Key Takeaways RGTI to report Q2 2025 results on Aug. 12, with consensus estimate of 6 cents loss per share.RGTI's 36-qubit Ankaa-class system hit 99.5% two-qubit fidelity, aiding Ankaa-3 system development.RGTI targets government, research, and commercial deals to turn tech progress into revenue.Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is slated to release second-quarter 2025 results on Aug. 12, after market close. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for loss per share and revenues is pegged at 6 cents and $1.91 million, respecti ...

Could a new breakthrough mean Rigetti is closer to the finish line?Shares of Rigetti Computing (RGTI -1.47%) jumped this week. The quantum computing start-up's stock rose 9.3% from last Friday's close. The move came as the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq-100 rose 2.4% and 3.7%, respectively.Rigetti and other quantum stocks were lifted this week by news that researchers at the University of Southern California may have found a way around obstacles the technology faces in its development.A "rescued" particle could boo ...

Core Insights - Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ:RGTI) is expected to announce its earnings on August 12, 2025, with historical trends indicating a higher likelihood of negative one-day returns following earnings announcements [3][4] - The company is an early-stage quantum technology firm that has not yet achieved profitability, with analysts predicting a revenue contraction for Q2, estimating revenue at $1.87 million, down from $3.09 million in the same quarter last year [4][5] - Rigetti's current market capitalization stands at $4.5 billion, with total revenue of $9.2 million over the past twelve months, resulting in an operating loss of -$74 million and a net loss of -$138 million [5] Historical Performance - Over the past five years, Rigetti's stock has recorded a negative one-day return in 57% of earnings announcements, with a median loss of -6.9% and a maximum loss of -14.6% [3][4] - In the last three years, the percentage of positive one-day returns has increased to 42%, with a median of 7.8% for positive returns [8] Trading Strategies - Traders can position themselves based on historical probabilities before and after earnings reports, evaluating the relationship between immediate and medium-term returns [6][7] - Correlation data between one-day and subsequent five-day returns can provide insights for trading strategies, particularly if a positive one-day return is observed [9]

Core Insights - Rigetti Computing has achieved a significant technical milestone with its 36-qubit Ankaa system, demonstrating a two-qubit gate fidelity of 99.5%, the highest fidelity recorded for its quantum systems, validating its modular architecture and fabrication improvements [1][6] - Despite these advancements, Rigetti has not yet established a clear path to meaningful revenue growth, with its financial results indicating early stages of customer adoption and product-market fit [1][2] - The company plans to launch its 36-qubit system on August 15, 2025, and aims to release a 100+ qubit chiplet-based system targeting 99.5% median two-qubit gate fidelity by the end of 2025 [2] Industry Comparisons - D-Wave Quantum has focused on annealing-based quantum systems and has built early-stage commercial relationships in optimization-heavy industries, resulting in more consistent revenue from paying customers [3] - Quantum Computing Inc. is pursuing a software-centric model with its Qatalyst platform, which remains in early commercialization stages and faces challenges in proving real-world value [4] Financial Performance - Rigetti's shares have increased by 3.6% year-to-date, while the industry has grown by 21.5% [5] - The company has a price-to-book ratio of 22.41, which is above the industry average, and carries a Value Score of F [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Rigetti's 2025 earnings suggests an 86.1% increase from the previous year [8]

Core Insights - Quantum computing is poised to transform the tech industry, with Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI) and D-Wave Quantum Inc. (QBTS) as key players experiencing increasing share values, prompting investor interest in their respective stocks [1] Group 1: Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI) - Rigetti received financial support from the Air Force Office of Scientific Research to enhance quantum computing chip production, enabling the development of error-resistant machines and operational expansion [1] - The introduction of the Ankaa-3 system, featuring 84 qubits, is expected to reverse Rigetti's declining revenue trend and support long-term business sustainability [2] - Rigetti's revenues were $1.5 million in Q1, a 52% decline year-over-year, primarily due to the expiration of government contracts, with total revenues of $10.8 million in 2024 reflecting a 10% decline from the previous year [3] - The company has minimal debt and $575 million in cash as of June, with recent equity offerings generating $350 million to cover operational expenses [4] Group 2: D-Wave Quantum Inc. (QBTS) - D-Wave Quantum reported Q1 revenues of $15 million, a 509% increase year-over-year, driven by the delivery of its first "Advantage" quantum computer system [5] - The company’s cloud-based quantum computing services (QCaaS) have attracted 133 customers, up from 128 last year, including notable clients like Lockheed Martin and Mastercard [6] - D-Wave's cash balance of $815 million in July significantly exceeds its total liabilities of $118.2 million, and the company raised $400 million through an equity offering in June, positioning it well for potential acquisitions [7] Group 3: Investment Considerations - Given Rigetti's declining revenues, D-Wave Quantum appears to be a more favorable investment choice, although Rigetti's Ankaa-3 system may help increase revenues in the near future [8] - Both companies have strong cash positions but are facing operating losses and tough competition, which may lead to investor caution [9] - D-Wave's rising revenues and strong cash reserves, along with its pioneering role in quantum annealing, suggest potential for substantial future revenue generation [10]

智通财经APP获悉，周二，量子概念股走高，截至发稿，Quantum Computing(QUBT.US)涨近5%，IonQ Inc(IONQ.US)、Arqit Quantum(ARQQ.US)涨超3%，Rigetti Computing(RGTI.US)涨超1.8%。 ...

Key Takeaways RGTI unveiled a 36-qubit chiplet-based system with 99.5% fidelity, halving prior generation error rates.Ankaa-2 system is now publicly available on AWS Braket with 98% fidelity and real-time error correction.Rigetti plans to scale its chiplet architecture to 100+ qubits by the end of 2025.Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is beginning to close the gap between cutting-edge hardware and practical application—and the Ankaa system is central to that effort. In July 2025, the company unveiled a 36-qubit chi ...

Group 1 - The quantum computing sector experienced significant gains, with Rigetti Computing (RGTI.US) rising over 9.8%, D-Wave Quantum (QBTS.US) increasing over 7%, Arqit Quantum (ARQQ.US) up over 6%, and Quantum Computing (QUBT.US) climbing over 5% [1] - Microsoft's CEO highlighted that quantum computing will be a crucial accelerator for cloud computing [1]

Core Insights - Quantum computing is evolving from a scientific experiment to a practical solution for real-world problems, with companies like Rigetti Computing (RGTI) and Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT) leading the way through different technological approaches [1][3] Company Strategies - Rigetti is focused on building universal quantum computers using gate-based superconducting qubits, aiming for scalability and broad applicability across various industries [1][7] - QUBT is developing photonic quantum technologies with thin-film lithium niobate-based chips, targeting practical, room-temperature solutions for optimization and machine learning tasks [2][10] Commercialization Efforts - Rigetti's revenue primarily comes from government contracts and research partnerships, with a focus on long-term value through system performance improvements and cloud integration [11] - QUBT is adopting a product-first approach, having completed its photonic chip foundry and secured initial purchase orders, indicating growing traction in the market [12][14] Performance Metrics - Rigetti's shares have gained 2% year-to-date, while QUBT's shares have decreased by 2.4% [6] - Rigetti demonstrated a significant leap in error reduction with a 99.5% median two-qubit gate fidelity on its 36-qubit Ankaa-2 system [7] Future Roadmaps - Rigetti plans to develop a 336-qubit Lyra system and has a $250 million partnership with Quanta Computer to enhance chip production and cloud access [13] - QUBT is focusing on near-term adoption through its operational foundry and partnerships for practical applications in drug discovery and LIDAR processing [14] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Rigetti's 2025 sales indicates an 18.63% year-over-year decline, while QUBT's estimates suggest a 34.1% growth [15][18] Investment Considerations - Both companies hold a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) and a Value Score of 'F', with Rigetti showing a Growth Score of 'B' and QUBT a Growth Score of 'C' [21][22]

Core Viewpoint - The quantum computing industry presents significant investment opportunities, with IonQ and Rigetti Computing as key players, each employing different technologies to develop quantum computers [1][2]. Company Summaries IonQ - IonQ utilizes ion-based technology for its quantum machines, which can operate at room temperature and have lower error correction rates, making scalability more feasible [10][12]. - The company reported a Q1 operating loss of $75.7 million on revenue of $7.6 million, an increase from the previous year's loss of $52.9 million [12]. - IonQ aims for revenue growth, projecting sales of $75 million to $95 million in 2025, a significant increase from 2024's revenue of $43.1 million, which saw a 95% year-over-year rise [12][17]. - IonQ's stock is considered a better value compared to Rigetti, despite its high price-to-sales (P/S) ratio exceeding 200 [15][17]. Rigetti Computing - Rigetti employs superconducting qubits, a well-established method that allows for faster calculations but requires expensive cryogenic equipment to maintain operational stability [5][7]. - The company faced a Q1 operating loss of $21.6 million on sales of $1.5 million, with a 52% year-over-year revenue decline [8]. - Rigetti executed a $350 million equity offering, resulting in a cash reserve of $575 million with no debt as of June 11, which is expected to support its operations in the short term [8][9]. - The stock's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio has surged, indicating it may be overpriced compared to IonQ [15]. Industry Insights - The quantum computing market was valued at $4 billion in 2024, with projections estimating growth to $72 billion by 2035, highlighting the industry's potential [16].