Group 1: Shell (SHEL) - Scotiabank maintains a "Buy" rating for Shell with a price target of $80.00, which was raised from $70.00 on July 11, 2025 [1][2] - The "Outperform" rating reflects Scotiabank's confidence in Shell's performance potential [1] - The price target has been consistently maintained since the update on August 1, 2025 [1] Group 2: TotalEnergies SE (TTE) - Scotiabank reiterates a "Hold" rating for TotalEnergies with a price target of $65.00, raised from $60.00 on July 11, 2025 [3][4] - The "Sector Perform" rating indicates expectations for TotalEnergies to perform in line with industry peers [3] - TotalEnergies has a market capitalization of approximately $151.63 billion, highlighting its significant presence in the energy sector [4] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The adjustments for Shell and TotalEnergies are part of Scotiabank's broader review of price targets across the U.S. Integrated Oil, Refining, and Large Cap Exploration and Production sector [2][7] - Scotiabank's evaluations reflect ongoing assessments of market conditions and sector dynamics affecting major energy players [4][7]

Chevron appointed Kevin McLachlan from TotalEnergies to lead its global exploration team, which is undergoing a revamp after several high-profile failed attempts at discovering oil and gas https://t.co/3I5214jqzw ...

Core Insights - The five largest global oil majors are implementing cost-cutting measures, job reductions, and share buyback adjustments due to declining oil prices threatening shareholder payouts [1][2][3] Group 1: Financial Performance and Shareholder Returns - Oil majors have maintained generous payouts exceeding $100 million annually since 2022, increasingly funded by debt as energy prices have retreated from previous highs [2] - Most oil majors require oil prices above $80 per barrel to sustain current dividend and share buyback levels, which reached record highs in 2022 [3] - Brent oil prices recently fell below $65, the lowest since July, with forecasts predicting further declines to the low $60s and potentially the $50s next year [4] Group 2: Strategic Adjustments - TotalEnergies plans to reduce buybacks starting in Q4 2023 and aims to cut costs by $7.5 billion by the end of 2030 to manage debt levels [4] - BP and Chevron have already reduced their buyback programs this year, while Shell has not announced any cuts to its buyback plans [4] - More than a dozen energy companies, including ExxonMobil, Chevron, Shell, and BP, have announced job cuts for 2025 and 2026 [5]

Core Insights - The $20 billion onshore liquefied natural gas (LNG) project in northern Mozambique is expected to resume development soon, serving as a significant catalyst for growth in the energy sector [1] - Despite ongoing security concerns in the Cabo Delgado region, TotalEnergies plans to restart work at the site by late 2025 after a four-year delay [1][2] - The completion of the LNG project is anticipated to boost Mozambique's energy-driven growth vision and instill confidence in the country [3] LNG Projects and Economic Impact - TotalEnergies holds a 26.5% stake in the onshore LNG project, with Mitsui at 20%, Mozambique's state-owned ENH at 15%, and other international partners [3] - Current and expected LNG projects are projected to contribute over $60 billion to Mozambique's economy in the coming decades, primarily for export to Europe and Asia [4] - The Coral South floating LNG project, operational since November 2022, has already exported 100 shipments of LNG, with the government expected to collect $23 billion in revenues over 25-30 years from this project alone [5] Future Developments - The Coral North project, also led by Eni, is expected to come online in 2028, contingent on a final investment decision, with an investment of approximately $7 billion [6] - ExxonMobil is awaiting a final investment decision on a $25 billion LNG project in the Rovuma Basin, expected in the first half of 2026 [7] Local Content and Economic Strategy - The government aims to implement local content laws to ensure that local communities benefit from the LNG projects, addressing concerns about the specialized nature of the industry [8] - Mozambique's government is also planning a second massive dam to enhance its hydroelectric capacity, contributing to regional power trading [9] Hydropower Projects - The $5 billion Mphanda Nkuwa hydropower project is set to double hydro capacity and is expected to be operational by 2031, supported by international partners [10][12] - The project includes a 1,300 km transmission line to connect to the national grid and regional markets, enhancing Mozambique's role in power supply [10] Renewable Energy Initiatives - Mozambique is advancing renewable energy projects, including wind and solar initiatives, to diversify its energy portfolio [16] - The government is on track to achieve universal energy access by 2030, increasing access from 31% in 2018 to over 60% [17][18]

Geopolitical Importance - The gas capture project is crucial for reducing Iraq's reliance on Iranian gas imports, which has historically influenced Iraq's political and military alliances in the region [1][2] - The alliance between Iran and Iraq has facilitated Iran's ability to export oil despite sanctions and has supported pro-Shia militia groups [1] TotalEnergies Mega-Project - TotalEnergies' $27 billion mega-project aims to address Iraq's long-standing issues of gas capture and oil well pressure stabilization, which have been hindered by bureaucracy and corruption [2][5] - The project includes four main components: gas capture, the Common Seawater Supply Project (CSSP), redevelopment of the Ratawi oil field, and a 1.25 gigawatt solar complex [2] Common Seawater Supply Project (CSSP) - The CSSP is designed to supply approximately 6 million barrels per day of seawater to key oil fields, which is essential for maintaining reservoir pressure and enhancing oil production [3][4] - The first phase of the CSSP will be located near Um Qasr and aims to process and transport 5 million barrels of seawater daily, freeing up freshwater for agricultural use [3][4] Future Oil Production Potential - Iraq has the potential to significantly increase its oil production, with historical projections suggesting a rise from over 3 million barrels per day to a plateau of 13 million barrels per day by 2017 under optimal conditions [5] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that Iraq's ultimately recoverable resources, including the Kurdistan region, could be around 246 billion barrels [5]

Core Insights - TotalEnergies SE and Veolia Environnement have signed a memorandum of understanding to enhance their partnership focused on energy transition and circular economy [1][2] - The collaboration aims to leverage TotalEnergies' expertise in methane emissions reduction and low-carbon energy solutions alongside Veolia's capabilities in water resource management and waste recovery [1][2] Group 1: Partnership Objectives - The agreement emphasizes both companies' commitment to reducing greenhouse gas emissions and water consumption while fostering innovation across various industries [2] - Veolia plans to utilize TotalEnergies' AUSEA drone technology for methane detection at landfills, aiming to capture 80% of landfill methane by 2032 [3] - TotalEnergies aims to reduce freshwater use by 20% in water-stressed areas by 2030 with Veolia's assistance [3] Group 2: Collaborative Projects - The companies intend to work on wastewater reuse projects at TotalEnergies sites and repurpose municipal wastewater for industrial applications [4] - Veolia's treatment technologies will be applied to enhance water efficiency in these collaborative efforts [4] Group 3: Market Reaction - TotalEnergies shares experienced a slight decline of 0.12%, trading at $59.63 in premarket [5]

Core Viewpoint - TotalEnergies has appointed Nicola Mavilla as Senior Vice President of Exploration, effective November 1, 2025, succeeding Kevin McLachlan who has held the position since 2015 [1] Group 1: Leadership Change - Nicola Mavilla brings 25 years of experience in the oil and gas industry [1] - Mavilla has a strong track record in leading successful exploration activities [1] - Prior to this appointment, Mavilla served as exploration manager in Libya and Norway, and as VP of exploration for West Africa at Eni [1]

Core Insights - TotalEnergies and Veolia have signed a memorandum of understanding to enhance cooperation in energy transition and circular economy initiatives, aiming to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and water footprint [1][11] Group 1: Collaboration Areas - The partnership will leverage Veolia's expertise in water resource management and waste recovery, alongside TotalEnergies' capabilities in methane emissions measurement and low-carbon energy production [2] - Veolia plans to implement TotalEnergies' AUSEA technology, which utilizes drones for methane emissions measurement at landfills, aiming for an 80% capture rate of methane emissions by 2032 [3][4] Group 2: Water Management - Veolia will assist TotalEnergies in achieving a 20% reduction in freshwater withdrawals by 2030 compared to 2021, particularly in water-stressed areas [5] - The collaboration includes developing wastewater reuse projects at TotalEnergies sites and enhancing water treatment technologies [6] Group 3: Sustainable Desalination - TotalEnergies will support Veolia in deploying low-carbon energy solutions at desalination plants, including a joint project for a solar power plant in Oman [7] - Veolia aims to double its desalination capacity by 2030 while significantly reducing the energy footprint of the technology [8] Group 4: Resource Recovery - The two companies will collaborate on research and innovation to industrialize processes for recovering strategic chemical elements from waste, such as rare earths used in renewable energy technologies [9]

Group 1 - The article highlights TotalEnergies' strong focus on natural gas and electricity, positioning the company to benefit from future market trends [1] - The author has over 10 years of experience researching various companies across multiple sectors, including commodities and technology, which informs their analysis [1] - The transition from a personal blog to a value investing-focused YouTube channel indicates a commitment to providing in-depth research on a wide range of companies [1] Group 2 - The author expresses a particular interest in metals and mining stocks while also being comfortable analyzing other industries such as consumer discretionary, REITs, and utilities [1]

Back when I first covered TotalEnergies (NYSE: TTE ), I mentioned how they are “ Poised To Benefit From Future Tailwinds ” and highlighted their strong focus on natural gas and electricity, as well as aAs of 2025, I've got over 10 years of researching companies. In total, throughout my investing life, I estimate that I researched (in depth) well over 1000 companies, from commodities like oil, natural gas, gold and copper to tech like Google or Nokia and many emerging market stocks, which I believe could hel ...