Market Movements - US stock index futures are all down ahead of the market opening, with Dow futures down 0.10%, S&P 500 futures down 0.06%, and Nasdaq futures unchanged [1] - European indices show positive movement, with Germany's DAX up 0.22%, UK's FTSE 100 up 1.17%, France's CAC40 up 0.64%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 up 0.27% [2][3] - WTI crude oil is down 0.58% at $67.98 per barrel, while Brent crude oil is down 0.48% at $69.85 per barrel [3][4] Federal Reserve Insights - The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes reveal policy disagreements, with some members supporting a potential rate cut as early as July, while others prefer to hold rates steady for the year [5] - Citigroup maintains its expectation for a possible rate cut in September, citing a current unemployment rate of 4.1% as making a July cut "extremely unlikely" [5] Economic Risks - Goldman Sachs warns that the optimistic "Goldilocks" scenario for US stocks faces three key risks: stagflation, turmoil in long-term bond markets, and a sharp decline in the dollar [6] - The firm suggests that leading indicators and business cycle scores indicate a slowdown in US economic growth, advising a more cautious approach to equities [6] Regional Bank Stocks - US regional bank stocks have seen a strong rebound but may face short-term pullback risks as earnings season approaches [7] - The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) has risen over 8% in the past month, nearly double the S&P 500's gain, but analysts suggest caution ahead of earnings reports [7] Copper Market Reaction - President Trump's announcement of a 50% tariff on imported copper has shocked the market, with JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley predicting further decoupling of US copper prices from international prices [8] - JPMorgan expects LME copper prices to decline to $9,100 per ton by Q3 2025, while Morgan Stanley anticipates a significant premium for COMEX prices over LME prices [8] Company Earnings - Delta Air Lines reported Q2 earnings that exceeded expectations, with adjusted revenue of $15.51 billion and EPS of $2.10, leading to a positive outlook for the full year [9] - Tesla plans to expand its Robotaxi service to the San Francisco Bay Area within one to two months, pending regulatory approval, highlighting its commitment to commercializing autonomous driving technology [10] - TSMC's Q2 revenue grew by 39%, driven by sustained demand for AI chips, exceeding market expectations [11] Amazon's Prime Day Performance - Amazon's extended Prime Day promotion faced challenges, with sales on the first day down 41% year-over-year, raising concerns about consumer behavior during longer promotional periods [12] Acquisition News - WK Kellogg is reportedly receiving a $3 billion acquisition offer from Ferrero, with a significant short position in WK Kellogg's stock potentially amplifying price reactions [13]

Group 1 - Delta Air Lines' stock price surge positively impacted other airlines, with American Airlines rising by 3.6% in pre-market trading [1] - United Airlines experienced a 4.1% increase in pre-market trading [1] - Southwest Airlines saw a 2% rise in its stock price [1]

Company Performance - United Airlines closed at $80.18, reflecting a -1.27% change from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.61% [1] - Over the last month, United Airlines shares decreased by 2.39%, while the Transportation sector gained 2.95% and the S&P 500 gained 3.85% [1] Upcoming Earnings Report - The company is set to release its earnings on July 16, 2025, with an anticipated EPS of $3.88, representing a 6.28% decline compared to the same quarter last year [2] - The consensus estimate for revenue is $15.31 billion, which is a 2.17% increase from the prior-year quarter [2] Annual Forecast - Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $10.15 per share and revenue of $58.71 billion for the year, indicating changes of -4.34% and +2.89% respectively compared to the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates - Recent modifications to analyst estimates for United Airlines are crucial as they reflect changing near-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating a favorable business outlook [4] - Changes in estimates are directly related to upcoming stock price performance, and investors can utilize the Zacks Rank for actionable insights [5] Zacks Rank and Valuation - United Airlines currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), with the EPS estimate moving 1.62% lower over the last 30 days [6] - The company has a Forward P/E ratio of 8, which is below the industry average of 10.02 [7] PEG Ratio - United Airlines has a PEG ratio of 1.35, compared to the Transportation - Airline industry's average PEG ratio of 0.88 [8] Industry Context - The Transportation - Airline industry is ranked 150 in the Zacks Industry Rank, placing it in the bottom 40% of over 250 industries [9] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [9]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for United Airlines despite an increase in revenues, with the actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - United Airlines is expected to report quarterly earnings of $3.88 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 6.3%, while revenues are projected to be $15.31 billion, an increase of 2.2% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 5.91% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate matches the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, suggesting no recent differing analyst views [12]. Historical Performance - United Airlines has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters, with a notable surprise of +21.33% in the last reported quarter [13][14]. Market Reaction Factors - An earnings beat or miss may not solely dictate stock movement, as other factors can influence investor sentiment [15]. Investment Considerations - While United Airlines does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider additional factors before making investment decisions [17].

Group 1 - United Airlines will resume flights to Tel Aviv on July 21 [1]

Group 1 - United Airlines will resume flights to Tel Aviv on July 21 [1]

Core Insights - United Airlines (UAL) is well-positioned to continue its earnings-beat streak, particularly given its recent performance in the Zacks Transportation - Airline industry [1] - The airline has consistently exceeded earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 14.82% over the last two quarters [1] Earnings Performance - In the last reported quarter, United Airlines achieved earnings of $0.91 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.75 per share, resulting in a surprise of 21.33% [2] - For the previous quarter, the company reported earnings of $3.26 per share against an expected $3.01 per share, delivering a surprise of 8.31% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for United Airlines, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [5] - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6] Earnings ESP Metrics - United Airlines currently has an Earnings ESP of +2.16%, suggesting that analysts have recently become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [8] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank 3 indicates a potential for another earnings beat in the upcoming report, expected on July 16, 2025 [8]

Industry Competition - United Airlines and JetBlue challenged assertions that their proposed partnership should be prohibited due to stifling competition [1] - The airlines refuted claims that the partnership would lead to increased fares [1]

Group 1: Company Performance - United Airlines closed at $81.01, marking a +1.2% move from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's 0.48% gain [1] - Shares of United Airlines had lost 1.27% in the past month, while the Transportation sector gained 4.03% and the S&P 500 gained 5.13% [1] - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show earnings of $3.81 per share, a year-over-year decline of 7.97%, with quarterly revenue projected at $15.31 billion, up 2.13% from the previous year [2] Group 2: Earnings Estimates - For the fiscal year, earnings are projected at $9.88 per share and revenue at $58.63 billion, representing changes of -6.88% and +2.74% from the prior year [3] - Recent estimate revisions reflect evolving short-term business trends, with upward revisions indicating analysts' positivity towards the company's operations [4] Group 3: Valuation Metrics - United Airlines has a Forward P/E ratio of 8.1, which is below the industry average of 9.78, indicating it is trading at a discount [7] - The PEG ratio for United Airlines is currently 1.29, compared to the industry average of 0.84 [7] Group 4: Industry Context - The Transportation - Airline industry ranks in the bottom 40% of all industries, with a current Zacks Industry Rank of 150 [8] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]

Group 1 - The article discusses the potential for investing in undervalued stocks that are mispriced by the market as the end of Q2 approaches [1] - It suggests that investors should consider joining a specific service to learn more about positioning themselves in these stocks [1] Group 2 - The article does not provide any specific company or industry analysis, focusing instead on general investment advice [2][3][4]