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TKO Group Stock Ripe for Short Squeeze After UFC Deal
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-08-11 18:45
Group 1 - TKO Group Holdings Inc's stock increased by 8.4%, trading at $177.05, following Paramount Skydance's announcement to acquire U.S. rights to UFC for $7.7 billion over seven years starting in 2026 [1] - The stock is experiencing a significant rise, marking its highest level since July and approaching a record high of $182.60 set on June 30 [4] - TKO has seen a 50% increase in stock price over the last 12 months [4] Group 2 - Options trading activity has surged, with 2,382 and 3,137 contracts exchanged today, which is seven times the average intraday volume [2] - The most popular options contracts are the September 150-strike put and the August 170 put, with positions being sold to open [2] - The stock's 10-day call/put volume ratio stands at 4.66, indicating strong bullish sentiment, ranking higher than 99% of readings from the past year [3]
PARAMOUNT AND TKO ANNOUNCE HISTORIC UFC MEDIA RIGHTS AGREEMENT
Prnewswire· 2025-08-11 12:00
Distribution Agreement - Starting in 2026, Paramount will exclusively distribute UFC's full slate of 13 marquee numbered events and 30 Fight Nights via its direct-to-consumer streaming platform, Paramount+ [1] - UFC and Paramount will transition from the existing Pay-Per-View model to making these premium events available at no additional cost to Paramount+'s U.S. subscriber base [2] Strategic Importance - The agreement is seen as a significant milestone for UFC, enhancing its position as a leading global sports asset [3] - Paramount's strategy emphasizes live sports as a cornerstone for driving engagement, subscriber growth, and long-term loyalty [3] Financial Terms - The seven-year contract, beginning in 2026, has an average annual value of $1.1 billion, with a payment schedule weighted towards the latter part of the deal [4] UFC Overview - UFC is the world's premier mixed martial arts organization, hosting approximately 43 live events annually and delivering over 350 hours of live content [3] - UFC has around 100 million fans in the U.S. and reaches nearly 950 million households globally across more than 210 countries and territories [3][6] Paramount Overview - Paramount is a leading global media and entertainment company with a diverse portfolio, including Paramount Pictures, CBS, and Paramount+ [5] - The company aims to leverage its extensive reach in both linear and streaming platforms to enhance viewer engagement [3]
Compared to Estimates, TKO Group (TKO) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-08-06 23:01
Group 1 - TKO Group Holdings reported revenue of $1.31 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, representing a 53.7% increase year-over-year [1] - The company's EPS for the quarter was $1.17, up from $0.72 in the same quarter last year [1] - TKO's revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.2 billion by 8.78%, while the EPS fell short of the consensus estimate of $1.23 by 4.88% [1] Group 2 - TKO Group's stock has returned -5.5% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which increased by 0.5% [3] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell), indicating potential underperformance in the near term [3] Group 3 - UFC's net revenue was reported at $415.9 million, slightly above the average estimate of $406.7 million [4] - WWE's net revenue reached $556.2 million, surpassing the average estimate of $496.26 million [4] - UFC's media rights, production, and content revenue was $260.5 million, compared to the average estimate of $257.97 million [4]
TKO Group Holdings (TKO) Lags Q2 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-08-06 22:25
Core Viewpoint - TKO Group Holdings reported quarterly earnings of $1.17 per share, missing the consensus estimate of $1.23 per share, but showing an increase from $0.72 per share a year ago [1][2] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $1.31 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 8.78%, compared to $851.2 million in the same quarter last year [3] - TKO Group has surpassed consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters [3] Stock Performance - TKO Group shares have increased approximately 15% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 7.1% [4] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell), indicating expectations of underperformance in the near future [7] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.59 on revenues of $1.1 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.83 on revenues of $4.55 billion [8] - The estimate revisions trend for TKO Group was unfavorable prior to the earnings release, which may impact future stock performance [7] Industry Context - The Film and Television Production and Distribution industry, to which TKO Group belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 34% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [9]
TKO (TKO) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-06 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company generated revenue of $1,308 million, an increase of 10% compared to the previous year [17] - Adjusted EBITDA was $526 million, reflecting a significant increase of 75%, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 40%, up from 25% in the prior year [17] - UFC segment revenue increased by 5% to $416 million, while adjusted EBITDA rose by 6% to $245 million, maintaining a 59% adjusted EBITDA margin [18] - WWE segment revenue increased by 22% to $556 million, with adjusted EBITDA growing by 31% to $330 million, resulting in a 59% adjusted EBITDA margin, up from 55% [21] - IMG segment revenue decreased by 4% to $37 million, but adjusted EBITDA improved significantly to $29 million from a negative $120 million, achieving a 9% adjusted EBITDA margin [25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - UFC's live events and global partnerships contributed to robust double-digit growth, with significant partnerships established with Meta and Monster Energy [9] - WWE's live events saw a 29% increase in revenue to $186 million, driven by higher ticket sales and site fee revenue from major events [21] - IMG's production capabilities were highlighted, with significant events covered across multiple continents, although revenue declined due to the loss of FA Cup rights [25][26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported strong performance in international markets, with WWE's premium live events consistently ranking in the top 10 in 37 countries [11] - UFC's site fee strategy is gaining traction, with new partnerships and events being hosted in emerging markets like Azerbaijan and Qatar [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on capitalizing on sustained demand for premium content and live events, raising its full-year guidance for revenue and adjusted EBITDA [6][29] - The recent ESPN media rights deal for WWE's premium live events is expected to secure a pivotal recurring revenue stream, enhancing the company's strategic positioning [6][35] - The integration of IMG On Location and PBR is progressing well, with anticipated savings and revenue growth from these segments [30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to maintain strong performance, citing the successful execution of live events and partnerships [16][36] - The outlook for the remainder of 2025 remains positive, with expectations of continued growth driven by UFC and WWE [29] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a balance between capital returns to shareholders and organic investments [28] Other Important Information - The company generated $375 million in free cash flow during the quarter, with a free cash flow conversion rate of 71% [27] - The company ended the quarter with $2.769 billion in debt and $535 million in cash and cash equivalents [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Discussion on the WWE deal and its impact - Management emphasized the importance of not putting all assets with one partner, highlighting the value of having multiple distribution channels for content [41] - The ESPN deal is expected to enhance audience reach and provide a stable revenue stream with annual escalators [44][46] Question: Timing of the WWE and UFC deals - Management clarified that the timing of the deals was not indicative of challenges with UFC, and they are in the final stages of negotiations [61][63] Question: Incremental margins and profitability - Management discussed the strong performance in the first half of the year and the expected continuation of growth in high-margin areas [100][101] Question: Sponsorship opportunities - Management highlighted the significant potential for increasing sponsorship revenue, particularly with the shift to ESPN's direct-to-consumer model [91][92]
TKO (TKO) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-06 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company generated revenue of $1,308 million, an increase of 10% compared to the previous year [16] - Adjusted EBITDA was $526 million, reflecting a significant increase of 75%, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 40%, up from 25% in the prior year [16] - The UFC segment reported revenue of $416 million, a 5% increase, while adjusted EBITDA was $245 million, a 6% increase [16][17] - The WWE segment generated revenue of $556 million, a 22% increase, with adjusted EBITDA of $330 million, a 31% increase [20] - The IMG segment saw a revenue decrease of 4% to $307 million, but adjusted EBITDA improved significantly to $29 million from a negative margin in the prior year [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - UFC's partnerships and marketing revenue increased by 39% to $86 million, driven by new partnerships and renewals [17] - WWE's live events and hospitality revenue increased by 29% to $186 million, attributed to higher ticket sales and site fee revenue [20] - IMG's revenue decline was primarily due to the loss of FA Cup rights, partially offset by new production agreements [23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company set 36 individual market records for ticket sales in WWE, selling out 16 events during the quarter [9] - WWE's partnership with Netflix has shown robust growth, with over 280 million view hours since its launch [10] - The company anticipates strong performance in upcoming events, including the Canelo versus Crawford fight and the FIFA World Cup [14][30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on capitalizing on sustained demand for premium content and live events, raising its full-year guidance for revenue and adjusted EBITDA [5][29] - The strategy includes leveraging partnerships across multiple TKO properties, enhancing brand partnerships, and integrating IMG On Location and PBR [18][30] - The recent ESPN deal for WWE's premium live events is expected to create a high-margin revenue stream with attractive visibility and stability [35] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the continued momentum across UFC and WWE, highlighting strong operating performance and the potential for further growth [15][29] - The company is optimistic about the impact of the new ESPN deal and the integration of IMG, expecting to achieve significant savings and revenue growth [30] - Management noted that while there are challenges in the upcoming quarters, the overall outlook remains positive with strong demand for premium content [34] Other Important Information - The company generated $375 million in free cash flow, with a conversion rate of 71% [27] - The company ended the quarter with $2.769 billion in debt and $535 million in cash [27] - A share repurchase program of $2 billion is expected to commence in 2025, subject to market conditions [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the implications of the new WWE deal with ESPN? - Management emphasized the importance of not putting all rights on one platform, highlighting the benefits of having multiple partners to maximize monetization and reach [42][44] Question: Why was the WWE PLE deal announced before the UFC deal? - Management clarified that the timing was due to simultaneous negotiations for multiple properties and confirmed that the UFC deal is progressing well [60][62] Question: What are the growth opportunities beyond the UFC media rights renewal? - Management highlighted the potential for increased profitability through partnerships, sponsorships, and the expansion of live events, indicating a strong growth trajectory [96][100]
Taseko Announces Second Quarter Financial and Operational Results
Globenewswire· 2025-08-06 21:32
Financial Performance - Taseko Mines Limited reported second quarter 2025 Adjusted EBITDA of $17 million, net income of $22 million ($0.07 per share), and an Adjusted net loss of $13 million ($0.04 loss per share) [1][14] - Revenues for the second quarter were $116 million from the sale of 19 million pounds of copper and 178 thousand pounds of molybdenum [1][14] - The company experienced a decrease in revenues compared to the same quarter in 2024, which were $137.7 million [14] Production and Operations - Copper production at Gibraltar was 20 million pounds, with total operating costs (C1) of $3.14 per pound [2][13] - Mining operations at Gibraltar saw a 31% increase in tons mined compared to the first quarter, totaling 30.4 million tons [2][17] - The mill throughput averaged 84,200 tons per day with an average copper grade of 0.20% and recoveries of 63% [2][19] Project Developments - Construction at Florence Copper is over 90% complete, with first copper cathode production expected before the end of 2025 [3][30] - The company has incurred $239 million on construction over the last 18 months, with spending expected to decline as construction activities wind down [3][32] - Taseko has made significant progress on the Yellowhead project, with an updated technical study showing an after-tax NPV of $2 billion at a copper price of $4.25 per pound [7][40] Strategic Agreements - Taseko reached an agreement with Tŝilhqot'in Nation and the Province of BC regarding the New Prosperity Project, receiving a payment of $75 million [7][50] - The agreement aims to facilitate future development of the New Prosperity project with the consent of the Tŝilhqot'in Nation [7][50] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a stronger second half of 2025 due to expected higher grades and improved recoveries at Gibraltar [5][26] - Taseko has secured copper collar contracts to protect a minimum copper price of $4.00 per pound for 54 million pounds of copper for the remainder of 2025 [6][29]
TKO Group Posts Record Numbers At WWE And UFC In Better-Than-Expected Q2 Report
Deadline· 2025-08-06 20:18
Group 1 - TKO Group Holdings reported a 10% increase in total revenue for Q2, reaching $1.3 billion, surpassing analysts' expectations of $1.27 billion [1] - Diluted earnings per share rose to $1.17, up from 72 cents in the same quarter last year, exceeding the analyst target of $1.09 [1] - WWE revenue increased by $99.4 million to $556.2 million, while UFC revenue grew by $21.5 million to $415.9 million [2] Group 2 - The WWE's Wrestlemania event in April set multiple records for global viewership, contributing significantly to revenue growth [2] - TKO announced a new rights deal with ESPN for 10 annual "premium live events," generating $1.6 billion, a substantial increase from the $900 million deal with NBCUniversal in 2020 [4] - TKO is increasing its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $4.63 billion to $4.69 billion, with adjusted EBITDA projected between $1.54 billion and $1.56 billion [5]
Taseko to Release Second Quarter 2025 Results
Globenewswire· 2025-08-01 16:00
Core Viewpoint - Taseko Mines Limited is set to release its second quarter 2025 financial results on August 6, 2025, after market close [1] Group 1 - The company will host a telephone conference call and live webcast on August 7, 2025, at 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time to discuss the financial results [2] - The conference call can be accessed by dialing 800-715-9871 toll free or 646-307-1963, with the access code 2521595 [2] - The webcast will be available at tasekomines.com/investors/events and archived until August 7, 2026, for later playback [3] Group 2 - For further information, contact Brian Bergot, Vice President of Investor Relations, at 778-373-4533 or toll free at 1-877-441-4533 [3] - Stuart McDonald serves as the President and CEO of the company [3] - No regulatory authority has approved or disapproved of the information contained in this news release [3]
TKO Group Holdings (TKO) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
ZACKS· 2025-07-30 15:07
Company Overview - TKO Group Holdings (TKO) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings due to higher revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with a consensus outlook indicating a quarterly earnings of $1.23 per share, representing a +70.8% change, and revenues expected to be $1.2 billion, up 41.3% from the previous year [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 5.69% higher over the last 30 days, reflecting a reassessment by covering analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for TKO Group is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -48.11%, indicating a bearish outlook on the company's earnings prospects [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with a positive reading being a strong predictor of an earnings beat [9][10]. - TKO Group currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it difficult to predict an earnings beat conclusively [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, TKO Group had an earnings surprise of +43.75%, with actual earnings of $0.69 per share compared to an expected $0.48 [13]. - Over the last four quarters, TKO Group has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [14]. Industry Context - In the Zacks Film and Television Production and Distribution industry, Cinemark Holdings (CNK) is expected to post earnings of $0.78 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year change of +143.8%, with revenues expected to be $947.59 million, up 29.1% [18][19].