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Why Needham Backed Similarweb’s AI Ambitions Despite Ongoing Profitability Struggles
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-08 16:08
Core Viewpoint - Similarweb Ltd. is gaining renewed analyst interest due to its strong performance in the small-cap tech sector and its potential in the large language model data opportunity, which could lead to significant revenue growth over time [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Similarweb reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.05, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.02, and generated revenue of $71.79 million, slightly below the expected $71.95 million [3]. - The company experienced a negative net margin of –11.2% and a negative return on equity of –78.25%, indicating ongoing challenges in achieving profitability despite beating top-line and per-share expectations [4]. Business Model and Market Position - Similarweb offers a cloud-based digital intelligence platform that aggregates and analyzes web and app traffic data from millions of sites and applications globally, providing insights for businesses, marketers, and analysts to track market trends and optimize digital strategies [5]. Analyst Sentiment - Needham & Company LLC has reiterated a "Buy" rating on Similarweb with a price target of $14.00, citing improved go-to-market execution and early signs of better customer retention as factors that may enhance revenue retention metrics heading into fiscal 2026 [2].
Similarweb: Well Positioned For Growth Acceleration In The Coming Quarters
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-28 12:08
I gave a buy rating to Similarweb ( SMWB ) previously, as the Q2 results were bullish, showing broad-based strength, better upmarket traction, and positive developments with monetizing its Gen-AI efforts. SWMB is scaling well with its Gen-AII'm a passionate investor with a strong foundation in fundamental analysis and a keen eye for identifying undervalued companies with long-term growth potential. My investment approach is a blend of value investing principles and a focus on long-term growth. I believe in ...
Why Similarweb Stock Is Plummeting Today
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-12 17:05
Core Viewpoint - Similarweb's stock is experiencing a decline following the release of its third-quarter results, which showed mixed performance with earnings exceeding forecasts but sales falling short [2][4]. Financial Performance - For Q3, Similarweb reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.05 on sales of $71.79 million, while Wall Street analysts had estimated earnings of $0.02 on sales of $71.95 million [4]. - Year-over-year, sales increased by 11%, and the customer base grew by 15% compared to the previous year [4]. Guidance and Forecast - The company reaffirmed its full-year sales guidance, expecting sales to be between $285 million and $288 million [5]. - Similarweb raised its full-year adjusted operating income target to a range of $8.5 million to $9.5 million, up from the previous guidance of $5 million to $7 million [5]. Market Reaction - Despite the positive adjustments in profit forecasts, the stock price fell by 8.7% during trading, with a peak decline of 16.9% earlier in the session [1][2]. - Investor concerns are growing regarding the company's pricing power, as customer growth is significantly outpacing sales growth [6].
Similarweb(SMWB) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-12 14:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased by 11% year over year to $72 million, aligning with expectations [5][11] - Customer base grew 15% year over year to over 6,000 ARR customers [5] - Reported eighth consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow, generating $43 million over the past eight quarters [9][12] - Normalized free cash flow for the quarter was $3 million, with a 4% free cash flow margin [12] - Remaining performance obligations (RPO) totaled $268 million at the end of Q3, up 26% year over year [12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - ARR from GenAI Intelligence products grew rapidly to over $1 million since the launch in April [6] - App Intelligence ARR increased to above $10 million, with over 580 customers using the product [8] - 58% of ARR is contracted under multi-year contracts, up from 45% last year, indicating revenue durability [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Overall net revenue retention (NRR) was 98% across all customers and 105% for customers with over $100,000 of ARR [12] - Gross revenue retention (GRR) showed improving trends, reaching the highest level in two years [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Focus on three high-impact opportunities: GenAI intelligence, data selling for LLM, and AI agents [5][6] - Launched Web Intelligence 4.0, integrating GenAI capabilities into the web intelligence solution [6][8] - Investment in go-to-market strategies is ramping, with 30% more sellers than the previous year [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management reiterated guidance for 2025 revenues, expecting total revenue in the range of $285 million to $288 million, representing 15% year-over-year growth at the midpoint [13] - Raised non-GAAP operating profit guidance to between $8.5 million and $9.5 million, reflecting disciplined execution [13] - Confidence in converting large data contracts for LLMs into ARR deals in the future [19][20] Other Important Information - New CFO Ron Verrett will join in December, bringing over 20 years of finance experience [10] - The company is focused on delivering profitable growth and achieving long-term profit and free cash flow targets [9] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about your gross revenue retention? - Management noted that NRR reflects expansion primarily from large contracts booked in previous quarters, which may not yet show in NRR [16][17] Question: How is the LLM data selling evolving? - Management confirmed that the process of converting one-time data sales into ARR deals is lengthy but expressed confidence in future conversions [18][19] Question: Where are App Intelligence customers coming from? - Majority of App Intelligence customers are cross-sell from existing clients, leveraging their existing digital data needs [23][25] Question: Why did RPU decline slightly? - RPU was impacted by the addition of new customers, particularly larger ones, which may not yet reflect in revenue [32][33] Question: Any impact on demand for web intelligence due to SEO traffic decline? - Management observed increased demand for solutions as companies seek to fill gaps from declining SEO traffic [35][36] Question: Can you highlight any customer conversations around GenAI products? - There is significant interest in GenAI optimization products, with customers keen to understand brand perceptions and sentiment [50][52] Question: Any changes in the mix between enterprise and mid-market customers? - No significant changes in the customer mix between SMB and enterprise were observed [56] Question: How should we think about next year? - Guidance for next year will be provided in the next quarter, with a focus on ongoing engagement with large data contracts [72][73]
Similarweb(SMWB) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-12 14:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased by 11% year over year to $72 million, in line with expectations [5][11] - Customer base grew 15% year over year to over 6,000 ARR customers at quarter end [5] - Reported eighth consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow, generating $43 million over the past eight quarters [9] - Normalized free cash flow for the quarter was $3 million, with a 4% free cash flow margin [12] - Remaining performance obligations (RPO) totaled $268 million at the end of Q3, up 26% year over year [12] - Overall net revenue retention (NRR) was 98% across all customers and 105% for customers with over $100,000 of ARR [12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - ARR from GenAI Intelligence products grew rapidly to over $1 million since the launch in April [6] - App Intelligence ARR increased rapidly to above $10 million, with over 580 customers using the product [8] - 58% of ARR is contracted under multi-year contracts, up from 45% last year, indicating revenue durability [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company launched Web Intelligence 4.0, integrating GenAI capabilities into its web intelligence solution [6] - Digital app data now covers over 4 million iOS and Android apps across 58 countries, providing comprehensive data coverage [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Focus on three high-impact opportunities: GenAI Intelligence, data selling for LLM, and AI agents [5][6] - Investment in go-to-market strategies is ramping up, with a 30% increase in sales personnel compared to the previous year [9] - The company aims to deliver profitable growth over time while achieving long-term profit and free cash flow targets [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management reiterated guidance for 2025 revenues, expecting total revenue in the range of $285 million to $288 million, representing 15% year-over-year growth [13] - The transition to a new CFO is expected to drive growth, efficiency, and strategic transformation [10] - Management expressed confidence in converting current data engagements into ARR deals, particularly in the LLM space [19][20] Other Important Information - The company is seeing strong customer interest in GenAI data and solutions, which are among the fastest-growing revenue streams [5] - The launch of Similarweb MCP Server is expected to enhance the integration of digital market intelligence data into AI agents and workflows [8] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about your gross revenue retention? - Management noted that NRR reflects expansion primarily from large contracts booked in previous quarters, which will convert into ARR deals over time [16][17] Question: Can you discuss the evolution of LLM training data partnerships? - Management confirmed that the process of converting upfront data purchases into long-term relationships is lengthy but expressed confidence in future conversions [18][19] Question: Where are App Intelligence customers coming from? - The majority of App Intelligence customers are cross-sell from existing clients who trust the company’s digital data offerings [23][25] Question: Why did RPU decline slightly despite focusing on up-market customers? - RPU was impacted by the addition of new customers, particularly larger ones, and management expects fluctuations over time [32][33] Question: Is there an uptick in competition for GenAI products? - Management acknowledged increased interest in GenAI but expressed confidence in maintaining a dominant position due to unique datasets and strong client relationships [57][58]
Similarweb(SMWB) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-12 14:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased by 11% year over year to $72 million, in line with expectations [4][10] - Customer base grew 15% year over year to over 6,000 ARR customers at quarter end [4] - Reported an eighth consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow, generating $43 million over the past eight quarters [8] - Normalized free cash flow for the quarter was $3 million, with a 4% free cash flow margin [11] - Remaining performance obligations (RPO) totaled $268 million at the end of Q3, up 26% year over year [11] - Net revenue retention (NRR) was 98% across all customers and 105% for customers with over $100,000 of ARR [11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - ARR from GenAI Intelligence products grew rapidly to over $1 million since the launch in April [5] - App Intelligence ARR increased rapidly to above $10 million, with over 580 customers using the product [6] - 58% of ARR is contracted under multi-year contracts, up from 45% last year, indicating revenue durability [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company launched Web Intelligence 4.0, integrating GenAI capabilities into its web intelligence solution [5] - Digital app data now covers over 4 million iOS and Android apps across 58 countries, providing comprehensive data coverage [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three high-impact opportunities: GenAI intelligence, data selling for LLM, and AI agents [4][5] - The investment in go-to-market strategies is ramping as planned, with a 30% increase in sellers compared to the previous year [8] - The company aims to deliver profitable growth over time while achieving long-term profit and free cash flow targets [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management reiterated guidance for 2025 revenues and raised profit guidance for the year due to disciplined execution [4][12] - There is strong customer interest in GenAI data and solutions, which are among the fastest-growing revenue streams [4] - Management expressed confidence in converting current engagements into ARR deals, particularly in the LLM space [15][16] Other Important Information - The company is preparing for the arrival of a new CFO with over 20 years of finance experience [9] - The company is seeing initial good signs of monetization from the new pricing schema for Web Intelligence [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about your gross revenue retention? - Management noted that NRR reflects expansion activity primarily from large contracts booked in previous quarters, which will convert into ARR deals over time [14][15] Question: Can you discuss the evolution of LLM training data partnerships? - Management confirmed that the process of converting data purchases into long-term relationships is lengthy but expressed confidence in future conversions [17][18] Question: Where are App Intelligence customers coming from? - The majority of App Intelligence customers are cross-sell from existing clients who trust the company’s digital data offerings [20][21] Question: Why did RPU decline slightly despite focusing on up-market customers? - RPU was impacted by the addition of new customers, particularly larger ones, which may not have contributed significantly to ARR yet [27][28] Question: What is the impact of declining SEO traffic on demand for web intelligence? - Management observed an increase in demand for solutions as companies seek to fill gaps from declining SEO traffic [29][30] Question: How is the ramp-up of sales representatives progressing? - The company is seeing improvements in go-to-market execution and higher participation from salespeople in generating revenues [31][32] Question: What is driving the lower costs in sales and marketing? - Cost savings are attributed to optimizing sales rep productivity and letting go of underperforming hires while retaining successful ones [36][57] Question: Can you characterize the big deals in the pipeline? - The company is seeing success in selling data for LLM companies, which are critical for building and training models [60][61]
Similarweb Ltd. 2025 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:SMWB) 2025-11-12
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-12 14:01
Core Insights - The article discusses the importance of enabling Javascript and cookies in browsers to prevent access issues [1] Group 1 - The article highlights that users may face blocks if they have ad-blockers enabled [1]
Similarweb(SMWB) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-11-12 13:30
INVESTOR PRESENTATION Q3 2025 INVESTOR PRESENTATION INVESTOR PRESENTATION Q3 2025 Q3 2025 1 NOTES REGARDING THIS PRESENTATION This presentation contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Act, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Forward-looking statements include statements relating to the expected performance of our business, future financial results, strategy, long-term growth and overa ...
Similarweb Names Ran Vered Chief Financial Officer
Businesswire· 2025-10-27 11:30
Group 1 - Similarweb Ltd. announced the appointment of Ran Vered as Chief Financial Officer, effective December 21, 2025 [1] - Ran Vered has over two decades of finance experience and a proven track record in driving growth, efficiency, and strategic transformation [1] - Prior to joining Similarweb, Mr. Vered served as CFO of Lusha, a high-growth SAAS Sales Intelligence enterprise software for B2B data [1]
SimilarWeb: Still Very Confident In The Growth Acceleration Outlook
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-15 08:26
Group 1 - The core thesis for SimilarWeb (NYSE: SMWB) is that its fundamentals remain healthy, with signs of revenue growth gaining momentum supported by go-to-market strategies and product development [1] - The investment approach emphasizes a blend of value investing principles and a focus on long-term growth, aiming to buy quality companies at a discount to their intrinsic value [1] Group 2 - No stock, option, or similar derivative positions are held in any of the companies mentioned, and there are no plans to initiate such positions within the next 72 hours [2] - The article expresses personal opinions and is not receiving compensation from any company mentioned [2]