Core Viewpoint - Steel Dynamics (STLD) is set to report its financial results on October 20, 2025, with expectations of a significant increase in earnings per share (EPS) and revenue compared to the previous year [2][3]. Financial Performance - The anticipated EPS for the upcoming quarter is $2.66, reflecting a 29.76% increase year-over-year [2]. - Revenue is expected to reach $4.69 billion, indicating an 8.04% rise from the same quarter last year [2]. - For the entire year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates forecast an EPS of $8.9, which represents a decrease of 9.55% compared to the previous year, while revenue is projected at $18.22 billion, showing a growth of 3.88% [3]. Analyst Estimates - Recent changes in analyst estimates for Steel Dynamics are crucial, as upward revisions indicate positive sentiment regarding the company's business operations and profit generation capabilities [4]. - The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates these estimate changes, currently assigns Steel Dynamics a rank of 3 (Hold) [6]. Valuation Metrics - Steel Dynamics is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 16.42, which is higher than the industry average of 13.51, suggesting a premium valuation [7]. - The company has a PEG ratio of 1.19, compared to the industry average of 0.81, indicating that Steel Dynamics is expected to grow at a faster rate than its peers [8]. Industry Context - The Steel - Producers industry, part of the Basic Materials sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 96, placing it in the top 39% of over 250 industries [8].

Core Viewpoint - Steel Dynamics (STLD) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.66 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 29.8%, with anticipated revenues of $4.7 billion, an 8.2% increase compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 0.6% in the past 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [2]. - Revisions to earnings estimates are significant indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock, with empirical research showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue and Sales Forecasts - Analysts project 'External Net Sales- Steel' to reach $3.27 billion, a 12% increase from the year-ago quarter [5]. - The estimate for 'External Net Sales- Steel Fabrication' is $403.07 million, indicating a decrease of 9.9% year-over-year [5]. - 'External Net Sales- Metals Recycling' is expected to be $530.23 million, reflecting a decline of 6.3% from the previous year [5]. - 'External Net Sales- Other' is forecasted at $396.62 million, a decrease of 3.7% year-over-year [6]. Pricing and Shipment Metrics - The average external sales price for steel is projected to be $1,083 per tonne, up from $1,059 per tonne a year ago [6]. - The average sales price for steel fabrication is expected to be $2,589 per tonne, down from $2,836 per tonne in the previous year [7]. - 'Steel - External Shipments' are anticipated to reach 3,018 thousand tons, compared to 2,755 thousand tons last year [7]. - 'Steel Fabrication - Shipments' are expected to be 156 thousand tons, slightly down from 159 thousand tons year-over-year [8]. - 'Steel - Flat Roll shipments' are projected at 2,105 thousand tons, an increase from 1,924 thousand tons last year [9]. - 'Metals Recycling - Ferrous shipments' are estimated at 1,571 thousand tons, up from 1,459 thousand tons in the same quarter of the previous year [9]. - 'Steel - Flat Roll shipments - Steel Processing Divisions' are expected to be 489 thousand tons, compared to 471 thousand tons last year [10]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, Steel Dynamics shares have returned +5.2%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1% change, indicating a performance that aligns with the overall market [11].

Core Viewpoint - Steel Dynamics (STLD) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with earnings expected to be $2.66 per share, reflecting a 29.8% increase, and revenues projected at $4.7 billion, an 8.2% rise from the previous year [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for October 20, and the stock may experience upward movement if the reported figures exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.1% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a slight bullish sentiment among analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model shows a positive Earnings ESP of +0.25% for Steel Dynamics, suggesting a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Steel Dynamics was expected to post earnings of $2.05 per share but delivered $2.01, resulting in a surprise of -1.95% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Investment Considerations - While an earnings beat can influence stock movement, other factors may also play a significant role in determining stock performance post-earnings release [15]. - Investors are encouraged to consider both the Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank when evaluating Steel Dynamics ahead of its earnings announcement [16].

Core Insights - Steel Dynamics, Inc. (NASDAQ: STLD) has experienced a moderate performance over the past year, with a stock price increase of approximately 9% [1] - The company is influenced by two tariff factors: higher steel and aluminum prices enhance the competitiveness of domestic steelmakers, while tariffs have a counteracting effect [1] Company Performance - The stock has added about 9% over the past year, indicating a stable performance in a fluctuating market [1] - The interplay of tariffs and commodity prices is critical in determining the company's market position and profitability [1] Industry Context - The domestic steel industry is affected by external tariff policies, which can either bolster or hinder competitiveness depending on market conditions [1]

Core Insights - Steel Dynamics, Inc. (NASDAQ:STLD) is recognized as one of the best long-term investment stocks, demonstrating consistent revenue and dividend growth [1] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, Steel Dynamics provided earnings guidance of $2.60 to $2.64 per diluted share, surpassing BMO's estimate of $2.55 and the consensus of $2.58 [2] - BMO Capital reaffirmed its Outperform rating with a price target of $150, attributing the expected earnings beat to solid steel shipments, wider metal spreads, and strong profitability in the metals recycling division [2] Operational Highlights - Strong order backlogs from various sectors, including commercial, data center, manufacturing, warehouse, and healthcare, are expected to enhance steel fabrication operations with increased volumes and stable spreads [3] - The company is successfully commissioning its aluminum plant in Columbus, Mississippi, and its recycled slab facility in San Luis Potosi, Mexico, with early-stage performance exceeding expectations [3] - In Q3, Steel Dynamics repurchased $185 million worth of ordinary shares, indicating confidence in its financial position [3] Business Segments - Steel Dynamics operates through its Steel Operations, Metals Recycling, Steel Fabrication, and Aluminum divisions, focusing on steel manufacturing and metal recycling in the United States [4]

Core Insights - Steel Dynamics, Inc. specializes in steel production, metals recycling, and steel fabrication, utilizing a circular manufacturing model to transform recycled scrap into high-quality steel products [1] - The company has a market capitalization of $20.55 billion and is active in construction and automotive sectors, while also expanding into sustainable aluminum production [2] - Analysts expect Steel Dynamics to report a profit of $2.66 per share for the third quarter, reflecting a 29.8% year-over-year increase from $2.05 per share in the previous year [3] Financial Performance - The company missed its earnings expectations in the second quarter due to tariff-related uncertainties, which resulted in increased inventory and a slowdown in shipments [4] - For fiscal 2025, analysts project a 9.3% decline in diluted EPS to $8.93, followed by a significant rebound of 43.7% to $12.83 in fiscal 2026 [4] Market Comparison - Over the past year, Steel Dynamics' shares have gained 11.5%, underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which increased by 15.6% [5] - The VanEck Steel ETF has shown a 3.3% increase over the past 52 weeks, with a year-to-date rise of 24.3%, indicating that Steel Dynamics is closely following the industry's performance [5] Regulatory Environment - The company is facing challenges from imports, but welcomed the ITC's decision affirming that imports of corrosion-resistant steel from ten countries have harmed the U.S. steel industry, which may lead to duties benefiting U.S. producers [6]

Company Performance - Steel Dynamics (STLD) closed at $136.69, down 1.71% from the previous trading session, underperforming the S&P 500's loss of 0.55% [1] - Over the past month, shares of Steel Dynamics gained 4.34%, slightly trailing the Basic Materials sector's gain of 4.52% and outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 3.64% [1] Upcoming Earnings - The earnings report for Steel Dynamics is scheduled for October 20, 2025, with projected earnings per share (EPS) of $2.66, indicating a 29.76% increase year-over-year [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is $4.7 billion, reflecting an 8.26% increase from the same quarter last year [2] Full Year Projections - For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates project earnings of $8.93 per share and revenue of $18.34 billion, representing changes of -9.25% and +4.54% from the prior year, respectively [3] - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts are important as they reflect near-term business trends, with positive changes indicating a favorable outlook on business health and profitability [3] Valuation Metrics - Steel Dynamics has a Forward P/E ratio of 15.57, which is a premium compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 14.14 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 1.13, while the Steel - Producers industry has an average PEG ratio of 0.78 [6] Industry Context - The Steel - Producers industry is part of the Basic Materials sector and currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 165, placing it in the bottom 34% of over 250 industries [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the strength of industry groups based on the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks, with the top 50% rated industries outperforming the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Core Insights - Nucor Corporation (NUE) and Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) are leading steel producers in the U.S., serving critical markets such as construction, automotive, and industrial sectors [1] - U.S. steel prices have declined due to weak demand and high production levels, with hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices falling below $800 per short ton [2] - A comparison of Nucor and Steel Dynamics reveals differing investment prospects amid current market conditions [3] Nucor Corporation (NUE) - Nucor is the largest steel producer in North America, focusing on increasing production capacity to enhance profitability and maintain its low-cost producer status [4] - The company is experiencing strong demand from various sectors, including construction, military, and energy, supported by a healthy order backlog [4] - Nucor has made strategic acquisitions, such as Southwest Data Products and Rytec Corporation, to diversify its offerings and expand into related downstream businesses [5] - The company ended Q2 2025 with liquidity of approximately $3.4 billion and increased its revolving credit facility to $2.25 billion [6] - Nucor has returned around $13.2 billion to shareholders since 2020, with a recent quarterly dividend increase to 55 cents per share [7] - The current dividend yield for Nucor is 1.6%, with a payout ratio of 36% and a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of 7.5% [8] - Nucor faces demand weakness in markets such as heavy equipment and agriculture, which accounted for about 28% of its total shipments in 2024 [9][10] Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) - Steel Dynamics employs a customer-focused approach and market diversification, positioning itself for future growth [11] - The company is ramping up operations at its new electric arc furnace flat-rolled steel mill in Sinton, TX, with a capacity of approximately three million tons per year [12] - STLD is investing in value-added flat-rolled steel coating lines and a $2.7 billion low-carbon aluminum flat rolled mill, enhancing its growth strategy [13] - The company generated solid cash flow from operations of $1.8 billion in 2024 and ended Q2 2025 with liquidity of around $1.9 billion [14] - Steel Dynamics raised its quarterly dividend by 9% to 50 cents per share and repurchased shares worth $450 million in the first half of 2025 [15] - The automotive sector is significant for STLD, but a slowdown in global automotive production may impact steel consumption in this market [16] Comparative Analysis - Year-to-date, both NUE and STLD stocks have increased by 22.4%, while the Zacks Steel Producers industry rose by 24.1% [17] - STLD trades at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 11.86, while NUE trades at 14.11, indicating a premium for Nucor [18][19] - Steel Dynamics has a higher return on equity of 11.88% compared to Nucor's 6.65%, reflecting more efficient use of shareholder funds [21] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Nucor's 2025 sales suggests a 5.3% increase, while EPS is expected to decline by 6.5% [22] - For Steel Dynamics, the 2025 sales estimate implies a 4.5% increase, with EPS expected to decline by 5.9% [26] - Both companies are ramping up growth plans, but STLD appears to have a slight edge due to its attractive valuation, higher dividend growth rate, and superior return on equity [28]

Market Overview - Investors have maintained a bullish outlook recently, but markets experienced a slight decline as the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting commenced, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all slightly lower than their all-time highs [1] - The S&P 500 closed 0.13% lower after reaching a new 52-week high at the open, while the Nasdaq also saw a 0.07% drop from its new 52-week high [1] Stock Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) fell by 0.27%, with Nvidia experiencing a 1.64% drop in stock price [2] - Webtoon, a digital comic platform, surged by 36.8% following news of a Disney deal, while Steel Dynamics rose by 7.2%, making it a top performer in the S&P 500 [2] - Warner Bros Discovery was the worst performer, declining by 6.5% after a downgrade from TD Cowen, which changed its rating from Buy to Hold due to unattractive risk/reward dynamics [2][7] Notable Stocks - Warner Bros Discovery's stock has increased by 72.7% year-to-date, despite recent performance issues [3] - Other notable stock movements include APA Corp (+6.9%), Steel Dynamics Inc (+6.2%), and Occidental Petroleum Corp (+5%) [6] - Conversely, Warner Bros Discovery (-6.2%), Paramount Skydance Corp (-5.7%), and Emerson Electric Co (-4.9%) were among the worst performers [6] Acquisition Concerns - Warner Bros Discovery faces uncertainty regarding a potential takeover, with analysts suggesting the stock could "quickly round-trip" if the acquisition does not materialize [7] - Senator Elizabeth Warren expressed concerns over the concentration of media power related to a potential merger involving Warner Bros Discovery and Paramount [8] - Warner Bros, Disney, and Universal have filed a copyright infringement lawsuit against a Chinese AI firm, Minimax, amidst these acquisition concerns [8]

Core Insights - Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) has provided third-quarter 2025 earnings guidance, expecting earnings per share in the range of $2.60 to $2.64, an increase from $2.01 in the second quarter and $2.05 in the same quarter last year [1][2][7] Group 1: Earnings and Profitability - The steel operations are anticipated to show improved profitability due to strong shipments and an expansion in metal spread, as scrap raw material costs are expected to decline more than the average realized steel pricing [2][3] - Earnings from metals recycling operations are projected to be significantly stronger in the third quarter compared to the second quarter, with steel fabrication operations also expected to benefit from increased volume and steady metal spread [3] Group 2: Operational Developments - The aluminum division is on track to successfully commission the Columbus, MS, aluminum flat rolled products mill and the San Luis Potosi satellite recycled slab center, with cast houses and hot strip mills operating effectively [4] - As of September 11, 2025, the company has repurchased $185 million, or 1%, of its common stock during the third quarter [4] Group 3: Market Performance - STLD's shares have increased by 16.8% over the past year, contrasting with a 15.4% decline in the industry [5]