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Winnebago Cuts Outlook as Tariffs Weigh
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-25 17:04
Core Viewpoint - Winnebago Industries reported a significant reduction in adjusted EPS guidance and net revenue guidance for FY2025, highlighting operational inefficiencies in the Motorhome segment while noting improvements in Marine and selective growth in other segments [1][10]. Inventory Discipline - The company aims for a long-term operational standard of two times inventory turn, aligning with dealer goals and industry best practices, and is willing to sacrifice short-term market share for channel health [3][4]. - This disciplined approach may increase near-term financial pressure but is expected to enhance dealer partnerships and improve supply-demand dynamics when demand recovers [4]. Tariff Risk - Recent U.S. tariff policy escalations have a direct impact on imported RV and marine components, with a forecasted unmitigated tariff risk of $0.50–$0.75 to diluted EPS for FY2026 [5][6]. - The company is monitoring costs with suppliers and may implement price increases to offset short-term effects, but persistent tariff exposure could depress profitability if mitigation tactics are insufficient [6]. Segment Performance - The Marine segment achieved a 15% net revenue increase and over 11% unit growth in Q3 FY2025, with Barletta capturing 9.2% of the U.S. aluminum pontoon market [7]. - Newmar's Class A diesel market share exceeded 33%, and dealer inventory for the brand has significantly decreased since 2019, contributing to the company's risk diversification [7][9]. Future Outlook - Full-year adjusted EPS guidance for FY2025 has been lowered to $1.20–$1.70, with consolidated revenue guidance set at $2.7 billion–$2.8 billion due to dealer destocking and weak RV retail demand [10]. - The company targets margin recapture in the Motorhome segment for FY2026 and aims to reduce net leverage, with a current net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 4.8 times [10].
Winnebago(WGO) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-25 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net revenues declined modestly in Q3, primarily due to a shift in product mix as the new lower ASP Grand Design Transcend series travel trailers outpaced the broader portfolio in terms of units sold [23] - Gross margin decreased by 130 basis points year over year, attributed to higher warranty experience and product mix, partially offset by operational efficiencies [24] - Adjusted EBITDA margin declined by 140 basis points year over year, primarily due to the lower gross margin [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Towable RV segment, lower net revenues were largely due to a shift in product mix, with a 2.5% increase in segment unit volume [24] - Motorhome RV results showed a decline in net revenues due to lower unit volume related to market conditions, with total motorhome RV volume down 14.8% compared to the prior year [26] - Marine segment net revenues increased by 15%, driven primarily by higher unit volume and targeted price increases, with unit volume up more than 11% year over year [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America RV retail sales declined by 8.2% in April, marking the third consecutive month of retail sales dropping by more than 8% [15] - Wholesale RV shipments increased by 3.4% in April, with towable RVs led by conventional travel trailers rising 4.2% compared to the same month last year [16] - The company lowered its industry forecast for wholesale RV shipments to a range of 315,000 to 335,000 units for calendar year 2025 [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing a comprehensive margin recapture plan centered on refreshing the product line, boosting operational efficiency, and rebuilding sustained profitability beginning in fiscal 2026 [10] - Strategic actions include conducting a capacity utilization analysis, reviewing the manufacturing footprint, and evolving the supply chain in light of expected tariff cost pressure [11] - The company aims to enhance long-term competitiveness and enterprise resilience through disciplined resource allocation and operational efficiency [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that growing macroeconomic uncertainty has led to a notable downshift in RV activity, which is expected to continue through the remainder of the calendar year [9] - The company anticipates that the inflection point for recovery in the RV market may not occur as hoped, leading to a tempered outlook for the remainder of calendar year 2025 [50] - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the brands and the long-term potential of the end markets, driven by the growing appeal of the outdoor lifestyle [35] Other Important Information - The company has been recognized by Newsweek as one of America's most trustworthy companies for the second consecutive year [14] - The company is taking a comprehensive approach to minimize the effects of tariffs, with anticipated modest price increases to offset net remaining exposure of tariffs for fiscal 2025 [30][31] - Free cash flow was negative $81.7 million for the nine-month period, driven primarily by operational inefficiencies and strategic investments [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Steps being taken to address the Winnebago branded motorhome business - Management discussed significant production reductions to avoid pushing units to the field with high sales allowances, focusing on improving working capital and cash flow [38][39] Question: Profitability decline in the motorized business - Management indicated that the decline is related to deleverage and necessary discounting to push products into the market [44] Question: Outlook for the back half of calendar 2025 - Management refrained from providing specific guidance for calendar year 2026 but acknowledged that the market recovery is not occurring as hoped [50] Question: Impact of tariffs on pricing - Management explained that the anticipated tariff-related costs could lead to price adjustments, with a potential net risk of $0.50 to $0.75 of diluted earnings per share for fiscal 2026 [32][54] Question: Inventory management and turns - Management confirmed that they are targeting a two-turn ratio in the long term, although they do not expect to achieve that by the end of fiscal 2025 [88][92] Question: Performance of Newmar brand - Management highlighted Newmar's strong retail share and profitability, attributing success to a robust product line and effective dealer inventory management [100][102]
Winnebago(WGO) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-25 15:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net revenues declined modestly in Q3, primarily due to a shift in product mix as the new lower ASP Grand Design Transcend series travel trailers outpaced the broader portfolio in terms of units sold [23] - Gross margin decreased by 130 basis points year over year, attributed to higher warranty experience and product mix, partially offset by operational efficiencies [24] - Adjusted EBITDA margin declined by 140 basis points year over year, primarily due to the lower gross margin [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Towable RV segment, lower net revenues were largely due to a shift in product mix with the addition of new Grand Design travel trailers, leading to a 2.5% increase in segment unit volume [24] - Motorhome RV net revenues decreased due to lower unit volume related to current market conditions, with total motorhome RV volume declining by 14.8% compared to the prior year [26] - The Marine segment saw a 15% increase in net revenues driven by higher unit volume and targeted price increases, with unit volume up more than 11% year over year [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North American RV retail sales declined by 8.2% in April, marking the third consecutive month of retail sales dropping by more than 8% [15] - Wholesale RV shipments increased by 3.4% in April, with towable RVs leading the rise [16] - The company lowered its industry forecast for wholesale RV shipments to a range of 315,000 to 335,000 units for calendar year 2025 [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing a comprehensive margin recapture plan centered on refreshing the product line, boosting operational efficiency, and rebuilding sustained profitability beginning in fiscal 2026 [10] - Strategic actions include conducting a capacity utilization analysis, reviewing the manufacturing footprint, and evolving the supply chain in light of expected tariff cost pressure [11] - The company aims to enhance long-term competitiveness and enterprise resilience through disciplined resource allocation and operational efficiency [11] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged growing macroeconomic uncertainty leading to a downshift in RV activity, which is expected to continue through the remainder of the calendar year [8] - The company remains confident in the resilience of its brands and the long-term potential of its end markets, driven by the growing appeal of the outdoor lifestyle [35] - Management indicated that the second half of fiscal 2025 will see significantly lower net revenues in the Winnebago Motorhome branded business due to market pressures [34] Other Important Information - The company has been recognized by Newsweek as one of America's most trustworthy companies for the second consecutive year [14] - The company is focused on deleveraging its balance sheet while continuing to make targeted growth investments [28] - Free cash flow was negative $81.7 million for the nine-month period, driven primarily by operational inefficiencies [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Steps to improve the Winnebago branded motorhome business - Management discussed significant production reductions to avoid pushing units to the field with high sales allowances, focusing on improving working capital and cash flow [38][39] Question: Profitability decline in the motorized business - Management indicated that the decline is due to deleverage and necessary discounting to move products in a competitive market [44][45] Question: Outlook for the back half of calendar 2025 - Management refrained from commenting on 2026 but acknowledged that the anticipated recovery in 2025 does not appear to be happening [50] Question: Impact of tariffs on pricing - Management explained that the potential net risk of tariffs could impact diluted earnings per share by $0.50 to $0.75 for fiscal 2026, with ongoing efforts to mitigate these costs [32][54] Question: Strategies from Newmar that could be applied to Winnebago - Management highlighted Newmar's strong product line and effective dealer inventory management as key factors in its success, which could inform strategies for Winnebago [100][102]
Compared to Estimates, Winnebago (WGO) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-06-25 14:31
Core Insights - Winnebago Industries reported revenue of $775.1 million for the quarter ended May 2025, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 1.4% and an EPS of $0.81 compared to $1.13 a year ago, with a slight revenue surprise of -0.03% against the Zacks Consensus Estimate [1] Financial Performance - The consensus EPS estimate was $0.79, resulting in an EPS surprise of +2.53% [1] - Winnebago's stock has returned -8.8% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +5.1% change, and currently holds a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell) [3] Unit Deliveries and Revenue Breakdown - Total Motorhome RV unit deliveries were 1,431, exceeding the average estimate of 1,368 [4] - Total Towable RV unit deliveries were 9,495, below the average estimate of 10,218 [4] - Total Marine boat unit deliveries were 1,254, slightly below the average estimate of 1,303 [4] - Net Revenues for Motorhome RV were $291.20 million, surpassing the average estimate of $273.52 million but showing a -2.6% change year-over-year [4] - Net Revenues for Marine were $100.70 million, exceeding the average estimate of $97.21 million, with a +14.6% year-over-year change [4] - Net Revenues for Towable RV were $371.70 million, below the average estimate of $410.07 million, reflecting a -3.8% change year-over-year [4] Adjusted EBITDA Analysis - Adjusted EBITDA for Towable RV was $35.40 million, below the average estimate of $40.40 million [4] - Adjusted EBITDA for Marine was $11.60 million, exceeding the average estimate of $10.49 million [4] - Adjusted EBITDA for Motorhome RV was $3 million, significantly below the average estimate of $11.21 million [4]
Winnebago Industries (WGO) Tops Q3 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-06-25 13:16
Group 1: Earnings Performance - Winnebago Industries reported quarterly earnings of $0.81 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.79 per share, but down from $1.13 per share a year ago, indicating a decline in profitability [1] - The company achieved an earnings surprise of +2.53% for the quarter, while it met expectations in the previous quarter with earnings of $0.19 per share [1][2] - Over the last four quarters, Winnebago has surpassed consensus EPS estimates only once [2] Group 2: Revenue Analysis - Winnebago posted revenues of $775.1 million for the quarter ended May 2025, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.03%, and down from $786 million year-over-year [2] - The company has topped consensus revenue estimates just once over the last four quarters [2] Group 3: Stock Performance and Outlook - Winnebago shares have declined approximately 34.4% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 3.6% [3] - The company's earnings outlook will be crucial for future stock performance, with current consensus EPS estimates at $1.01 for the coming quarter and $1.73 for the current fiscal year [4][7] Group 4: Industry Context - The Building Products - Mobile Homes and RV Builders industry, to which Winnebago belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 3% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a challenging environment [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact Winnebago's stock performance [5]
Winnebago(WGO) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-06-25 11:09
Fiscal 2025 Third Quarter Earnings Presentation June 25, 2025 Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 , including the business outlook and financial guidance for Fiscal 2025. Investors are cautioned that forward-looking statements are inherently uncertain and involve potential risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from these statements, in ...
Winnebago Industries Reports Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Results
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-06-25 11:00
Core Insights - Winnebago Industries reported a net revenue of $775.1 million for Q3 FY 2025, a decrease of 1.4% from $786.0 million in the same quarter last year, primarily due to a reduction in average selling price per unit and volume reductions in the Motorhome RV segment [5][8][9] - The company is focusing on affordability in its Towable RV segment by introducing competitively priced products, while the Marine segment has seen strong profitability growth driven by retail share gains [4][12] - Winnebago updated its fiscal 2025 full-year outlook, projecting net revenues between $2.7 billion and $2.8 billion, with reported earnings per diluted share expected to be between $0.50 and $1.00 [22][18] Financial Performance - Gross profit for Q3 FY 2025 was $106.0 million, down 10.3% from $118.2 million in the prior year, with a gross profit margin of 13.7% [6][8] - Selling, general and administrative expenses increased by 1.9% to $70.3 million, primarily due to investments in the new Grand Design motorhome business [7] - Net income for the quarter was $17.6 million, compared to $29.0 million in the same quarter last year, resulting in earnings per diluted share of $0.62, down from $0.96 [8][9] Segment Performance - In the Towable RV segment, net revenues decreased by 3.8% to $371.7 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 9.5%, down from 10.9% [10][13] - The Motorhome RV segment saw a 2.6% decline in net revenues to $291.2 million, with adjusted EBITDA dropping 77.7% to $3.0 million [11][14] - The Marine segment experienced a 14.6% increase in net revenues to $100.7 million, with adjusted EBITDA rising 37.0% to $11.6 million [12][42] Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - As of May 31, 2025, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $10.5 million and total outstanding debt of $539.9 million [16] - Cash flow used in operations was $25.3 million for the third quarter [16] - The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.34 per share, payable on June 25, 2025 [17] Outlook - Winnebago's management expressed confidence in the long-term potential of its brands and markets, despite near-term macroeconomic challenges [18] - A comprehensive margin recapture plan is being launched for the Winnebago motorhomes segment, focusing on product line refreshment and operational efficiency [18]
Winnebago Gears Up For Q3 Print; Here Are The Recent Forecast Changes From Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts
Benzinga· 2025-06-25 06:40
Winnebago Industries, Inc. WGO will release earnings results for the third quarter, before the opening bell on Wednesday, June 25.Analysts expect the Eden Prairie, Minnesota-based company to report quarterly earnings at 79 cents per share, down from $1.13 per share in the year-ago period. Winnebago projects to report quarterly revenue of $774.81 million, compared to $786 million a year earlier, according to data from Benzinga Pro.On June 5, Winnebago Industries issued third-quarter adjusted EPS guidance bel ...
Unveiling Winnebago (WGO) Q3 Outlook: Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-06-19 14:16
Core Insights - Winnebago Industries (WGO) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.79 per share, reflecting a decline of 30.1% year-over-year, with revenues forecasted at $775.32 million, a decrease of 1.4% compared to the previous year [1] - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 31.6% in the last 30 days, indicating a significant reassessment by analysts [2] - Analysts emphasize the importance of earnings projection revisions as they are closely linked to short-term stock price performance [3] Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate 'Net Revenues- Motorhome RV' at $280.31 million, down 6.3% year-over-year [5] - 'Net Revenues- Marine' is projected to reach $97.21 million, an increase of 10.6% from the prior year [5] - 'Net Revenues- Corporate / All Other' is expected to be $14.03 million, reflecting a 9.6% increase year-over-year [5] - 'Net Revenues- Towable RV' is forecasted at $414.40 million, indicating a 7.3% increase from the previous year [6] Unit Deliveries - Total Motorhome RV unit deliveries are expected to be 1,414, down from 1,680 in the same quarter last year [6] - Total Towable RV unit deliveries are projected at 10,355, compared to 9,263 in the same quarter last year [6] - Marine boat unit deliveries are anticipated to reach 1,303, up from 1,127 in the same quarter last year [7] EBITDA Estimates - Adjusted EBITDA for Towable RV is expected to be $41.66 million, slightly down from $41.90 million year-over-year [7] - Adjusted EBITDA for Marine is projected at $10.78 million, up from $8.50 million in the previous year [7] - Adjusted EBITDA for Motorhome RV is forecasted to be $11.68 million, down from $13.40 million year-over-year [8] Stock Performance - Winnebago shares have decreased by 8.9% over the past month, contrasting with a 0.6% increase in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [8] - The company holds a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell), indicating expectations of underperformance relative to the overall market in the near future [8]
White Gold Corp. Appoints Dylan Langille Member of Great Bear Resources Discovery Team as Vice President of Exploration
Globenewswire· 2025-06-18 12:02
Company Overview - White Gold Corp. has appointed Dylan Langille as Vice President of Exploration, bringing a decade of experience in mineral exploration and a proven track record in gold discovery [1][2] - The company owns a portfolio of 15,364 quartz claims across 21 properties, covering approximately 300,000 hectares, representing about 40% of the Yukon's White Gold District [5] Key Appointments and Experience - Dylan Langille was part of the core discovery team at the Great Bear Project in Red Lake, Ontario, contributing to significant gold discoveries [2] - His expertise includes grassroots target generation and advanced-stage resource delineation in both greenfield and brownfield settings [2] Strategic Outlook - Langille expressed excitement about joining White Gold at a pivotal time, highlighting strong market conditions and increasing demand for high-quality gold projects [3] - The company is well-positioned for growth through new discoveries, leveraging its extensive portfolio of advanced assets and grassroots targets [3] Resource Estimates - The flagship White Gold project contains an estimated 1,203,000 ounces of gold in Indicated Resources and 1,116,600 ounces in Inferred Resources [5] - Regional exploration has led to several new discoveries and prospective targets, bordering significant gold projects owned by Newmont Corporation and Western Copper and Gold Corporation [5]