Core Viewpoint - Analysts expect United Airlines (UAL) to report quarterly earnings of $3.86 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 6.8%, with revenues projected at $15.36 billion, an increase of 2.5% from the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 5.4%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2]. - Revisions to earnings estimates are crucial indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock, with empirical research showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts predict 'Operating revenue- Passenger revenue' to be $14.00 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 2.3% [5]. - The estimated 'Operating revenue- Other operating revenue' is $950.69 million, indicating a year-over-year change of 6.6% [5]. - 'Operating revenue- Cargo' is expected to reach $462.00 million, reflecting an 11.6% increase from the prior year [6]. Key Metrics - The consensus estimate for 'ASMs (Available seat miles)' is 84.60 billion, up from 79.68 billion in the same quarter last year [8]. - Analysts expect 'RPMs (Revenue passenger miles)' to be 70.28 billion, compared to 67.06 billion in the previous year [8]. - Fuel consumption is projected at 1,249 million gallons, an increase from 1,134 million gallons reported in the same quarter last year [9]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, United shares have increased by 18.4%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which saw a change of 4.1% [10].

Core Viewpoint - The current stock market is at all-time highs, making it challenging to find undervalued stocks, but there are still opportunities in dividend-paying stocks like utilities, airlines, and industrial companies [1][2]. Group 1: NextEra Energy - NextEra Energy is recognized for its focus on renewable energy sources, particularly solar and wind, but also has significant investments in natural gas and nuclear energy [4][7]. - The company has a forward dividend yield of 3.1% and is considered a good buy due to its current stock price being at a discount compared to its five-year average cash flow multiple [5][10]. - In 2024, natural gas and nuclear energy accounted for 69% and 10% of Florida Power and Light's net generating capacity, respectively, contributing significantly to NextEra's earnings [7]. Group 2: United Airlines - United Airlines trades at a low earnings multiple of just over eight times its estimated 2025 earnings, reflecting historical concerns about the airline industry [11]. - The company has diversified its revenue streams through loyalty programs and premium offerings, reducing reliance on main-cabin ticket sales [12]. - United Airlines is positioned to better absorb rising costs compared to low-cost carriers, making it a potentially strong long-term investment [13][14]. Group 3: Lockheed Martin - Lockheed Martin's stock has decreased by 24% from its all-time high, presenting a potential buying opportunity for dividend investors [15]. - The company has a strong backlog that exceeds a year's worth of sales, allowing for stable free cash flow and consistent capital returns to shareholders [16][17]. - With a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.3 and a forward yield of 2.9%, Lockheed Martin is seen as a reliable dividend stock at a favorable value [18].

Group 1 - The US stock market closed at a historic high on Thursday, with the S&P 500 index rising by 0.27%, and 9 out of 11 sectors showing gains, particularly in consumer discretionary and energy stocks [1] - Delta Air Lines (DAL.US) saw its stock price surge by 11.99% after announcing a restored full-year profit outlook and an increase in passenger numbers, which also positively impacted travel-related companies and car rental stocks [1] - MP Materials (MP.US) experienced a dramatic stock price increase of 50.62%, marking its largest single-day gain, following a multi-billion dollar agreement with the US Department of Defense to build a magnet factory and expand rare earth production [1] Group 2 - Trade policy uncertainty continues as President Trump threatens to impose a 50% tariff on Brazil, while also announcing a 50% tariff on copper imports starting August 1 [4] - Analysts express concerns that the unpredictable tariff policies may weigh on the stock market, with a noted decrease in the likelihood of interest rate cuts in September due to policy delays [4] - There is a noticeable rotation in market performance, with previously underperforming sectors rebounding strongly, while early-year leaders are losing momentum, reflecting investor attempts to balance between optimistic consumption recovery and concerns over escalating trade tensions [4]

Group 1: Delta Air Lines Inc - Delta Air Lines Inc's stock increased by 12.4%, trading at $56.99, following a top-line beat for Q2 [1] - CEO Ed Bastian indicated that bookings have stabilized after a period of lower demand in spring, and the profit outlook for 2025 has been reinstated [1] - The positive report has had a significant impact on the airline sector as a whole [1] Group 2: American Airlines Group Inc - American Airlines Group Inc's stock rose by 14%, trading at $13.13, reaching its highest level since early March [2] - Despite being down 25% year-to-date, the stock is now 51% above its multi-year low of $8.50 recorded on April 4 [2] - The 200-day moving average is currently acting as a resistance level for the stock's rally [2] Group 3: Options Activity - American Airlines Group Inc saw a surge in call options trading, with 286,000 contracts changing hands, four times the average intraday volume [3] - The most popular call option was the weekly 7/11 12.50-strike call, along with the July 13 call in the standard expiration series [3] Group 4: United Airlines Holdings Inc - United Airlines Holdings Inc's stock increased by 14.2%, trading at $91.57, approaching its highest close since March 4 [5] - The stock is only down 6.5% in 2025 but has risen 92.4% year-over-year, with today's trading surpassing the 160-day moving average [5] - There were 78,000 UAL calls traded, quadrupling the average intraday volume, with the weekly 7/11 87-strike call being the most popular [5] Group 5: Airline Sector Trends - Airline stocks, including Delta, American, and United, are showing a pattern of movement together, indicating a sector-wide trend [6] - These companies have high Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard readings of 99, 93, and 96 out of 100, suggesting they have exceeded options traders' volatility expectations in the past year [6]

Airline Industry Performance - Delta Air Lines Inc. experienced a 12% surge in stock price after reporting second-quarter results that exceeded both earnings and revenue expectations, indicating a strong demand outlook [1] - American Airlines Group Inc. shares increased by 12.5%, while United Airlines Holdings Inc. saw a 13.5% rise, contributing to a broad rally across the airline sector [2] - The U.S. Global Jets ETF, which tracks airline stocks, rose by 7.2%, marking its best performance since the 90-day tariff pause in April [2] Economic Indicators - The U.S. labor market showed resilience with initial jobless claims dropping to 237,000, surpassing forecasts, although continuing claims rose to 1.965 million, the highest since 2021 [6] Commodity Market Reactions - Copper futures increased by 2.2% to approximately $5.60 per pound, with silver and palladium also seeing gains of 1.6% and 3.6% respectively, driven by expectations of tightening supply [5] - Crude oil prices fell over 2% amid reports that OPEC+ is considering halting planned production increases starting in October, raising concerns about potential oversupply [5] Stock Market Overview - Major indices showed mixed performance, with the Russell 2000 up 0.7%, Dow Jones up 0.6%, and S&P 500 up 0.2%, while Nasdaq 100 slipped by 0.3% [7] - The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF inched up 0.2%, while the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.6% [9] Company-Specific Movements - Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. rose over 4% after NorthCoast Research raised its price target, reiterating a 'Buy' rating [10] - Freeport-McMoRan Inc. climbed 3.3% as copper prices continued to rise amid supply concerns [10] - Nu Holdings Ltd. dropped 5.1% following the announcement of a 50% tariff on Brazilian imports, leading to a selloff in Brazil-linked assets [10]

Core Insights - United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) is set to report its second-quarter 2025 results on July 16, with a history of positive earnings surprises, averaging a beat of 10.34% over the last four quarters [1][3]. Financial Performance Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for UAL's Q2 2025 earnings has been revised down by 1.57% to $3.75 per share, indicating a 9.42% decrease from the previous year's actual earnings [3][5]. - UAL's revenue for Q2 2025 is estimated at $15.31 billion, reflecting a 2.17% year-over-year growth, supported by improving travel demand and lower fuel prices [7]. Cost and Economic Factors - UAL is expected to face challenges from a tariff-induced macroeconomic environment, with geopolitical uncertainties and inflation likely impacting travel demand [4][6]. - Labor costs are projected to rise, contributing to an 8.8% increase in operating costs compared to Q2 2024, driven by a 10.5% rise in salaries and related expenses [6]. Oil Prices and Industry Impact - The decline in oil prices, which fell 6% in the April-June 2025 period and 9% since the start of 2025, is seen as beneficial for the aviation industry, as fuel expenses are a significant cost factor [8]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model indicates a potential earnings beat for UAL, with an Earnings ESP of +3.43% and a Zacks Rank of 3, suggesting a favorable outlook for the upcoming earnings report [9].

Market Movements - US stock index futures are all down ahead of the market opening, with Dow futures down 0.10%, S&P 500 futures down 0.06%, and Nasdaq futures unchanged [1] - European indices show positive movement, with Germany's DAX up 0.22%, UK's FTSE 100 up 1.17%, France's CAC40 up 0.64%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 up 0.27% [2][3] - WTI crude oil is down 0.58% at $67.98 per barrel, while Brent crude oil is down 0.48% at $69.85 per barrel [3][4] Federal Reserve Insights - The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes reveal policy disagreements, with some members supporting a potential rate cut as early as July, while others prefer to hold rates steady for the year [5] - Citigroup maintains its expectation for a possible rate cut in September, citing a current unemployment rate of 4.1% as making a July cut "extremely unlikely" [5] Economic Risks - Goldman Sachs warns that the optimistic "Goldilocks" scenario for US stocks faces three key risks: stagflation, turmoil in long-term bond markets, and a sharp decline in the dollar [6] - The firm suggests that leading indicators and business cycle scores indicate a slowdown in US economic growth, advising a more cautious approach to equities [6] Regional Bank Stocks - US regional bank stocks have seen a strong rebound but may face short-term pullback risks as earnings season approaches [7] - The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) has risen over 8% in the past month, nearly double the S&P 500's gain, but analysts suggest caution ahead of earnings reports [7] Copper Market Reaction - President Trump's announcement of a 50% tariff on imported copper has shocked the market, with JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley predicting further decoupling of US copper prices from international prices [8] - JPMorgan expects LME copper prices to decline to $9,100 per ton by Q3 2025, while Morgan Stanley anticipates a significant premium for COMEX prices over LME prices [8] Company Earnings - Delta Air Lines reported Q2 earnings that exceeded expectations, with adjusted revenue of $15.51 billion and EPS of $2.10, leading to a positive outlook for the full year [9] - Tesla plans to expand its Robotaxi service to the San Francisco Bay Area within one to two months, pending regulatory approval, highlighting its commitment to commercializing autonomous driving technology [10] - TSMC's Q2 revenue grew by 39%, driven by sustained demand for AI chips, exceeding market expectations [11] Amazon's Prime Day Performance - Amazon's extended Prime Day promotion faced challenges, with sales on the first day down 41% year-over-year, raising concerns about consumer behavior during longer promotional periods [12] Acquisition News - WK Kellogg is reportedly receiving a $3 billion acquisition offer from Ferrero, with a significant short position in WK Kellogg's stock potentially amplifying price reactions [13]

智通财经7月10日电，受达美航空股价大涨影响，美国航空盘前上涨3.6%，美国联合航空上涨4.1%，美 国西南航空上涨2%。 ...

Company Performance - United Airlines closed at $80.18, reflecting a -1.27% change from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.61% [1] - Over the last month, United Airlines shares decreased by 2.39%, while the Transportation sector gained 2.95% and the S&P 500 gained 3.85% [1] Upcoming Earnings Report - The company is set to release its earnings on July 16, 2025, with an anticipated EPS of $3.88, representing a 6.28% decline compared to the same quarter last year [2] - The consensus estimate for revenue is $15.31 billion, which is a 2.17% increase from the prior-year quarter [2] Annual Forecast - Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $10.15 per share and revenue of $58.71 billion for the year, indicating changes of -4.34% and +2.89% respectively compared to the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates - Recent modifications to analyst estimates for United Airlines are crucial as they reflect changing near-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating a favorable business outlook [4] - Changes in estimates are directly related to upcoming stock price performance, and investors can utilize the Zacks Rank for actionable insights [5] Zacks Rank and Valuation - United Airlines currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), with the EPS estimate moving 1.62% lower over the last 30 days [6] - The company has a Forward P/E ratio of 8, which is below the industry average of 10.02 [7] PEG Ratio - United Airlines has a PEG ratio of 1.35, compared to the Transportation - Airline industry's average PEG ratio of 0.88 [8] Industry Context - The Transportation - Airline industry is ranked 150 in the Zacks Industry Rank, placing it in the bottom 40% of over 250 industries [9] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [9]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for United Airlines despite an increase in revenues, with the actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - United Airlines is expected to report quarterly earnings of $3.88 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 6.3%, while revenues are projected to be $15.31 billion, an increase of 2.2% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 5.91% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate matches the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, suggesting no recent differing analyst views [12]. Historical Performance - United Airlines has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters, with a notable surprise of +21.33% in the last reported quarter [13][14]. Market Reaction Factors - An earnings beat or miss may not solely dictate stock movement, as other factors can influence investor sentiment [15]. Investment Considerations - While United Airlines does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider additional factors before making investment decisions [17].