Core Insights - TransDigm Group Incorporated reported third-quarter fiscal 2025 adjusted earnings of $9.60 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.78 by 1.8%, but showing a year-over-year improvement of 6.7% from $9.00 per share [1][9] - The company’s GAAP earnings were $8.47 per share, compared to $7.96 in the same quarter last year [1] Sales Performance - Sales for the quarter reached $2.24 billion, reflecting a 9.3% increase from $2.05 billion in the prior-year period, although it fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.30 billion by 2.6% [3][9] - Organic sales grew by 6.3% as a percentage of net sales [3] Operating Results - Gross profit was reported at $1.33 billion, up 9.2% from $1.22 billion in the year-ago quarter [4] - Interest expense increased by 25.6% year over year to $397 million [4] - Net income rose by 6.9% year over year to $493 million [4] Financial Position - As of June 28, 2025, cash and cash equivalents totaled $2.79 billion, down from $6.26 billion as of September 30, 2024 [5] - Long-term debt decreased slightly to $24.27 billion from $24.30 billion as of September 30, 2024 [5] - Cash from operating activities was $1.53 billion, compared to $1.47 billion at the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2024 [5] Guidance for Fiscal 2025 - TransDigm updated its fiscal 2025 sales guidance to a range of $8.76-$8.82 billion, narrower than the previous range of $8.75-$8.95 billion, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate at $8.88 billion [6] - The company now expects adjusted earnings for fiscal 2025 to be between $36.33-$37.15 per share, also narrower than the earlier guidance of $35.51-$37.43 per share, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate at $37.30 per share [7]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a Q3 EBITDA margin of 54.4%, supported by growth in the commercial aftermarket and a focus on operating strategy [13][39] - Operating cash flow for Q3 exceeded $630 million, with a cash balance of nearly $2.8 billion at the end of the quarter [13][40] - Full fiscal year 2025 sales guidance was decreased by $60 million to a midpoint of $8.79 billion, while EBITDA guidance was raised by $40 million to a midpoint of $4.725 billion, reflecting a 13% increase [14][17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Commercial OEM revenue decreased by 7% year-over-year in Q3, attributed to lower production rates at Boeing and Airbus [25][26] - Commercial aftermarket revenue increased by approximately 6% compared to the prior year, with growth across all submarkets [28][29] - Defense market revenue grew by approximately 13% year-over-year, with healthy bookings supporting continued growth [30][31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The commercial OEM market is expected to see revenue growth in the flat to low single-digit percentage range, down from previous expectations [15][16] - The commercial aftermarket and defense revenue growth guidance remains unchanged, with expectations of high single-digit to low double-digit percentage growth [16][31] - The company noted that supply chain issues remain a bottleneck for OEM production ramp-up, but improvements are being observed [28][78] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to provide private equity-like returns with the liquidity of a public market, focusing on proprietary aerospace businesses with significant aftermarket content [10][11] - Recent acquisitions, including Servotronics and Simmons Precision, align with the company's strategy to enhance its portfolio [21][22] - The company maintains a disciplined approach to capital allocation, prioritizing reinvestment in businesses and accretive M&A [23][40] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the recovery of the commercial OEM market, despite current challenges, and expects a return to positive growth in Q4 [62][63] - The company remains focused on operational excellence and efficient cost structures to navigate uneven demand in the commercial OEM market [19][39] - Management highlighted the importance of monitoring the aerospace and capital markets for future adjustments [18] Other Important Information - The company announced leadership transitions, with Mike Lisman set to take over as CEO on October 1 [38][39] - The company is approximately 75% hedged on its total gross debt balance, providing protection against interest rate fluctuations [41][42] Q&A Session Summary Question: About the aftermarket performance and future expectations - Management indicated that the commercial aftermarket growth is in line with expectations, and they anticipate continued growth in the high single-digit to low double-digit range [47][49] Question: Visibility into fourth-quarter growth rates - Management expressed confidence in achieving the guidance for the year, with expectations for a return to positive growth in the commercial OEM segment [60][63] Question: Supply chain improvements and potential headwinds - Management noted that supply chain conditions are improving, although some issues remain, and they are hopeful for a quick resolution to any disruptions [78][81] Question: Competitive landscape and second sourcing - Management reported no significant changes in the competitive landscape regarding second sourcing or PMA competition, maintaining a strong position in the market [102][104] Question: Insights on recent acquisitions and future opportunities - Management expressed optimism about the acquisition of Simmons and the potential for more carve-outs in the aerospace and defense sector [107][108]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported an EBITDA margin of 54.4% for Q3, supported by growth in the commercial aftermarket and effective operating strategies [11] - Operating cash flow for Q3 exceeded $630 million, with a cash balance of nearly $2.8 billion at the end of the quarter [11] - Full fiscal year 2025 sales guidance was decreased by $60 million to a midpoint of $8.79 billion, while EBITDA guidance was increased by $40 million to a midpoint of $4.725 billion, reflecting a 13% increase year-over-year [12][14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Commercial OEM revenues decreased by 7% year-over-year in Q3, attributed to lower production rates at Boeing and Airbus [22][23] - Commercial aftermarket revenue increased by approximately 6% compared to the prior year, with growth across all submarkets [25] - Defense market revenue grew by approximately 13% year-over-year, with healthy bookings supporting continued growth expectations [27][28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The commercial OEM market is expected to see revenue growth in the flat to low single-digit percentage range, a decrease from previous expectations [14] - The commercial aftermarket and defense markets are projected to grow in the high single-digit to low double-digit percentage range, with no changes to previous guidance [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to provide private equity-like returns with public market liquidity, focusing on proprietary aerospace businesses with significant aftermarket content [6][7] - Recent acquisitions, including Servotronics and Simmons Precision, align with the company's strategy to enhance its portfolio and drive growth [18][19] - The company maintains a disciplined approach to capital allocation, prioritizing reinvestment in businesses, accretive M&A, and returning capital to shareholders [20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the recovery of the commercial OEM market, despite current challenges, and expects a return to positive growth in Q4 [58] - The company remains vigilant regarding supply chain improvements, noting that while challenges persist, conditions are better than in previous years [71] - Management anticipates continued growth in the commercial aftermarket, supported by stable airline demand and operational excellence [15][25] Other Important Information - The company announced key leadership changes, with Mike Lisman set to become CEO following Kevin Stein's retirement [4][5][34] - The company is actively monitoring credit markets and assessing opportunities for leverage to support future acquisitions and shareholder returns [20][36] Q&A Session Summary Question: About the aftermarket performance and future growth - Management indicated that the commercial aftermarket growth aligns with expectations, and they feel confident about achieving the guidance for the year [42][44] Question: Visibility into fourth quarter growth rates - Management noted that they expect a significant acceleration in aftermarket growth in Q4, driven by improved production rates and easier comparisons [56][58] Question: Supply chain improvements and potential headwinds - Management reported ongoing improvements in the supply chain, though some bottlenecks remain, and they are hopeful for a quick resolution to any disruptions [71][72] Question: Defense business bookings and growth - Defense bookings were strong, with growth evenly distributed across operating units, supporting positive outlooks for the upcoming fiscal year [88][90] Question: Competitive landscape and second sourcing - Management stated that there have been no significant changes in the competitive landscape regarding second sourcing or PMA competition [96][97]

Financial Performance - Q3 2025 - Revenue increased by 9.3% to $2.237 billion, compared to $2.046 billion in Q3 2024[11] - EBITDA As Defined increased by 11.5% to $1.217 billion, compared to $1.091 billion in Q3 2024[11] - Adjusted EPS increased by 6.7% to $9.60, compared to $9.00 in Q3 2024[11] - Net interest expense increased by 25.6% to $397 million, compared to $316 million in Q3 2024[11] Market Segment Performance - Q3 2025 (Pro Forma) - Commercial Transport revenue was down 8% in OEM and up 7% in Aftermarket[9] - Business Jet/Helicopter revenue was down 6% in OEM and up 5% in Aftermarket[9] - Defense OEM outpaced Defense Aftermarket growth[9] Fiscal Year 2025 Outlook - Revenue guidance midpoint is $8.79 billion, a decrease of $60 million from prior guidance[12] - EBITDA As Defined guidance midpoint is $4.725 billion, an increase of $40 million from prior guidance[12] - Adjusted EPS guidance midpoint is $36.74, an increase of $0.27 from prior guidance[12] Capital Structure - Total secured debt is $20.309 billion, with a leverage ratio of 4.4x[17] - Total net secured debt is $17.517 billion, with a leverage ratio of 3.8x[17] - Total debt is $25.188 billion, with a leverage ratio of 5.5x[17] - Total net debt is $22.396 billion, with a leverage ratio of 4.9x[17]

Core Insights - TransDigm Group reported quarterly earnings of $9.6 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.78 per share, but showing an increase from $9 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of -1.84% [1] - The company posted revenues of $2.24 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, which was below the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.55%, compared to $2.05 billion in the same quarter last year [2] - TransDigm shares have increased approximately 27% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 7.6% [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $10.61 on revenues of $2.43 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $37.30 on revenues of $8.88 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for TransDigm was favorable ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) for the stock, indicating expected outperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Aerospace - Defense Equipment industry, to which TransDigm belongs, is currently ranked in the top 41% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook for stocks in this sector [8]

Exhibit 99.1 TransDigm Group Reports Fiscal 2025 Third Quarter Results Cleveland, Ohio, August 5, 2025/PRNewswire/ -- TransDigm Group Incorporated (NYSE: TDG), a leading global designer, producer and supplier of highly engineered aircraft components, today reported results for the third quarter ended June 28, 2025. Third quarter highlights include: Quarter-to-Date Results Net sales for the quarter increased 9.3%, or $191 million, to $2,237 million from $2,046 million in the comparable quarter a year ago. Or ...

Core Insights - TransDigm Group Incorporated reported a 9.3% increase in net sales for Q3 2025, reaching $2,237 million compared to $2,046 million in the same quarter last year, with organic sales growth at 6.3% [2][15] - Net income for the quarter rose by 6.9% to $493 million, driven by increased net sales and a value-driven operating strategy, despite higher interest expenses [3][15] - Adjusted net income increased by 7.1% to $558 million, translating to $9.60 per share, up from $9.00 in the prior year [4][15] - EBITDA for the quarter grew by 12.9% to $1,123 million, with EBITDA As Defined at $1,217 million, reflecting a margin of 54.4% [5][15] Financial Performance - Year-to-date net sales for the thirty-nine weeks ended June 28, 2025, increased by 11.1% to $6,394 million, with organic sales growth at 6.6% [12] - Year-to-date net income rose by 17.4% to $1,465 million, attributed to higher net sales and effective cost management [13] - EBITDA for the year-to-date period increased by 19.0% to $3,299 million, with EBITDA As Defined at $3,441 million, yielding a margin of 53.8% [17] Market and Operational Insights - The commercial aftermarket and defense markets performed well, although growth in the commercial aftermarket moderated, and sales in the commercial OEM market fell short of expectations due to lower OEM build rates and inventory destocking [6] - The company completed the acquisition of Servotronics, Inc. and announced an agreement to acquire Simmonds Precision Products, with a total capital deployment of over $900 million expected for these acquisitions [7][10] - The company raised its fiscal 2025 EBITDA As Defined guidance while lowering sales guidance by $60 million due to lower than expected commercial OEM sales [19] Shareholder Activities - During Q3 2025, TransDigm repurchased 105,567 shares at an average price of $1,240.91, totaling approximately $131 million [9] - For the thirty-nine week period, the company repurchased 401,036 shares at an average price of $1,246.71, amounting to around $500 million [9] Fiscal 2025 Outlook - The company anticipates net sales for fiscal 2025 to be in the range of $8,760 million to $8,820 million, reflecting a 10.7% increase at the midpoint compared to fiscal 2024 [24] - Expected net income for fiscal 2025 is projected to be between $1,932 million and $1,980 million, a 14.1% increase at the midpoint [24] - Adjusted earnings per share for fiscal 2025 is expected to range from $36.33 to $37.15, an increase of 8.1% at the midpoint compared to fiscal 2024 [24]

Key Takeaways TransDigm's Q3 sales are expected to rise 12.2% to $2.30 billion, fueled by strength in key business segments.The Power & Control unit is projected to post $1.20 billion in revenues, up 17.1% year over year.Airframe segment sales are forecasted to grow 9%, driven by defense demand and travel recovery.TransDigm Group Incorporated ((TDG) is slated to report third-quarter fiscal 2025 results on Aug. 5, before market open. TransDigm delivered a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 5. ...

Investors in TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) need to pay close attention to the stock based on moves in the options market lately. That is because the Aug 15, 2025 $1900.00 Put had some of the highest implied volatility of all equity options today.What is Implied Volatility?Implied volatility shows how much movement the market is expecting in the future. Options with high levels of implied volatility suggest that investors in the underlying stocks are expecting a big move in one direction or the other. I ...

Core Insights - TransDigm Group (TDG) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $9.78 per share, reflecting an 8.7% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $2.3 billion, a 12.2% increase from the previous year [1] Earnings Estimates - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, with empirical studies showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [2] - The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been adjusted upward by 0.7% over the past 30 days, indicating analysts' reassessment of projections [1] Key Metrics Projections - Analysts estimate 'Net sales to external customers- Non-aviation' at $47.46 million, a decrease of 3.2% year-over-year [4] - 'Net sales to external customers- Airframe' is projected at $1.06 billion, reflecting a 9% increase year-over-year [4] - 'Net sales to external customers- Power & Control' is expected to reach $1.20 billion, indicating a 17.1% year-over-year increase [5] - 'Net sales to external customers- Airframe- Commercial and non-aerospace OEM' is forecasted at $341.67 million, a 5.8% increase from the previous year [5] - 'Net sales to external customers- Airframe- Defense' is estimated at $317.24 million, showing a 4.7% increase year-over-year [6] - 'Net sales to external customers- Power & Control- Defense' is projected at $530.29 million, reflecting an 11.2% increase [6] - 'Net sales to external customers- Power & Control- Commercial and non-aerospace aftermarket' is expected to be $363.15 million, a 14.6% increase [7] - 'Net sales to external customers- Power & Control- Commercial and non-aerospace OEM' is forecasted at $250.82 million, indicating a 9.5% increase [7] - 'Net sales to external customers- Airframe- Commercial and non-aerospace aftermarket' is estimated at $392.46 million, a 12.8% increase [8] EBITDA Projections - Analysts predict 'EBITDA- Power & Control' to reach $670.36 million, up from $587.00 million in the same quarter last year [8] - 'EBITDA- Non-aviation' is expected to be $3.57 million, down from $22.00 million year-over-year [9] - 'EBITDA- Airframe' is projected at $550.98 million, compared to $503.00 million in the previous year [9] Stock Performance - Over the past month, TransDigm shares have returned +7.2%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +2.7% [10] - Currently, TDG holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), suggesting potential outperformance in the near future [10]