Workflow
Rigetti(RGTI)
icon
Search documents
Prediction: Rigetti Computing Stock Is Going to Plummet in 2026
The Motley Fool· 2026-03-13 09:31
Core Insights - Quantum computing has significant potential in scientific research and cryptography, utilizing superposition to handle data-intensive tasks more efficiently than classical computers [1] - Rigetti Computing is a key player in the quantum industry, but its current hardware is not yet ready for mass commercialization due to high error rates [2][3] Company Overview - Founded in 2013, Rigetti has developed a complete supply chain for quantum computing, including chip manufacturing, a proprietary programming language (Quil), and a cloud platform for leasing quantum computing capacity [5] - Rigetti's multi-chip quantum computer, Cepheus-1-36Q, has a gate fidelity of 99.5%, indicating improved accuracy in quantum operations [6][7] Performance Metrics - Rigetti's revenue for 2025 was $7.1 million, a 34% decrease from the previous year, which is minimal compared to its market valuation of approximately $6 billion [10] - The company incurred an operating loss of $84.6 million and a GAAP net loss of $216.2 million, with significant expenses in research and development [11][12] Financial Position - As of December 31, Rigetti had $443.5 million in cash and marketable securities, allowing it to sustain its operations despite ongoing losses [13] - The company's stock has decreased by 62% from its peak, yet it maintains a high price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 779, which is unsustainable compared to peers like Palantir and Nvidia [14][15][17] Future Outlook - Rigetti plans to launch a new system with a gate fidelity of around 99.7% in December, but practical applications remain limited due to error rates [8] - The company's high valuation and declining revenue could lead to further stock price declines, as the P/S ratio may increase if revenue continues to fall [17]
How One Trader Flipped $50K Into $520K — and What You Can Learn About Managing Trades
Yahoo Finance· 2026-03-12 21:01
Core Insights - A trader on Reddit's r/wallstreetbets reported growing a brokerage account from $50,000 to over $520,000 in less than a year, primarily using margin to buy shares instead of short-dated options [1] Group 1: Trading Strategy - The trader's initial significant trade was purchasing Sharplink Inc (NASDAQ:SBET) at $9, which increased the account to approximately $200,000 [2] - From the $200,000 base, the trader engaged in both long and short positions, including a short on Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ:RGTI) and a long position in Coinbase Global (NASDAQ:COIN), where 5,500 shares were bought at an average price of $145 and sold at $172, yielding a profit of about $148,500 [3] - The trader capitalized on market pullbacks by buying cybersecurity stocks like CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD) and Cloudflare Inc (NYSE:NET) [4] Group 2: Account Performance - By March 10, the account balance reached $523,125.66, reflecting a year-to-date gain of over $150,000, or 40.44%, with current holdings in Nvidia Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), and Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) [5] Group 3: Margin vs. Options - The trader expressed a preference for margin trading over options, citing the absence of time decay as a key advantage, which allows for holding positions without the risk of automatic loss due to expiration [6] - This perspective on margin trading received mixed reactions from the community, with some users questioning the wisdom of margin trading compared to options [7]
Rigetti Computing (RGTI) Reaffirmed Deployment Target for 108-Qubit System
Yahoo Finance· 2026-03-12 20:14
Core Viewpoint - Rigetti Computing Inc. (NASDAQ:RGTI) is recognized as one of the top computer hardware stocks for long-term investment, despite a recent price target reduction by Jefferies from $30 to $20, maintaining a Hold rating with an upside potential of nearly 18% [1][3]. Financial Performance - For Q4, Rigetti reported revenue of $1.9 million, falling short of the consensus forecast of $2.3 million [4]. - As of December 31, 2025, the company had cash and equivalents, along with available-for-sale investments, totaling $589.8 million [4]. Operational Momentum - The company is experiencing positive operational momentum, highlighted by improved system sales and multiple contract wins for 2026 [3]. - Management has made significant advancements in speed and error rates, with a commitment to the March timeline for deploying a 108-qubit system [3]. Strategic Focus - Rigetti's strategy emphasizes achieving practical quantum advantage, with validated elements including enhanced two-qubit gate fidelity and ongoing scaling in superconducting quantum technology [5]. - The company's vertically integrated full-stack development approach facilitates quicker iterations, intellectual property protection, and performance enhancements as it scales beyond 100 qubits [5]. Company Overview - Rigetti Computing Inc. specializes in quantum computing and semiconductor hardware, designing and building superconducting quantum processors [6]. - The company offers quantum-computing-as-a-service through its cloud-based platform, catering to commercial, academic, and government partners [6].
Rigetti's Q4 Operating Loss Persists Amid Tech Progress: Buy or Hold?
ZACKS· 2026-03-12 17:51
Core Insights - Rigetti Computing (RGTI) continues to make technological advancements in quantum computing while facing significant operating losses, highlighting the early-stage nature of the market [1][16] - The company achieved a milestone of 99.9% two-qubit gate fidelity at a 28-nanosecond gate speed, indicating improved system performance [2][9] - Rigetti secured an $8.4 million order for a 108-qubit quantum system from India's Centre for Development of Advanced Computing, reflecting early commercial traction [2][8] Financial Performance - In Q4 2025, Rigetti generated $1.9 million in revenue and reported a $22.6 million operating loss, with full-year revenue totaling $7.1 million against an adjusted net loss of $50.5 million [1][16] - The company ended 2025 with $589.8 million in cash and no debt, providing financial flexibility for R&D investments [2] Competitive Landscape - Competition in the quantum computing sector is intensifying, with IonQ reporting $130 million in revenue for 2025 and D-Wave focusing on near-term commercialization [3] - Rigetti's stock has seen an 11.2% decline over the past six months, while peers have experienced varying performance, with IonQ down 38.4% and QUBT down 55.2% [4] Technological Advancements - Rigetti's superconducting quantum platform demonstrated strong median fidelities across various qubit systems, with 99.7% on a 9-qubit system and 99% on a 108-qubit platform [9][10] - The company is advancing its chiplet-based architecture, which is seen as a scalable path to larger quantum systems [11][12] Sales and Growth Projections - Rigetti is expected to see a 257.1% improvement in revenues in 2026, although earnings per share are projected to remain negative [13] - Continued demand for on-premises quantum systems is anticipated to drive meaningful year-over-year revenue growth [7] Challenges - The company faces the challenge of converting technological progress into a stronger revenue base, with high operating costs associated with advanced quantum hardware development [16] - Rigetti's stock is considered overvalued, trading at a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 10.24X compared to the industry average of 4.4X [17]
Rigetti (RGTI) Reports $7.1M FY25 Revenue, Strong $589.8M Cash Position
Yahoo Finance· 2026-03-11 20:56
Core Insights - Rigetti Computing Inc. reported total annual revenues of $7.1 million for the year 2025, with a GAAP net loss of $216.2 million, but ended the year with a strong cash position of $589.8 million in cash and available-for-sale investments [1][3]. Financial Performance - The company experienced a GAAP net loss of $216.2 million for the year 2025 [1]. - Rigetti Computing's total annual revenues were reported at $7.1 million [1]. - The company concluded the year with a cash position of $589.8 million [1]. Technical Developments - 2025 was marked as a year of significant technical validation, particularly in scaling superconducting quantum technology [1]. - Rigetti is focused on deploying its 108-qubit system, having made architectural refinements to enhance stability and control [3]. Commercial Activity - There is increased demand for on-premises quantum systems from government and research institutions [2]. - Rigetti secured an $8.4 million order from India's Centre for Development of Advanced Computing for a 108-qubit system [2]. - The company is progressing on several Novera on-premises system orders totaling $5.7 million, integrating quantum hardware into HPC environments for hybrid classical-quantum workloads [2]. Future Outlook - Rigetti expects significant year-over-year revenue growth in Q1 2026 as Novera systems begin shipping [3]. - Collaborations with partners like Nvidia and Riverlane are ongoing to advance the company's roadmap toward achieving practical quantum advantage [3].
Should Investors Avoid Rigetti Computing as It Struggles to Generate Revenue?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-03-10 11:08
Core Viewpoint - Rigetti Computing's shares declined over 25% year-to-date after missing revenue expectations, despite a 78% increase over the past year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Rigetti's revenue fell 17% to $1.9 million, missing the analyst consensus of $2.3 million [6] - Gross margins decreased from 44% to 35%, while operating expenses rose 19% to $23.2 million, resulting in an operating loss of $22.6 million [6] - The adjusted net loss was $11.3 million, or $0.03 per share, aided by higher interest income [6] Group 2: Technological Challenges - Rigetti faces significant technological issues, particularly with error rates in quantum computing, which uses qubits that are more sensitive to external factors [4] - The company had to delay shipments of its Cepheus-1-108Q quantum computer due to technical issues, now expecting to achieve 99.5% median two-qubit gate fidelity [5] - Competitors like IonQ have achieved higher fidelity rates, with IonQ reaching 99.99%, indicating Rigetti's struggles in this area [5] Group 3: Future Outlook - Revenue is expected to increase in 2026, driven by recent orders, including two Novera systems sold for $5.7 million [7] - Nearly half of the Novera sale will be recognized in the first quarter, with the remainder throughout the year [7] - An additional $8.4 million order for its 108-qubit system from India's Centre for Development of Advanced Computing is anticipated for deployment in the second half of the year [8] Group 4: Market Valuation - Despite projected revenue of only around $20 million in 2026, Rigetti commands a market capitalization exceeding $5 billion, raising concerns about its valuation relative to its competitive position [9]
Can Rigetti's Technology Breakthroughs Accelerate Quantum Progress?
ZACKS· 2026-03-09 18:10
Core Insights - Rigetti Computing (RGTI) has made significant advancements in quantum hardware performance, achieving a two-qubit gate fidelity of up to 99.9% at a 28-nanosecond gate speed using its proprietary adiabatic CZ scheme [1][10] - The company has maintained a one-qubit gate fidelity of 99.9% and reported strong median two-qubit fidelities across various platforms, including 99.7% on its 9-qubit system, 99.6% on the 36-qubit system, and approximately 99% on its 108-qubit Cepheus-1 system [1][10] - Rigetti is advancing its chiplet-based architecture, which allows for scalable quantum systems by interconnecting multiple smaller chips, thus improving fabrication yield and maintaining chip uniformity [3] - The company is also collaborating with Riverlane on quantum error correction research, which is crucial for achieving practical quantum advantage [4] Company Developments - Rigetti's chiplet-based architecture is seen as a scalable pathway for building larger quantum systems, with recent testing identifying tunable-coupler interactions at higher qubit counts [3] - Architectural refinements have been implemented to enhance system stability and control, increasing confidence in the platform's readiness for deployment [3] - Rigetti's shares have increased by 5.1% over the past six months, contrasting with a 20.8% decline in the industry [9] Financial Performance - Rigetti trades at a price-to-book ratio of 10.28, which is above the industry average, and carries a Value Score of F [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Rigetti's 2026 earnings indicates a significant improvement of 74.3% compared to the previous year [13] - Current estimates for Rigetti's earnings show a projected loss of $0.68 for the current year, with expectations of narrowing losses to $0.18 in the next year [14]
Rigetti Is Starting To Look Interesting Again
Seeking Alpha· 2026-03-09 17:21
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of momentum in navigating the technology landscape, particularly in the context of past market events and the current AI boom [1]. Group 1: Market Experience - The author has over two decades of experience in the market, specifically focusing on the technology, media, and telecommunications (TMT) sectors [1]. - The author has navigated significant market events such as the dot-com bubble, the credit default crisis of 2008, and the recent surge in artificial intelligence [1]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - The primary focus of the author's investment strategy revolves around risk mitigation and identifying momentum within the market [1].
Rigetti Computing shares slump on Q4 revenue miss
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2026-03-05 16:08
Company Overview - Proactive is a financial news publisher that provides fast, accessible, informative, and actionable business and finance news content to a global investment audience [2] - The company operates with a team of experienced and qualified news journalists, ensuring independent content production [2] Market Focus - Proactive specializes in medium and small-cap markets while also covering blue-chip companies, commodities, and broader investment stories [3] - The news team delivers insights across various sectors, including biotech and pharma, mining and natural resources, battery metals, oil and gas, crypto, and emerging digital and EV technologies [3] Technology Adoption - Proactive is recognized for its forward-looking approach and enthusiastic adoption of technology to enhance workflows [4] - The company utilizes automation and software tools, including generative AI, while ensuring that all content is edited and authored by humans [5]
RGTI Stock Down Despite Q4 Earnings Top Estimates, Revenues Decline Y/Y
ZACKS· 2026-03-05 15:36
Core Insights - Rigetti Computing (RGTI) reported a narrower adjusted loss per share of 3 cents for Q4 2025, compared to a loss of 6 cents in the same quarter last year, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 40% [1] - Total revenues for Q4 2025 were $1.9 million, down 17.9% year over year, and missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 30% [2] - The company secured an $8.4 million purchase order from India's Centre for Development of Advanced Computing for a 108-qubit quantum computer, expected to be deployed in the second half of 2026 [7][9] Revenue and Earnings - RGTI's total revenues for 2025 were $7.1 million, a decline of 34.3% year over year, with an adjusted loss per share of 16 cents, improved from 29 cents in 2024 [2] - The gross profit for Q4 2025 decreased by 35% year over year to $0.7 million, with a gross margin contraction of 920 basis points to 34.9% [3] Operating Expenses and Losses - Selling, general and administrative expenses rose by 1% year over year to $5.9 million, while research and development expenses increased by 27% to $17.3 million [3] - Total operating expenses for the quarter were $23.2 million, up 19.2% year over year, leading to an operating loss of $22.6 million compared to $18.5 million in the prior-year quarter [4][6] Financial Position - At the end of Q4 2025, RGTI had cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaling $443.5 million, slightly down from $446.9 million at the end of Q3 2025, with no debts on its balance sheet [5] - Cumulative net cash used in operating activities was $58.5 million, compared to $50.6 million a year ago [5] Technological Advancements - Rigetti made progress in its Novera on-premises quantum systems, with two installations representing approximately $5.7 million in purchase orders [10] - The company achieved two-qubit gate fidelity of 99.9% at a 28-nanosecond gate speed, maintaining 99.9% one-qubit gate fidelity [11] - Rigetti is advancing its scalable architecture with chiplet tiling, enhancing qubit counts and manufacturing consistency [12]