dilution for existing shareholders if all are exercised [2][3]. - Any unexercised warrants will be redeemed for $0.01 each upon expiration, as per the company's warrant agreement [3]. Group 2 - D-Wave Quantum recently partnered with Swiss Quantum Technology SA to deploy a D-Wave Advantage2 annealing quantum computer in Europe, involving a commitment of 10 million euros from Swiss Quantum, with an option to purchase the system [3][4].

Core Insights - D-Wave Quantum Inc. is experiencing a significant stock price fluctuation, with shares nearly quadrupling in value this year but recently falling sharply after reaching nearly $45 on October 15 [1][4] - The company needs to sustain its stock rally and demonstrate that its product lineup is marketable to maintain investor interest [2] Sales and Revenue Performance - D-Wave announced a deal with Swiss Quantum Technology SA for deploying its Advantage2 quantum computer in Europe, valued at approximately $11.65 million [2] - Sales of Advantage2 systems have been infrequent, but each new agreement garners significant investor attention, potentially impacting quarterly and annual earnings [3][5] - The company has a growing customer base, but the high cost of Advantage2 systems limits sales to specialized clients and government entities [6] Market Response and Analyst Sentiment - Following the SQT contract announcement, D-Wave's stock saw a sharp decline of nearly 15%, indicating investor skepticism about the sustainability of its valuation [4] - Analysts have mixed sentiments, with a consensus price target suggesting a potential downside of about 41% from the current price [8][9] - Recent insider selling by the CEO and increasing competition in the quantum computing industry have contributed to market volatility [10] Industry Collaboration - D-Wave's partnership with IonQ through the "Q-Alliance" may provide competitive advantages as the quantum industry evolves [11][12] - The collaboration could be beneficial as other competitors, like Rigetti Computing, also form significant partnerships [12] Future Outlook - The upcoming earnings report on November 13 will be crucial for assessing the financial impact of both physical and cloud-based Advantage2 products [7] - The market is shifting focus from hype to fundamentals, and D-Wave must prove its ability to generate consistent revenue to maintain investor confidence [13]

Core Insights - D-Wave Quantum announced a warrant redemption that will lead to approximately 2% dilution for existing shareholders [1] - D-Wave's stock fell 10.3% to close at $34.39, while IonQ and Rigetti Computing also experienced declines of 4.7% and 6.6% respectively [2] - In 2025, D-Wave shares have increased by 301%, IonQ by 41%, Rigetti by 176%, and Quantum Computing by 5% [4] Market Performance - The Nasdaq composite rose by 1.5% on the same day that quantum computing stocks fell [3] - Major AI infrastructure companies, including CoreWeave and Nebius, also saw declines in their stock prices [3] Industry Developments - IonQ is planning to raise $2 billion through a new equity offering and has been actively acquiring other companies [4] - The volatility in quantum computing stocks in 2025 is partly due to comments from Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang regarding the timeline for commercially viable quantum technology [6] - Speculation about potential new U.S. quantum technology initiatives under the Trump administration may be contributing to the rise in quantum computing stocks [6]