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如何看待高成长与经典价值?柏基“传奇基金经理”詹姆斯·安德森2019年深度撰文︱重阳荐文
重阳投资· 2025-12-08 07:33
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolving perspectives on growth and value investing, highlighting the need to reassess traditional investment principles in light of modern economic realities and the success of high-growth companies [5][6][7]. Group 1: Growth vs. Value - There is an acknowledged and widening divergence between growth and value investing, with traditional value principles struggling to account for the sustained high growth of companies like Microsoft, Google, and Amazon [7][8]. - The underlying economic structure has shifted, suggesting that reliance on historical value metrics may no longer be sufficient for investment success [7][8]. - Despite the differences, there are fundamental commonalities between growth and value investing, particularly in the importance of honest long-term cash flow estimation and risk management [8][9]. Group 2: Historical Context and Evolution - Historically, there has been a lack of literature supporting growth investing compared to the extensive documentation of value investing, which has created a bias in the investment community [13][14]. - The belief that "value will ultimately prevail" remains entrenched, despite evidence that growth strategies have outperformed passive indices over the long term [14][15]. - The past decade has seen a significant deviation from Graham's observations, with high-growth stocks yielding substantial returns, contrary to his predictions [18][19]. Group 3: Case Studies - Microsoft serves as a prime example of a company that has achieved remarkable long-term growth, with revenue increasing from $60 billion in 2008 to $110 billion in 2018, showcasing a compound annual growth rate of 24% [20]. - Google also exemplifies this trend, with its revenue growing from $21.8 billion in 2008 to $136.8 billion in 2018, reflecting the potential of high-growth companies to deliver exceptional returns [21]. - The article contrasts Coca-Cola's stagnation in stock value over the past 20 years with Facebook's growth trajectory, suggesting that the latter may align more closely with modern investment principles [70][75]. Group 4: Future Investment Landscape - The future of investing will likely be shaped by structural changes in the global economy, necessitating a shift in focus from short-term financial metrics to long-term transformative trends [40][41]. - The concept of "creative destruction" is becoming increasingly relevant, indicating that traditional investment strategies may need to adapt to a rapidly changing economic environment [41][42]. - Companies that can leverage network effects and platform positions may exhibit "super-linear growth," challenging traditional value investment assumptions [61][62].
Why I Bought the Dip in Ferrari Stock
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-06 12:05
Core Viewpoint - Ferrari's stock experienced a significant decline following the October Capital Markets Day, dropping from above $500 to below $400, primarily due to new 2030 targets indicating slower growth than expected [1]. Group 1: Financial Guidance - Ferrari raised its 2025 guidance to at least 7.1 billion euros, with a long-term target of approximately 9 billion euros in net revenue by 2030, reflecting about 5% annualized revenue growth [4]. - The company expects earnings before interest (EBIT) to reach at least 2.75 billion euros by 2030, implying around 6% annual growth and an EBIT margin of at least 30% [4]. - Management plans to generate at least 3.6 billion euros of EBITDA and about 8 billion euros of industrial free cash flow from 2026 to 2030, with a commitment to return roughly 7 billion euros to shareholders through dividends and buybacks [5]. Group 2: Market Reaction and Performance - The stock's double-digit drop was triggered by investors' focus on slower growth targets, despite the company maintaining some of the best margins in the auto industry, with high-30s adjusted EBITDA margins and high-20s adjusted operating margins [2][6]. - The introduction of the new F80 supercar is expected to provide significant earnings support in the upcoming year [6]. Group 3: Management Strategy - Ferrari's conservative long-term targets may be viewed as a cautious approach, as the company has a history of outperforming its targets, being on track to exceed many of its 2026 profitability goals a year early [7].
ATMU vs. RACE: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
ZACKS· 2025-12-05 17:41
Core Insights - The article compares Atmus Filtration Technologies (ATMU) and Ferrari (RACE) to determine which stock is a better undervalued investment option for investors in the Automotive - Original Equipment sector [1] Group 1: Zacks Rank and Earnings Estimates - Atmus Filtration Technologies has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a positive earnings outlook, while Ferrari has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - The Zacks Rank system emphasizes companies with strong earnings estimate revisions, suggesting that ATMU is likely experiencing a more favorable earnings outlook compared to RACE [3] Group 2: Valuation Metrics - ATMU has a forward P/E ratio of 20.03, significantly lower than RACE's forward P/E of 37.25, indicating that ATMU may be undervalued relative to RACE [5] - The PEG ratio for ATMU is 3.46, while RACE has a PEG ratio of 4.20, suggesting that ATMU offers better value when considering expected earnings growth [5] - ATMU's P/B ratio is 12.9, compared to RACE's P/B of 21.57, further indicating that ATMU is more attractively valued [6] Group 3: Value Grades - Based on various valuation metrics, ATMU holds a Value grade of B, while RACE has a Value grade of D, reinforcing the notion that ATMU is the better investment option for value investors at this time [6]
Ferrari: The Path To Regain A 40x Multiple (NYSE:RACE)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-04 18:52
分组1 - Ferrari's shares have decreased nearly 25% since the October Investor Day due to unambitious guidance for the rest of the decade [1]
Ferrari N.V. (RACE): A Bull Case Theory
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-04 17:21
Core Thesis - Ferrari N.V. is viewed positively due to its strong brand, profitability, and strategic approach to electrification, making it a long-term growth favorite among investors [2][3][4] Financial Performance - As of December 1st, Ferrari's share price was $386.93, with a market capitalization of $74.58 billion [2] - The company achieved a 36% total shareholder return in 2024, showcasing its ability to maintain exclusivity and pricing power [2] - In Q3 2025, Ferrari reported a 48% return on equity and an adjusted operating margin of 28.3% in 2024, indicating superior profitability [3] Strategic Positioning - Ferrari balances tradition and innovation by maintaining its internal combustion engine lineup while introducing hybrid and electric models [3] - The racing division contributes significantly to brand value and revenue, reinforcing Ferrari's identity as a luxury and performance leader [4] Shareholder Dynamics - Exor, Ferrari's largest shareholder, reduced its stake to decrease portfolio concentration but remains a significant holder [2] - At the end of Q2, 43 hedge fund portfolios held Ferrari shares, down from 51 in the previous quarter, indicating a slight decline in hedge fund interest [6][7]
美银:排放标准放宽提振欧洲汽车制造商
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-12-04 10:59
格隆汇12月4日|美国银行分析师写道,监管规定减少,尤其是有关二氧化碳排放的规定,将为汽车行 业带来亟需的灵活性。这些分析师表示,美国已经引领了这一趋势,甚至可能完全取消二氧化碳法规。 该行补充称,欧洲不会走那么远,但可能会将内燃机汽车的禁令推迟到2040年以后。"我们认为,最便 宜的股票将从监管放松中获益最多,但最终,所有汽车制造商——从雷诺到法拉利——的折现现金流前 景都将改善。"该行以估值为由,将雷诺和保时捷的股票评级从"中性"上调至"买入",并将梅赛德斯-奔 驰的评级从"弱于大盘"上调至"中性"。保时捷、大众汽车、宝马、梅赛德斯-奔驰、法拉利、雷诺、沃 尔沃汽车和保时捷的股价均上涨3.5%至5%。 ...
FERRARI N.V. SIGNS A NEW SYNDICATED REVOLVING CREDIT FACILITY
Globenewswire· 2025-12-03 18:28
Core Insights - Ferrari has signed a Euro 350 million unsecured committed revolving credit facility for general corporate and working capital purposes [1][2] - The new facility has a five-year term with two one-year extension options, replacing the previous Euro 350 million facility due December 2026 [2] - The new credit facility offers a lower cost of capital compared to the prior facility, indicating strong support from a group of twelve international banks [3] Company Overview - Ferrari is a leading luxury brand known for its racing, sports cars, and lifestyle products, symbolizing exclusivity and innovation [4] - The brand is closely associated with its Formula 1 team, Scuderia Ferrari, which has won 16 Constructors' and 15 Drivers' world titles since 1950 [4] - Ferrari designs and produces iconic luxury sports cars sold in over 60 markets worldwide, along with personal luxury goods and experiences [4]
FERRARI RENEWS ITS PARTNERSHIP WITH PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL
Globenewswire· 2025-12-03 11:19
Core Viewpoint - Ferrari N.V. has renewed and strengthened its long-term partnership with Philip Morris International, marking a continuation of a collaboration that has lasted over 50 years [1][2]. Group 1: Partnership Details - The renewed agreement will take effect on January 1, 2026, designating Philip Morris International as a Premium Partner of Scuderia Ferrari HP and a Series Partner of the Ferrari Challenge Trofeo Pirelli [2].
如何看待高成长与经典价值?柏基“传奇基金经理”詹姆斯·安德森2019年深度撰文
聪明投资者· 2025-12-02 07:04
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolving perspectives on growth and value investing, highlighting the need to reassess traditional investment principles in light of modern economic realities and the success of high-growth companies [5][6][25]. Group 1: Growth vs. Value Investing - James Anderson acknowledges a widening divide between growth and value investing, suggesting that traditional value metrics may not suffice in a changing economic landscape dominated by tech giants like Microsoft, Google, and Amazon [7][20]. - Despite the differences, Anderson emphasizes that both growth and value investing share common principles, such as the importance of honest long-term cash flow estimation and risk management [8][25]. - The article references the historical context of growth investing, noting a lack of comprehensive literature supporting long-term growth strategies compared to the extensive documentation of value investing [12][14]. Group 2: Case Studies of Companies - Microsoft serves as a prime example of a company that has achieved significant long-term growth, with revenue increasing from $60 billion in 2008 to $110 billion in 2018, showcasing a compound annual growth rate of 24% [22]. - Google, now Alphabet, also illustrates the potential for sustained growth, with revenue rising from $21.8 billion in 2008 to $136.8 billion in 2018 [23]. - The article contrasts Coca-Cola's stagnation in stock value over the past 20 years with Facebook's growth trajectory, suggesting that Facebook may align more closely with value investing principles despite its high valuation metrics [82][88]. Group 3: Economic Structural Changes - The article posits that the current economic environment is undergoing profound changes, necessitating a reevaluation of investment strategies that account for systemic transformations rather than relying solely on historical performance [44][46]. - It highlights the shift from asset-heavy to knowledge-based economies, where companies like Facebook and Google thrive due to network effects and scale advantages [71][73]. - The discussion includes the implications of these changes for future investment returns, suggesting that traditional metrics may not adequately capture the potential of companies operating in rapidly evolving sectors [41][60]. Group 4: Industry Examples - The automotive industry is examined, with General Motors and BMW representing traditional value stocks facing challenges, while Ferrari exemplifies a company achieving high margins and cash flow despite low sales volume [100][104][107]. - The article notes that the automotive sector is experiencing significant disruption, particularly with the rise of electric vehicles and changing consumer preferences, which complicates traditional valuation methods [96][98]. - The contrasting performance of companies within the automotive sector illustrates the broader theme of how different business models and market positions can lead to varying investment outcomes [100][106].
Ferrari N.V. (RACE)’s ASP Growth Expectations Fuel Analyst Optimism
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-01 07:55
Core Viewpoint - Ferrari N.V. (NYSE:RACE) is recognized as a leading luxury car brand, but its stock has faced challenges, including a 5.9% decline year-to-date and a significant 21% drop in October due to a disappointing €9 billion revenue target for 2030 [1] Group 1: Analyst Recommendations - As of November 28th, out of 14 analyst recommendations for Ferrari N.V., eight were rated as Buy, three as Strong Buy, and three as Hold, with an average share price target of $484.92 [2] Group 2: Growth Expectations - Goldman Sachs initiated coverage on Ferrari N.V. with a Buy rating and set a share price target of $454 (€391), citing expectations of average selling price growth of 14% in 2026 and 4% in 2027, driven by high-end models like the 296 Versione Speciale and F80 hypercar [3] Group 3: Pricing Power - During the third-quarter earnings call, CEO Benedetto Vigna expressed confidence in maintaining pricing power, attributing it to ongoing innovation and product enhancement, which aims to delight customers and justify price increases [4][5]