Core Insights - Three stocks in the consumer discretionary sector are showing signs of being overbought, which may concern momentum-focused investors [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Ratings - General Motors Co (NYSE: GM) has an RSI value of 77, indicating it is overbought. The stock gained approximately 11% over the past month, closing at $82.88, with a 52-week high of $83.68. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives maintained an Outperform rating and raised the price target from $75 to $95 [5] - Tapestry Inc (NYSE: TPR) has an RSI value of 76.9. The stock increased around 18% in the last month, closing at $130.20, with a 52-week high of $130.93. Wells Fargo analyst Ike Boruchow maintained an Overweight rating and raised the price target from $125 to $135 [5] - Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE: ANF) has the highest RSI value at 82.3, indicating it is also overbought. The stock surged approximately 33% over the past month, closing at $126.74, with a 52-week high of $164.80. Goldman Sachs analyst Jon Keypour initiated coverage with a Buy rating and set a price target of $120 [5]

Core Insights - Three stocks in the consumer discretionary sector are showing signs of being overbought, which may concern momentum-focused investors [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Ratings - General Motors Co (NYSE: GM) has an RSI value of 77, indicating it is overbought. The stock gained approximately 11% over the past month, closing at $82.88, with a 52-week high of $83.68. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives maintained an Outperform rating and raised the price target from $75 to $95 [5] - Tapestry Inc (NYSE: TPR) has an RSI value of 76.9. The stock increased around 18% in the last month, closing at $130.20, with a 52-week high of $130.93. Wells Fargo analyst Ike Boruchow maintained an Overweight rating and raised the price target from $125 to $135 [5] - Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE: ANF) has the highest RSI value at 82.3, indicating it is also overbought. The stock surged approximately 33% over the past month, closing at $126.74, with a 52-week high of $164.80. Goldman Sachs analyst Jon Keypour initiated coverage with a Buy rating and set a price target of $120 [5]

Market Overview - The market is currently trading above the midpoint of Wells Fargo's year-end target range, indicating a strong desire for upward movement [1] - The NASDAQ and S&P 500 have experienced a cooling-off period after significant gains, with the tech sector rising 70% from its lows [2] - Historical data suggests that bull markets that reach three years old typically see gains in the following year, and Fed rate cuts near all-time highs have historically led to positive market performance [2] Sector Rotation - Wells Fargo has adjusted its positions by downgrading Communication Services and Information Technology to even weight, reallocating funds into Financials, Utilities, and Industrials [1] - The adjustments aim to maintain an AI theme from a different perspective while managing exposure to sectors that represent nearly 50% of the S&P 500's market cap [1] Tapestry Inc. (NYSE:TPR) - Tapestry Inc. has shown a year-to-date performance of 97.41% as of December 22, 2025, with multiple analysts raising price targets, indicating bullish sentiment [8][9] - Analysts from Baird, Wells Fargo, and Jefferies have all increased their price targets for Tapestry, reflecting expectations of robust revenue and earnings growth due to favorable consumer conditions and potential tariff changes [8][9][10] - Tapestry operates in three segments: Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman, providing accessories and lifestyle brand products globally [11] KLA Corporation (NASDAQ:KLAC) - KLA Corporation has achieved a year-to-date performance of 100.86% as of December 22, 2025, with analysts raising price targets amid a favorable outlook for the semiconductor sector [12][13] - Bank of America and Cantor Fitzgerald have both upgraded KLA's price targets, citing the company's strong position in AI-driven infrastructure and the expected demand for advanced chips and technologies [12][13][14] - KLA designs and manufactures solutions for the semiconductor industry, positioning itself as a key player in the ongoing transition towards AI workloads [15]

Core Insights - Tapestry, Inc.'s Coach brand is experiencing strong momentum as it enters fiscal 2026, reinforcing its status as a leader in accessible luxury with a strategy that combines craftsmanship, innovation, and emotional storytelling at price points typically between $200 and $500 [1] Financial Performance - In the first quarter, Coach achieved a 21% year-over-year revenue increase, driven by broad-based demand across various regions and product categories [2] - North America revenues increased by 26%, China by 21%, and Europe by 39%, indicating a well-diversified growth strategy [3] - Coach added 1.7 million customers globally in the fiscal first quarter, primarily from younger consumers, highlighting sustained brand relevance [3] Product Strategy - The average unit retail (AUR) for handbags rose in the mid-teens, with total handbag units also increasing despite lower promotional activity [4] - Strong demand for accessories, such as charms and straps, contributed to the brand's growth, alongside double-digit growth in footwear led by the High Line and Soho franchises [4] Consumer Engagement - Coach is enhancing consumer connections through immersive retail experiences, including the launch of coffee shops in select North American locations, which are increasing customer dwell times and emotional engagement [5] - The One Coach strategy is gaining traction by introducing full-price collection products into outlet environments, elevating brand perception and encouraging trade-up behavior [5] Marketing and Brand Strategy - Marketing investment reached approximately 11% of sales, reflecting a significant year-over-year increase and emphasizing emotional engagement [8] - Experiential retail concepts and runway visibility initiatives have deepened cultural relevance and strengthened consumer connections [8] Future Outlook - Tapestry anticipates Coach will maintain its growth trajectory through fiscal 2026, projecting low-double-digit revenue growth for the year with stable operating margins despite tariff pressures [9] - Coach is positioned as a cornerstone of Tapestry's long-term growth strategy, aiming to become a $10 billion brand [9]

Summary of U.S. Consumer Strategy & Quantitative Research Webinar Industry Overview - The focus is on the U.S. Consumer sector, specifically Consumer Discretionary and Consumer Staples, which have underperformed the market by low double-digit percentages year-to-date in 2025 [3][18]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Market Performance**: 2025 has been challenging for the Consumer sector, with both Discretionary and Staples underperforming. Consumer Staples are now seen as attractive due to favorable price-to-forward earnings valuation multiples [3][31]. - **Sector Dynamics**: There is a contrasting performance between Consumer Staples and technology sectors, raising concerns about a potential tech bubble. Economic factors such as cutbacks in healthcare and SNAP benefits for low-income consumers, alongside inflation, could lead to an economic slowdown [4][19]. - **Investment Recommendations**: Focus on Consumer stocks that are: 1. More international 2. Exposed to higher-income consumers 3. Defensive in nature 4. Not facing idiosyncratic pressures that are not fully priced in [3][22]. - **Key Themes**: Tariff volatility, GLP-1 drug uptake, and consumer bifurcation are critical themes to monitor. Lower-income households are pressured by cutbacks, while higher-income households may benefit from upcoming tax breaks [5][20]. Subsector Recommendations - **Consumer Staples**: Emphasis on companies with international exposure in Soft Beverages and Household & Personal Care, as well as defensive Broadline Retailers. Caution is advised around companies negatively impacted by GLP-1 drug uptake [6][22]. - **Consumer Discretionary**: Focus on higher-quality names with reliable earnings performance. Caution is advised for those without a quality bias, although companies catering to higher-income consumers may benefit from tax breaks in 2026 [6][22]. Performance Metrics - **Consumer Discretionary**: - Best performers include Casinos (23.7%), Apparel Retail (22.7%), and Automotive Retail (19.1%). Weakest sectors include Textiles, Apparel, and Luxury Goods (2.1%) [27][28]. - **Consumer Staples**: - Dollar Stores (49.5%) and Tobacco (29.8%) are leading, while Food Producers (-7.3%) and Alcoholic Beverages (-28.6%) are lagging [29][30]. Valuation Insights - **Valuation Multiples**: Discretionary multiples are about 10% cheaper than historical averages, while Staples are in line with historical averages despite underperformance [31][32]. - **Stock Performance Drivers**: In 2025, multiple expansion has driven stock performance more than earnings growth in both sectors [44]. Earnings Revisions - **Sales Expectations**: Remained stable across consumer discretionary sectors, while earnings per share revisions have shown significant dispersion, particularly declining in textiles and luxury goods due to tariff impacts [51][52]. Conclusion - The current environment is characterized by significant sector rotation and stock-picking opportunities. Analysts recommend focusing on high-quality, defensive stocks with international exposure as the market navigates through economic uncertainties and potential sector shifts [21][22].

Core Insights - Tapestry, Inc. has published its FY2025 Corporate Responsibility report, highlighting its commitment to building a resilient business through responsible practices across its brands and global operations [1][7] Group 1: Corporate Responsibility Initiatives - The report emphasizes Tapestry's efforts across four pillars: Create Products with Care, Sustain the Planet, Uplift Our Communities, and the Power of Our People [2][3] - Tapestry has introduced new 2030 goals aimed at enhancing corporate responsibility, which include carbon reduction strategies and supporting supply chain partners in procuring renewable energy [4][5] Group 2: Environmental and Social Impact - In FY2025, Tapestry achieved 100% renewable electricity across its operated stores, offices, and fulfillment centers, and reached 96% raw material mapping, fulfilling its traceability goal [6] - Employees contributed over 53,000 volunteer hours in FY2025, totaling more than 303,000 hours towards the 2030 goal of 500,000 hours [6] Group 3: Employee Engagement and Development - Tapestry focuses on fostering a culture where employees feel connected and empowered, with over 2,600 hours of learning on LinkedIn in FY2025, reflecting a commitment to continuous growth [6]

Core Viewpoint - The global luxury market is experiencing a resurgence, driven by resilient consumer demand and increased household wealth, making high-end retail stocks attractive for investment in 2026 [1][2][5]. Industry Overview - The luxury market is benefiting from two structural advantages: pricing power and global appeal, allowing brands to raise prices without losing demand [3]. - Affluent consumers are less price-sensitive, particularly for luxury items that retain long-term value, supporting consistent price increases and margin protection [3][5]. - The geographical diversification of luxury demand reduces reliance on any single market, with international travel normalizing and increasing tourist spending in major luxury hubs [4]. Company Highlights Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) - Tapestry is well-positioned in the luxury retail market, with strong demand and customer acquisition, particularly among Gen Z [7][8]. - The company reported a 5.1% increase in fiscal 2026 revenue estimates and a 9.6% increase in EPS compared to the previous year [9]. Signet Jewelers Ltd. (SIG) - Signet is a leader in the luxury jewelry market, with resilient demand and steady same-store sales growth [10][11]. - The company anticipates a 1.4% increase in fiscal 2026 revenue estimates and a 3.1% increase in EPS compared to the previous year [12]. Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HST) - Host Hotels owns a diversified portfolio of luxury and upper-upscale hotels, benefiting from strong leisure travel demand and improving group bookings [13][14]. - The company expects a 1.2% increase in fiscal 2026 revenue estimates compared to the previous year [15].

Core Viewpoint - The article summarizes the latest analyst ratings from Wall Street, highlighting significant upgrades, downgrades, and new coverage that could impact market sentiment and investment decisions [1][6]. Upgrades - Oppenheimer upgraded General Electric Energy (GEV) from "Hold" to "Outperform," setting a target price of $855, citing improved pricing and sales, along with enhanced factory utilization and operational efficiency [5]. - JPMorgan raised PepsiCo (PEP) from "Neutral" to "Overweight," increasing the target price from $151 to $164, due to the company's accelerated innovation and marketing spending [5]. - HSBC upgraded AbbVie (ABBV) from "Hold" to "Buy," with a target price increase from $225 to $265, noting the company's growth momentum and strong execution capabilities [5]. - Morgan Stanley raised Terex (TEX) from "Equal Weight" to "Overweight," with a target price increase from $47 to $60, as the company's performance has rebounded and its business mix has improved [5]. - Oppenheimer upgraded Dyne Therapeutics (DYN) from "Hold" to "Outperform," significantly raising the target price from $11 to $40, highlighting the stock's undervaluation compared to its competitor Avidity [5]. Downgrades - HSBC downgraded Biogen (BIIB) from "Hold" to "Reduce," with a slight target price decrease from $144 to $143, citing the poor performance of its multiple sclerosis business [5]. - Jefferies lowered Emerson Electric (EMR) from "Buy" to "Hold," maintaining a target price of $145, indicating limited short-term upside due to the company's recent performance outlook [5]. - JPMorgan downgraded Noble Energy (NE) from "Overweight" to "Neutral," raising the target price from $31 to $33, while expressing caution about upstream capital expenditures [5]. - Jefferies downgraded Rexnord (RRX) from "Buy" to "Hold," reducing the target price from $170 to $160, noting that the company's transformation plan is taking longer than expected [5]. - Jefferies lowered Vail Resorts (VLTO) from "Buy" to "Hold," with a target price decrease from $125 to $105, stating that the current stock price reflects the company's stable demand and strong returns [5]. New Coverage - Guggenheim initiated coverage on Amazon (AMZN) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of $300, suggesting that the retail sector is showing signs of improvement despite previous concerns [9]. - B. Riley initiated coverage on Roblox (RBLX) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of $125, highlighting the company's strong long-term fundamentals [13]. - Cowen initiated coverage on Sensata Technologies (IOT) with an "Outperform" rating and a target price of $55, believing the company's platform aligns well with the $45 trillion "physical operations" industry [13]. - B. Riley initiated coverage on Take-Two (TTWO) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of $300, driven by the anticipated release of Grand Theft Auto 6 in November 2026 [13]. - Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce initiated coverage on Shark Ninja (SN) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of $135, viewing the company as a "category disruptor" [13].

Core Insights - Tapestry, Inc. is recognized as a potential turnaround story in the retail sector, with positive developments under the leadership of Joanne Crevoiserat [1][2] - The company is part of a group of retailers that have performed better than expected, alongside brands like Ralph Lauren and Walmart, despite a general slowdown in hiring [2] Company Overview - Tapestry, Inc. designs and sells a variety of products including handbags, accessories, footwear, and apparel, with notable brands such as Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman [2] Market Performance - The stock has been highlighted for its strong performance, with Jim Cramer noting that Tapestry is among retailers that have exceeded expectations in a challenging market environment [2]

Group 1 - Tapestry, Inc. (NYSE:TPR) is recognized as one of the retailers that performed better than expected amidst a macro rally, alongside brands like Ralph Lauren and Walmart [1] - The company designs and sells a range of products including handbags, accessories, footwear, and apparel, with notable brands such as Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman [2] - Tapestry's CEO has been highlighted for delivering a compelling narrative about the company's direction, indicating strong leadership and strategic vision [2] Group 2 - Despite the positive outlook for Tapestry, there is a belief that certain AI stocks may present greater upside potential and lower downside risk compared to TPR [2]