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TransDigm(TDG) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-03 17:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a Q1 EBITDA margin of 52.4%, which includes about two full percentage points of dilution from recent acquisitions [10][19] - Operating cash flow generation in Q1 exceeded $830 million, with a cash balance of over $2.5 billion at the end of the quarter [11][32] - The midpoint of fiscal 2026 revenue guidance is now $9.94 billion, reflecting a 13% increase over the prior year, while EBITDA guidance was raised to $5.21 billion, up approximately 9% [17][18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Commercial OEM revenue increased approximately 17% in Q1 compared to the prior year, driven by higher build rates from Boeing and Airbus [21][22] - Commercial aftermarket revenue grew by approximately 7%, with all submarkets experiencing positive growth [25] - Defense market revenue grew by approximately 7%, supported by new business wins and strong performance in both domestic and international markets [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Bookings in the commercial OEM channel were up significantly, indicating a recovery from previous disruptions [23] - The commercial aftermarket growth is lagging behind the broader market by approximately 5-6 percentage points, attributed to underexposure in engine content and distribution channel lumpiness [9] - Defense bookings were robust, surpassing sales for the period, indicating a strong backlog in the defense market segment [27] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on proprietary aerospace businesses with significant aftermarket content, aiming for private equity-like returns with public market liquidity [7] - Recent acquisitions include Stellent Systems, Jet Parts Engineering, and Victor Sierra Aviation, which align with the company's strategy of enhancing aftermarket revenue [12][15] - The capital allocation strategy prioritizes reinvestment in businesses, disciplined M&A, and returning capital to shareholders [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the fiscal 2026 outlook, citing strong first-quarter results and favorable market trends in commercial aerospace [17][19] - The guidance assumes no additional acquisitions or divestitures, with a focus on maintaining a conservative approach to projections [40][64] - Management remains vigilant regarding potential risks in the aerospace and capital markets, while being encouraged by operational performance [19][30] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.7 times, down from 5.8, indicating improved financial health [32][33] - Free cash flow for the quarter was just under $900 million, with a full-year guidance of approximately $2.4 billion [31][32] - The company continues to actively seek small to mid-size acquisition opportunities that fit its business model [14][101] Q&A Session Summary Question: How is the company thinking about profitability through the year? - Management noted a stronger start to the year on margins than expected, with a 52.4% EBITDA margin driven by a favorable mix and cost management efforts [39] Question: Can you comment on distributor POS and aftermarket growth? - Management confirmed that distributor POS growth has been strong, but some headwinds from inventory changes have affected overall aftermarket growth [44][66] Question: What is the expected growth for the aftermarket segment? - Management indicated that the aftermarket growth is expected to be in the high single-digit percentage range, with positive indicators in bookings and distribution sales [26][64] Question: What are the implications of the recent acquisitions? - The acquisitions of Jet Parts Engineering and Victor Sierra are expected to enhance aftermarket growth, but the primary rationale was their strong business fundamentals [73][81] Question: How does the company view the current M&A environment? - Management acknowledged that while valuations are high, they believe the prices paid for recent acquisitions are fair and aligned with their target IRR [81][82]
TransDigm(TDG) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-03 17:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a strong start to fiscal Q1 2026, with revenue guidance raised by $90 million and EBITDA guidance increased by $60 million, reflecting solid performance [14][15] - EBITDA margin for the quarter was 52.4%, slightly diluted by recent acquisitions, but overall margin performance improved compared to expectations [8][17] - Free cash flow for the quarter was just under $900 million, higher than average due to timing of interest and tax payments, with a full-year guidance of approximately $2.4 billion [30][31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Commercial OEM revenue increased approximately 17% year-over-year, driven by higher build rates from Boeing and Airbus [19][20] - Commercial aftermarket revenue grew by approximately 7%, with all submarkets experiencing positive growth, particularly in commercial transport [23] - Defense market revenue grew by approximately 7%, supported by new business wins and increased defense spending globally [25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The commercial OEM market is expected to see revenue growth in the high single digits to mid-teens percentage range, contingent on production rates from Boeing and Airbus [16][22] - Commercial aftermarket growth is anticipated to be in the high single-digit percentage range, with strong bookings supporting this outlook [24] - Defense revenue growth is projected in the mid-single-digit to high single-digit percentage range, with robust bookings indicating a healthy backlog [25] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company maintains a consistent long-term strategy focused on proprietary aerospace businesses with significant aftermarket content, aiming for private equity-like returns [5][6] - Recent acquisitions, including Stellent Systems, Jet Parts Engineering, and Victor Sierra Aviation, align with the company's strategy to enhance its aftermarket revenue and strengthen partnerships with airlines [10][11] - The capital allocation priorities remain focused on reinvesting in businesses, pursuing disciplined M&A, and returning capital to shareholders [12][13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the current fiscal year, noting favorable commercial aerospace trends and stable airline schedules [6][15] - The company is closely monitoring the aerospace and capital markets, with a focus on operational excellence and value drivers [17][28] - Despite potential risks, management believes the company is well-positioned for the remainder of fiscal 2026 [17] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with a cash balance of over $2.5 billion, providing significant liquidity for future capital requirements [31][33] - The net debt to EBITDA ratio improved to 5.7 times, down from 5.8, indicating a stronger financial position [31][32] Q&A Session Summary Question: How is the company thinking about profitability cadence through the year? - Management noted a stronger than expected margin performance in Q1, attributing it to a favorable mix and cost management efforts, with a conservative outlook for the remainder of the year [37][39] Question: Can you comment on distributor POS and aftermarket growth? - Management confirmed that distributor POS growth has been strong, but noted that inventory changes have created some headwinds, which are expected to turn into tailwinds as the year progresses [42][44] Question: What is the expected impact of the Jet Parts Engineering and Victor Sierra acquisitions? - Management emphasized that the acquisitions were made based on their strong business fundamentals and potential for a 20% IRR, rather than as a defensive strategy against competitors [73][74] Question: How does the company view the current M&A environment? - Management acknowledged that while acquisition prices are reflective of broader market trends, they believe the prices paid for recent acquisitions are fair and aligned with their return targets [80][81] Question: What is the outlook for the commercial OEM segment? - Management indicated that they believe they are through the destocking phase and are encouraged by the production rates from Boeing and Airbus, although risks remain in the supply chain [106][107]
TransDigm(TDG) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2026-02-03 16:00
FY 2026 Q1 Earnings Call February 3, 2026 1 Agenda TransDigm Overview, Highlights and Outlook Mike Lisman Market Review Patrick Murphy Operating Performance and Financial Results Sarah Wynne CFO Q&A CEO Co-COO Forward Looking Statements & Special Notice Regarding Pro Forma and Non-GAAP Information FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including information regarding our guidance for future ...
TransDigm Group (TDG) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
ZACKS· 2026-02-03 14:25
分组1 - TransDigm Group reported quarterly earnings of $8.23 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $8.02 per share, and showing an increase from $7.83 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +2.56% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $2.29 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.36%, and up from $2.01 billion in the same quarter last year [2] - TransDigm has outperformed the S&P 500, with shares increasing about 8% since the beginning of the year compared to the S&P 500's gain of 1.9% [3] 分组2 - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $9.27 on revenues of $2.41 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $38.67 on revenues of $9.96 billion [7] - The Aerospace - Defense Equipment industry, to which TransDigm belongs, is currently ranked in the top 26% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook for the sector [8]
TransDigm(TDG) - 2026 Q1 - Quarterly Results
2026-02-03 12:19
Financial Performance - Net sales for Q1 2026 increased by 13.9% to $2,285 million from $2,006 million in Q1 2025, with organic sales growth at 7.4%[3] - Net income for the quarter was $445 million, a decrease of 9.7% compared to $493 million in the prior year, primarily due to higher interest expenses[4] - Adjusted net income rose by 5.0% to $479 million, or $8.23 per share, compared to $456 million, or $7.83 per share, in the same quarter last year[6] - EBITDA for the quarter increased by 5.5% to $1,147 million, while EBITDA As Defined rose by 12.8% to $1,197 million, with a margin of 52.4%[7] - Gross profit for the same period was $1,352 million, up from $1,235 million, reflecting a gross margin of 59.2%[30] - EBITDA for the thirteen-week period was $1,147 million, compared to $1,087 million in the prior year, with an EBITDA As Defined margin of 52.4%[33][39] - Net income attributable to TD Group for the period was $445 million, down from $493 million, resulting in earnings per share of $6.62, compared to $7.62 in the previous year[30][34] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share for the thirteen-week period were $8.23, compared to $7.83 in the same period last year[34] Future Guidance - Fiscal 2026 financial guidance was raised, anticipating net sales between $9,845 million and $10,035 million, a 12.6% increase at the midpoint compared to $8,831 million in fiscal 2025[18] - Expected net income for fiscal 2026 is projected to be between $1,952 million and $2,064 million, reflecting a decrease of 3.2% at the midpoint compared to fiscal 2025[18] - Earnings per share for fiscal 2026 are expected to range from $32.47 to $34.39, an increase of 4.2% at the midpoint compared to $32.08 in fiscal 2025[18] - EBITDA As Defined for fiscal 2026 is anticipated to be between $5,140 million and $5,280 million, a 9.5% increase at the midpoint compared to $4,760 million in fiscal 2025[18] - The company provided guidance for fiscal year 2026, projecting net sales between $9,845 million and $10,035 million, and adjusted earnings per share between $37.42 and $39.34[41] - The current fiscal year 2026 guidance reflects an increase in net income expectations by $42 million compared to prior guidance, with a midpoint of $1,952 million to $2,064 million[41] Acquisitions and Capital Allocation - The company announced two acquisitions expected to cost approximately $3.2 billion, targeting businesses with proprietary products that generate significant aftermarket revenue[10] - The company remains focused on capital allocation and has significant liquidity to address capital requirements for future growth[10] Cash and Debt Management - Cash and cash equivalents as of December 27, 2025, were $2,528 million, a decrease from $2,808 million at the end of September 2025[37] - Long-term debt stood at $29,197 million, slightly up from $29,167 million in the previous quarter[37] - The company reported net cash provided by operating activities of $832 million for the thirteen-week period, an increase from $752 million in the prior year[35]
TransDigm Group Reports Fiscal 2026 First Quarter Results
Prnewswire· 2026-02-03 12:15
CLEVELAND, Feb. 3, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- TransDigm Group Incorporated (NYSE: TDG), a leading global designer, producer and supplier of highly engineered aircraft components, today reported results for the first quarter ended December 27, 2025. First quarter highlights include: Quarter-to-Date Results Net sales for the quarter increased 13.9%, or $279 million, to $2,285 million from $2,006 million in the comparable quarter a year ago. Organic sales growth as a percentage of net sales was 7.4%. Net income for ...
Transdigm to Report Q1 Earnings: Here's What You Need to Know
ZACKS· 2026-01-30 14:50
Core Viewpoint - Transdigm Group (TDG) is expected to report its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on February 3, with a prior earnings surprise of 5.6% in the last quarter [1] Group 1: Acquisition Impact - In October 2025, Transdigm completed the acquisition of Simmonds Precision Products, Inc. for nearly $765 million, enhancing its portfolio of proprietary aerospace components and increasing recurring aftermarket revenues [2] - This acquisition is anticipated to improve earnings visibility and cash-flow stability throughout the aircraft lifecycle, positively impacting fiscal first-quarter revenues [2] Group 2: Market Demand and Sales Growth - Strong sales from the commercial aftermarket, driven by improving air travel demand and higher aircraft utilization, are likely to have positively influenced revenues in the upcoming quarter [3] - Increased U.S. government defense spending is expected to further boost defense sales, contributing to the company's top line [3] Group 3: Profitability and Earnings Expectations - Robust revenue growth is likely to support margin expansion, with ongoing efficiency and cost-control efforts enhancing profitability and positively impacting quarterly earnings [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is $8.02 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 2.4%, while revenues are estimated at $2.25 billion, indicating a 12.4% year-over-year improvement [5] Group 4: Earnings Prediction Model - The earnings prediction model indicates a likely earnings beat for Transdigm, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +4.12% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [6][7]
Curious about TransDigm (TDG) Q1 Performance? Explore Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2026-01-29 15:15
Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that TransDigm Group (TDG) will report quarterly earnings of $8.02 per share, reflecting a 2.4% year-over-year increase, with revenues expected to reach $2.25 billion, a 12.4% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been adjusted downward by 0.1% over the past 30 days, indicating a reassessment by covering analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements [3]. Revenue Estimates - Analysts expect 'Net sales to external customers- Non-aviation' to be $33.93 million, a 2.8% increase from the prior-year quarter [5]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Power & Control- Commercial and non-aerospace aftermarket' are projected to reach $388.24 million, reflecting a 13.9% increase year over year [5]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Power & Control- Defense' are expected to be $539.72 million, a 9.9% increase from the prior-year quarter [6]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Airframe- Commercial and non-aerospace OEM' are estimated at $297.92 million, indicating a 7.2% year-over-year change [6]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Airframe- Defense' are projected to reach $374.20 million, an 11.7% increase from the prior-year quarter [7]. - The total 'Net sales to external customers- Power & Control' is expected to be $1.16 billion, reflecting a 12.5% increase year over year [7]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Airframe' are forecasted to reach $1.04 billion, indicating a 9.7% year-over-year change [8]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Power & Control- Commercial and non-aerospace OEM' are estimated at $227.83 million, a 16.8% increase from the previous year [8]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Airframe- Commercial and non-aerospace aftermarket' are expected to be $365.16 million, reflecting a 9.7% increase from the prior-year quarter [9]. EBITDA Estimates - 'EBITDA- Power & Control' is projected to reach $621.24 million, compared to $585.00 million in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'EBITDA- Non-aviation' is expected to be $16.36 million, up from $12.00 million in the prior-year quarter [10]. - 'EBITDA- Airframe' is estimated at $518.05 million, slightly up from $516.00 million year over year [10]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, TransDigm shares have returned +6.2%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.8% change [11].
Goldman Backs TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) After Aerospace Acquisitions
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-29 13:35
Group 1 - TransDigm Group Incorporated is recognized as one of the 20 most profitable stocks over the last 20 years [1] - Goldman Sachs analyst Noah Poponak raised the price target for TransDigm to $1,871 from $1,684, maintaining a Buy rating [2] - Recent acquisitions by TransDigm include Stellant Systems for $960 million and Jet Parts Engineering with Victor Sierra Aviation for $2.2 billion, which together represent approximately 6.4% of projected revenue for CY25 [2] - The acquisition of Stellant aligns with TransDigm's proprietary, aftermarket-focused model, while the Jet Parts and Victor Sierra deals are expected to provide high-margin growth and strategic options [2] Group 2 - TransDigm Group is a U.S. aerospace company that designs, manufactures, and supplies highly engineered aircraft components and systems for both commercial and military aircraft [3] - The company's proprietary parts include power, control, and airframe products, catering to both original equipment and aftermarket demand [3]
TransDigm First Quarter Earnings Report and Conference Call Set for Tuesday, February 3, 2026
Prnewswire· 2026-01-26 13:00
CLEVELAND, Jan. 26, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- TransDigm Group Incorporated (NYSE: TDG) today said it will report fiscal 2026 first quarter earnings before the market opens on Tuesday, February 3, 2026. A conference call will follow at 11:00 a.m., Eastern Time. To join the call telephonically, please register for the call here. Once registered, participants will receive the dial-in information and a unique pin to access the call. A live audio webcast of the call can also be accessed online at http://www.transdig ...